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    All Rights Reserved Alcatel-Lucent 2006, 21095

    Fast Forward for VNPTIts all about broadband

    Eric Festraets

    Director Broadband Marketing and Consulting

    April 25th, 2007

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    Outline

    Introduction We created the Fast Forward Program for helping our customers optimise Broadband

    Strategy and Marketing Strategy The Why and the How of Broadband

    Growth Potential Customer Forecast - Business Case Competitive/Regulatory Situation

    Marketing The Go-To-Market for Broadband

    Product (Service Packages, Usage Limitations, Value-Added Services,)

    Price (Willingness-to-pay, Competitive Positioning, Social Classes, ) Promotion (Advertisement Campaigns, Customer Education, Mass Media, )

    Place (Sales Channels : Websites, Agents, Call Centers, )

    Operations Optimise Service Fulfillment : Customer Provisioning - Intake Self-Installation

    Organise Service Assurance : Customer Churn Avoidance Satisfaction - SupportNetwork Economics

    From ADSL to all DSL flavours - Deeper Fiberisation (FTTN FTTH) WiMAX

    Examples of Projects and Success Stories

    Conclusion

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    Outline

    Introduction We created the Fast Forward Program for helping our customers optimise Broadband

    Strategy and Marketing Strategy The Why and the How of Broadband

    Growth Potential Customer Forecast - Business Case Competitive/Regulatory Situation

    Marketing The Go-To-Market for Broadband

    Product (Service Packages, Usage Limitations, Value-Added Services,)

    Price (Willingness-to-pay, Competitive Positioning, Social Classes, ) Promotion (Advertisement Campaigns, Customer Education, Mass Media, )

    Place (Sales Channels : Websites, Agents, Call Centers, )

    Operations Optimise Service Fulfillment : Customer Provisioning - Intake Self-Installation

    Organise Service Assurance : Customer Churn Avoidance Satisfaction - SupportNetwork Economics

    From ADSL to all DSL flavours - Deeper Fiberisation (FTTN FTTH) WiMAX

    Examples of Projects and Success Stories

    Conclusion

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    Fast Forward for every phase of broadband adoption

    BroadbandStartup High Speed Internet Access

    BroadbandBoost

    Triple

    Play

    Operational ExcellenceBusiness DSL

    Data, Voice and Video

    New packages

    Business CaseService DefinitionTime

    # subscribers

    Broadband Deployment

    Broadband Consulting program Fast Forward

    5 years of practice 50 ETSI operators involved

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    Optimize User

    Communication

    Optimize Broadband

    Service Uptake

    Optimize Access

    Deployment

    Optimize OperationalExcellence

    Operations

    Front-office

    Service provisioning

    Business case sensitivities

    Customer acquisition cost Customer support

    Marketing

    Local market analysis

    Market & Demand forecast

    Price sensitivity, segmentation

    Service launch

    Sales channels

    Advertisement campaigns

    Service bundling

    Network Economics

    xDSL flavours

    Deeper fiberisation

    PON versus P2P

    WiMAX as complement

    Strategy BusinessCase/Analysis

    Regulatory Aspects

    Service delivery models

    Cannibalization effects Competition

    The Domains of Broadband Business

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    Fast Forward Strategy and Marketing

    Why and howto deploybroadbandservices ?

    How do I getmy broadbandservices sold ?

    How to streamlineoperations and

    processes ?

    Economical aspectsof combining

    access technologies?(DSL/Fiber/WiMAX)

    Strategy Marketing Operations Network Economics

    The four domains of broadband consulting

    Strategy and Marketing

    Evolution of todays Service Providers arena (ILEC-CLEC-Cable-Mobile-)

    The Competitive Playground and Weapons for fixed operators

    Broadband Start-up Package for Early Adopters (High-Growth Economies)

    Evolution of Residential Communication and Entertainment Services

    Future Vision

    VoIP, IPTV, HDTV, Blended Services, Online and Offline,

    Best Practices and Service Packaging

    Examples of offerings, residential and business

    Business Analysis and Service Definition for Triple Play

    The example of Telkom South Africa (Why, how and when IPTV?)

    Practical Cases

    Algerie

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    Fast Forward Operations

    Why and howto deploybroadbandservices ?

    How do I getmy broadbandservices sold ?

    How to streamlineoperations and

    processes ?

