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Exo-Cartography (Mapping the Climate and Oceans of Exoplanets) Nick Cowan CIERA Postdoctoral Fellow Northwestern University May 17, 2011

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Page 1: Exo-Cartography - Northwestern Universitylunar.earth.northwestern.edu/courses/351/nick.exoplanets.pdf · Exo-Cartography (Mapping the Climate and Oceans of Exoplanets) Nick Cowan

Exo-Cartography(Mapping the Climate and Oceans of Exoplanets)

Nick CowanCIERA Postdoctoral Fellow

Northwestern UniversityMay 17, 2011

Page 2: Exo-Cartography - Northwestern Universitylunar.earth.northwestern.edu/courses/351/nick.exoplanets.pdf · Exo-Cartography (Mapping the Climate and Oceans of Exoplanets) Nick Cowan

May 17, 2011 Nick Cowan's Talk for Earth 351 2

What I Won’t Talk About

Pallé

et a

l. (2

009)

Page 3: Exo-Cartography - Northwestern Universitylunar.earth.northwestern.edu/courses/351/nick.exoplanets.pdf · Exo-Cartography (Mapping the Climate and Oceans of Exoplanets) Nick Cowan

PART 1

The Present of ExoplanetCharacterization

Page 4: Exo-Cartography - Northwestern Universitylunar.earth.northwestern.edu/courses/351/nick.exoplanets.pdf · Exo-Cartography (Mapping the Climate and Oceans of Exoplanets) Nick Cowan

May 17, 2011 Nick Cowan's Talk for Earth 351 4

Hot Jupiters

Page 5: Exo-Cartography - Northwestern Universitylunar.earth.northwestern.edu/courses/351/nick.exoplanets.pdf · Exo-Cartography (Mapping the Climate and Oceans of Exoplanets) Nick Cowan

May 17, 2011 Nick Cowan's Talk for Earth 351 5

Hot Jupiter ≠Jupiter

• Close to Star:a ≈ 10-2 aJ

• High Irradiation:F ≈ 104 FJ

• Hot:T ≈ 10 TJ

• Strong Tides:Ftidal ≈ 106 Ftidal, J

Page 6: Exo-Cartography - Northwestern Universitylunar.earth.northwestern.edu/courses/351/nick.exoplanets.pdf · Exo-Cartography (Mapping the Climate and Oceans of Exoplanets) Nick Cowan

May 17, 2011 Nick Cowan's Talk for Earth 351 6

Hot Jupiter Expectations

1. High Temperatures– No Clouds– Low Albedo

2. Large Power Budget– Day-Night forcing– Rapid Winds

3. Tidally Locked– Weak Coriolis Force– Large Storms

Showman et al. (2009)

Page 7: Exo-Cartography - Northwestern Universitylunar.earth.northwestern.edu/courses/351/nick.exoplanets.pdf · Exo-Cartography (Mapping the Climate and Oceans of Exoplanets) Nick Cowan

May 17, 2011 Nick Cowan's Talk for Earth 351 7

Outline

1. Thermal Phase Variations2. Low Signal/Noise Lightcurves3. High Signal/Noise Lightcurves

1. Thermal Phase Variations2. Low Signal/Noise Lightcurves3. High Signal/Noise Lightcurves

Page 8: Exo-Cartography - Northwestern Universitylunar.earth.northwestern.edu/courses/351/nick.exoplanets.pdf · Exo-Cartography (Mapping the Climate and Oceans of Exoplanets) Nick Cowan

May 17, 2011 Nick Cowan's Talk for Earth 351 8

Outline

1. Thermal Phase Variations2. Low Signal/Noise Lightcurves3. High Signal/Noise Lightcurves

1. Thermal Phase Variations2. Low Signal/Noise Lightcurves3. High Signal/Noise Lightcurves

Page 9: Exo-Cartography - Northwestern Universitylunar.earth.northwestern.edu/courses/351/nick.exoplanets.pdf · Exo-Cartography (Mapping the Climate and Oceans of Exoplanets) Nick Cowan

