I N V E S T O R & M E D I A K I T 1 9 t h o f S e p t e m b e r 2 0 1 3 | F a s a n a r a C a p i t a l L t d . | 5 5 G r o s v e n o r S t r e e t - L O N D O N

I N V E S T M E N T O U T L O O K

A r t i f i c i a l M a r k e t s a r e S t r u c t u r a l l y F r a g i l e …

S t a y H e d g e d ! Authorized and Regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority

Presented by: Francesco Filia | Chief Investment Officer

SEPTEMBER 2013

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SYNOPSIS September 2013

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TAKE-AWAY POINTS We believe MARKETS remain structurally FRAGILE to VAR-shocks and any exogenous factor could take them down: Among the driving forces: a) over-leverage in the system; b) low liquidity / low inventories; c) markets’ blind optimism

TAPERING: the only un-priced scenario was a postponement / lite-tapering, which will lead to a “SHORT-LIVED” RELIEF

RALLY… but Tapering will eventually HAVE TO HAPPEN We see the possibility of a mild nominal rally in Q4 2013, but down the line the tapering’s side effects will materialize

RATES: in our opinion RATES remain the BIGGEST CATALYST to EQUITY UNDER-PERFORMANCE A) tapering, while delayed, it will come no matter what; B) EMs might be forced to sell Treasuries to stem a currency crisis; C) rising

expectations on GDP could easily justify 4% on 10yrs Govies CHINA: the key mounting issue for China is its Corporate Sector, whose leverage is 125%+ of GDP

Growth numbers below 7% have the potential to lit the fuse on corporate China excess credit EUROPEAN ELECTIONS: beyond Germany, possible new elections in Italy represent a “FAT TAIL” event… not even such

“tail” event as its probability tops 40% A) Italian bonds are well inside bubble territory; B) Italian equities are historically cheap… but not cheap enough to weather a tail event

The CIO’s CORNER:

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VALUE BOOK

FLAT Remains light, as we see a risk of 10%+ correction over the medium term

TACTICAL BOOK

EXPANDING in absence of sustainable carry generation in the Value Book Tactical Long EuroStoxx – taper-

lite theme Tactical Long single stocks linked

to EMs / Commodities - catch up theme

L / S position in the Potash market

HEDGING BOOK

ACTIVE This is where we see MOST OPPORTUNITIES Short S&P / Long VIX Long Credit Curve Flatteners Short EUR Long Inter-banking spreads Long currency pegs Short JGB rates / short JPY Short AUD

PORTFOLIO POSITIONING

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H E D G I N G B O O K V A L U E B O O K

As the market misprices the potential for increased realized volatility, we continue to identify ATTRACTIVE HEDGING OPPORTUNITIES

To date we have EXPENSED 4% of the PORTFOLIO in premiums to hedge against: a) DOWNSIDE RISK on the S&P; b) further WEAKNESS in the EUROZONE, and against a; c) CHINA HARD LANDING scenario

All current option structures have been engineered to provide LONG DATED PROTECTION & HIGH MULTIPLIERS

As we believe that MARKETS are TOPPY and at RISK of a STEEP CORRECTION, we keep our VALUE BOOK FLATTISH

Our current limited allocation to long positions targets

SPECIAL SITUATIONS offering ASYMMETRIC PROFILES vs. RISKS

We will review our positioning in the Value Book when the REAL WORLD and the FINANCIAL MARKETS tighten; or when MARKETS MOVE SIDE-WAYS for a LONG ENOUGH period of time

In fact, a century worth of data does NOT support being long at current BUBBLE levels; neither in CREDIT nor in EQUITY

CREDIT is remindful of 2007, with the only exception that the bubble is sustained by Central Banks this time around (instead of Investment Banks)

EQUITY is remindful of conditions seen in 2007, but also in 2000, 1987, 1973, 1929… all of which were followed by market crashes

We observe that over the last century there has NEVER been such a HIGH level of RISK for such LOW RETURNS

T A C T I C A L B O O K

This book employs MOMENTUM DRIVEN STRATEGIES

As of the 31st of August the Tactical Book represents app. 30% of OVERALL PORTFOLIO