    Economical aspectsof combining

    access technologies?(DSL/Fiber/WiMAX)

    Strategy Marketing Operations Network Economics

    The four domains of broadband consulting

    Operations Operational Excellence for Broadband Boost (HSI)

    Analysis of Service Fulfillment procedures

    Analysis of Service Assurance procedures

    Recommendations on optimisation of operations

    Operational Excellence for Triple Play

    Analysis of Service Fulfillment/Assurance for Triple Play

    Best Practices on Home Networking

    Best Practices on Residential Gateways/CPE offerings

    Generic Recommendations and Economical Considerations on

    Triple Play Operations

    Practical Cases

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    Fast Forward Network Economics

    Why and howto deploybroadbandservices ?

    How do I getmy broadbandservices sold ?

    How to streamlineoperations and

    processes ?

    Economical aspectsof combining

    access technologies?(DSL/Fiber/WiMAX)

    Strategy Marketing Operations Network Economics

    The four domains of broadband consulting

    Network Economics The CAPEX Investment Case for Access Technologies

    Deploying various DSL flavours (ADSL, ADSL2+, )

    Deploying fiber to the node (FTTN, VDSL2)

    Deploying fiber to the home (FTTH, GPON)

    Comparison study FTTN (VDSL2) versus FTTH (GPON)

    Comparison study PON versus PTP and Active Ethernet

    The UmbrellaBusiness Case for Triple Play

    ARPU for Triple Play Services

    CAPEX needed for access network deployment

    OPEX related to access network deployment and service availability

    Practical Cases

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    Define the scope ofthe project

    (mandatory !)

    Identify the criticaldomains and issues

    Define action planfor coming weeks

    Get commitmentfrom managementfor that action plan

    Agree on projectresponsibles andparticipants fromcustomerorganisation

    Recommendations file(powerpoint) describing

    Project objectives and

    methodology

    Key findings andrecommendations

    Detailed analysis andrecommendations onthe defined topics

    Additional information

    useful for further action

    Impact area of therecommendations

    Ends with final

    recommendations

    presentation session

    ACTIONPLAN

    Kickoff Diagnosis

    Synthesis

    Recommendations

    Separate workshops withresponsibles for info gatheringon strategy, marketing,operations, network

    economics

    Roundup of existing material

    Organising additional marketresearch if needed

    Questionnaire availability

    Benchmark with worldwideexpertise

    Interpretation marketmaterial

    Conducting gap analysis

    Overview of FFWD capabilities What is it ? How can we help you ? Overview best practices References

    Discovery of issues in broadband Strategy Marketing

    Operations Network Economics

    Collection of primary feedback

    Concrete discussions on FFWD

    Discovery Workshop

    Generic Fast Forward Project Flow

    The Methodology of Fast Forward projects

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    Outline

    Introduction We created the Fast Forward Program for helping our customers optimise Broadband

    Strategy and Marketing Strategy The Why and the How of Broadband

    Growth Potential Customer Forecast - Business Case Competitive/Regulatory Situation

    Marketing The Go-To-Market for Broadband

    Product (Service Packages, Usage Limitations, Value-Added Services,)

    Price (Willingness-to-pay, Competitive Positioning, Social Classes, ) Promotion (Advertisement Campaigns, Customer Education, Mass Media, )

    Place (Sales Channels : Websites, Agents, Call Centers, )

    Operations Optimise Service Fulfillment : Customer Provisioning - Intake Self-Installation

    Organise Service Assurance : Customer Churn Avoidance Satisfaction - SupportNetwork Economics

    From ADSL to all DSL flavours - Deeper Fiberisation (FTTN FTTH) WiMAX

    Examples of Projects and Success Stories

    Conclusion

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    Broadband Market DynamicsWorldwide uptake of broadband

    By the end of 2006 :

    More than 260 Millionbroadband subscribers worldwide

    Significant Growth Potential

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    Broadband Market DynamicsSubscribers to Date

    Today : 800K DSL subscribers in Vietnam representing 0.9% of population (84M)(Having End 2006 14.5M Internet Users (17% of population))

    China 34.9M DSL subscribers representing 2.65% of population (1.3B)

    Malaysia 732K DSL subscribers representing 2.82% of population (26M)

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    Broadband Market DynamicsThe case of India What is influencing broadband uptake?

    Factors affecting broadband in India

    Unequal income and wealth

    Level of competition increasing deployment

    Price decline contributes to broadband uptake

    PC penetration being major constraint

    Cost of CPE being key

    BSNL :

    Broadband Access package combining

    Cheap PC (370 USD)

    DSL link at 256 K (11 USD)

    400 M download limit

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    1 Public initiatives and policyTELECOM POLICY MAKERS

    3 User awareness and expertisePUBLIC EDUCATION

    2 Adequate and relevant contentCONTENT PROVIDERS

    4 Services affordability/accessibilityNETWORK SERVICE PROVIDERS

    Broadband StrategyWhat are the hurdles for broadband in high-growth economies?

