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Page 1: EXHIBIT 157samv91khoyt2i553a2t1s05i-wpengine.netdna-ssl.com/.../Doc-421-157-M… · Personal 1 or 2 2.410 0.000 Legacy 2.403 0.000 Native American 1.787 0.000 Extracurricular 1 or

EXHIBIT 157

Case 1:14-cv-14176-ADB Document 421-157 Filed 06/15/18 Page 1 of 9

Page 2: EXHIBIT 157samv91khoyt2i553a2t1s05i-wpengine.netdna-ssl.com/.../Doc-421-157-M… · Personal 1 or 2 2.410 0.000 Legacy 2.403 0.000 Native American 1.787 0.000 Extracurricular 1 or

PRELIMINARY DRAFT 1

Demographics of Harvard College Applicants

DRAFT

May 30, 2013

Office of Institutional ResearchHighly Confidential - Attorney's Eyes Only HARV00069760

Case 1:14-cv-14176-ADB Document 421-157 Filed 06/15/18 Page 2 of 9

Page 3: EXHIBIT 157samv91khoyt2i553a2t1s05i-wpengine.netdna-ssl.com/.../Doc-421-157-M… · Personal 1 or 2 2.410 0.000 Legacy 2.403 0.000 Native American 1.787 0.000 Extracurricular 1 or

Overview PRELIMINARY DRAFT 2

• Low income applicants are more diverse than al l applicants to Harvard College.

• Likewise, a greater share of minority applicants are low income, than whiteapplicants: 25% of Hispanic applicants, 24% of African American applicants, and 18%of Asian applicants are low income, compared with just 10% of white applicants.

• Across all race/ethnicity groups, low income students are admitted at a higher rate.

Highly Confidential - Attorney's Eyes Only HARV00069761

Case 1:14-cv-14176-ADB Document 421-157 Filed 06/15/18 Page 3 of 9

Page 4: EXHIBIT 157samv91khoyt2i553a2t1s05i-wpengine.netdna-ssl.com/.../Doc-421-157-M… · Personal 1 or 2 2.410 0.000 Legacy 2.403 0.000 Native American 1.787 0.000 Extracurricular 1 or

Applicants to Harvard College by race/ethnicity PRELIMINARY DRAFT 3

All Applicants by Ethnicity, Classes of

2009-2016

nternational

Other/Unknown W 13%

8% Native American

10/0

Applicants with Incomes Less than $60K, by

Ethnicity, Classes of 2009-2016

Other/Unknown7%

Native American

10/0 International

10/0

Highly Confidential - Attorneys Eyes Only HARV00069762

Case 1:14-cv-14176-ADB Document 421-157 Filed 06/15/18 Page 4 of 9

Page 5: EXHIBIT 157samv91khoyt2i553a2t1s05i-wpengine.netdna-ssl.com/.../Doc-421-157-M… · Personal 1 or 2 2.410 0.000 Legacy 2.403 0.000 Native American 1.787 0.000 Extracurricular 1 or

Share of low income applicants by race/ethnicity PRELIMINARY DRAFT 4

Percent of Applicants with Incomes Less than

$60K, by Race/Ethnicity, Classes of 2009-2016

30%

25%-

20%

25%24%

18%

17%

15%

12%

10%10% -

5% -

1%

0%

Hispanic African American Asian Native American Other/Unknown White International

Highly Confidential - Attorneys Eyes Only HARV00069763

Case 1:14-cv-14176-ADB Document 421-157 Filed 06/15/18 Page 5 of 9

Page 6: EXHIBIT 157samv91khoyt2i553a2t1s05i-wpengine.netdna-ssl.com/.../Doc-421-157-M… · Personal 1 or 2 2.410 0.000 Legacy 2.403 0.000 Native American 1.787 0.000 Extracurricular 1 or

The income distribution for applicants by race/ethnicity PRELIMINARY DRAFT 5

Distribution of Income, by Ethnicity, Classes of 2009-2016

le le YYYYY YYYYY YYY Y00000000000000000000000000000000000 10N CO 010 c—I CNM.71- L11

rsi m Ln LID N CO 01 0 CN M Ln N- CO 01 0 CN M Ln rsi rsi CsJ rn m m m rn rnL-1 L-1 L-1 L-1 L-1 L-1 L-1 L-1 L-1 L-1 CN CsJ CsJ CsJ t N. I CN 1,1e 1,1e

.1A-00000000Y IC ILY IC ILY IC ILY Y0000000000CN m n coN00QOOOQQOOOQQOOOQQ N00OO l m t

cn 0 L-1 Csl m'cr LI1 1.0 r•••• 00 01 0 %-1 Cs1 CO Cr Cs1 Csl Csl CN CN rn M M CO CY)%-1 %-1 %-1 %-1 CV CV CV tN tN

if? if? i./)• if? if? -(1)- -(1)- -(1)- -(1)- -(1)- -(1)-

African American

Hispanic

White

Note: Of Of African American, White, Hispanic, and Asian applicants, White applicants have the highest proportion of applicants withincomes greAWALmariU5kilcarepetpawn, Asian applicants have second highest proportion of applicants with incomes greqW.Fivtlio764$350K, and the lowest proportion of applicants with unknown incomes (did not apply for financial aid).

