farm data usage in commercial agriculturefarm data usage in commercial agriculture by nathan delay,...

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1 | © 2019 Purdue University March 2020 Farm Data Usage in Commercial Agriculture By Nathan DeLay, Nathanael Thompson, and James Mintert Introduction There is a lot of talk about “big data” in agriculture these days. The farm of the future is said to use multispectral imagery, soil and micro-climate sensors, equipment telematics data, and GPS to drive yield enhancing decisions. The growth of ag-tech startups suggests investors are optimistic about this future. Investment in the ag-tech sector grew 43% in 2018 to nearly $17 billion according to AgFunder News 1 . Though the amount of data being collected from farms is growing rapidly, little is known about how farmers leverage this data to make decisions. According the USDA’s Agricultural Resource Management Survey (ARMS), 61% of corn growers used a yield monitor in 2010 but only 34% used the data to generate a yield map, indicating a disconnect between data collection and data action. The nearly $1 billion sale of Climate Corp to Monsanto (now Bayer) highlighted the value of aggregating farm data with software platforms, but questions regarding farmers’ use of data services persist. What types of farm data software do farmers subscribe to, and to what extent does this software influence seed, nutrient and chemical decisions? The Survey To begin to answer these questions, researchers from Purdue University’s Center for Commercial Agriculture surveyed 800 corn and soybean producers about their collection, management, and usage of farm data. The survey was limited to farms with 1,000 acres or more to produce a sample of farms most likely to have active data strategies. The survey asked respondents 32 questions regarding farm demographic characteristics, precision agriculture adoption, types of data collected on the farm, farm management decisions influenced by data (if collected), data management practices, and any data sharing with outside service providers. The goal of the survey is to understand the farm data lifecycle from collection to decision making and the various channels through which data becomes actionable. Sample Demographics Sample farm characteristics are displayed in Table 1. Fifty percent of farms surveyed operate between 1,000 and 1,999 acres while 36% are between 2,000 and 4,999 acres, and 15% have 5,000 acres or more. The sample is more representative of large commercial operations (by design). About 80% of surveyed farms have owner/operators over the age of 50 and 35% are over the age of 65. Given the average age of producers in the U.S. is 59, our sample is generally representative of the national age distribution of farmers. 2 Just under half of sampled farms have a bachelor’s degree or higher as the highest educational attainment among full-time employees and 9% have a post- graduate degree (Master’s and up), indicating a high degree of human capital. Precision Agriculture Adoption High speed internet access is slightly more available among survey respondents than rural America as a whole at 80%. Generally, adoption rates of precision agriculture technologies reflect the large commercial size and crop mix of farms in the sample. GPS guidance or auto-steer for farm equipment is used by over 90% of the surveyed farms. Fifty-nine percent of farms use variable rate technology (VRT) for seeding and 71% use VRT for fertilizer application. Drones or unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) are used by 26% of sampled farms. The survey sample has significantly higher rates of precision agriculture adoption than the most recent estimated from the USDA

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1|©2019PurdueUniversity

March2020

Farm Data Usage in Commercial Agriculture ByNathanDeLay,NathanaelThompson,andJamesMintert

IntroductionThereisalotoftalkabout“bigdata”inagriculturethesedays.Thefarmofthefutureissaidtousemultispectralimagery,soilandmicro-climatesensors,equipmenttelematicsdata,andGPStodriveyieldenhancingdecisions.Thegrowthofag-techstartupssuggestsinvestorsareoptimisticaboutthisfuture.Investmentintheag-techsectorgrew43%in2018tonearly$17billionaccordingtoAgFunderNews1.Thoughtheamountofdatabeingcollectedfromfarmsisgrowingrapidly,littleisknownabouthowfarmersleveragethisdatatomakedecisions.AccordingtheUSDA’sAgriculturalResourceManagementSurvey(ARMS),61%ofcorngrowersusedayieldmonitorin2010butonly34%usedthedatatogenerateayieldmap,indicatingadisconnectbetweendatacollectionanddataaction.Thenearly$1billionsaleofClimateCorptoMonsanto(nowBayer)highlightedthevalueofaggregatingfarmdatawithsoftwareplatforms,butquestionsregardingfarmers’useofdataservicespersist.Whattypesoffarmdatasoftwaredofarmerssubscribeto,andtowhatextentdoesthissoftwareinfluenceseed,nutrientandchemicaldecisions?