May 17, 2011 Nick Cowan's Talk for Earth 351 9

Observing Hot Jupiters

Sweet Spot(Mid-IR)

Spitzer

Page 10: Exo-Cartography - Northwestern Universitylunar.earth.northwestern.edu/courses/351/nick.exoplanets.pdf · Exo-Cartography (Mapping the Climate and Oceans of Exoplanets) Nick Cowan

May 17, 2011 Nick Cowan's Talk for Earth 351 10

Transit

Page 11: Exo-Cartography - Northwestern Universitylunar.earth.northwestern.edu/courses/351/nick.exoplanets.pdf · Exo-Cartography (Mapping the Climate and Oceans of Exoplanets) Nick Cowan

May 17, 2011 Nick Cowan's Talk for Earth 351 11

Infrared Light Curve

Brightness

Time

100%

99%Transit

Transit Depth = (Rp/R*)2

Page 12: Exo-Cartography - Northwestern Universitylunar.earth.northwestern.edu/courses/351/nick.exoplanets.pdf · Exo-Cartography (Mapping the Climate and Oceans of Exoplanets) Nick Cowan

May 17, 2011 Nick Cowan's Talk for Earth 351 12

Eclipse

Page 13: Exo-Cartography - Northwestern Universitylunar.earth.northwestern.edu/courses/351/nick.exoplanets.pdf · Exo-Cartography (Mapping the Climate and Oceans of Exoplanets) Nick Cowan

May 17, 2011 Nick Cowan's Talk for Earth 351 13

Infrared Light Curve

Brightness

Time

100.3%

99%Transit

Eclipse100%

Eclipse Depth ≈ (Rp/R*)2 (Tday/T*)

Star + PlanetStar

Page 14: Exo-Cartography - Northwestern Universitylunar.earth.northwestern.edu/courses/351/nick.exoplanets.pdf · Exo-Cartography (Mapping the Climate and Oceans of Exoplanets) Nick Cowan

May 17, 2011 Nick Cowan's Talk for Earth 351 14

Thermal Phases

Page 15: Exo-Cartography - Northwestern Universitylunar.earth.northwestern.edu/courses/351/nick.exoplanets.pdf · Exo-Cartography (Mapping the Climate and Oceans of Exoplanets) Nick Cowan

May 17, 2011 Nick Cowan's Talk for Earth 351 15

Thermal Phase Variations

Brightness

Time

100%

TransitEclipse

100.3%

Star + PlanetStar

100.1%

Thermal Phase Amplitude ≈ (Rp/R*)2 (Tday - Tnight)/T*

Page 16: Exo-Cartography - Northwestern Universitylunar.earth.northwestern.edu/courses/351/nick.exoplanets.pdf · Exo-Cartography (Mapping the Climate and Oceans of Exoplanets) Nick Cowan

May 17, 2011 Nick Cowan's Talk for Earth 351 16

Outline

1. Thermal Phase Variations2. Low Signal/Noise Lightcurves3. High Signal/Noise Lightcurves

1. Thermal Phase Variations2. Low Signal/Noise Lightcurves3. High Signal/Noise Lightcurves

Page 17: Exo-Cartography - Northwestern Universitylunar.earth.northwestern.edu/courses/351/nick.exoplanets.pdf · Exo-Cartography (Mapping the Climate and Oceans of Exoplanets) Nick Cowan

May 17, 2011 Nick Cowan's Talk for Earth 351 17

Low S/N Phase Functions

Ups Androm. @ 24 micron(Crossfield et al. 2010)

51 Peg @ 8 micron(Cowan, Agol & Charbonneau 2007)

HD 179949 @ 8 micron(Cowan, Agol & Charbonneau 2007)

HD 209458 @ 8 micron(Cowan, Agol & Charbonneau 2007)

Page 18: Exo-Cartography - Northwestern Universitylunar.earth.northwestern.edu/courses/351/nick.exoplanets.pdf · Exo-Cartography (Mapping the Climate and Oceans of Exoplanets) Nick Cowan

May 17, 2011 Nick Cowan's Talk for Earth 351 18

What Determines Tday and Tnight ?