Case 1:14-cv-14176-ADB Document 421-157 Filed 06/15/18 Page 6 of 9

Page 7: EXHIBIT 157samv91khoyt2i553a2t1s05i-wpengine.netdna-ssl.com/.../Doc-421-157-M… · Personal 1 or 2 2.410 0.000 Legacy 2.403 0.000 Native American 1.787 0.000 Extracurricular 1 or

Admissions rates by race/ethnicity and income PRELIMINARY DRAFT 6

Admit Rates by Ethnicity and Income, Classes of2009-2016

16%

14% -

15%

12%12% -

11%10%

10% -

8% -

6% -

4% -

2% -

0%

12%

11% 11%

8%

10%

7%

8%

6%

Native American White African American Hispanic Asian International

• Low Income Income > $60K

Notes: Applicants with Race/Ethnicity unknown are excluded have similar admit rates at both income levels and are excluded from thechart above. Differences between low income and other applicants are significant for Native American, Asian, Hispanic, and whiteapplicants (NriptnagAiltrogylayrginally significant for African American applicants (p<.1). The difference for interne.WM

9765

applicants is not significant.

Case 1:14-cv-14176-ADB Document 421-157 Filed 06/15/18 Page 7 of 9

Page 8: EXHIBIT 157samv91khoyt2i553a2t1s05i-wpengine.netdna-ssl.com/.../Doc-421-157-M… · Personal 1 or 2 2.410 0.000 Legacy 2.403 0.000 Native American 1.787 0.000 Extracurricular 1 or

Modeling admission to Harvard College PRELIMINARY DRAFT 7

Coefficients for Logistic Regression Modeling Predicting

Probability of Admissions, Classes of 2009-2016

Variable Coefficient p-value

Athlete 6.329 0.000

Personal 1 or 2 2.409 0.000

Legacy 2.397 0.000

African American 2.385 0.000

Native American 1.742 0.000

Extracurricular 1 or 2 1.584 0.000

Academic 1 or 2 1.308 0.000

Hispanic 1.289 0.000

Academic Index 1.285 0.000

Low Income 0.899 0.000

Asian and Low Income 0.282 0.000

I nternational 0.229 0.000

Female -0.003 0.877

Ethnicity Unknown -0.031 0.424

Asian -0.429 0.000

Constant -6.222 0.000

Highly Confidential - Attorneys Eyes Only

Notes: Pseudo R2 of 0.45HARV00069766

Case 1:14-cv-14176-ADB Document 421-157 Filed 06/15/18 Page 8 of 9

Page 9: EXHIBIT 157samv91khoyt2i553a2t1s05i-wpengine.netdna-ssl.com/.../Doc-421-157-M… · Personal 1 or 2 2.410 0.000 Legacy 2.403 0.000 Native American 1.787 0.000 Extracurricular 1 or

Modeling admission to Harvard College PRELIMINARY DRAFT 8

Coefficients for Logistic Regression Modeling Predicting Probability of

Admissions, Classes of 2009-2016

(Includes Interaction Terms for All Race/Ethnicity and Low Income)

Variable Coefficient p-value

Athlete 6.335 0.000

African American 2.509 0.000

Personal 1 or 2 2.410 0.000

Legacy 2.403 0.000

Native American 1.787 0.000

Extracurricular 1 or 2 1.586 0.000

Academic 1 or 2 1.314 0.000

Academic Index 1.284 0.000

Hispanic 1.232 0.000

Low Income 0.998 0.000

I nternational 0.249 0.000

Asian and Low Income 0.184 0.013

Hispanic and Low Income 0.126 0.160

Female -0.004 0.847

Ethnicity Unknown -0.016 0.707

Ethnicity Unknown and Low Income -0.136 0.263

Native American and Low Income -0.236 0.318

Asian -0.418 0.000

African American and Low Income -0.490 0.000

I nternational and Low Income -0.496 0.055

Constant Term -6.239 0.000

Highly Confidential - Attorneys Eyes Only

Notes: Pseudo R2 of 0.45HARV00069767

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