We however EXPECT TO INCREASE this TACTICAL EXPOSURE in September / October, and will continue to do so at least until a more sustainable carry generation can be provided by the Value Book

FOCUS TRADES

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H E D G I N G B O O K : E U R O P E R I S K H E D G I N G B O O K : S & P P U T S

We maintain our BEARISH VIEW on EUROPE and the EUR… although we recognize that such view make take time to materialize

To express such view, without worrying about BURNING CASH and having TIGHT TIME FRAMES, we have used the Itraxx

In fact, the Itraxx curve allows to structure a LONG-DATED and INEXPENSIVE HEDGE against a number of bearish European scenarios

We believe that MARKETS are sort of TOPPY, EXPENSIVE vis-à-vis the fundamentals and potentially at RISK of a STEEP CORRECTION .. particularly in the most expensive markets

To HEDGE the portfolio vs S&P DOWNSIDE RISK, while not burning too much cash on expensive optionality, we have opted for the following strategy:

BUY SPX put, strike 1650, expiry 21st September and 16th of October, for 120% of the overall portfolio

SELL VIX put, strike 14%, expiry 21st September and 16th of October, on 14% of the overall portfolio

T A C T I C A L B O O K : E U R O S T O X X L O N G

As written in our Sept. 3rd Outlook, in anticipation of a mild Tapering, we believe in a SHORT-LIVED RALLY, across both, equity and bond markets

Against this background, the European equity markets is one of the cheapest to play a short-lived reflation story. Such rally might also be supported by a breakout / acceleration of key resistance levels

We have played this theme via tactical EUROSTOXX long position. In fact, the European equity market is one of the cheapest to play a short-lived REFLATIONARY story

In executing the trade above we have opted to use optionality,

on safe levels

T A C T I C A L B O O K : L / S P O T A S H P L A Y

On the 30th of July, OAO Uralkali, one of the largest potash producers decided to BREAK AWAY from joint venture marketing CARTEL Belarusian Potash Company (“BPC”)

Uralkali’s split from BPC is expected to DRIVE DOWN global POTASH PRICES as the company shifts to a higher-volume production model, with prices expected to settle at around $350/tonne

While this decision might prove economically rational for Uralkali, as its low-cost position means they can cut prices, maximise production, and maintain gross profit, it is considered BAD NEWS for higher-cost producers such as K+S

We initiated (then successfully closed) a L Uralkali / K+S position

BUBBLE MARKETS ARE GAPPING MARKETS

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OUR TAKES ON LAST NIGHT FED’S DECISION

PRE-FED ANNOUNCEMENT: On June 28th we wrote: “If we are right about the LACK OF GROWTH being the elephant in the room, then

BERNANKE WILL BE NEXT CONFIRMING QE AND DELAYING TAPERING, with equity markets going up on inflationary policies resuming in contrast to current expectations of tapering by Q3 and exiting by mid-2014… In conclusion, we plan to remain flat to short the markets over the summertime, and potentially go long sometimes after that“

On Sept. the 3rd we reiterated: “Tapering may get POSTPONED by a few months, leading to a SHORT-LIVED, RELIEF RALLY. So much for the potential nominal rally we see possible in Q4”.

In anticipation of the FED announcement, we POSITIONED THE PORTFOLIO TACTICALLY LONG

FED ANNOUNCEMENT: *FED REFRAINS FROM QE TAPER, KEEPS MONTHLY BUYING AT $85 BLN *FED: RISE IN MORTGAGE RATES, FISCAL POLICY RESTRAIN GROWTH *FED: `TIGHTENING OF FINANCIAL CONDITIONS' COULD SLOW GROWTH *MOST FED OFFICIALS SEE FIRST INTEREST-RATE RISE IN 2015 THE BOTTOM LINE:

The reason why we expected Bernanke to delay tapering or activate a “lite-taper”, had to do with our own SKEPTICISM around the QUALITY of the GDP GROWTH and its sustainability

We view yesterday’s events as the confirmation of our assumptions on REAL ECONOMIC ACTIVITY, in contrast to the broader market consensus. The FED seems to believe that extraordinary measures are still indeed needed. GDP growth is weak and shallow at best, far insufficient to fund the huge funding gap created by additional debt inherited from QEs policies

We treat yesterday’s events as NEGATIVE for global markets in the medium term… in contrast to market consensus, which led to a strong market’s rally. The market MAY and SHOULD realise that at some point down the line. Such realisation should lead to the steep re-pricing that we expect (10-20% downside on S&P, possibly digitally). We therefore plan to stay FULLY HEDGED!