1. Bright Star: T0 = Teff (R*/a)1/2

• Doesn’t affect relativebrightness

2. Bond Albedo: A• Keeps planet cool• Less infrared light

3. Recirculation: ε ≈ τrad /τadv

• Cools day-side• Warms night-side

Page 19: Exo-Cartography - Northwestern Universitylunar.earth.northwestern.edu/courses/351/nick.exoplanets.pdf · Exo-Cartography (Mapping the Climate and Oceans of Exoplanets) Nick Cowan

May 17, 2011 Nick Cowan's Talk for Earth 351 19

Where 24 Transiting Planets Live(a Probability Distribution Function)

High AlbedosNot CommonAB < 0.35

Day-Side TemperatureDegeneracy

Cow

an &

Ago

l 201

1b

Without Optical Data!

Page 20: Exo-Cartography - Northwestern Universitylunar.earth.northwestern.edu/courses/351/nick.exoplanets.pdf · Exo-Cartography (Mapping the Climate and Oceans of Exoplanets) Nick Cowan

May 17, 2011 Nick Cowan's Talk for Earth 351 20

Outline

1. Thermal Phase Variations2. Low Signal/Noise Lightcurves3. High Signal/Noise Lightcurves

1. Thermal Phase Variations2. Low Signal/Noise Lightcurves3. High Signal/Noise Lightcurves

Page 21: Exo-Cartography - Northwestern Universitylunar.earth.northwestern.edu/courses/351/nick.exoplanets.pdf · Exo-Cartography (Mapping the Climate and Oceans of Exoplanets) Nick Cowan

May 17, 2011 Nick Cowan's Talk for Earth 351 21

High S/N Phase Functions (Knutson et al. 2007, 2009a)

HD 189733(8 micron)

Transit

Eclipse

Phase Function

33 hour observationRotation

Cowan & Agol (2008)

Page 22: Exo-Cartography - Northwestern Universitylunar.earth.northwestern.edu/courses/351/nick.exoplanets.pdf · Exo-Cartography (Mapping the Climate and Oceans of Exoplanets) Nick Cowan

May 17, 2011 Nick Cowan's Talk for Earth 351 22

Map Coordinates

Page 23: Exo-Cartography - Northwestern Universitylunar.earth.northwestern.edu/courses/351/nick.exoplanets.pdf · Exo-Cartography (Mapping the Climate and Oceans of Exoplanets) Nick Cowan

May 17, 2011 Nick Cowan's Talk for Earth 351 23

Planet Mapping Basics

LONGITUDINAL MAPLIGHT CURVE

Hydrodynamic Simulation(Cho et al. 2003)

Can de-convolve lightcurveIF STEADY-STATE CLIMATE(Cowan & Agol 2008)

Convolution

Integral2D Brightness Map

Page 24: Exo-Cartography - Northwestern Universitylunar.earth.northwestern.edu/courses/351/nick.exoplanets.pdf · Exo-Cartography (Mapping the Climate and Oceans of Exoplanets) Nick Cowan

May 17, 2011 Nick Cowan's Talk for Earth 351 24

Eclipse Variability & Mapping

Ago

l, C

owan

et a

l. (2

010)

Stack seven Spitzer 8 micron eclipses of HD 189733b:

~40 sec discrepancy in time of eclipse constrains hot spot location

Fday changed by < 2.7%

…on timescales ofdays to years

Page 25: Exo-Cartography - Northwestern Universitylunar.earth.northwestern.edu/courses/351/nick.exoplanets.pdf · Exo-Cartography (Mapping the Climate and Oceans of Exoplanets) Nick Cowan

May 17, 2011 Nick Cowan's Talk for Earth 351 25

Eclipse + Phase Mapping

Maj

eau,

Ago

l & C

owan

(in

prep

)

Page 26: Exo-Cartography - Northwestern Universitylunar.earth.northwestern.edu/courses/351/nick.exoplanets.pdf · Exo-Cartography (Mapping the Climate and Oceans of Exoplanets) Nick Cowan

