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Evidence based growth Tom van den Berg Analytics & Optimization Expert @tomvdberg #mie18

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Page 1: Evidence based growth - Online Dialogue€¦ · eCommerce funnel: Interaction ... Insights. A ANALYZE. A ANALYZE. Data + Psychology Hypothesis A ANALYZE. A A ANALYZE. B C CREATE

Evidence based growth

Tom van den Berg

Analytics & Optimization Expert

@tomvdberg

#mie18

Page 2: Evidence based growth - Online Dialogue€¦ · eCommerce funnel: Interaction ... Insights. A ANALYZE. A ANALYZE. Data + Psychology Hypothesis A ANALYZE. A A ANALYZE. B C CREATE

✓6 years experience

✓+ 300 experiments

Page 3: Evidence based growth - Online Dialogue€¦ · eCommerce funnel: Interaction ... Insights. A ANALYZE. A ANALYZE. Data + Psychology Hypothesis A ANALYZE. A A ANALYZE. B C CREATE

Since 2009

Data + Psychology

Evidence Based Growth

Page 4: Evidence based growth - Online Dialogue€¦ · eCommerce funnel: Interaction ... Insights. A ANALYZE. A ANALYZE. Data + Psychology Hypothesis A ANALYZE. A A ANALYZE. B C CREATE
Page 5: Evidence based growth - Online Dialogue€¦ · eCommerce funnel: Interaction ... Insights. A ANALYZE. A ANALYZE. Data + Psychology Hypothesis A ANALYZE. A A ANALYZE. B C CREATE
Page 6: Evidence based growth - Online Dialogue€¦ · eCommerce funnel: Interaction ... Insights. A ANALYZE. A ANALYZE. Data + Psychology Hypothesis A ANALYZE. A A ANALYZE. B C CREATE

Today:

✓Why evidence based growth?

✓FACT & ACT

✓Case

Page 7: Evidence based growth - Online Dialogue€¦ · eCommerce funnel: Interaction ... Insights. A ANALYZE. A ANALYZE. Data + Psychology Hypothesis A ANALYZE. A A ANALYZE. B C CREATE

A/B test

Page 8: Evidence based growth - Online Dialogue€¦ · eCommerce funnel: Interaction ... Insights. A ANALYZE. A ANALYZE. Data + Psychology Hypothesis A ANALYZE. A A ANALYZE. B C CREATE

100%

traffic

50%

50%

Version A

Version B

(Control)

(Challenger)

Page 9: Evidence based growth - Online Dialogue€¦ · eCommerce funnel: Interaction ... Insights. A ANALYZE. A ANALYZE. Data + Psychology Hypothesis A ANALYZE. A A ANALYZE. B C CREATE

A

Page 10: Evidence based growth - Online Dialogue€¦ · eCommerce funnel: Interaction ... Insights. A ANALYZE. A ANALYZE. Data + Psychology Hypothesis A ANALYZE. A A ANALYZE. B C CREATE

B

Page 11: Evidence based growth - Online Dialogue€¦ · eCommerce funnel: Interaction ... Insights. A ANALYZE. A ANALYZE. Data + Psychology Hypothesis A ANALYZE. A A ANALYZE. B C CREATE

BA

Winner

Page 12: Evidence based growth - Online Dialogue€¦ · eCommerce funnel: Interaction ... Insights. A ANALYZE. A ANALYZE. Data + Psychology Hypothesis A ANALYZE. A A ANALYZE. B C CREATE
Page 13: Evidence based growth - Online Dialogue€¦ · eCommerce funnel: Interaction ... Insights. A ANALYZE. A ANALYZE. Data + Psychology Hypothesis A ANALYZE. A A ANALYZE. B C CREATE
Page 14: Evidence based growth - Online Dialogue€¦ · eCommerce funnel: Interaction ... Insights. A ANALYZE. A ANALYZE. Data + Psychology Hypothesis A ANALYZE. A A ANALYZE. B C CREATE

BA

Page 15: Evidence based growth - Online Dialogue€¦ · eCommerce funnel: Interaction ... Insights. A ANALYZE. A ANALYZE. Data + Psychology Hypothesis A ANALYZE. A A ANALYZE. B C CREATE

$100 million

12% increase in conversion %

Page 16: Evidence based growth - Online Dialogue€¦ · eCommerce funnel: Interaction ... Insights. A ANALYZE. A ANALYZE. Data + Psychology Hypothesis A ANALYZE. A A ANALYZE. B C CREATE
Page 17: Evidence based growth - Online Dialogue€¦ · eCommerce funnel: Interaction ... Insights. A ANALYZE. A ANALYZE. Data + Psychology Hypothesis A ANALYZE. A A ANALYZE. B C CREATE

More tests = more growth?

