facing covid-19emergency: comparing organizational models
TRANSCRIPT
Facing Covid-19 Emergency:Comparing organizational models for response inItalian Regions
AMERICO CICCHETTI, Ph.D.Professor of Healthcare ManagementDirector, School of Healthcare Systems Economics and Management
Thanks to:ALTEMS’s Covid-19 Research Team: Gianfranco Damiani, Maria Lucia Specchia, Michele Basile, Rossella Di Bidino,Eugenio Di Brino, Maria Giovanna Di Paolo, Andrea Di Pilla, Fabrizio Massimo Ferrara, Luca Giorgio, Maria TeresaRiccardi, Filippo Rumi, Angelo Tattoli, Entela Xoxi, Andrea Silenzi, Rocco Reina, Marzia Ventura, Concetta LuciaCristofaro, Walter Vesperi, Anna Maria Melina, Teresa Gentile, Giovanni Schiuma, Primiano Di Nauta, RaimondoIngrassia, Paola Adinolfi
In collaboration with:Department pf Life Sciences and Public Health, School of Medicine «A.Gemelli» Università Cattolica S. Cuore
Departmente of ManagementUniversità Magna Graecia di Catanzaro
Center for Reaserch and Studies on Healthcare Management (Cerismas) Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore
Center for Research in Medical LeadershipUniversità Cattolica del Sacro Cuore
Outline
• Background• Goals• Methodology and data• Evidences• National epidemiology and response• Regional Epidemiology• Regional Response (phase 1)• Regional Response (phase 2)
• Take home messages
Background
Health systems in transition Italy16
delivery of a package of benefits through a network of population-based ‘local health authorities’ (aziende sanitarie locali, ASLs) and public and private accredited hospitals. Fig. 2.1 summarizes the main organizational actors and the relationships between them.
Fig. 2.1Overview of the Italian health-care system
General practitioners
Directly managed hospitals
Private accredited hospitals, teaching
hospitals, and specialists
Co-paymentsambulatory
care
Public hospital enterprises and
teaching hospitals
Co-paymentsambulatory
care
IRCCS
Co-paymentsambulatory
care
Pharmacies
List prices
CITIZENS PATIENTS
Public health and community health services
Capitation, fee-for-service,
pay-per-performance
Local health authorities (ASLs)
Regional health departments
Government
Parliament
Regional governments
Ministry of Health CSS(National health council)
National budget
Regional budgets
National taxes
Regional agency for health services
(where present)
Regional taxes
Global budget,activity-based
funding
Global budget,activity-based
funding
Global budget,activity-based
funding
ISSNational Institute of Health
AGENASNational Agency for
Regional Health Systems
CCMNational Centre for Disease
Control and Prevention
AIFANational Pharmaceutical
Agency
List prices
Fonte: HIT Health Systems In Transition: Italy (OECD 2014)
The Italian NHSItalian NHS is a “three layers” public universal healthcare system, free at the point of care
Is structured in 21 politically and operationally autonomous Regional Healthcare Systems
Any Region is asked to provide a Core Benefit Package of Services (LEAs)
Provision of services is ensured by a Regional network of Local Health Units and autonomous hospitals (public and private)
Ministry of Health monitors the respect of the LEA provided by Regions to citizens
Ministry of Treasury monitors the respect of financial balance
Regionalization in 20 years has increased differences among Regions
Background
• Sars-COV-2 diffusion in Italy has generated an impact on society,economics and healthcare system
• It has been a human tragedy (33.000 deaths)
• Italian healthcare system’s conditions in January 2020 …
• Facing demographic and epidemiological challenges
• Under-financed for 10 years
• Major regional differences (north south) regarding governance,organizational models, resources’ availability (e.g. ICU beds),competences and performance (clinical, financial)
Goals
Goals
• To better understand the implications of the differentstrategies adopted by Italian Regional Healthcare Systems todeal with the spread of the virus and the consequences ofCovid19;
• To draw indications for the near future and to make the wholeItalian NHS resilient in the long range;
• To offer to researchers and policy makers a knowledge base todevelop further analyses for a better understanding of anevent of historical significance
Ministry of Health supported by a Scientific Task Force provide Regions with guidelines regarding
the re-organization of the hospital and community care network and related facilities.