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MOTIVES FOR BERNANKE’S ERRATIC PATH What may have convinced Bernanke to announce tapering at June FOMC meeting What may have convinced Bernanke to back-pedaling on tapering after a few weeks What may have convinced Bernanke to back-pedaling again on tapering at Sept FOMC meeting

Nikkei 20% drop in May /

June

Implied Vols on US Rates doubled up by end June and

again by early Sept

BERNANKE

TOPPY MARKETS ARE GAPPING MARKETS

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Liquidity-driven markets are VULNARABLE to SUDDENT DIGITAL ADJUSTMENTS and EXTERNAL SHOCKS. We then went further to define TOPPY MARKETS AS GAPPING MARKETS

Over the last 4 months, we had extensive empirical evidence:

1.) GOLD debacle in May

2.) JAPAN: the Nikkei lost 7.3% in one day in mid-May. The largest drawdown since the 2011 Tsunami and 1998 Asian crisis

3.) INTEREST RATES DOUBLED IN JAPAN / SHOT UP IN THE US: rates resurrected to 1% territory in Japan, while rates volatility reached 2008 credit bubble’s levels. It is remindful of the market in 2003 in Japan, where a volatility induced sell-off drove rates from 0.5% to 1.6% between June and September

4.) RATES IN THE US: in mid-June they skyrocketed, while fixed income implied vols doubled up in few days

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RISK PARITY: ADDING VAR SHOCK ON RATES Risk parity is an asset allocation framework that seeks to ALLOCATE SAME MARKET RISK TO EACH ASSET and then

LEVERS THE PORTFOLIO in order to reach a target portfolio volatility This means that in dollar terms, the portfolio is very OW low volatility assets, i.e. fixed income, and that those positions are

leveraged. The collapse in rate volatility relative to equity volatility since the start of QE means that the leverage in fixed income positions has increased markedly over the past few years

As the MOVE Index now moves markedly HIGHER, we may see OVER-SHOOTING in market sell-off on rising rates. Volatility-induced sell-offs.

MARKETS REMAIN STRUCTURALLY FRAGILE

We continue to believe that MARKETS ARE STRUCTURALLY FRAGILE to VAR-SHOCKS and to sudden, DIGITAL ADJUSTMENTS

In our view, a number of EXOGENOUS FACTOR could force a DOWNSIDE CORRECTION on markets. Specifically:

I. OVER-LEVERAGE IN THE SYSTEM – NYSE outstanding margin debt at almost $400bn

II. LOW LIQUIDITY / LOW INVENTORIES – which have become a recurring element of current markets

III. MARKETS’ BLIND OPTIMISM – most investors have been bought into the Central Banks’ dogma, with substantial part of the markets’ gains explained by P/E multiples rather than earnings expansion

The CAPITAL MISALLOCATION generated by QE-type polices, in order to alienate Tail Risks and kick start growth, is

BITING BACK at any given opportunity. Eg: Syria

We DO NOT BELIEVE that a 10% + CORRECTION from the current levels is totally UNJUSTIFIABLE!

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OVER-LEVERAGE IN THE SYSTEM

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H E D G I N G B O O K : B U B B L E M A R K E T i n E Q U I T I E S - S & P M O S T E X P E N S I V E !

MARKETS are sort of TOPPY, EXPENSIVE vis-à-vis the fundamentals and potentially at RISK of a STEEP CORRECTION. This is particularly true when analysing the S&P

OVER-LEVERAGE IN THE SYSTEM

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H E D G I N G B O O K : B U B B L E M A R K E T i n E Q U I T I E S - S & P M O S T E X P O S E D

Source: Orcam

OVER-LEVERAGE IN THE SYSTEM

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H E D G I N G B O O K : B U B B L E M A R K E T i n E Q U I T I E S - S & P M O S T E X P E N S I V E !

