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Experience of Modelling Forested Complex Terrain Peter Stuart, Ian Hunter & Nicola Atkinson 30 th October 2009

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Page 1: Experience of Modelling Forested Complex Terrain Peter Stuart, Ian Hunter & Nicola Atkinson 30 th October 2009

Experience of Modelling Forested Complex TerrainPeter Stuart, Ian Hunter & Nicola Atkinson

30th October 2009

Page 2: Experience of Modelling Forested Complex Terrain Peter Stuart, Ian Hunter & Nicola Atkinson 30 th October 2009

Overview

• The Challenges of Forested Complex Terrain. • Predicting the Breakdown of Linear Flow Models in Forested Complex Terrain.

• Tuning Canopy Model Parameters

• Energy Yield Prediction Verification in Forested Complex Terrain

• Future challenges: Modelling Non-Neutral Canopy Flow

Page 3: Experience of Modelling Forested Complex Terrain Peter Stuart, Ian Hunter & Nicola Atkinson 30 th October 2009

The Challenges of Forested The Challenges of Forested Complex TerrainComplex Terrain

Page 4: Experience of Modelling Forested Complex Terrain Peter Stuart, Ian Hunter & Nicola Atkinson 30 th October 2009

The Challenges of Forested Complex

Page 5: Experience of Modelling Forested Complex Terrain Peter Stuart, Ian Hunter & Nicola Atkinson 30 th October 2009

The Challenges of Forested Complex Terrain – Some Observations

Masts A & B are in simple non

forested terrain

Masts C & D are in complex

forested terrain

However masts A,B,C & D are all on the same wind

farm site!

8%

Page 6: Experience of Modelling Forested Complex Terrain Peter Stuart, Ian Hunter & Nicola Atkinson 30 th October 2009

Predicting the Breakdown of Predicting the Breakdown of Linear Flow Models in Linear Flow Models in Forested Complex TerrainForested Complex Terrain

Page 7: Experience of Modelling Forested Complex Terrain Peter Stuart, Ian Hunter & Nicola Atkinson 30 th October 2009

Predicting the Breakdown of Linear Models in Forested Terrain: Method & Models

• Calculate flow over idealised hills using both CFD and linear models for incrementally increasing slopes and tree heights.

MS3DJH / RES Roughness

• Establish guidelines for where linear models fail by comparing to CFD.

Linear CFD

• Use simple geometrical considerations to assess likely impact on real sites.

• Confirm predicted effects using CFD.

Page 8: Experience of Modelling Forested Complex Terrain Peter Stuart, Ian Hunter & Nicola Atkinson 30 th October 2009

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Variation of Critical Terrain Slope with Tree Height (2D Symmetric Hill)

Critical angle for recirculation reduced by ~ ¼° per metre of tree height.

c.f. Kaimal and Finnigan (1994): 2D Critical slope ~10° for a very rough hill.

Page 9: Experience of Modelling Forested Complex Terrain Peter Stuart, Ian Hunter & Nicola Atkinson 30 th October 2009

Variation of Critical Terrain Slope with Tree Height (2D Symmetric Hill)

Critical angle for linear model break down reduced by ~½° per metre of tree height.

Page 10: Experience of Modelling Forested Complex Terrain Peter Stuart, Ian Hunter & Nicola Atkinson 30 th October 2009

Predicting the Breakdown of Linear Models in Forested Terrain: Example Site

Page 11: Experience of Modelling Forested Complex Terrain Peter Stuart, Ian Hunter & Nicola Atkinson 30 th October 2009

Predicting the breakdown of linear flow models in forested terrain: Example Site

11

• Establish critical angle considering tree height (20m).

114

16= TR

H 62

16= TN

HPredominant wind direction

Page 12: Experience of Modelling Forested Complex Terrain Peter Stuart, Ian Hunter & Nicola Atkinson 30 th October 2009

Tuning Canopy Tuning Canopy ParametersParameters

Page 13: Experience of Modelling Forested Complex Terrain Peter Stuart, Ian Hunter & Nicola Atkinson 30 th October 2009

The drag due to the canopy is taken into account via an additional term entering the momentum equation :

iDi UUCF 2

1 α (in m2m-3) is the leaf foliage area per unit of volume

CD is the canopy drag coefficient.

The effects of the canopy on turbulence are accounted for by additional source terms Sk and Sε in the transport equations of k and ε

Lopes da Costa, J. C. P., “Atmospheric Flow Over Forested and Non-Forested Complex Terrain”,PhD Thesis University of Porto, July 2007.

kUUCS dpDk

3

UCU

kCCS dpD 5

3

4

Ventos Canopy Model

Page 14: Experience of Modelling Forested Complex Terrain Peter Stuart, Ian Hunter & Nicola Atkinson 30 th October 2009

• European site with complex orography and extensive forest cover (H ~ 15m).

• 6 meteorological masts used for validation.

Tuning Canopy Parameters: Example site

Page 15: Experience of Modelling Forested Complex Terrain Peter Stuart, Ian Hunter & Nicola Atkinson 30 th October 2009

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M273 M272 M223 M1 M187 M186

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ear

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Predicted and measured shear exponents for 330° direction.