The indications provided by the MoH on carrying out diagnostic tests provide for the priority
execution of the test to symptomatic / paucisymptomatic clinical cases and to symptomatic family
and / or residential risk contacts and to health and similar operators at greater risk
The re-organization of the hospital network is planned with the increase of available ICU’s beds (+
50%) and in the pneumology and infectious diseases through construction and retrieval of new
hospitals (Covid Hospital) and expansion of beds in existing structures
Establishment of Special Assistance Continuity Units (USCA) to monitor patients at home and in
nursing homes for elderly
Active monitoring by family doctors, pediatricians and public health offices of Local Health Units
Possibility of requisition of hotels or other properties with similar characteristics to accommodate
people under medical surveillance (intermediate care).
MoH’s guidelines to Regions to respond to Covid-19 outbreak
(March 1° 2020)
Methodology and data
Methodology and data (1/2)
• Weekly Reports from March31st 2020 (#7 on May 15th);
• Multidisciplinary workinggroup (Healthcare manager,public health specialists,pharmacologist, biomedicalengineers)
• Researcher and healthcaremanagers from 10 ItalianRegions were involved inthe analysis
Analisi dei modelli organizzativi di risposta al Covid-19Focus su Lombardia, Veneto, Emilia-Romagna e Lazio
Instant REPORT#1: 31 Marzo 2020
Gruppo di Lavoro
Americo Cicchetti, Michele Basile, Eugenio Di Brino, Maria Giovanna Di Paolo, Luca Giorgio, Filippo Rumi e Angelo Tattoli
Analisi dei modelli organizzativi di risposta al Covid-19Focus su Lombardia, Veneto, Emilia-Romagna, Piemonte e Lazio
Instant REPORT#2: 8 Aprile 2020
Gruppo di Lavoro
Americo Cicchetti, Gianfranco Damiani, Maria Lucia Specchia, Michele Basile, Rossella DiBidino, Eugenio Di Brino, Maria Giovanna Di Paolo, Andrea Di Pilla, Fabrizio Massimo Ferrara,Luca Giorgio, Maria Teresa Riccardi, Filippo Rumi, Angelo Tattoli
Analisi dei modelli organizzativi di risposta al Covid-19Focus su Lombardia, Veneto, Emilia-Romagna, Piemonte, Lazio e Marche
Instant REPORT#3: 15 Aprile 2020
Gruppo di Lavoro
Americo Cicchetti, Gianfranco Damiani, Maria Lucia Specchia, Michele Basile, Rossella DiBidino, Eugenio Di Brino, Maria Giovanna Di Paolo, Andrea Di Pilla, Fabrizio Massimo Ferrara,Luca Giorgio, Maria Teresa Riccardi, Filippo Rumi, Angelo Tattoli, Entela Xoxi
In collaborazione con: Dipartimento di Scienze della Vita e Sanità Pubblica (Sezione di Igiene) Facoltà di Medicina e Chirurgia «A. Gemelli»
Analisi dei modelli organizzativi di risposta al Covid-19Focus su Lombardia, Veneto, Emilia-Romagna, Piemonte, Lazio e Marche
Instant REPORT#4: 22 Aprile 2020
Gruppo di Lavoro
Americo Cicchetti, Gianfranco Damiani, Maria Lucia Specchia, Michele Basile, Rossella DiBidino, Eugenio Di Brino, Maria Giovanna Di Paolo, Andrea Di Pilla, Fabrizio Massimo Ferrara,Luca Giorgio, Maria Teresa Riccardi, Filippo Rumi, Angelo Tattoli, Entela Xoxi, Rocco Reina,Marzia Ventura, Concetta Lucia Cristofaro, Walter Vesperi, Anna Maria Melina, TeresaGentile, Giovanni Schiuma, Primiano Di Nauta, Raimondo Ingrassia
In collaborazione con: Dipartimento di Scienze della Vita e Sanità Pubblica (Sezione di Igiene) Facoltà di Medicina e Chirurgia «A. Gemelli»
Gruppo di Organizzazione AziendaleUniversità Magna Graecia di Catanzaro
Centro di Ricerche e Studi in Management Sanitario (Cerismas)Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore
Analisi dei modelli organizzativi di risposta al Covid-19Focus su Lombardia, Veneto, Emilia-Romagna, Piemonte, Lazio e Marche
Instant REPORT#5: 30 Aprile 2020
Gruppo di Lavoro
Americo Cicchetti, Gianfranco Damiani, Maria Lucia Specchia, Michele Basile, Rossella DiBidino, Eugenio Di Brino, Maria Giovanna Di Paolo, Andrea Di Pilla, Fabrizio Massimo Ferrara,Luca Giorgio, Maria Teresa Riccardi, Filippo Rumi, Angelo Tattoli, Entela Xoxi, Andrea Silenzi,Rocco Reina, Marzia Ventura, Concetta Lucia Cristofaro, Walter Vesperi, Anna Maria Melina,Teresa Gentile, Giovanni Schiuma, Primiano Di Nauta, Raimondo Ingrassia, Paola Adinolfi
In collaborazione con: Dipartimento di Scienze della Vita e Sanità Pubblica (Sezione di Igiene) Facoltà di Medicina e Chirurgia «A. Gemelli»
Gruppo di Organizzazione AziendaleUniversità Magna Graecia di Catanzaro
Centro di Ricerche e Studi in Management Sanitario (Cerismas)Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore
Centro di ricerca e studi sulla Leadership in MedicinaUniversità Cattolica del Sacro Cuore
Analisi dei modelli organizzativi di risposta al
Covid-19
Instant REPORT#6: 8 Maggio 2020
Gruppo di Lavoro
Americo Cicchetti, Gianfranco Damiani, Maria Lucia Specchia, Eugenio Anessi Pessina, Giuseppe Scaratti, Michele
Basile, Rossella Di Bidino, Eugenio Di Brino, Maria Giovanna Di Paolo, Andrea Di Pilla, Fabrizio Massimo Ferrara, Luca
Giorgio, Roberta Laurita, Marzia Vittoria Gallo, Maria Teresa Riccardi, Filippo Rumi, Angelo Tattoli, Entela Xoxi, Carlo
Favaretti, Andrea Silenzi, Marta Piria, Rocco Reina, Marzia Ventura, Concetta Lucia Cristofaro, Walter Vesperi, Anna
Maria Melina, Teresa Gentile, Giovanni Schiuma, Primiano Di Nauta, Raimondo Ingrassia, Paola Adinolfi, Chiara Di
Guardo
In collaborazione con: Dipartimento di Scienze della Vita e Sanità Pubblica (Sezione di Igiene)
Facoltà di Medicina e Chirurgia «A. Gemelli»
Gruppo di Organizzazione Aziendale
Università Magna Graecia di Catanzaro
Centro di Ricerche e Studi in Management Sanitario (Cerismas)
Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore
Centro di ricerca e studi sulla Leadership in Medicina
Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore
Analisi dei modelli organizzativi di risposta al
Covid-19
Instant REPORT#7: 14 Maggio 2020
Gruppo di Lavoro
Americo Cicchetti, Gianfranco Damiani, Maria Lucia Specchia, Eugenio Anessi Pessina, Antonella Cifalinò, Giuseppe
Scaratti, Rocco Reina, Michele Basile, Rossella Di Bidino, Eugenio Di Brino, Maria Giovanna Di Paolo, Andrea Di Pilla,
Carlo Favaretti, Fabrizio Massimo Ferrara, Marzia Vittoria Gallo, Luca Giorgio, Roberta Laurita, Marta Piria, Maria
Teresa Riccardi, Filippo Rumi, Andrea Silenzi, Angelo Tattoli, Entela Xoxi, Marzia Ventura, Concetta Lucia Cristofaro,
Walter Vesperi, Anna Maria Melina, Teresa Gentile, Giovanni Schiuma, Primiano Di Nauta, Raimondo Ingrassia, Paola
Adinolfi, Chiara Di Guardo
In collaborazione con: Dipartimento di Scienze della Vita e Sanità Pubblica (Sezione di Igiene)
Facoltà di Medicina e Chirurgia «A. Gemelli»
Gruppo di Organizzazione Aziendale
Università Magna Graecia di Catanzaro
Centro di Ricerche e Studi in Management Sanitario (Cerismas)
Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore
Centro di ricerca e studi sulla Leadership in Medicina
Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore
Methodology and data (2/2)
PHASE 1 (March 1st – May 3rd)
• Legislation (national, regional, local)• Epidemiological indicators (10)• Organizational Indicators (12)