Page 18: Evidence based growth - Online Dialogue€¦ · eCommerce funnel: Interaction ... Insights. A ANALYZE. A ANALYZE. Data + Psychology Hypothesis A ANALYZE. A A ANALYZE. B C CREATE
Page 19: Evidence based growth - Online Dialogue€¦ · eCommerce funnel: Interaction ... Insights. A ANALYZE. A ANALYZE. Data + Psychology Hypothesis A ANALYZE. A A ANALYZE. B C CREATE
Page 20: Evidence based growth - Online Dialogue€¦ · eCommerce funnel: Interaction ... Insights. A ANALYZE. A ANALYZE. Data + Psychology Hypothesis A ANALYZE. A A ANALYZE. B C CREATE

A/B testing

=

Hot

Page 21: Evidence based growth - Online Dialogue€¦ · eCommerce funnel: Interaction ... Insights. A ANALYZE. A ANALYZE. Data + Psychology Hypothesis A ANALYZE. A A ANALYZE. B C CREATE

“If you double the number of

experiments you do per year

you’re going to double your

inventiveness”

Jeff Bezos, CEO Amazon

Page 22: Evidence based growth - Online Dialogue€¦ · eCommerce funnel: Interaction ... Insights. A ANALYZE. A ANALYZE. Data + Psychology Hypothesis A ANALYZE. A A ANALYZE. B C CREATE
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1

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12

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12

3

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12

3

4

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12

3

4

5

Page 35: Evidence based growth - Online Dialogue€¦ · eCommerce funnel: Interaction ... Insights. A ANALYZE. A ANALYZE. Data + Psychology Hypothesis A ANALYZE. A A ANALYZE. B C CREATE

STOP!

Page 36: Evidence based growth - Online Dialogue€¦ · eCommerce funnel: Interaction ... Insights. A ANALYZE. A ANALYZE. Data + Psychology Hypothesis A ANALYZE. A A ANALYZE. B C CREATE

Without an analyzed reason

to start, it doesn’t make any

sense to start at all

Page 37: Evidence based growth - Online Dialogue€¦ · eCommerce funnel: Interaction ... Insights. A ANALYZE. A ANALYZE. Data + Psychology Hypothesis A ANALYZE. A A ANALYZE. B C CREATE

But, how?

Page 38: Evidence based growth - Online Dialogue€¦ · eCommerce funnel: Interaction ... Insights. A ANALYZE. A ANALYZE. Data + Psychology Hypothesis A ANALYZE. A A ANALYZE. B C CREATE

William Edwards Deming

Page 39: Evidence based growth - Online Dialogue€¦ · eCommerce funnel: Interaction ... Insights. A ANALYZE. A ANALYZE. Data + Psychology Hypothesis A ANALYZE. A A ANALYZE. B C CREATE
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FACT & ACT

Page 42: Evidence based growth - Online Dialogue€¦ · eCommerce funnel: Interaction ... Insights. A ANALYZE. A ANALYZE. Data + Psychology Hypothesis A ANALYZE. A A ANALYZE. B C CREATE

FFIND

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FFIND

AANALYZE

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FFIND

AANALYZE

CCREATE

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FFIND

AANALYZE

CCREATE

TTEST

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FFIND

AANALYZE

CCREATE

AANALYZE

TTEST

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FFIND

AANALYZE

CCOMBINE

CCREATE

AANALYZE

TTEST

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FFIND

TTRANSFORM

AANALYZE

CCOMBINE

CCREATE

AANALYZE

TTEST

Page 49: Evidence based growth - Online Dialogue€¦ · eCommerce funnel: Interaction ... Insights. A ANALYZE. A ANALYZE. Data + Psychology Hypothesis A ANALYZE. A A ANALYZE. B C CREATE