Measured ShearCFD Predicted Shear H = 15m, CD = 0.25 and α = 0.2

Tuning Canopy Parameters: Example site

Page 16: Experience of Modelling Forested Complex Terrain Peter Stuart, Ian Hunter & Nicola Atkinson 30 th October 2009

Reducing the canopy density improves agreement, but even with α = 0.05 the predicted shear exponents are still too high.

2nd Iteration: α → 0.13

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M273 M272 M223 M1 M187 M186

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Measured ShearCFD Predicted Shear

3rd Iteration: α → 0.05

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M273 M272 M223 M1 M187 M186

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Measured ShearCFD Predicted Shear

Tuning Canopy Parameters: Example site

Page 17: Experience of Modelling Forested Complex Terrain Peter Stuart, Ian Hunter & Nicola Atkinson 30 th October 2009

Further improvement gained by using an effective tree height of ¾ the actual height.

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M273 M272 M223 M1 M187 M186

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Measured ShearCFD Predicted Shear

Predicted and measured shear exponents for 330° direction.

Final parameters: H = 11.25m, CD = 0.25, α = 0.05

Tuning Canopy Parameters: Example site

Page 18: Experience of Modelling Forested Complex Terrain Peter Stuart, Ian Hunter & Nicola Atkinson 30 th October 2009

Optimized parameters derived from 330° direction applied to 300° direction.

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M273 M272 M223 M1 M187 M186

Measured Shear

CFD Predicted Shear

Predicted and measured shear exponents for 300° direction.

Tuning Canopy Parameters: Example site

Page 19: Experience of Modelling Forested Complex Terrain Peter Stuart, Ian Hunter & Nicola Atkinson 30 th October 2009

Energy Yield Prediction Energy Yield Prediction Verification in Forested Verification in Forested Complex TerrainComplex Terrain

Page 20: Experience of Modelling Forested Complex Terrain Peter Stuart, Ian Hunter & Nicola Atkinson 30 th October 2009

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Prediction Verification in Forested Complex Terrain - Site Overview

• Moderately complex terrain. 11 multi-megawatt class turbines.

• Inhomogeneous forest cover 5-20m in height.

• Two 40m Masts (turbine hub height is 65m, rotor diameter is 82m)

Mast A Mast B

Power Performance Mast T3

Page 21: Experience of Modelling Forested Complex Terrain Peter Stuart, Ian Hunter & Nicola Atkinson 30 th October 2009

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How is the Wind Farm Performing?

Power performance indicates that turbine T3 is operating as expected.

However, the majority of turbines are found to be under producing.

Page 22: Experience of Modelling Forested Complex Terrain Peter Stuart, Ian Hunter & Nicola Atkinson 30 th October 2009

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Prediction Verification in Forested Complex Terrain – Terrain Effect

• Plot error in yield vs. predicted terrain effect

• Strong correlation between predicted terrain effect and error in energy yield.

• Using WAsP provides very similar results.

Page 23: Experience of Modelling Forested Complex Terrain Peter Stuart, Ian Hunter & Nicola Atkinson 30 th October 2009

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Prediction Verification in Forested Complex Terrain – Increased Roughness

• Increasing roughness in orography model improves agreement.

• Roughness increased from default 0.04m to 2m, potentially more representative of the site (tree height up to 20m).

• Site also modelled using CFD, including a canopy model.• CFD and increased roughness orography model in very close

agreement.

Page 24: Experience of Modelling Forested Complex Terrain Peter Stuart, Ian Hunter & Nicola Atkinson 30 th October 2009

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Prediction Verification in Forested Complex Terrain – Shear Predictions

• Still an error in the predictions; other causes – high shear?

• Strong correlation between high shear and error in energy yield predictions.

Power Performance Turbine

Increasing Shear

Page 25: Experience of Modelling Forested Complex Terrain Peter Stuart, Ian Hunter & Nicola Atkinson 30 th October 2009

Future challenges: Modelling Future challenges: Modelling Non-Neutral Canopy FlowNon-Neutral Canopy Flow

Page 26: Experience of Modelling Forested Complex Terrain Peter Stuart, Ian Hunter & Nicola Atkinson 30 th October 2009

Future challenges: Modelling Non-Neutral Canopy Flow

• How does non-neutral atmospheric stability change canopy flows e.g. Internal Boundary Layer:

Bz

h

x

h

1ln

02

Page 27: Experience of Modelling Forested Complex Terrain Peter Stuart, Ian Hunter & Nicola Atkinson 30 th October 2009

Conclusions

• Trees can cause very different site conditions to occur within the same wind farm e.g. 8% change in turbulence intensity.

• Tree height has a strong impact on the critical slope at which linear models breakdown. • Tuning of canopy parameters help improve agreement between observations and CFD model predictions.

• Operational data suggests that tuning the roughness length in the linear orography model helps improve agreement with operational data and CFD predictions.

• Operational data suggests a link between turbine under performance and wind shear.

Page 28: Experience of Modelling Forested Complex Terrain Peter Stuart, Ian Hunter & Nicola Atkinson 30 th October 2009