PHASE 2 (May 4th – Now)
• Legislation (national, regional, local)• Epidemiological indicators (7)• Organizational Indicators (9)
Profiling OrganizationalResponse to Covid-19
Emergency in 21 Regions
Data Source
Gazzetta Ufficiale della Repubblica Italiana (Official Gazette of the Italian Republic): https://www.gazzettaufficiale.it/Protezione Civile Italiana; available at: http://opendatadpc.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/b0c68bce2cce478eaac82fe38d4138b1;
Ministry of Health; available at: http://www.dati.salute.gov.it/dati/dettaglioDataset.jsp?menu=dati&idPag=96
Evidences (1/4)National epidemiology and response
Phase 1
Jan 31st 2020 Declaration of National emergency
Feb 23rd 2020 Lock down is specific areas (Lombardia, Veneto, Emilia Romagna, Marche)
March 1st 202050% increase of ICU beds, 100% increase sub-ICU beds; identification of Covid-hospitals;
Rqequisition of hotels as intermediate care; activation of CROSS; limitation of other NHS
activities
March 4th 2020 Schools and universities closed (Nation wide)
March 9th 2020 National lock-down, new resources for the NHS (more physicians and nurses), establishment of
USCA (Special Units for Community Care)
March 11th 2020 Suspension of any business activity
March 17th 2020 Initial economic support measures
March 22nd 2020 Harder lockdown measures, New resources fo NHS (physicians and nurses mobility)
March 25th 2020 Introduction of specific penalties to ensure lockdown
April 1st 2020 Introduction of specific indications for business still open
April 10th 2020 New measures to ensure safety
April 26th 2020 Regulation to start serologic tests and epidemiological studies
Phase 2May 4th Reduction of limitation to people mobility within same municipality, new measures to support
national economy
May 18th Reduction of limitation to people mobility within same Region, Major commercial business, pub
and restaurants to be re-opened
Legislation milestones
0
20000
40000
60000
80000
100000
120000
14000024
/02/
2020
26/0
2/20
20
28/0
2/20
20
01/0
3/20
20
03/0
3/20
20
05/0
3/20
20
07/0
3/20
20
09/0
3/20
20
11/0
3/20
20
13/0
3/20
20
15/0
3/20
20
17/0
3/20
20
19/0
3/20
20
21/0
3/20
20
23/0
3/20
20
25/0
3/20
20
27/0
3/20
20
29/0
3/20
20
31/0
3/20
20
02/0
4/20
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04/0
4/20
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06/0
4/20
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08/0
4/20
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10/0
4/20
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12/0
4/20
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14/0
4/20
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4/20
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4/20
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4/20
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02/0
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5/20
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10/0
5/20
20
12/0
5/20
20
14/0
5/20
20
16/0
5/20
20
Evolution of Cov-Sars2 (Italy)
Positive cases Recovered Deceased
RECOVERED 125.176
POSITIVES 68.351
DEATHS 31.908
POSITIVES 108.257 (April 20 2020)
March 9thNational Lock down begins
Feb 23rd Regional Lock down begins
March 1°NHS plan
May 4thLock down
ends
March 22thMobiity
restrictions
April 10thSafety
measures to restart some businesses
0
20000
40000
60000
80000
100000
120000
24/0
2/20
20
26/0
2/20
20
28/0
2/20