May 17, 2011 Nick Cowan's Talk for Earth 351 26

Summary

• Thermal Eclipse Depth → Tday• Thermal Phase Amplitude → Tnight• Tday and Tnight → AB and ε• Shape of Thermal Phase/Eclipse → T(Φ,t)• T(Φ,t) → τrad and τadv

T0 AB Tday

Tnight

ε

Page 27: Exo-Cartography - Northwestern Universitylunar.earth.northwestern.edu/courses/351/nick.exoplanets.pdf · Exo-Cartography (Mapping the Climate and Oceans of Exoplanets) Nick Cowan

Part 2

The Future of ExoplanetCharacterization

Page 28: Exo-Cartography - Northwestern Universitylunar.earth.northwestern.edu/courses/351/nick.exoplanets.pdf · Exo-Cartography (Mapping the Climate and Oceans of Exoplanets) Nick Cowan

May 17, 2011 Nick Cowan's Talk for Earth 351 28

The Habitable Zone

Page 29: Exo-Cartography - Northwestern Universitylunar.earth.northwestern.edu/courses/351/nick.exoplanets.pdf · Exo-Cartography (Mapping the Climate and Oceans of Exoplanets) Nick Cowan

May 17, 2011 Nick Cowan's Talk for Earth 351 29

Image of a Nearby Planetary System

(Simulated image from Oakley & Cash 2009)

A. Time-Averaged SpectroscopyB.Time-Resolved Photometry

Habitable Zone Planet

• High-Contrast Optical Imaging• Space-Based Telescope (>5m)• Internal/External Coronograph• N+1 decades from now…

Host StarBlocked/Nulled

Page 30: Exo-Cartography - Northwestern Universitylunar.earth.northwestern.edu/courses/351/nick.exoplanets.pdf · Exo-Cartography (Mapping the Climate and Oceans of Exoplanets) Nick Cowan

May 17, 2011 Nick Cowan's Talk for Earth 351 30

Possible HZ Worlds

A PrioriUnknownObliquity

SnowballEarth(Model)

Polar Earth(EPOXI)

EquatorialEarth(EPOXI)

A PrioriUnknown Climate State

Page 31: Exo-Cartography - Northwestern Universitylunar.earth.northwestern.edu/courses/351/nick.exoplanets.pdf · Exo-Cartography (Mapping the Climate and Oceans of Exoplanets) Nick Cowan

May 17, 2011 Nick Cowan's Talk for Earth 351 31

Outline

• Thermal Phase Variations• Colors of Exoplanets• Snowball Earth Model• Exo-Cartography

Page 32: Exo-Cartography - Northwestern Universitylunar.earth.northwestern.edu/courses/351/nick.exoplanets.pdf · Exo-Cartography (Mapping the Climate and Oceans of Exoplanets) Nick Cowan

May 17, 2011 Nick Cowan's Talk for Earth 351 32

Day-Side(Superior Conjunction)

Night-Side(Inferior Conjunction)

Periastron

Apastron

Winter Solstice

Summer Solstice

Diurnal Cycle(Edge-On Orbits Best)

Eccentricity Seasons(Any Viewing Geometry)

Obliquity Seasons(Pole-On Rotation Best)

Gaidos & Williams (2004)Cowan & Agol (2011a)

Page 33: Exo-Cartography - Northwestern Universitylunar.earth.northwestern.edu/courses/351/nick.exoplanets.pdf · Exo-Cartography (Mapping the Climate and Oceans of Exoplanets) Nick Cowan

May 17, 2011 Nick Cowan's Talk for Earth 351 33

1) Eccentricity and Obliquity Affect Climate2) Climate Affects Response to Eccentricity, Obliquity and Diurnal Forcing

Use State-of-the-Art GCMs to comparethermal phase variations from:- Temperate Planet (Large Thermal Inertia)- Snowball Planet (Small Thermal Inertia)

Work in Progress with Dorian Abbot & Aiko Voigt