TheSurveyTobegintoanswerthesequestions,researchersfromPurdueUniversity’sCenterforCommercialAgriculturesurveyed800cornandsoybeanproducersabouttheircollection,management,andusageoffarmdata.Thesurveywaslimitedtofarmswith1,000acresormoretoproduceasampleoffarmsmostlikelytohaveactivedatastrategies.Thesurveyaskedrespondents32questionsregardingfarmdemographiccharacteristics,precisionagricultureadoption,typesofdatacollectedonthefarm,farmmanagementdecisionsinfluencedbydata(ifcollected),datamanagementpractices,andanydatasharingwithoutsideserviceproviders.Thegoalofthesurveyistounderstandthefarmdatalifecyclefromcollectiontodecisionmakingandthevariouschannelsthroughwhichdatabecomesactionable.

SampleDemographicsSamplefarmcharacteristicsaredisplayedinTable1.Fiftypercentoffarmssurveyedoperatebetween1,000and1,999acreswhile36%arebetween2,000and4,999acres,and15%have5,000acresormore.Thesampleismorerepresentativeoflargecommercialoperations(bydesign).About80%ofsurveyedfarmshaveowner/operatorsovertheageof50and35%areovertheageof65.GiventheaverageageofproducersintheU.S.is59,oursampleisgenerallyrepresentativeofthenationalagedistributionoffarmers.2Justunderhalfofsampledfarmshaveabachelor’sdegreeorhigherasthehighesteducationalattainmentamongfull-timeemployeesand9%haveapost-graduatedegree(Master’sandup),indicatingahighdegreeofhumancapital.

PrecisionAgricultureAdoptionHighspeedinternetaccessisslightlymoreavailableamongsurveyrespondentsthanruralAmericaasawholeat80%.Generally,adoptionratesofprecisionagriculturetechnologiesreflectthelargecommercialsizeandcropmixoffarmsinthesample.GPSguidanceorauto-steerforfarmequipmentisusedbyover90%ofthesurveyedfarms.Fifty-ninepercentoffarmsusevariableratetechnology(VRT)forseedingand71%useVRTforfertilizerapplication.Dronesorunmannedaerialvehicles(UAVs)areusedby26%ofsampledfarms.ThesurveysamplehassignificantlyhigherratesofprecisionagricultureadoptionthanthemostrecentestimatedfromtheUSDA

2|©2019PurdueUniversity

AgriculturalResourceManagementSurvey(ARMS)(seeSchimmelpfennig,2016)butarehighlysimilartoworkbyThompsonetal.(2018)whouseasimilarsamplingmethod.3

DataCollectionFarmerparticipantswerefirstaskedabouttheircollectionofthreecommontypesoffarmdata—yieldmonitordata,gridorzonesoilsamplingdata,anddroneorsatelliteimagerydata.Collectionamongoursampleiscommon—particularlyforyieldmonitorandsoildataat82%and77%,respectively.Satelliteordroneimagerydataistheleastlikelytobecollected(47%ofthesample)butgiventhenoveltyofthetechnology,thiscouldbeconsideredhigh.Thevastmajority(73%)createGPSmapsfromtheirdata,suggestingahighdegreeofengagementwithdataoncecollected.

Datacollectionisstronglyrelatedtofarmcharacteristics.Figure1displaysthepercentageoffarmscollectingeachdatatype,brokendownbyfarmsize.Datacollectionismostprevalentamonglargefarms—aresultconsistentwithpreviousfindings.3Therelationshipismostpronouncedfordroneorsatelliteimagery.Farmswith5,000acresormoreare51%morelikelytocollectimagerydatathanfarmsinthe1,000-1,999-acrecategory.Collectingimagerydata—particularlyviadrone—mayinvolvescaleeconomiesthatfavorlargeroperations.

3|©2019PurdueUniversity

Farmswitholderoperatorsaregenerallylesspronetocollectfarmdata,dependingonthedatatype.Figure2shows94%offarmswithoperatorsundertheageof36collectyieldmonitordatavs.80%ofthoseovertheageof65.Thisshouldbeinterpretedwithcautionhowever,duetothelowrepresentationofyoungfarmersinoursample(n=17).Thecollectionofsoilsampledatadropsoffsignificantlyforoperatorsovertheageof50,whileasimilarlysharpdeclineisobservedforimagerydataamongthoseolderthan65.Asagroup,operatorsage65andunderare29%morelikelytocollectdroneorsatelliteimagerydatathanthoseover65.