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01/0
3/20
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3/20
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05/0
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3/20
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3/20
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3/20
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3/20
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25/0
3/20
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27/0
3/20
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29/0
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31/0
3/20
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02/0
4/20
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4/20
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12/0
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4/20
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4/20
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22/0
4/20
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4/20
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02/0
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08/0
5/20
20
10/0
5/20
20
12/0
5/20
20
14/0
5/20
20
16/0
5/20
20
Healthcare System Response
Hospitalized ICU Home Isolation and Care
March 9thNational Lock down begins
Feb 23rd Regional Lock down begins
March 1°NHS plan
May 4thLock down
ends
March 22thMobiity
restrictions
April 10thSafety
measures to restart some businesses
Peak of Positives 108.257 (April 20 2020)
4.98%
0.37%
0.00%
1.00%
2.00%
3.00%
4.00%
5.00%
6.00%2
4/02
/202
0
26/
02/2
020
28/
02/2
020
01/
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Testing capacity
Tests/population Cases/population
March 9thNational Lock down begins
Feb 23rd Regional Lock down begins
March 1°NHS plan
May 4thLock down
ends
March 22thMobiity
restrictions
April 10thSafety
measures to restart some businesses
12%
1%
73%
16%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%24
/02/
2020
26/0
2/20
2028
/02/
2020
01/0
3/20
2003
/03/
2020
05/0
3/20
2007
/03/
2020
09/0
3/20
2011
/03/
2020
13/0
3/20
2015
/03/
2020
17/0
3/20
2019
/03/
2020
21/0
3/20
2023
/03/
2020
25/0
3/20
2027
/03/
2020
29/0
3/20
2031
/03/
2020
02/0
4/20
2004
/04/
2020
06/0
4/20
2008
/04/
2020
10/0
4/20
2012
/04/
2020
14/0
4/20
2016
/04/
2020
18/0
4/20
2020
/04/
2020
22/0
4/20
2024
/04/
2020
26/0
4/20
2028
/04/
2020
30/0
4/20
2002
/05/
2020
04/0
5/20
2006
/05/
2020
08/0
5/20
2010
/05/
2020
12/0
5/20
2014
/05/
2020
16/0
5/20
20
NHS response (Hospital vs home care)
ICU/Positives Hospitalized/positives
March 9thNational Lock down begins
Feb 23rd Regional Lock down begins
March 1°NHS plan
May 4thLock down end
March 22thMobiity
restrictions
April 10thSafety
measures to restart some businesses
Evidences (2/4)Regional epidemiology
High prevalence
Medium-low prevalence
Low-very low prevalence
Indicator 2.1. Total confirmed cases
CommentoLombardia Region had the vast majority of cases in Italy. Is now declining, The trend is still unclear. Piedmont has reacherd the«peak» later that others
0
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15000
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Abruzzo Basilicata Calabria Campania Emilia-Romagna Friuli Venezia Giulia Lazio
Liguria Lombardia Marche Molise P.A. Bolzano P.A. Trento Piemonte
Puglia Sardegna Sicilia Toscana Umbria Valle d'Aosta Veneto
Lombardy
Piedmont
Veneto
Emilia-Romagna
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