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    Broadband Strategy

    High-Growth Economies : Enabling social and economic development

    Internet as prime communication tooloffering useful end-user servicesregarding local daily concerns

    Internet as a public utility

    e-education e-health e-government

    Internet offered via community accessno more barriers for illiterate people

    no barriers of affordability

    Broadband enables the uptake of applications

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    Broadband Market DynamicsGovernment Initiative

    Report of Point-Topic on Governments involvement in Vietnam

    In Sept 2005, Vietnams Information Development Strategy to 2010 was announced.

    It emphasizes ICT as a significant factor in the country's social-economic development.

    The governments vision is that by 2010:

    Vietnams ICT industries will achieve an annual growth rate of 20-25% and revenue of US$ 6-7 billion. Teledensity will reach reach 32-42 units/ 100 inhabitants. Internet subscribers will reach as high as 8-12% of the total population with 30% being bb subscribers. Internet user will then total 25-35% of the country's population. Alternative telecom providers will achieve a 40-50% market share, leaving VNPT to the remainder.

    As part of this new initiative, VND 5,200 billion (US$ 325 million) will be invested inimproving public telecom services. The Vietnamese government hopes that this willaccelerate the take-up of telecom and internet services, especially, in mountainous,remote and rural areas.

    Where are we today?

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    Broadband Strategy : High-Growth Economies

    The power of broadband for telemedicine

    Committed high data rate for

    Distant real time consulting Video-conferencing (quality of the image)

    Audio-conferencing (quality of the sound)

    Remote diagnosis (good interpretation of real time patient data)

    Exchange of medical data (radiology, photographs, files) Remote online education and distance training

    Secured and reliable always-on connection for

    Confidential patient information

    Undisturbed and adequate interpretation of data

    Backup and storage of patients data

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    Broadband Strategy : TestimonyExample of e-Health (Bell Canada Rural areas)

    will I have to go to the hospital again ?

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    e-education/telemedicine/e-governmentIndia e-seva project

    The Government of Andhra Pradesh has a clear vision to create a knowledge

    society by using Information Technology in all aspects of development andgovernance. Pioneering efforts are being made to reach the benefits of IT to thecitizens - urban and rural, rich and poor, literate and illiterate. The Government isconscious of the dangers of the 'digital divide', and is making special provisions forreaching the 'information have-nots'.

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    Marketing : ProductMulti-Services Will Drive Broadband Adoption

    DSL Dial-upconversion Non-internetPC conversion Non PCconversion

    2

    Flexible pricing &Bandwidth management

    3New services

    over PC

    4

    Beyond PCTV setsAll Devices

    Broadband

    Penetration(% households)

    30-60% have a PC

    20-40%are on the web

    5-15% have alreadybroadband

    100%

    ~100% have a TV set

    50%

    25%

    75%

    15-30% have broadbandpotential

    1Aggressivemarketing

    300%? w/mobile users

    HSIBusiness Access

    GamingPC Video & Music

    HSI Broadcast TV, HDTVVoD, Voice, Visio P2P

    IncreasedARPU

    KeyServices

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    Marketing : ProductFlexible Pricing and Bandwidth Management

    Assure the basic requirements & expectationsbut

    go beyond access only :

    offer ICE services

    Time

    VolumeBandwidth

    Content

    Flexible Pricing and

    Bandwidth Management

    Offerings with various speeds (volume/time caps)

    Decrease churn by offering value added services Bundles with WiFi Security (anti-virus/parental control/) Portals with content

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    Marketing : Product and PriceAggressive entry level offer

    2004: Flexisurf : Prepaid Pay per day DSL

    4Mbps for 2,5 S$ per day (40S$ installationfee, 99S$ modem)

    Min 3 days consecutive days

    2006: Free 1 year DSL Free on-net traffic and access to partner

    websites at 4Mbps

    Services: IM, mail, gaming, music, education,eGov (dedicated sites)

    Surf beyond the "free access" sites by paying forFlexiSurf access (credit card or StarHub's pre-paid

    FlexiCard) FlexiSurf is available at a daily rate of only S$2.50

    per day, at a minimum of three and a maximum ofper transaction.