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Figure3depictstherelationshipbetweenfarmeducationalattainmentanddatacollection.Collectionispositivelyassociatedwitheducation,thoughbeyondaBachelor’sdegree,yieldmonitorandsoilsamplingdatacollectionratesareindistinguishable.Again,imagerydatafromadroneorsatellitebearstheclearestrelationshiptoeducation.Thirty-eightpercentofthosewithahigh-schooldiplomacollectimagerydatavs.59%ofthosewithapost-graduatedegree—a55%difference.Simplygoingfromnocollegetosomecollegeraisesthelikelihoodofcollectingimagerydataby16%.Thisstrongcorrelationwitheducationalattainmentislikelyduetothenoveltyandtechnicalnatureofimagerydatarelativetootherformsofdata,favoringthosefarmswithtechnicalskillsattheirdisposal.

Ofthe800respondents,58(7%)donotcollectanyofthedatatypesincludedinthesurvey.Non-datacollectorsidentifiedtheprimaryreasonfornotcollectingfarmdata.Figure4showsthedistributionofresponses.Thirty-sixpercentsaiddatacollectionis“toocostly”while19%findthebenefitsofdoingsounclear.Takentogether,overhalfofnon-collectorsperceivefarmdatatobeun-profitable.Overone-thirdreportuncertaintyinhowtousefarmdataoncecollected—suggestingadisconnectbetweencollectionandaction.Surprisingly,only10%offarmscitedprivacyconcernsasthereasonfornotcollectingfarmdata.Privacymaybeofgreaterconcernwhenitcomestostoringandsharingfarmdatabutdoesnotappeartobeasignificantdeterrenttocollection.

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Amongthosenotcurrentlycollectingdata,fewindicatedthattheywillbegincollectingdatainthefuture—thoughdifferencesemergeacrossdatatypes(seeFigure5).Seventy-sixpercentareunlikelytobegincollectingaerialimagerydatacomparedto43%foryieldmonitordata.Yieldmonitorsoftencomestandardonnewcombineharvesters—notrequiringadedicatedinvestmentoftimeandcapital.

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DataDecisionMakingFarmersthatcurrentlycollectdatawereaskedtoratetheextenttowhichtheirdatainfluencestheirdecisionmakinginthreecropmanagementareas:seedingrates,nutrientmanagement/fertilizerapplication,anddrainageinvestments.Figure6summarizestheresponses.Farmdataappearstohavethelargestinfluenceonnutrientmanagementwith93%reportingtheirfertilizerdecisionstobe“somewhat”or“highly”influencedbydata.Theshareoffarmsreportingseedingrateanddrainagedecisionsasatleastsomewhatinfluencedbydatais81%and71%,respectively.Fertilizerapplicationdecisionsarenearlytwicelikelytobehighlyinfluencedbyfarmdataasseedingrateanddrainageinvestmentdecisions—reflectingthepopularityofvariableratefertilizerapplicationwithinthesample(seeTable1).

Farmsmakingdecisionsbasedontheirdataappearsatisfiedwiththeresults.Seventy-twopercentofthosemakingdata-drivenseedingratedecisionsreportapositiveyieldimpactvs.81%forfertilizerdecisionsand85%fordrainagedecisions.Interestingly,drainageisthemanagementdecisionleastinfluencedbyfarmdata.Butthosewhousedataintheirdraininginvestmentdecisionsreportthehighestlevelofsatisfaction.Levelsofsatisfactionriseasfarmerscollectmoredatatypes.Forexample,theproportionindicatingapositiveyieldresultfromdata-informedseedingratedecisionsis64%ifthefarmonlycollectsonlyonetypeofdata(e.g.justyieldmonitordata)butrisesto77%ifthefarmcollectsallthreedatatypes—a21%increase.Thissuggeststhatthereturnstodatacollectionmaybecomplementary,thatis,individualdatastreamsaremademoreactionablewhencombinedwithotherdatasources.