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Should the bull market reverse, fixed income will be much less liquid than investors expect

LOW LIQUIDITY / LOW INVENTORIES

B O N D M A R K E T S D R I V E N B Y Q E O N LY

BINARY EVENTS & VOLATILITY AHEAD

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BINARY EVENTS & VOLATILITY AHEAD

As we remain focused on TAIL RISKS, against which we design the portfolio to be over-hedged, here we enumerate the most obvious catalysts ahead of us, warranting the NEED FOR PROTECTION STRATEGIES:

I. TAPERING: the market will keep trying to come to grips with the reality that the Fed might sooner or later begin tapering their bond purchase. While tapering has so far been postponed, igniting what we expect to be a short lived nominal rally in Q4, it still will have to materialise at some point with undoubtedly important consequences in the medium term for Interest Rates and Asset’s Pricing

II. FED CHAIRMANSHIP: Summers’ withdrawal from the Fed Chair’s race has removed a contentious event from the calendar for Q4. Is Yellen a done deal?

III. US FEDERAL DEBT CEILING: Come October, confrontations on the fiscal front may heat up again. While our base case scenario contemplates an extension of the debt limits for another year, this also largely represents the consensus view. Therefore we should expect volatility and headline risks should this base case scenario not materialize. As Syria and Summers are now fading away from the media’s headlines, a showdown may now be more likely

IV. CHINA’s CREDIT CRUNCH: the key issue for China is the Corporate Sector, whose leverage is 125% of GDP. Growth numbers below 7% might potentially lit the fuse of Corporate China’s excessive credit

V. EUROPEAN ELECTIONS: markets seem to be in standby for September 22nd elections in Germany. While the consensus is that post-elections, Germany will be more accommodative on policies in Southern Europe, we disagree with that. In addition, the political landscape in Italy is crystal-fragile and the chances for new elections are substantial

VI. RISING INTEREST RATES: rates represent the biggest threat in the near term, as higher long-dated rates could be the casualty of few concurring forces: a) tapering; b) wild sale of Treasuries from EMs; c) rising GDP expectations that could justify a 4% on 10yrs Govies (our threshold for a disorderly adjustment to asset pricing)

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BINARY EVENTS & VOLATILITY AHEAD

Rising GDP expectations could justify a 4% on 10yrs Govies

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R I S I N G I N T E R E S T R A T E S

BINARY EVENTS & VOLATILITY AHEAD

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Source: Street Talk Live blog

R I S I N G I N T E R E S T R A T E S N O T U N P R E C E D E N T E D D U R I N G Q E P R O G R A M S

BINARY EVENTS & VOLATILITY AHEAD

It is not just in the U.S. that rates are increasing. European bond spreads are surging as well.

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Source: Street Talk Live blog

R I S I N G I N T E R E S T R A T E S N O T U N P R E C E D E N T E D D U R I N G Q E P R O G R A M S

CENTRAL BANKS’ EXPANSIONARY POLICIES: in several occasions in the past, the FED and other monetary authorities have attempted to cure financial pandemics with heavily expansionary policies… trading an asset bubble for another. Last, but not least, the bubble in EMs it has been the unintended result of CB’s activities, as EMs saw net inflows doubling up to $8tr in the last 5yrs on ZIRP and QEs policies

PERCEPTION & CONFIDENCE: the effectiveness of quantitative policies has always been about perception and confidence. Any real mechanical linkage to sustainable equity valuations and stronger real economy has YET TO BE PROVEN. Perception and confidence can easily evaporate…

DEBT: one of the major causes to the current market fragility is the ACCUMULATION OF DEBT alongside with the INABILITY to GENERATE the INCOME SOURCES needed to service such debt

On the basis of what is above, we RATHER BE SAFE THAN SORRY and HEDGE our portfolio against severe DOWNSIDE RISKS which have historically followed similar market conditions

We however recognize that it is extremely challenging to call the day in which such correction may take place. POLICY MAKERS CAN INDEED BUY MORE TIME. Therefore, we rely on a SUSTAINABLE, MULTI-DIMENSIONAL RISK MANAGEMENT POLICY

The market remains STRUCTURALLY FRAGILE and can be taken down by any one exogenous or endogenous factor. The most dangerous catalysts are the ones we cannot currently see. Last time around, it was losses of few hundred billions in US Subprime mortgages to push bubble markets into a deep re-pricing of 5 trillions lost GDP and 30 trillions lost market capitalisations globally

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THE STRUCTURAL CASE FOR STAYING BEARISH

& HEDGING TAIL RISKS

WHY TO STAY BEARISH & HEDGE TAIL RISKS!