    A regular plan with unrestricted 4 Mbps service will costS$59 per month; 30 MBps service is S$122

    2002: 20h time limited DSL offer

    2004: Free DSL: 256 kbps at 0 per month

    2 per hour (~ double dial up), pre- or postpaid),CPE at 100 (incl 25h)

    Results:

    6 months after intro 81% of new subs took this package

    Average usage : 17hr per month

    Easy upsell to non-free packages

    Countering Singtels entry-leveloffer Jetpack (Volume limit)

    Countering Fastweb, Tiscali & Wind Offers

    k i d

    http://www.starhub.com/
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    Broadband saturation due to PC penetration being the limiting factor ? What to do ?

    Active push of residential PC penetration Operator can revamp the PC + DSL bundle offer initiative (cfr Telmex, Jordan Telecom, Versatel, )

    Operator can also lobby at e.g. government to set-up PPP (Public-Private Partnerships)

    Offer non-PC services over DSL Dedicated STB for internet on TV allow limited on line activities (cfr Microsoft MSN TV at http://www.webtv.com)

    Actively target the gaming console community (cfr BT Yahoo gaming with Xbox life and PS2 online). This will rather work as valueadded service (and can drive ARPU) than as subscriber magnet: hardcore gamers are early adopters and presumably have DSL anyway

    Initiate IPTV deployment

    Dutch PC & internet penetration

    Residential PC vs BB penetration

    0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

    PC penetration (%)

    BB penetration (%)

    BB potential (70% of PC HH)

    Marketing : ProductPC penetration can be limiting factor

    Marketing : Product

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    Marketing : Product

    Example of the Philippines - PLDT

    1 Euro = 64 PHPesos

    1 Euro = 21K Dong

    1 PHPeso = 328 Dong

    Marketing : Product

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    Marketing : Product

    Example of frontrunner :Belgacom ADSL product in 2004

    Residential market

    Professional market

    30 40 55 99 150 199 395

    ADSL LightADSL

    Skynet Go

    ADSLSkynet

    Plus

    ADSL Pro

    CompactADSL Pro

    ADSL

    Office

    ADSL Offic

    guaranteed

    # PCs 1 1 4 4 10 unlimited unlimited

    Max download speed 512 k 3,3M 4M 4,6M 4,6M 4,6M 4,6M

    Guaranteed - - - - - - 256k

    Max upload speed 128k 192k 256k 256k 256k 384k 640k

    Guaranteed - - - - - - 64kMonthly Volume 400 MB 10 GB 30 GB unlimited unlimited unlimited unlimited

    IP address dynamic fixed

    Security -

    optional

    Skynet

    Security

    Pack

    1 Skynet

    Security

    Pack

    included

    Firewall

    CPE modem router

    Webspace - 50 MB 20 MB Unix hosting

    Marketing : Product

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    Marketing : Product

    Example of frontrunner :Belgacom ADSL product today

    Low-priced

    naked DSL

    M k ti P d t

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    Broadcast TV

    VODInteractive TV

    Unicast

    Broadcast Personalization

    BUY

    PersonalizedAdvertising

    Communications TV

    Personal ChannelsMaps on TV

    Ann ishere

    Mobile TV

    Blended Weband TV

    Blended IntelligentHome and TV

    Increased bandwidth

    More interactivity

    More personalization

    Marketing : ProductThe move to IPTV : Personalized Multi-Media applications

    DIFFERENTIATED OFFERINGS

    M k ti P d t

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    Marketing : ProductIPTV : Shift in TV experience

    M k ti g P d t

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    Marketing : ProductIPTV and business rationales worldwide

    Marketing : Product

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    Marketing : ProductBundles (HSI, Voice, IPTV, Mobile) critical to keep churn under control

    1 to 2 services

    Starhub: Mobile + cable TV churn rate is 18% lower than for mobile-only households AT&T 2005 results: bundling broadband to voice reduces churn with 40%

    BellSouth: when local or long-distance sub adds just one additional serviceDSL,wireless, or dialupchurn declines ~45 percent

    2 to 3 services

    48% of UK dual play customers would switch for a 25% discount. This falls to 27% fortriple play users (Citigroup)

    AT&T 2005 results: bundling both broadband andmobile with voice reduces churn 60%

    3 to 4 services 39.7% of Canadian consumers with phone/mobile/internet bundled are likely to switch

    at a 15% discount. With TV in the bundle, switchers drop to 19.6% (Yankee)

    Marketing : Product

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    Marketing : ProductKey factors for Broadband for SoHo/SME

    Data access becomes independent from device (and transport)

    Diversification of offerings along size & verticals

    Focus moves from network & technology towards applications

    Security is growing in importance

    Increased demand for managed services

    Customer needs,behaviors

    Marketstructure,

    competitivedynamics

    Evolution ofservice offerings

    New communication services are IP based

    Ongoing LL DSL migration

    IT & System integrators (IBM, Accenture, ..) moving down the

    value chain

    VoIP players target SME & enterprise too

    Marketing : Promotion

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    Marketing : PromotionThe broadband advertisement cycle (according to a non-advertiser)