DataManagementPracticesThesurveybroadlyfocusesontwodatamanagementpracticesinthefarmdatapipeline:adoptionoffarmdatasoftwareplatformsandsharingofdatawithoutsideserviceproviders.Figure7shows

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theadoptionratesoffarmdatasoftwarebyfarmsize.Overall,47%offarmsthatcollectdatauseatleastonedatasoftwareproduct,butadoptionratesaresignificantlyhigheramonglargeroperations—63%offarmswith5,000acresormorevs.36%offarmsinthe1,000-1,999-acrecategory.

Farmswithhighereducationalattainmenthavehigherratesoffarmdatasoftwareadoptionbuttherelationshipvariesbyoperatorage.Figure8showsthat,amongoperatorsover65,thosewithsomecollegearenearlytwiceaslikelytousefarmdatasoftwarethanthosewithahighschooldiploma.GettingaBachelor’sdegreehasasimilareffectonadoptionratesamongthoseage51-65.Softwareplatformsarepopularwithyoungoperatorsacrossalllevelsofeducationbutadoptionrisestonearly70%forthosewithapost-graduatedegree(e.g.Master’sorPh.D.).Focusingoneducation,largedifferencesinsoftwareuseacrossagegroupsaremostapparentattheendoftheeducationspectrum.Thesedifferencesmayhighlighttrendsineducationalattainmentovertime.Amongolderoperators,havingsomecollegerepresentsarelativelyhighlevelofeducationalattainmentwhileyoungeroperatorsrequiremoreeducationtodistinguishthemselves.Adoptionofsoftwareplatformsmayberelatedtothedegreetowhichoperatorsandoperationsspecialize.

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Farmersthatuseatleastonedataserviceplatformwereaskstoidentifyalloftheproductstheycurrentlysubscribetofromalistofeightpopularbrands(seeFigure9).5ThemostwidelyusedsoftwareproductisClimateFieldView(Bayer),usedbyoverhalfofsurveyedsoftwaresubscribers.Forty-fourpercentuseJohnDeereOperationsCenterwhile22%useCaseIH’sAFSSoftwareplatform—generallyreflectingtheirrespectivemarketsharesforfarmequipment.Trimbleisthenextmostfrequentlyusedat21%,followedbyFarmersBusinessNetwork(FBN)(19%),Corteva’sEncirca(14%),FarmersEdge(10%),andGranular(alsoCorteva)at9%.6Nearlyonefourthofuserssubscribetoaservicenotlistedinthesurvey,suggestingalongtailinthefarmdatasoftwaremarket.Understandingwhattypesofsolutionsmakeupthistailisworthyoffutureinvestigation.

9|©2019PurdueUniversity

Thoughallofthesoftwarebrandslistedprovidefarmdatasolutions,thereisasignificantamountofproductdifferentiation.OperationsCenterandAFSplatformscollecttelematicsandas-appliedseedandchemicaldatafromtheirrespectiveequipment(thoughtheyarecapableofintegratingwithotherdatasources).FBNisprimarilyadataaggregatorforinputcostandperformancebenchmarking.Otherproductsprovidecloud-basedstorageandanalysisofagronomicdataforin-fielddecisionmaking(e.g.FieldViewandFarmersEdge)whileGranularprovidesabroadsetofsolutionsfromworkflowmanagementtolandvaluation.Itisnotsurprisingthenthat70%ofsoftwareuserssubscribetomorethanoneproduct(seeFigure10).Oursurveyindicatesthat63%ofsubscribersreceiveseedorfertilizerapplicationrecommendations(prescriptions)fromtheirsoftware.However,farmersdonottreatsoftwarerecommendationsasdirectives.Only44%followtheirsoftwarerecommendations“closely”while52%follow“somewhatclosely,”and4%donotfollowrecommendationsatall.

Onaverage,farmsusebetweentwoandthreesoftwareplatformsbutalmost90%subscribetothreeorfewer.Giventhegrowthofinvestmentinfarm-facingtechnologycompanies,itmaybedifficulttoincentexistingadopterstoaddanotherproducttotheirsoftwaresuite.Companiescouldinsteadtargetnon-adopters.Figure11showsthat,offarmersnotusinganyfarmdatasoftware,closetohalfindicateuncertaintyinhowtousethetechnologyastheprimaryreasonfornotsubscribing.Forty-onepercentofnon-adoptersperceivefarmdatasoftwareastoocostlyortheassociatedbenefitsunclear,indicatingabreakdowninvalueproposition.Privacyconcernsareagainsurprisinglyunimportantasadeterrenttosoftwareuse—only12%identifiedprivacyasthemainreasonfornotsubscribingtofarmdataservice.