Over the past 5 years the US has generated $1 of GDP for every $18 of DEBT, leading to a G7 debt / GDP of a 440%, the function of $140 trillion in consolidated "developed world" debt

G7 countries added $18tn of consolidated debt to a record $140 trillion, relative to only $1tn of nominal GDP activity and nearly $5tn of G7 central bank balance sheet expansion (FED + BoJ + BoE + ECB)

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Source: Deutsche Bank, Haver, ZeroHedge

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M O N E T A R Y B A S E E X P A N S I O N V S . M O N E Y M U L T I P L I E R A N D V E L O C I T Y O F M O N E Y C O L L A P S E

INFLATION SUBDUED UNTIL IT IS NOT

BmV = PY, (where B = the monetary base, m = the money multiplier, V = velocity of money), PY is nominal GDP

The money multiplier is a measure of the maximum amount of commercial bank money (money in the economy) that can be created by a given unit of central bank money, i.e., the total amount of loans that commercial banks extend/create

The velocity of money is a measurement of the amount of economic activity associated with a given money supply, i.e., total Gross Domestic Product (GDP) divided by the Money Supply

This measurement also shows a marked slowdown in the amount of activity in the U.S. economy for the given amount of M2 money supply, i.e., increasingly more money is chasing the same level of output

EMs / COMMODITIES VS. G4 COUNTRIES

As explained already when describing the relationship between the Bubble Chain and the Deleveraging Chain (see below), it is NOT possible to believe that EMs / Commodities could continue to FREE FALL, while G4 countries keep RISING “ad infinitum” on QE and cross border re-allocation of capital flows

Over the last month, the EMs and Commodities have been a drag on Global Markets. Those are early signs of RECOUPLING between the two chains

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CATALYSTS

CIO’ s CORNER Trades’ Highlights

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TRADES’ HIGHLIGHTS

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H E D G E V S S & P D O W N S I D E R I S K

As outlined in our recent Investment Outlooks, we believe that MARKETS are sort of TOPPY, EXPENSIVE vis-à-vis the fundamentals and potentially at RISK of a STEEP CORRECTION. This is particularly true when analysing the S&P

To HEDGE the portfolio vs. DOWNSIDE RISK in the S&P, while ensuring not to burn excessive cash on expensive optionality, we have executed the following strategy: BUY SPX put, strike 1650, expiry 21st Sept and 16th of Oct, for 110% of the overall portfolio SELL VIX put, strike 14%, expiry 21st Sept and 16th of Oct, on 14% of the overall portfolio

While an S&P’s correction might be postponed, we argue that SEVERAL RISK FACTORS might keep VOLATILITY

LEVELS ELEVATED… therefore helping us to EXPENSE our HEDGES CHEAPLY and potentially even at zero cost

TRADES’ HIGHLIGHTS

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H E D G I N G B O O K : B U B B L E M A R K E T i n E Q U I T I E S - S & P M O S T E X P E N S I V E

SPX

TRADES’ HIGHLIGHTS

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H E D G I N G B O O K : B U B B L E M A R K E T i n E Q U I T I E S - S & P M O S T E X P E N S I V E

VIX

TRADES’ HIGHLIGHTS

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H E D G I N G B O O K : E U R B R E A K - U P a n d R E N E W E D C R E D I T C R U N C H R I S K S

Key Trade details: Itraxx curve flattener 3yr vs 5yr | Duration weighted (5yrs vs 3yrs maturities)

TRADES’ HIGHLIGHTS

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T A C T I C A L B O O K : E U R O S T O X X L O N G

As written in our Sept. 3rd Outlook, in anticipation of a mild Tapering, we believe in a SHORT-LIVED RALLY, across both, equity and bond markets