Piemonte
Lombardia
Veneto
Emilia-Romagna
MarcheLazio
Decessi con presenza di malatt ie sistema respiratorio - A nno 2017 Decessi con Covid-Anno 2019
-
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
1-15 Marzo 16-31 Marzo 1-15 Aprile
Decessi con malattie sistema respiratorio 2017 Deeessi con COVID- A nno 2019
Lethality of Covid-19
Tavola Decessi fornita dall’ISTAT al seguente indirizzo webhttps://www.istat.it/it/archivio/240401
Deceased Covid 19Deceased Respiratory diseases (2017)
Deceased Covid 19Deceased Respiratory diseases (2017)
Evidences (3/4)Regional response (Phase 1)
Regional response model (Phase 1)
Testing
Planning
Hospital vs Home Care
Intermediate care
ICT and digital
Regional «Readiness»: Regional healthcare contingency plans
Phase 1
16 out of 21 Regionshas issued an emergency RegionalHealth Plans for phase 1 in few daysafter the contagionoutbreak
Indicator 2.3. Total tests
CommentTesting capacity has increased over time and the propensity to test is different Region to Region. The highest number of tests have been made in Lombardy and Veneto
0
50000
100000
150000
200000
250000
300000
350000
400000
450000
24-feb
26-feb
28-feb
01-mar
03-mar
05-mar
07-mar
09-mar
11-mar
13-mar
15-mar
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02-apr
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28-apr
30-apr
02-mag
04-mag
Abruzzo Basilicata Calabria Campania Emilia-Romagna Friuli Venezia Giulia Lazio
Liguria Lombardia Marche Molise P.A. Bolzano P.A. Trento Piemonte
Puglia Sardegna Sicilia Toscana Umbria Valle d'Aosta Veneto
Lombardy
Veneto
Piedmont
Emilia-Romagna
Indicator 2.1 Tests/ Regional population
6.81%
6.69%
5.49%
5.28%
3.87%
3.84%
3.58%
3.56%
3.49%
3.32%
2.95%
2.70%
2.19%
1.93%
1.89%
1.73%
1.46%
1.45%
1.35%
1.22%
0 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.07 0.08
TRENTINO-ALTO ADIGE
VENETO
VALLE D'AOSTA
FRIULI VENEZIA GIULIA
EMILIA-ROMAGNA
UMBRIA
TOSCANA
MARCHE
LOMBARDIA
PIEMONTE
LIGURIA
ABRUZZO
LAZIO
BASILICATA
MOLISE
CALABRIA
SICILIA
PUGLIA
SARDEGNA
CAMPANIA
% tamponati Regions Tests
Abruzzo 35.356
Basilicata 10.889
Calabria 33.755
Campania 70.566
Emilia-Romagna 172.589
Friuli Venezia Giulia 64.151
Lazio 128.664
Liguria 45.719
Lombardia 351.423
Marche 54.313
Molise 5.776
Piemonte 144.531
Puglia 58.496
Sardegna 22.116
Sicilia 73.008
Toscana 133.617
Trentino-Alto Adige 72.969
Umbria 33.881
Valle d'Aosta 6.897
Veneto 328.218ITALY 1.846.934
CommentA significant difference emerges between the incidence of tests made by Veneto Region and in Trentino Alto Adige compared to the other Regions. In total, tests in Italy were 1,846,934 equal to 3.06% of the population (April 28th 2020).
Indicator 2.2.1 ICU beds x 100.000 ab.
8.60
7.81
7.50
8.71
7.40
7.82
9.82
9.71
9.38
8.22
8.95
7.54
6.43
10.07
9.30
10.07
9.87
7.51
11.61
7.96
8.71
9.29
9.64
10.58
12.97
13.43
13.61
13.74
13.74
14.18
14.58
15.31
15.41
15.95
16.28
16.44
16.82
17.53
18.98
24.12
27.85
15.52
0.00 5.00 10.00 15.00 20.00 25.00 30.00
CAMPANIA
SARDEGNA
CALABRIA
BASILICATA
PUGLIA
UMBRIA
MOLISE
LAZIO
ABRUZZO
SICILIA
LOMBARDIA
MARCHE
P.A. TRENTO E BOLZANO
EMILIA ROMAGNA
TOSCANA
VENETO
FRIULI V. G.
PIEMONTE
LIGURIA
VALLE D'AOSTA
ITALIA
Today Before
CommentThe indicator shows theincrease in PL in TI over100,000 inhab. in thedifferent regions.Almost all of the regionshave increased ICU morethan requested by theMoH (+ 50%) despite therecent change of directionconsisting in the reductionof PL in TI that someregions are undertaking.