10|©2019PurdueUniversity

Inadditiontowithin-farmdatamanagement,farmerparticipantswereaskedabouttheirdatasharinghabitswithoutsideserviceproviders.Specifically,farmerswereaskediftheysharetheirdatawithagronomists,agriculturalinputsuppliers,andequipmentdealers/manufacturersforthepurposeofgeneratingcropmanagementrecommendations.Over70%ofrespondentssharetheirfarmdatawithatleastoneserviceproviderandofthese,63%sharewithtwoormore.Figure12showsfarmersaremostwillingtosharedatawithserviceprovidersthatoperateclosetoon-farmcropmanagementdecisions.Fifty-eightpercentoffarmssharedatawiththeiragronomistfollowedbyaginputsuppliersat44%.Only12%reportsharingtheirdatawithequipmentdealersand7%sharewithaserviceprovidernotlistedinthesurvey.

Surprisingly,theshareoffarmsthatfollowrecommendationsprovidedbyoutsideserviceproviders“veryclosely”is31%,13percentagepointslowerthanthesharethatfollowtheirsoftwarerecommendationsclosely.Evenwhencomparingthesamesub-sampleofrespondentsthatgetrecommendationsfrombothsoftwareandserviceproviders(191farms)thedifferentialremainssignificant(about10percentagepoints).Thewillingnesstofollowsoftwaregeneratedrecommendationsoverthoseprovidedbyanoutsideadvisormaybeduetoaperceptionthatserviceproviders—particularlyaginputsuppliers—pairrecommendationswithproductsales.

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About15%ofdata-collectingfarmsneitherusefarmdatasoftwareorsharedatawithoutsideserviceproviders.Forthiscohort,dataissiloedonthefarmandisunlikelytobemadeactionable.Only8%subscribetoasoftwareplatformbutdonotsharetheirdatavs.38%whoonlyshareanddonotusesoftwarewhile39%doboth.Farmsalreadyperformingonedatamanagementpractice(softwareorsharing)aremorelikelytoadoptanother.Thisisparticularlytruefordatasharingvs.non-sharing.Over50%offarmsthatsharedataalsosubscribetoasoftwareplatformcomparedto36%ofthosethatdonotcurrentlysharedata.

Tables2and3showhowcombiningdifferentdatamanagementpracticesisrelatedtoon-farmdecisionmakingandtheresultingyieldoutcomes.Table2showsthatfarmdataismoreinfluentialinthecropmanagementdecisionsoffarmsthatsubscribetoadatasoftwareplatformorsharetheirdatawithanoutsideserviceprovider.Farmsthatperformbothdatamanagementpracticesareoverfourtimesmorelikelytomakeseedingratedecisionsthatare“highlyinfluenced”bydatathanfarmsthatcollectdatabutdonotshareorusesoftware.Theproportionofdata-drivenfertilizerdecisionsamongthesoftwareplussharingcohortisovertwicethatoftheno-software,no-sharinggroup.

Table2indicatesthatsoftwareuseispositivelyassociatedwiththedegreetowhichdatainfluencesdrainageinvestments.Datasharinghowever,haslittletonoimpactontheimportanceofdataindrainagedecisions.Infact,amongsoftwareusers,thosethatalsosharedataareslightlylesslikelytoreporttheirdrainagedecisionsasbeinghighlyinfluencedbydata.Thiscouldbechannelingtheroleofaerialimageryandmappingindraintileinstallation(softwaresubscribersaretwiceaslikelytocollectdroneorsatellitedataand45%morelikelytocreateGPSmapswiththeirdatathannon-softwareusers).

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Table3cross-tabulatestheproportionoffarmsreportingapositiveyieldimpactfromtheirdata-informeddecisionsbysoftwareuseandsharingpractices.Again,farmsthatsubscribetoadatasoftwareproductaremorelikelytoreportincreasedyieldsasarefarmsthatsharedatawithanagronomist,inputsupplier,dealer,orotherserviceprovider.Thedifferenceisespeciallylargeforseedingratedecisions.Comparedtofarmswithnoactivedatamanagementstrategy,farmsthatusesoftwareandsharedataare60%morelikelytomakeyield-increasingseeding-ratedecisions.