In our view, a short lived rally might also be supported by a breakout / acceleration of key resistance levels

We have played this theme via tactical EUROSTOXX long position. In fact, the European equity market is one of the cheapest to play a short-lived REFLATIONARY story

In executing the trade above we have opted to use optionality, on safe levels. Downside below 2500 by October expiry

TRADES’ HIGHLIGHTS

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T A C T I C A L B O O K : E U R O S T O X X L O N G

Upside gaps: 2942.43 Downside gaps: 2867.11 / 2798.31 / 2721.37 / 2596.01 / 2570.76 / 2511.83 / 2427.32 / 2127.95 Sep Fut; R: 2867/2888/2902/2922/2943 S: 2867/2851/2825/2805/2787

TRADES’ HIGHLIGHTS

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T A C T I C A L B O O K : L / S P O T A S H P L A Y

On the 30th of July, OAO Uralkali, one of the largest potash producers decided to BREAK AWAY from joint venture marketing CARTEL Belarusian Potash Company (“BPC”)

Uralkali’s split from BPC is expected to DRIVE DOWN global POTASH PRICES as the company shifts to a higher-volume production model, with prices expected to settle at around $350/tonne

While this decision might prove ECONOMICALLY RATIONAL for Uralkali, as its low-cost position means they can cut prices, maximise production, and maintain gross profit, it is considered BAD NEWS for higher-cost producers such as K+S

TRADES’ HIGHLIGHTS

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T A C T I C A L B O O K : L / S P O T A S H P L A Y

TRADES’ HIGHLIGHTS

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T A C T I C A L B O O K : L O N G E M s / C o m m o d i t y d r i v e n s i n g l e s t o c k s

Momentum driven strategies

Source: JPMorgan

TRADES’ HIGHLIGHTS

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I N T E R E S T R A T E S V S . E Q U I T Y

Positive Correlation, in spite of real causality

Option using 10cms Strike(s) Barrier Expiry Offer Vanilla Discount Correlation

Put spread contingent on rates up 95%/85% ps atmf+100 12M 0.38% 2.70% 86% 20%

Option using 10cms Strike(s) Barrier Expiry Offer Vanilla Discount Correlation

Put spread contingent on rates up 90%/80% ps atmf+100 12M 0.27% 1.95% 86% 20%

SPX ref: 1660

12m10y: 2.52%

1y10y ATMF payer contingent on SPX <= 95% at maturity 0.87% offer 3.22% vanilla 25% correlation 37% digital 1y5y ATMF payer contingent on SPX <= 95% at maturity 0.51% offer 1.52% vanilla 10% correlation 37% digital Refs SPX 1648 1y10y 2.62% 1y5y 1.67%

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TRADES’ HIGHLIGHTS

Option using 10cms

Strike(s) Barrier Expiry Offer Vanilla Discount Correlation

S&P PUT contingent

on Rates Up

95% Atmf+50 9M 0.88% 4.00% 78% 23%

PUT contingent

on Rates Up

90% Atmf+50 9M 0.58% 2.70% 79% 23%

PUT contingent

on Rates Up

95% Atmf+100 12M 0.55% 5.25% 90% 23%

PUT contingent

on Rates Up

90% Atmf+100 12M 0.39% 3.70% 89% 23%

Spx: 1595 9m10y: 2.08% 12m10y: 2.16%

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F A S A N A R A R E S E A R C H

Since September 2011, we have published Investment Outlooks and portfolio’s updates. Please find below links to our Research:

September 3rd 2013: Investment Outlook June 28th 2013: Investment Outlook May 31st 2013: Investment Outlook May 3rd 2013: Investment Outlook April 5th 2013: Investment Outlook Portfolio Buckets as of 1st March 2013: Value Book vs Hedging

Book March 1st 2013: Investment Outlook February 1st 2013: Investment Outlook January 11th 2013: Investment Outlook

December 17th 2012: Investment Outlook November 16th 2012: Investment Outlook October 26th 2012: Investment Outlook October 5th 2012: Investment Outlook September 14th 2012: LINK Bi-Weekly Note July 27th 2012: Bi-Weekly Note July 13th 2012: Bi-Weekly Note May 2012: Investment Outlook April 13th 2012: Investment Outlook March 2nd 2012: Weekly Note February 17th 2012: Weekly Note January 7th 2012: Weekly Note More 2012 reports available upon request