ICU Saturation (March 31st)
1260 962 825 7071324 353 356 173
105%
37%43%
24%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
Lombardia Emilia Romagna Veneto Lazio
Posti T.I . attuali Casi T.I. attuali Tasso di saturazione T.I..ICU Beds (Now) ICU Cases (Now) ICU Saturation (Now)
Percentage of hospitalized / confirmed cases (March 31st)
0.473
0.214
0.000
0.100
0.200
0.300
0.400
0.500
0.600
0.700
0.800
0.900
1.00020
20-0
3-01
T17:
00:0
020
20-0
3-02
T18:
00:0
020
20-0
3-03
T18:
00:0
020
20-0
3-04
T17:
00:0
020
20-0
3-05
T17:
00:0
020
20-0
3-06
T17:
00:0
020
20-0
3-07
T18:
00:0
020
20-0
3-08
T18:
00:0
020
20-0
3-09
T18:
00:0
020
20-0
3-10
T18:
00:0
020
20-0
3-11
T17:
00:0
020
20-0
3-12
T17:
00:0
020
20-0
3-13
T17:
00:0
020
20-0
3-14
T17:
00:0
020
20-0
3-15
T17:
00:0
020
20-0
3-16
T17:
00:0
020
20-0
3-17
T17:
00:0
020
20-0
3-18
T17:
00:0
020
20-0
3-19
T17:
00:0
020
20-0
3-20
T17:
00:0
020
20-0
3-21
T17:
00:0
020
20-0
3-22
T17:
00:0
020
20-0
3-23
T17:
00:0
020
20-0
3-24
T17:
00:0
020
20-0
3-25
T17:
00:0
020
20-0
3-26
T17:
00:0
020
20-0
3-27
T17:
00:0
020
20-0
3-28
T17:
00:0
020
20-0
3-29
T17:
00:0
020
20-0
3-30
T17:
00:0
020
20-0
3-31
T17:
00:0
0
Emilia Romagna Lazio Lombardia Veneto
Indicator 2.4. Percentage hospitalized/confirmed cases (Nothern Regions)
Data Emilia-Romagna
Friuli Venezia Giulia Liguria Lombardia P.A. Bolzano P.A. Trento Piemonte Toscana Valle d'Aosta Veneto Total
Mean 0,39 0,20 0,49 0,52 0,34 0,26 0,48 0,34 0,21 0,23 0,43
Max 0,56 0,37 0,79 0,96 1,00 0,50 0,92 0,59 0,41 0,35 0,75
Min 0,23 0,00 0,22 0,22 0,11 0,00 0,19 0,13 0,00 0,13 0,20
Std Dev 0,11 0,08 0,17 0,16 0,27 0,11 0,23 0,14 0,09 0,07 0,15
Var 0,01 0,01 0,03 0,03 0,07 0,01 0,05 0,02 0,01 0,01 0,02
0.00
0.20
0.40
0.60
0.80
1.00
1.2001
-mar
03-m
ar
05-m
ar
07-m
ar
09-m
ar
11-m
ar
13-m
ar
15-m
ar
17-m
ar
19-m
ar
21-m
ar
23-m
ar
25-m
ar
27-m
ar
29-m
ar
31-m
ar
02-a
pr
04-a
pr
06-a
pr
08-a
pr
10-a
pr
12-a
pr
14-a
pr
16-a
pr
18-a
pr
20-a
pr
22-a
pr
24-a
pr
26-a
pr
28-a
pr
mar apr
Emilia-Romagna Friuli Venezia Giulia Liguria Lombardia P.A. BolzanoP.A. Trento Piemonte Toscana Valle d'Aosta Veneto
0.088
0.1490.111
0.325
0.212
0
0.05
0.1
0.15
0.2
0.25
0.3
0.35
0.4
0.45
01/03/202
0
02/03/202
0
03/03/202
0
04/03/202
0
05/03/202
0
06/03/202
0
07/03/202
0
08/03/202
0
09/03/202
0
10/03/202
0
11/03/202
0
12/03/202
0
13/03/202
0
14/03/202
0
15/03/202
0
16/03/202
0
17/03/202
0
18/03/202
0
19/03/202
0
20/03/202
0
21/03/202
0
22/03/202
0
23/03/202
0
24/03/202
0
25/03/202
0
26/03/202
0
27/03/202
0
28/03/202
0
29/03/202
0
30/03/202
0
31/03/202
0
Percentage ICU/hospitalized
Emilia Romagna Lazio Lombardia Veneto
DATA Emilia Romagna Lazio Lombardia Veneto ItalyMedia 0,108 0,132 0,130 0,244 0,135Max 0,156 0,350 0,266 0,388 0,230Min 0,086 0,000 0,113 0,218 0,119Dev Std 0,022 0,082 0,046 0,044 0,034Varianza 0,000 0,007 0,002 0,002 0,001
Indicator 2.4. Percentage ICU/hospitalized (Selected Regions)
DimensionHospital Centered
approachIntegrated Approach
Community-Home
Approach
Testing
Testing used for
hospitalized or
syntomatic patients only
Diffused testing in
specific territories
(symptomatic and pauci-
symptomatic patients