    CHASM

    Early adopters Mass Market

    LaggardsMajority

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    6

    7

    8

    9

    1: DSL finally available2: DSL: the smooth way

    to surf the internet, kbps3: low action

    4: Announce entry level packages5: Campaign: DSL as the ideal online product(cheaper than dial up, including easy VAS)6: low action

    7: Announce e.g. PC + DSL8: Campaign: DSL for everybody:

    (dial up is almost useless, ADSLis default product)9: low actionP

    roductCa

    mpaigns

    Image

    Campaigns A B C

    A: Bandwidth & SpeedB: Applications, benefits, atmosphereC: Older people, lower classes, advertise internet rather than DSL

    M k ti P ti

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    Marketing : PromotionCommunication : Examples of promotion clips

    You are no longer used to wait

    The value proposition of broadband

    Marketing : Place

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    Marketing : PlaceSales Channels

    1.Telco Website

    2.Telco shops

    Also mobile shops?

    3.Licensed Dealers

    Supermarkets, PC vendors, Self-install box remains key for visibility (& operational

    bandwidth!)

    4.Call Centres

    In- and outbound5.Direct Marketing

    Door to door, demos in at public places,

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    Outline

    Introduction We created the Fast Forward Program for helping our customers optimise Broadband

    Strategy and Marketing Strategy The Why and the How of Broadband

    Growth Potential Customer Forecast - Business Case Competitive/Regulatory Situation

    Marketing The Go-To-Market for Broadband

    Product (Service Packages, Usage Limitations, Value-Added Services,)

    Price (Willingness-to-pay, Competitive Positioning, Social Classes, ) Promotion (Advertisement Campaigns, Customer Education, Mass Media, )

    Place (Sales Channels : Websites, Agents, Call Centers, )

    Operations Optimise Service Fulfillment : Customer Provisioning - Intake Self-Installation

    Organise Service Assurance : Customer Churn Avoidance Satisfaction - Support

    Network Economics From ADSL to all DSL flavours - Deeper Fiberisation (FTTN FTTH) WiMAX

    Examples of Projects and Success Stories

    Conclusion

    Operationel Excellence

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    - 45%

    NO SERVICE REACH

    (BW/DISTANCE)

    - 15%

    SALES INEFFICIENCY

    - 28 %

    OPERATIONAL ISSUES

    Only 12 customers out of 100 prospects ?

    Front officeordering

    Networkprovisioning

    CPE (self-)installation

    Customersupport

    Service Fulfillment Service Assurance

    Operationel ExcellenceThe commercial and operational learning curve

    Operationel Excellence

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    Successful Self Installation (%)

    Customer Support Calls

    during installation (per user/first month)after installation (per user/month)

    Activation time (working days)

    Order success rate (%)Installation order cancellations (%)Yearly churn (%)Customer dissatisfaction with deliveryCustomer dissatisfaction with services

    70

    2.00.4

    5.0

    9510.08.0

    15.010.0

    MeanAverage

    90% (SBC)

    0.50.05 (BGC)

    2.0 (FT)

    100 (BGC)2.0 (BGC)5.0 (BGC)10.0 (KPN)

    5.0

    Bestin class

    BGC: Belgacom

    FT: France Telecom

    KPN: Netherland

    SBC: United States

    To compete, service providers must at least

    perform at the mean averagebut to win, they should be best in class!

    Operationel ExcellenceTarget objective benchmarks

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    Outline

    Introduction We created the Fast Forward Program for helping our customers optimise Broadband

    Strategy and Marketing Strategy The Why and the How of Broadband

    Growth Potential Customer Forecast - Business Case Competitive/Regulatory Situation

    Marketing The Go-To-Market for Broadband

    Product (Service Packages, Usage Limitations, Value-Added Services,)

    Price (Willingness-to-pay, Competitive Positioning, Social Classes, ) Promotion (Advertisement Campaigns, Customer Education, Mass Media, )

    Place (Sales Channels : Websites, Agents, Call Centers, )

    Operations Optimise Service Fulfillment : Customer Provisioning - Intake Self-Installation

    Organise Service Assurance : Customer Churn Avoidance Satisfaction - Support

    Network Economics From ADSL to all DSL flavours - Deeper Fiberisation (FTTN FTTH) WiMAX

    Examples of Projects and Success Stories

    Conclusion

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    Broadband Network Economics