F O L L O W F A S A N A R A O N T W I T T E R

Follow Francesco Filia, CIO @ Fasanara Capital on Twitter: https://twitter.com/francescofilia

F O L L O W F A S A N A R A O N Y O U T U B E

Follow Fasanara Capital on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/user/FasanaraCapital

RESEARCH & MEDIA LIBRARY

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P R E S S

Fasanara Opportunities Fund Profiled:

Article

The Big Picture: Francesco Filia: Japan is a catalyst for other economies: Article on 'Opalesque'

Rates, risks and the regulators - bad week for

everyone except Norway? Article on 'the Bench'

V I D E O S

5th Sept. 2013: Expecting a Market

Correction Video

12th April 2013: Is a Euro Zone Break-Up on the Way Video . Keep Gold Long Term, hedge for monetary madness Video

18th February 2013: Go Long Nikkei and Short Yen. Nikkei to 20,000 Video

28th November 2012: European Equities Will Jump Video

28th November 2012: Real Estate Outlook CNBC Interview 2

31st August 2012: How to hedge fatal scenarios Video

CNBC CLASS ITALIA Video | Video

RESEARCH & MEDIA LIBRARY

ABOUT FASANARA CAPITAL

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Fasanara Capital Ltd.: Fasanara is an employee owned alternative asset management company headquartered in London and authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority (“FCA”). Fasanara is also authorised by the Central Bank of Ireland (“CBI”) to act as Investment Manager to Irish authorised collective investment schemes

Strategy: Fasanara pursues an event-driven, multi-strategy portfolio approach investing across the capital structure with

core strengths on credit, equity, liquid special situation securities and portfolio Fat Tail Risk Hedging strategies

Objective: Fasanara seeks to achieve superior, risk-adjusted returns significantly in excess of the debt and equity market indices with modest volatility

Accomplished Investment Team: the team are the core members from the Merrill Lynch Principal Investors group in EMEA, formerly ran by Francesco Filia (MD & EMEA Head), and have spent a combined 24 years in the industry

Competitive Advantage: dynamic and significantly profitable team of managers bound by a set of investment disciplines built over the years

Commingled Vehicle - Summary of Terms & Structure: Date of Launch | 1st of July 2013 Portfolio Manager | Francesco Filia Target size | $ 650MM in equity Target return | Mid Teens Fund Structure | Cayman Incorporated Fund Early Investors’ Fee Structure | Base Management Fee 1.25% (inclusive of Platform Fees) + Incentive Fee 20%

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FASANARA CAPITAL

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Fasanara targets mid-teens annual returns by investing in alpha generating ideas that are uncorrelated to investment cycles

We are event-driven investors with a highly strategic focus on Fat Tail Risk Hedging strategies. We invest opportunistically across a number of asset classes including debt, loans, high yield, distressed securities, securitized assets, public equity and other special situation securities. While fundamental bottom-up analysis represents a key component of our strategy, top-down macro views greatly influence the implementation of our bottom-up investment ideas and strategic Fat Tail Risk Hedging strategies

We deploy capital opportunistically in response to pre-identified investment themes. This may result in dramatic shifts in our portfolio allocations due to changes in the investment landscape

Our focus on event-driven scenarios and Fat Tail Hedging is expected to allow us to participate at the appropriate time, and in the appropriate security type, for each individual investment by maximizing potential returns while minimizing principal risk and protecting the portfolio against systemic events

Superior Risk Management: the team has developed a tailored-made risk management framework adapted to the event-driven investment strategy. We have implemented strict rule-based limits that cover gross leverage, position liquidity, country, sector, single name ownership, currency, short and maximum ownership exposures

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INVESTMENT PHILOSOPHY

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CONTACT INFORMATION

For further information please contact:

INVESTOR RELATIONS Investor.relations@fasanara.com Tel: +44 203 430 2480 FASANARA CAPITAL Ltd. 55 Grosvenor Street, 2nd Floor London W1K 3HY United Kingdom

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