FFIND

TTRANSFORM

AANALYZE

CCOMBINE

CCREATE

AANALYZE

TTEST

Page 50: Evidence based growth - Online Dialogue€¦ · eCommerce funnel: Interaction ... Insights. A ANALYZE. A ANALYZE. Data + Psychology Hypothesis A ANALYZE. A A ANALYZE. B C CREATE

FFIND

TTELL

AANALYZE

CCOMBINE

CCREATE

AANALYZE

TTEST

FFIND

TTRANSFORM

AANALYZE

CCOMBINE

CCREATE

AANALYZE

TTEST

Page 51: Evidence based growth - Online Dialogue€¦ · eCommerce funnel: Interaction ... Insights. A ANALYZE. A ANALYZE. Data + Psychology Hypothesis A ANALYZE. A A ANALYZE. B C CREATE

Research

FFIND

Page 52: Evidence based growth - Online Dialogue€¦ · eCommerce funnel: Interaction ... Insights. A ANALYZE. A ANALYZE. Data + Psychology Hypothesis A ANALYZE. A A ANALYZE. B C CREATE

eCommerce funnel:

✓ Interaction

✓ Interest

✓ Intent

✓ Transaction

✓ Loyal

Page 53: Evidence based growth - Online Dialogue€¦ · eCommerce funnel: Interaction ... Insights. A ANALYZE. A ANALYZE. Data + Psychology Hypothesis A ANALYZE. A A ANALYZE. B C CREATE

eCommerce funnel:

✓ Interaction

✓ Interest

✓ Intent

✓ Transaction

✓ Loyal

Interaction

Interest

Intent

Transaction

Loyal

Page 54: Evidence based growth - Online Dialogue€¦ · eCommerce funnel: Interaction ... Insights. A ANALYZE. A ANALYZE. Data + Psychology Hypothesis A ANALYZE. A A ANALYZE. B C CREATE

Interaction

Interest

Intent

Transaction

Loyal

Page 55: Evidence based growth - Online Dialogue€¦ · eCommerce funnel: Interaction ... Insights. A ANALYZE. A ANALYZE. Data + Psychology Hypothesis A ANALYZE. A A ANALYZE. B C CREATE

Interaction

Interest

Intent

Transaction

Loyal

75%

Page 56: Evidence based growth - Online Dialogue€¦ · eCommerce funnel: Interaction ... Insights. A ANALYZE. A ANALYZE. Data + Psychology Hypothesis A ANALYZE. A A ANALYZE. B C CREATE

Interaction

Interest

Intent

Transaction

Loyal

75%

60%

Page 57: Evidence based growth - Online Dialogue€¦ · eCommerce funnel: Interaction ... Insights. A ANALYZE. A ANALYZE. Data + Psychology Hypothesis A ANALYZE. A A ANALYZE. B C CREATE

Interaction

Interest

Intent

Transaction

Loyal

75%

60%

15%

Page 58: Evidence based growth - Online Dialogue€¦ · eCommerce funnel: Interaction ... Insights. A ANALYZE. A ANALYZE. Data + Psychology Hypothesis A ANALYZE. A A ANALYZE. B C CREATE

Interaction

Interest

Intent

Transaction

Loyal

75%

60%

15%

50%

Page 59: Evidence based growth - Online Dialogue€¦ · eCommerce funnel: Interaction ... Insights. A ANALYZE. A ANALYZE. Data + Psychology Hypothesis A ANALYZE. A A ANALYZE. B C CREATE

Interaction

Interest

Intent

Transaction

Loyal

75%

60%

15%

50%

Page 60: Evidence based growth - Online Dialogue€¦ · eCommerce funnel: Interaction ... Insights. A ANALYZE. A ANALYZE. Data + Psychology Hypothesis A ANALYZE. A A ANALYZE. B C CREATE

More data FFIND

Page 61: Evidence based growth - Online Dialogue€¦ · eCommerce funnel: Interaction ... Insights. A ANALYZE. A ANALYZE. Data + Psychology Hypothesis A ANALYZE. A A ANALYZE. B C CREATE

