export compliance management seminar 31 may 2012: the changing context of export controls

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Professor Taylor - Royal United Services Institute

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Page 1: Export Compliance Management Seminar 31 May 2012: The Changing Context of Export Controls

Professor Trevor Taylor

Emails:

[email protected]

[email protected]

Tel: +44 7818 444350

2 May 2012

The changing context of export controls

Page 2: Export Compliance Management Seminar 31 May 2012: The Changing Context of Export Controls

The purposes of export controls

To restrict the accelerated acquisition of military capabilities by

other governments

hostile

unaligned/neutral

friendly

To direct and constrain the behaviour of other governments

To promote domestic economic advantage

Page 3: Export Compliance Management Seminar 31 May 2012: The Changing Context of Export Controls

The current situation

The weapons of mass effect dimension

no major player with an interest in proliferation

the disruption of the desperate (North Korea, Pakistan,

non-state actors)

increasing problems of controlling ‘old’ knowledge

Small arms

multiple suppliers

post-conflict supplies

the black market

Libyan anti-air missiles?

Page 4: Export Compliance Management Seminar 31 May 2012: The Changing Context of Export Controls

The current situation

Advanced conventional arms

governments involved have effective export control

systems

US as the driving force and the centrality of ITAR

For the UK

The cost, inconvenience and periodic pettiness of

ITAR implementation

The absence of reciprocity

Page 5: Export Compliance Management Seminar 31 May 2012: The Changing Context of Export Controls

The changing context

Exports’

growing

importance

Arms Trade

Treaty

drive

90% of

global R&D

as ‘civil’

Operations

not nuclear

deterrence

Supply

chain

implications ITAR-free

as an

asset

European

harmonisation

& integration

US

bilateralism

Needs of

defence MNCs

Conventional arms

export controls

Page 6: Export Compliance Management Seminar 31 May 2012: The Changing Context of Export Controls

Conclusion and the future

Export controls, high level political attention and the US

political system

The stagnation of reform efforts

The readiness of the UK political class to build awareness of

and/or accept dependence on the US for military capability?

Page 7: Export Compliance Management Seminar 31 May 2012: The Changing Context of Export Controls

No clear sense: US or Europe

Page 8: Export Compliance Management Seminar 31 May 2012: The Changing Context of Export Controls

Clear policy ambition

The Prime Minister in the US, Japan, Indonesia and Burma