ConclusionDespiteintenseinterestinagriculturaldataamongthefarmpressandventurecapital,littleisknownabouthowfarmsactuallycollect,manage,andanalyzedata.Thissurveyprovidesausefulglimpseintothefarmdatalifecyclefromcollectiontoactiontoevaluation.Wefindthatamonglargecommercialcornandsoybeanoperations,datacollectioniscommon(92%collectatleastonetypeoffarmdata)andthatcollectionisstronglyrelatedtofarmcharacteristics.Largefarms,farmswithyoungeroperators,andfarmswithhigheducationalattainmentarethemostlikelytocollectandusefarmdata.Farmsnotcurrentlypursuingadatastrategyareunconvincedbythevaluepropositionandareunlikelytobegincollectingfarmdatainthenearfuture.Mostfarmsthatcollect

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datasaythatithasatleastsomeinfluenceintheirseeding,fertilizer,anddrainagedecisionsandthevastmajorityreportapositiveyieldimpactfromtheirdata-informeddecisions.

Activedatamanagementpracticescanincreasetheseperceptions.Useofvariableratetechnology(VRT)isastrongpredictoroftheimportanceofdatainseedingrateandfertilizerapplicationdecisionswhiletheinfluenceofdataondrainagedecisionsriseswiththecollectionofdroneorsatelliteimageryanduseofGPSmapping.Resultsshowthatabouthalfoffarmscollectingdatasubscribetoafarmdatasoftwareplatformandusingmultiplesoftwareproductssimultaneouslyisnotuncommon.Again,larger,younger,andmoreeducatedoperationsarethemostlikelytoadoptafarmdataplatform.Privacyissues,bothatthecollectionandsoftwareadoptionstage,aresurprisinglyunimportantrelativetothoseregardingusabilityandprofitability.Over70%offarmsarewillingtosharetheirdatawithanoutsideserviceprovider—mostcommonlyagronomistsandaginputsuppliers.Farmersaremorelikelytocloselyfollowrecommendationsgeneratedbytheiragdatasoftwarethanthoseprovidedbyoutsideserviceproviders.Thisistrueevenamongthesubsetoffarmsthatreceiverecommendationsfrombothsources.

Overall,farmsthatuseanagdatasoftwareproductandsharedatawithanoutsideconsultantaresignificantlymorelikelytomakedata-informedmanagementdecisions.Theyarealsomorelikelytoregardthosedecisionsasyield-enhancing.Oftenagdataendsupsiloedonthefarm,storedondesktopsorUSBflashdrivescollectingdustinashopdrawer.Thesesurveyresultssuggestthatpro-activelymanagingandanalyzingfarmdatacanimprovedecisionmakingandgeneratepositiveyieldresults.Understandinghowdatamanagementpracticesshapeon-farmdecisionmakingisofcrucialimportanceinbringingthefarmofthefutureintoreality.Downstreamplayersintheagriculturalvaluechainmustrecognizethedataneedsofgrowersasdatatransparencyanddataintegrationdemandsrise.

Introduction[1]AgFunder.AgFunderAgriFoodTechInvestingReport:2018YearinReview.(2019).Availableathttps://agfunder.com/research/agrifood-tech-investing-report-2018/

[2]2017USDACensusofAgriculture

[3]Schimmelpfennig,D.(2016).FarmProfitsandAdoptionofPrecisionAgriculture.U.S.DepartmentofAgriculture,EconomicResearchServiceReportNo.217,Washington,D.C.;

Thompson,N.M.,C.Bir,D.A.Widmar,J.R.Mintert.(2018).FarmerPerceptionsofPrecisionAgricultureTechnologyBenefits.JournalofAgriculturalandAppliedEconomics51(1):142-163.

[6]Figure8excludestheunder20and20-35agegroupsduetoinsufficientobservationsineacheducationcategory.

[7]ThelistoffarmdatasoftwareproductswasdevelopedfromaprevioussurveyoffarmdatasoftwareusersandfrominternetsearchdataprovidedbyGoogleTrends.

[8]Recently,EncircawasmergedwiththeGranularsoftwaresuitetobecomeGranularAgronomybyEncirca.