evacuate or shelter in place? life safety? cause of casualties following ash fall roof collapse of...
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Mitigation Measures for a future Mt Fuji Eruption: Ash impacts
Evacuate or shelter in place?Life safety? Cause of casualties following ash fall
Roof collapse of structuresFalls during clean up operations
Public Health concernsAirborne ash creates a respirable hazardContamination of water supplies (and food?)Infrastructure disruption
After the ashfallInfrastructure RestorationClean up
Self-evacuation from ashy areas likely
Observations from areas following ash fall (typically >20 mm)
Health (most important!) What does ash do to me….to my children? What will ash do to water supplies? What impact will it have on food?
Infrastructure Electricity, transportation and water supply
disruptions are most common Unexpected impacts. Can they be
mitigated? Hard to clean up. Where can I dump it? More time & $$ than expected
Farming What will ash do to my animals? What will ash do to my crops? How can I remediate the damage? How much Fluoride is in the ash?
Volcanic ash falls are often regarded as exotic events (mysterious) which are rarely planned for
Some considerations for mitigating ash fall risk
Access to specialised, sector-specific impact, preparedness and post-event response/recovery information is a gap for volcanic ash preparedness globally
International experience suggests generally poor awareness of hazard, the likely impacts and how to mitigate
Lack of preparation actions costly (time + money + social impact)
Trial and error approach Delays effective response, risks public relations ‘issues’
Health – IVHHN (www.ivhhn.org)RespiratoryWater contaminationClean up guidelines
Infrastructure:Sector specific posters
Electricity – distribution & transmissionElectricity – generationWater supplyWastewaterAirportRoad Managershttp://www.gns.cri.nz/Home/Learning/
Science-Topics/Volcanoes/Eruption-What-to-do/Ash-Impact-Posters
Infrastructure:Crossing-cutting posters
Management of BuildingsGenSets/HVAC, Computers + ElectronicsUrban Clean Uphttp://www.gns.cri.nz/Home/
Learning/Science-Topics/Volcanoes/Eruption-What-to-do/Ash-Impact-Posters
AgricultureResources prepared
before eruption. Advice tailored during
eruption crises
Likely impactsProvide mitigation
options
Agricultural Impacts http://www.mpi.govt.nz/
environment-natural-resources/funding-programmes/primary-sector-recovery/volcanic-eruptions
Volcanic ash analysis protocolsHow hazardous is the ash?Clear, robust science using
accepted, standardised protocolsRespiratoryLeachate www.ivhhn.org
Established pre-eruptionMulti-agency
Key part of risk communication strategy
Agency coordination
Science information and advice
Public information
RuralSector
MCDEM MoH MPINationalLifelinesLocal CDEM
DHBs
Public and Media
Volcanic HealthSubgroup (incl ESR)
Agriculture Subgroup
National Volcanic Science
Advisory Panel
GeoNet
Event
Draft New Zealand Volcanic Advisory Science Panel: courtesy of Richard Smith – EQC
Lifelines (infrastructure)
Subgroup
Integration of scientific organisations within emergency management framework
Extends beyond volcanologists Agriculturalists, engineers, social scientists, etc.
An example