european fixed income markets heike eckert fia expo 2002 november 7, 2002
TRANSCRIPT
European Fixed Income Markets
Heike Eckert
FIA Expo 2002
November 7, 2002
2
Developments in the European government bond market With the European Monetary Union the Euro denominated
Government Bond Market became one of the biggest debt securities market worldwide
Design of European bonds was harmonised as much as possible
– Interest rate calculation was changed to Actual/Actual
– Coupons were paid on a yearly basis (except Italy and some short term government bonds in Spain, Portugal and Greece)
– Settlement periods were set to T+3 days where possible
Spread differentials diminished significantly, but did not disappear completely (see next slide)
Therefore a homogeneous European Government bond yield curve did not exist
3
Convergence of European yield differentials based on German bond yields
-0,50
-0,25
0,00
0,25
0,50
0,75
1,00
1,25
1,50
1,75
2,00
2,25
Jan
97
Ap
r 9
7
Jul 9
7
Okt
97
Jan
98
Ap
r 9
8
Jul 9
8
Okt
98
Jan
99
Ap
r 9
9
Jul 9
9
Okt
99
Jan
00
Ap
r 0
0
Jul 0
0
Okt
00
Jan
01
Ap
r 0
1
Jul 0
1
Okt
01
Jan
02
Ap
r 0
2
Jul 0
2
Month
Inte
res
t R
ate
s
France Netherlands Itlay Spain
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German fixed income markets
Benchmark Status
Underlying Cash Market
Repo Market
Exchange traded
derivatives
German Government
Bonds
Bund- Bobl-, Schatz- Repos
Bund-, Bobl,-Schatz-Futures
Market Size
Transparency
Standardisation
Quality
Reliability Liquidity
5
Success of Eurex fixed income futures
Used as a standard reference when comparing and evaluating fixed income securities in Europe
Combined with the strength of the Eurex trading and clearing system
– member network, reliability, transparency, costs, integrated clearing house
– availability of whole German yield curve
Liquidity has increased to an incomparable level
Eurex Bond Futures have developed to the world´s leading Interest Rate Contracts
6
Demand for Euro Bund Future worldwide
GREAT BRITAIN
USA
FRANCE
GERMANY
Other European
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
Tra
ded
Co
ntr
acts
(in
millio
ns)
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Bund Bobl
Schatz
Average Traded Volume 764,000 453,000 431,000
(Number of contracts per day)
Average Trade size 23 28 59
(Number of contracts per trade)
Average Bid Offer Spread 1 Tick 1 Tick 1 Tick
(Tick = 0.01%)
Average Bid Offer Size 300 400 1,200
(Number of contracts each side)
Average Order book depth 5,000 6,000 14,000
(contracts each side up and down 9 ticks)
1,648,000
Highly liquid fixed income futures markets
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Fixed Income Products - Comparison
Settlement Price on 09/30/02
114-08 115-29 112.75 109.95
Contract Value
Minimum Price Movement
1/32 of a point, equivalent to $31.25
One half of 1/32 of a point, equivalent to $15.625
Transaction Cost per side
Average Daily Volume in 2002
226,404 361,106 764,104 453,213
Open Interest on 09/30/02
492,521 948,810 720,205 517,365
Trading Hours US Central Time
30 Year US T-Bond Future Euro Bund Future Euro Bobl Future10 Year US T-Note Future
Open Outcry : 7:20am to 2:00pm a/c/e : 8:00pm - 4:00pm
1:00am - 12:00pm
$ 100,000 € 100,000
0.01 percent, equivalent to € 10
€ 0.20$0.20 for a mmeber and $1.25 for a non member.
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Growth in Eurex fixed income derivatives
0
100000
200000
300000
400000
500000
600000
700000
800000
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002
Schatz Bobl Bund
*
* Data as of Sep 2002
10
Growth in 10-year fixed income futures
0
20.000.000
40.000.000
60.000.000
80.000.000
100.000.000
120.000.000
140.000.000
160.000.000
180.000.000
200.000.000
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 *
Bund 10yr US Treasury Note Long Gilt
Tra
ded
Con
trac
ts
* Projected for 2002
11
Intraday contribution of US members
Based on trading data from January 2 - September 30, 2002
0
2.000.000
4.000.000
6.000.000
8.000.000
10.000.000
12.000.000
14.000.0002
to
2:3
0
2:3
0 t
o 3
3 t
o 3
:30
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4 t
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11
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11
:30
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:30
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12
12
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12
:30
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:30
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US Eastern Time
Tra
ded
Co
ntr
acts
per
half
ho
ur
0,00%
4,00%
8,00%
12,00%
16,00%
20,00%
24,00%
US
Co
ntr
ibu
tio
n i
n %
BUND BOBL SCHATZ US share in %
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Applications of Eurex fixed income derivatives
Establishing quickly exposure on the bond yield curve all the way
out to 10 years
Managing interest rate risk of bond portfolios
Relative value trades – “TED”-Spread trades
– Curve trades
– Cross-market trades
Basis trades (arbitrage between German cash- repo and future
market)
Volatility trades (Delta neutral trading)
www.eurexchange.comwww.eurexchange.com
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Attachments
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Trading Facilities available for Fixed Income Products
Basis Trade Facility available for all fixed income futures
Block Trade Facility (Block Trade Minimum Size)
– Euro Schatz Future (4,000)
– Euro Bobl Future (3,000)
– Euro Bund Future (2,000)
– Euro Bund, Bobl and Schatz Option (50)
Vola Trade Facility
– is available for all combinations of Eurex Fixed Income Futures and the
corresponding options