(contagion outbreaks)
Diffused testing in the
whole regional territory
(symptomatic and pauci-
symptomatic patients
(contagion outbreaks)
Hospital use
Intensive use of
hospitalization (>40%)
and average use of ICUs
(<15% of hospitalized)
Intertemdiate use of
hospitalization ( between
20 - 30%) and average
ICUs use of hospitalized
Limited use of
hospitalization (lower
than 20%) and intensive
ICUs use (>20%)
Primary and
community care
involvement
GPs active on an
individual basis
GPs active in structured
mobile teams in
collaboration with
nurses, with DPIs
provided by RHAs
GPs active in structured
mobile teams in
collaboration with
nurses, with DPIs
provided by RHAs
ICU use
ICUs intensively used
and rapidly saturated
(13-14% of hospitalized
patients)
ICUs used to support
specific contagion
outbreaks (lower
intensity: 10% of
hospitalized patients)
ICUs used to support
specific contagion
outbreaks (higher
intensity of use: 20% of
hospitalized patients)
Digital solutionsUse of digital solution
limited for contact
tracing
Regional platforms to
support Covid-19
patients at home (e.g.
DoctorCovid, Lazio
Region)
Local platforms to
support Covid-19
patients at home (e.g.
Trentino Region)
Regions and models of response
Hospital Centered approach Integrated Approach Community-Home Approach
LombardiaLiguriaLazio
PiemonteBasilicata
SiciliaUmbria
Emilia-RomagnaMarche Toscana
Valle D’AostaCalabria
Campania
VenetoPA Trento
PA BolzanoFriuli Venezia Giulia
PugliaMolise
AbruzzoSardegna
Regions and models of response
Evidences (4/4)Regional response (Phase 2)
Evidences (3/4)Regional response (Phase 2)
Phase 1
Phase 2
May 5th 2020May 12th 2020
Regional «readiness» Healthcare planning (Phase 1 and Phase 2)
Covid – Hospital Hospitals networks Hub and spoke
Marche(supported by infectious
disease clinical departments located in other regional hospitals)
Lombardia Lazio
Liguria(+ covid-free hospitals)
Emilia –Romagna ( only for intensive care
«covid-19 intensive care»)
Table shows the different approaches planned by Italian Regions for the management of Covid – 19 patients. Itreveals an heterogeneity in the choices: two regions (Lombardia and Liguria) plan to operate an hospitalnetworks while others (Lazio and Emilia Romagna) have designed an hub and spoke organizational model. At themoment, only one region (Marche) has deliberate to carry all covid patients’ in a dedicated hospital.
Hospital Care Contingency Plans (Models)
Discussion & Conclusion
Phase 1 of Covid-19 outbreaks was characterized by an uneven response to the emergency between the Italian Regions and three dominant organizational models were identified: hospital centered approach, community care approach, integrated approach
Regions has adjusted their response granting on their own assets and traditional approach to healthcare (more or less hospital-centric);
Nevertheless a progressive convergence towards common management methods that include both hospital and local / home assets can be seen;
Post lock-down phase has been just started and new models of analysis are needed to monitor the evolution of the contagion and the regional adaptive response