european financials conference, london 26 march, 2015 ... · european financials conference, london...
TRANSCRIPT
![Page 1: European Financials Conference, London 26 March, 2015 ... · European Financials Conference, London 26 March, 2015 Magnus Carlsson Deputy President & CEO . ... rolling 12 months Dec](https://reader036.vdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022070108/603dfa8a9bca3109aa08eb9c/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
European Financials Conference, London 26 March, 2015
Magnus Carlsson Deputy President & CEO
![Page 2: European Financials Conference, London 26 March, 2015 ... · European Financials Conference, London 26 March, 2015 Magnus Carlsson Deputy President & CEO . ... rolling 12 months Dec](https://reader036.vdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022070108/603dfa8a9bca3109aa08eb9c/html5/thumbnails/2.jpg)
Well diversified business in a robust economic environment
Lithuania
Denmark
Norway Finland
Sweden
Latvia Estonia
Germany
Swedish Retail banking
Wealth Management and Life & Pension
29%
8%
22%
41%
Large Corporates & Institutions -Corporate Banking 54% -Markets 30% -Transaction Banking 16%
Sweden 47% Other Nordics 27% Germany 14% RoW 11%
Baltic Retail banking
Robust Macro-Economic Operating Environment Well-diversified business mix
Universal banking in Sweden and the Baltics Principally corporate banking in the other Nordic countries
and Germany
Total operating income – rolling 12 months Dec 2014
2
![Page 3: European Financials Conference, London 26 March, 2015 ... · European Financials Conference, London 26 March, 2015 Magnus Carlsson Deputy President & CEO . ... rolling 12 months Dec](https://reader036.vdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022070108/603dfa8a9bca3109aa08eb9c/html5/thumbnails/3.jpg)
Income growth in line with communicated target
Growth target
Plan 2013-15
Actual growth
2013-14
Merchant Banking ~15% +14%
Retail Banking ~20% +14%
Life & Wealth ~5% +10%
Baltic ~15% +7%
Group ~15% +12%
Operating profit
(SEK bn)
Large Corps &
Institutions
Asset
Gathering
Baltic
Private &
Corporates
Target ROE>peers = approx. 13%
Capital generation assuming dividend payout >40%
”2015”
Approx. 20
ROE approx. 13%
I L L U S T R A T I V E
15.4
2012
ROE 11%
From Q4 2012:
3
![Page 4: European Financials Conference, London 26 March, 2015 ... · European Financials Conference, London 26 March, 2015 Magnus Carlsson Deputy President & CEO . ... rolling 12 months Dec](https://reader036.vdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022070108/603dfa8a9bca3109aa08eb9c/html5/thumbnails/4.jpg)
Operating leverage Excluding one-offs Average quarterly income (SEK bn)
9.2 9.4 9.8 10.4 11.0
Avg 2010 Avg 2011 Avg 2012 Avg 2013 Avg 2014
Average quarterly expenses (SEK bn)
5.8 5.9 5.7 5.6 5.5
Avg 2010 Avg 2011 Avg 2012 Avg 2013 Avg 2014
Average quarterly profit before credit losses (SEK bn)
Notes: Excluding one-offs (restructuring in 2010, bond buy-back and IT impairment in 2012, sale of MasterCard shares and Euroline in 2014) Estimated IAS 19 costs in 2010
3.4 3.5 4.1 4.8 5.5
Avg 2010 Avg 2011 Avg 2012 Avg 2013 Avg 2014
4
![Page 5: European Financials Conference, London 26 March, 2015 ... · European Financials Conference, London 26 March, 2015 Magnus Carlsson Deputy President & CEO . ... rolling 12 months Dec](https://reader036.vdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022070108/603dfa8a9bca3109aa08eb9c/html5/thumbnails/5.jpg)
23.5 22.9 22.3 22.1
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Ope
ratin
g ex
pens
es
(SE
K b
n)
<22.5bn extended to 2016
Increased leverage on existing cost caps Ac
tiviti
es
• Decentralisation • Synergies and streamlining • Investments in growth and