    CentralOffice

    FTTN FTTU

    Areas with copper

    GPONADSL2+Served from Central Officeand Multi Dwelling Units

    (fiber-to-the-building)

    Greenfield areas

    Today: Urban areas(early adopters)

    ExtensionsUrban/Suburban

    (mass-market)

    ADSL2+/VDSL2Extend Central Office footprint

    with cost-effective FTTNextendable with remote sealed units

    WiMAX(802.16e-2005)

    ExtensionsRural/RemoteCommunities(mass-market)

    Greenfield areas

    Optimize Access Network forEvery Deployment Strategy

    Broadband Network Economics :

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    Broadband Network Economics :Full Reach Investment Case

    1. CAPEX model

    Equipment + installation (as % of equipment cost default: 10%) Site development

    Optical Fiber + installation

    CPE

    2. Comparison of different technologies & topologies

    xDSL

    From CO or FTTN

    GPON

    Possibly from Super CO

    PtP/Active Ethernet

    WiMAX

    3. Two configurations, four services Initial take-rate

    Final take-rate

    Fiber to the Most Economical Point

    Broadband Network Economics :

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    CAPEX comparison for FTTx Outside Plant costs for FTTU overlay

    Note: CAPEX including CPE at 33% FTTx uptake

    FTTU incurrent ducts

    0

    5

    10

    Fibre, trenching

    Cabinet install

    Access HW

    CO FTTN FTTUnew

    CAPEX

    (Index)

    FTTUAerial

    15

    Ref = 1

    Drop:

    the highest constraints

    33%

    Distribution fiber (includinginstalling ducts) 63%

    splitters+cross-connect

    4%

    Feeder1%

    Divided by 2 ifavailable ducts

    Cost-effective coverage with a mix of technologies

    FTTU where ducts costs are syndicated or greenfield

    FiberDucts

    Broadband Network Economics :Fiber to the Most Economical Point

    B db d N t k E i

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    Broadband Network EconomicsTwo Ways Forward for Mass Market Broadband Access

    Pros: Copper re-use, TTM

    Cons: Many nodes, Future Safe?

    Copper-Centric

    DSLAM(ADSL)

    FTTH /

    FTTB

    >100 Mbps

    25 Mbps

    3-5 Mbps

    100%

    85%

    2005 2010 2015

    RehabGreenfield

    Coverage

    VDSL2

    50 MbpsADSL2+

    Fiber-Centric

    Pros: Consolidation, Future Safe

    Cons:TTM, cabling in buildings

    DSLAM(ADSL)

    FTTH /

    FTTB

    >100 Mbps

    25 Mbps3-5 Mbps

    100%

    85%

    2005 2010 2015

    Rehab

    Greenfield

    ADSL2+

    Coverage

    Broadband Network Economics :

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    Broadband Network Economics :Full Reach Investment Case Example

    Final Configuration (40% take rate):

    EUR per subscriber

    0

    200

    400

    600

    800

    1000

    1200

    CPE 25 41 41 150 150 103 103 225

    Fiber 0 28 161 590 177 656 243 631

    Site development 0 51 51 99 99 94 94 155

    Equipment 50 104 104 83 83 149 149 102

    ADSL/CO

    3 services

    ADSL/CO

    VDSL/DSA

    Ducts

    ADSL/CO

    VDSL/DSA

    No ducts

    ADSL/CO

    GPON/Super CO

    No ducts

    ADSL/CO

    GPON/Super CO

    Ducts

    ADSL/CO

    PtP/CO

    No ducts

    ADSL/CO

    PtP/CO

    Ducts

    GPON/Super CO

    No ducts

    Broadband Network Economics :

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    1

    10

    30

    50

    1 5 30 50 100 1000

    Wifi

    or

    Wifi

    or

    70

    80

    30

    WIPor

    WiFi

    +

    Satellite

    WIPor

    WiFi

    +

    Satellite70

    Herzien

    ELLITEE2E 2way Satellite

    Average

    Microvillage

    Large

    Village

    1 5 30

    UrbanUrban

    DSL

    Urban

    Ref.Price

    X1= 12

    x2

    50 100 1000

    x4

    x2.5

    DSL/WiMAX

    +

    Satellite

    Backhauling distance (km)

    # connected usersFirst technology listed is the access technology, while the second one is the backhauling technology

    Reference price is the cost to deploy DSL in urban areas (min 200 users/DSLAM) for a competitive operator (LLU in line sharing mode)

    15

    E2E WiMAX

    or

    DSL + WiMAX

    x4DSL +

    Wave x4

    x1,5 x2

    x3x2,5...