Heat- and scroll maps FFIND

Page 62: Evidence based growth - Online Dialogue€¦ · eCommerce funnel: Interaction ... Insights. A ANALYZE. A ANALYZE. Data + Psychology Hypothesis A ANALYZE. A A ANALYZE. B C CREATE

Session recordings FFIND

Page 63: Evidence based growth - Online Dialogue€¦ · eCommerce funnel: Interaction ... Insights. A ANALYZE. A ANALYZE. Data + Psychology Hypothesis A ANALYZE. A A ANALYZE. B C CREATE

FFINDTalk to customer service

Page 64: Evidence based growth - Online Dialogue€¦ · eCommerce funnel: Interaction ... Insights. A ANALYZE. A ANALYZE. Data + Psychology Hypothesis A ANALYZE. A A ANALYZE. B C CREATE

FFINDAsk for feedback online

Page 65: Evidence based growth - Online Dialogue€¦ · eCommerce funnel: Interaction ... Insights. A ANALYZE. A ANALYZE. Data + Psychology Hypothesis A ANALYZE. A A ANALYZE. B C CREATE

User research FFIND

Page 66: Evidence based growth - Online Dialogue€¦ · eCommerce funnel: Interaction ... Insights. A ANALYZE. A ANALYZE. Data + Psychology Hypothesis A ANALYZE. A A ANALYZE. B C CREATE

Insight previous tests

✓ What have you learned form those experiments?

FFIND

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Scientific research FFIND

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Data

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Data

Insights

Page 70: Evidence based growth - Online Dialogue€¦ · eCommerce funnel: Interaction ... Insights. A ANALYZE. A ANALYZE. Data + Psychology Hypothesis A ANALYZE. A A ANALYZE. B C CREATE

AANALYZE

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AANALYZE

Page 72: Evidence based growth - Online Dialogue€¦ · eCommerce funnel: Interaction ... Insights. A ANALYZE. A ANALYZE. Data + Psychology Hypothesis A ANALYZE. A A ANALYZE. B C CREATE

Data + Psychology

Hypothesis

AANALYZE

Page 73: Evidence based growth - Online Dialogue€¦ · eCommerce funnel: Interaction ... Insights. A ANALYZE. A ANALYZE. Data + Psychology Hypothesis A ANALYZE. A A ANALYZE. B C CREATE

A AANALYZE

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B CCREATE

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B CCREATE

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BA

Winner

TTEST

AANALYZE

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CCOMBINE

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FFIND

TTELL

AANALYZE

CCOMBINE

CCREATE

AANALYZE

TTEST

FFIND

TTRANSFORM

AANALYZE

CCOMBINE

CCREATE

AANALYZE

TTEST

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BEOORDEEL DEZE LEZINGVIA DE MIE2018 APP

Tom van den Berg

Twitter: @tomvdberg1

[email protected]

www.onlinedialogue.nl

Slides:

ondi.me/mie2018tom

Meer leren?

ondi.me/conversiespecialist

Page 90: Evidence based growth - Online Dialogue€¦ · eCommerce funnel: Interaction ... Insights. A ANALYZE. A ANALYZE. Data + Psychology Hypothesis A ANALYZE. A A ANALYZE. B C CREATE

BEOORDEEL DEZE LEZINGVIA DE MIE2018 APP

Tom van den Berg

Twitter: @tomvdberg1

[email protected]

www.onlinedialogue.nl

Slides:

ondi.me/mie2018tom

Meer leren?

ondi.me/conversiespecialist

Page 91: Evidence based growth - Online Dialogue€¦ · eCommerce funnel: Interaction ... Insights. A ANALYZE. A ANALYZE. Data + Psychology Hypothesis A ANALYZE. A A ANALYZE. B C CREATE

BEOORDEEL DEZE LEZINGVIA DE MIE2018 APP

Tom van den Berg

Twitter: @tomvdberg1

[email protected]

www.onlinedialogue.nl

Slides:

ondi.me/mie2018tom

Meer leren?

ondi.me/conversiespecialist