    DSL + Fiber (with light civil works)

    End to End Cost + WiMAX

    Rural Market

    Broadband Network Economics

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    Cost comparison WiMAX versus DSL - Summary Facts

    If copper is available, WiMAX solution cost is high compared to xDSL for most ofthe configurations

    Presumably prohibitive for commercial deployment, unless in very lowdensity areas where basic HSI is sufficient

    CPE prices currently significant burden, but will drop drastically withstandardisation & volumes (same pattern expected as for DSL CPEs)

    Base stations prices also expected to drop dramatically (15% on a yearlybasis)

    Comparison model is available can be customised to Vietnam in interactivesession

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    Outline

    Introduction We created the Fast Forward Program for helping our customers optimise Broadband

    Strategy and Marketing Strategy The Why and the How of Broadband

    Growth Potential Customer Forecast - Business Case Competitive/Regulatory Situation

    Marketing The Go-To-Market for Broadband

    Product (Service Packages, Usage Limitations, Value-Added Services,)

    Price (Willingness-to-pay, Competitive Positioning, Social Classes, ) Promotion (Advertisement Campaigns, Customer Education, Mass Media, )

    Place (Sales Channels : Websites, Agents, Call Centers, )

    Operations Optimise Service Fulfillment : Customer Provisioning - Intake Self-Installation

    Organise Service Assurance : Customer Churn Avoidance Satisfaction - Support

    Network Economics From ADSL to all DSL flavours - Deeper Fiberisation (FTTN FTTH) WiMAX

    Examples of Projects and Success Stories

    Conclusion

    1 Example of North African Operator

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    p p

    Start-up of Broadband (the marketing project)

    Result : successful commercial launch of broadband

    Package definition Number of packages, speed (up/down), volume cap, CPE, number of users

    Market forecast

    Target market size

    Number of subscribers after 1 mth, 3 mths, 6 mths, 1 year, 2 years

    Bringing service to market

    Sales channels/partnerships

    Passive/active sales strategy

    Additional revenues When to start?

    Internet security(anti-virus, anti-spam, parental control, personal firewall, etc.)

    Games

    Music

    1 Example of North African Operator

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    p p

    Start-up of Broadband (some technical implications)

    Service availability tool

    Based on telephone number Which services (speed)?

    Where available (internal, sales channels, web)?

    Package features/characteristics

    Contention ratios

    Dynamic/fixed IP address Provisioning process

    Transmission capacity/traffic engineering

    Bandwidth distribution over (type of) subscribers

    Congestion forecast system

    Volume cap implementation

    Protection of network and servers

    Anti-virus/anti-spam

    2 - Example of Mexico

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    p

    Accelerate the growth fase

    Result : accelerating the growth fase

    In 2006 : advice on continuing/upgrading broadband

    Add >200 000 new subscribers every 6 months

    Todays packages are OK (logical evolution: speed increase)

    Add new services (music, games, children content, etc.)

    More Revenues

    Customer binding

    Churn reduction/avoidance

    How to accelerate?

    E2006: 2M subscribers vs. 1.5-1.6M normal evolution

    Introduce low entry packages

    Lower speed, limited volume(Time based)

    Rationale: upgrade these customers to standard packages

    Beware for existing users downgrading

    Recommendations were formulated after series of workshops

    3 - Example of China

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    p

    How to improve revenue scheme in high speed internet?

    Result : increasing revenue and customer base

    Operator identified KPIs to be reached : Achieve total number of 3.5M subscribers (originally 2.7M)

    Reduce the churn rate from 20% to 3%

    Maintain/raise the existing ARPU level

    Overall DSL customer satisfaction > 85%

    All actions categorized into main areas:

    IncreaseARPU

    ReduceChurn

    BoostSales

    3- Example of China

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    Diagnosis

    Qualitative: Interviews with more than 5 people in 5 cities Helicopter interview with people who see big picture

    Working level interviews with people in direct contact withcustomers

    Quantitative: Assemble metrics for benchmarking

    Help desk & customer support, provisioning, sales channels, churn,DSL sales & application sales

    Portal market survey

    Analysis

    Pinpoint problem areas based on qualitative + quantitative results

    Benchmark with international figures

    Recommendations

    pMethodology

    3 Example of China

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    Key Recommendations and ImpactIncrease ARPU Reduce churn Boost sales

    Need to realign DSL business towards mass market approach

    nReduce number of packages to five

    n Introduce pay per use or volume limited package

    nRealign package based on market segmentation

    n Initiate lifestyle campaign, media coverage

    nMore co-operation with PC vendors and manufacturers

    Organizational issues

    nSet up virtual cross-city teams lead by region

    nAlign advertising across region

    Churn related

    nSet up customer satisfaction task forces

    nBe proactive about customer retention

    nSimplify VBC and expand to all cities

    Major impact

    Medium impact

    No impact

    4 - Example of Middle East :

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    Result : savings on operational cost

    Objectives

    Increase customer satisfaction (80% to 90%)

    Decrease activation time from 2 weeks to 5 days

    Decrease customer churn after contractual period (20% annual basis)

    Decrease operational costs

    Methodology Process review

    International best practices benchmark

    Results

    Revised back office installation process Revised sales incentive plan

    Revised support strategy for increased customer satisfaction

    Operational cost savings 92.5 million Euro (on yearly basis)

    pOperational Excellence Project

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    Outline

    Introduction We created the Fast Forward Program for helping our customers optimise Broadband

    Strategy and Marketing Strategy The Why and the How of Broadband

    Growth Potential Customer Forecast - Business Case Competitive/Regulatory Situation

    Marketing The Go-To-Market for Broadband

    Product (Service Packages, Usage Limitations, Value-Added Services,)

    Price (Willingness-to-pay, Competitive Positioning, Social Classes, ) Promotion (Advertisement Campaigns, Customer Education, Mass Media, )

    Place (Sales Channels : Websites, Agents, Call Centers, )

    Operations Optimise Service Fulfillment : Customer Provisioning - Intake Self-Installation

    Organise Service Assurance : Customer Churn Avoidance Satisfaction - Support

    Network Economics From ADSL to all DSL flavours - Deeper Fiberisation (FTTN FTTH) WiMAX

    Examples of Projects and Success Stories

    Conclusion

    Typical project timeline

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    for Go-To-Market for Mass Market High Speed Internet packages

    ACTIONPLAN

    Kickoff Diagnosis

    Synthesis

    Recommendations

    Kickoff Action plan Final report

    Define the scope of theproject (mandatory !)

    Identify the critical

    domains and issues

    Define action plan forthe weeks after

    Get commitment frommanagement for thataction plan

    Agree on projectresponsibles andparticipants fromcustomer organisation

    Separate/iterative workshopswith responsibles for infogathering/exchanging onstrategy and marketing

    Roundup of existing material

    Organising additional marketresearch if needed

    Competition and Regulation

    Benchmark with costing

    Interpretation market material

    Conductinggap analysis

    Deliverable :Recommendations file(powerpoint) describingGo-to-Market for ADSL

    Product Definition

    Price Setting andsensitivity

    Promotion Strategy

    Place : sales channels

    Deliverable presented inFinal recommendation

    session for

    management

    Typical project timeline for

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    Operational excellence for Mass Market High Speed Internet packages

    Process review

    KPI setting

    Identify key people to interview Internally 3rd party organizations

    Internal customer experiences

    External customer experiences

    Front office processes

    Back office processes

    Pre-installationactivities

    SystemsProcesses

    Deliverable :Recommendations file

    describing OperationalExcellence :

    Stepwise execution plan Impacted processes/

    systems/KPIs Timeline Roadblocks & pitfalls

    Deliverable presented inFinal recommendation

    session formanagement

    ACTIONPLAN

    Kickoff Fulfillment

    Assurance

    Recommendations

    Kickoff Action plan Final report

    Typical project timeline for

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    Triple Play Offerings (Business Analysis and Service Definition for IPTV)

    Competitive landscape? Regulatory Situation? Content Acquisition? Market Demand?

    Definition of TV Service

    Bundling Opportunities

    Service Roadmap

    Promotion Plan

    Business Dvlpmt Opport

    Deliverable : Recommendations filedescribing IPTV Business Analysis

    presented in Session for Management

    Business Analysis

    Service Definition

    Recommendations

    Kickoff Action plan Final report

    ACTIONPLAN

    Kickoff

    Define the scope of theproject (mandatory !)

    Identify the critical

    domains and issues

    Define action plan forthe weeks after

    Get commitment frommanagement for thataction plan

    Agree on projectresponsibles andparticipants fromcustomer organisation

    Recommendations

    Deliverable :Recommendations file

    describing

    IPTV Service Definition

    presented in Session forManagement

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    Conclusion

    Fast Forward has >4 years of experience in broadband

    Fast Forward optimises broadband in the

    Strategy and Marketing domain

    Operations domain

    Network Economics domain

    We want to help you by building the broadband futuretogether

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    Thank you

    www.alcatel-lucent.com