customer interface • Agile IT development • Off-shoring
Pensions -0,4 FX translation +0.3
Pensions +0,4 FX translation +0.3
Self-financing growth
5
![Page 6: European Financials Conference, London 26 March, 2015 ... · European Financials Conference, London 26 March, 2015 Magnus Carlsson Deputy President & CEO . ... rolling 12 months Dec](https://reader036.vdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022070108/603dfa8a9bca3109aa08eb9c/html5/thumbnails/6.jpg)
Solid credit portfolio and strong asset quality Credit portfolio (credit loss level) Credit portfolio by sector (SEK bn)
+21%
+5%
Change YoY Nordics
Germany Baltics
Other
11 bps
-7 bps 21 bps
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1,000
Corporate & Institutions
Households
72%
28%
Corporates
Households
6
![Page 7: European Financials Conference, London 26 March, 2015 ... · European Financials Conference, London 26 March, 2015 Magnus Carlsson Deputy President & CEO . ... rolling 12 months Dec](https://reader036.vdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022070108/603dfa8a9bca3109aa08eb9c/html5/thumbnails/7.jpg)
Business conditions
Deloitte/SEB Swedish CFO Survey
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
65
70
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
7
![Page 8: European Financials Conference, London 26 March, 2015 ... · European Financials Conference, London 26 March, 2015 Magnus Carlsson Deputy President & CEO . ... rolling 12 months Dec](https://reader036.vdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022070108/603dfa8a9bca3109aa08eb9c/html5/thumbnails/8.jpg)
Financial targets
Common Equity Tier 1 ratio
Return on Equity
Pay-out ratio
Competitive with peers – long-term aspiration of 15%
150bps buffer over regulatory requirement
40% or above of EPS
8
![Page 9: European Financials Conference, London 26 March, 2015 ... · European Financials Conference, London 26 March, 2015 Magnus Carlsson Deputy President & CEO . ... rolling 12 months Dec](https://reader036.vdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022070108/603dfa8a9bca3109aa08eb9c/html5/thumbnails/9.jpg)
10.0% 10.3% 10.4%
5.10% 5.20%
15.0% 16.0% 16.3%
Q4-13 Q2-14 Q4-14
Pillar I requirement Pillar II requirement Actual
Note: Estimated capital requirements are based on the SFSA’s memorandum published in May and November 2014
10.0%
15.4% 15.6%
Capital target reflects dynamic capital requirements
Target: Management buffer ~150 bps
~17% (proforma) - Current understanding - Current balance sheet
- Currency volatility - Pension risk - Macro development
Strong internal capital generation 300bps p.a. CET1 ratio (Net profit/REA before dividend)
9
![Page 10: European Financials Conference, London 26 March, 2015 ... · European Financials Conference, London 26 March, 2015 Magnus Carlsson Deputy President & CEO . ... rolling 12 months Dec](https://reader036.vdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022070108/603dfa8a9bca3109aa08eb9c/html5/thumbnails/10.jpg)
Our way of doing business
Full-service customers
Holistic coverage
Investments in core services
Large Corporate
2,300 customers
Financial Institutions
700 customers
Corporate
400k customers
Private
4m customers
Since 1856 focus on…
10
![Page 11: European Financials Conference, London 26 March, 2015 ... · European Financials Conference, London 26 March, 2015 Magnus Carlsson Deputy President & CEO . ... rolling 12 months Dec](https://reader036.vdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022070108/603dfa8a9bca3109aa08eb9c/html5/thumbnails/11.jpg)
Baltic
Merchant Banking
Life & Wealth
Retail Banking
All divisions driving operating leverage
4.5
2.1
Avg2010
Avg2011
Avg2012
Avg2013
Avg2014
3.2
1.4
Avg2010
Avg2011
Avg2012
Avg2013
Avg2014
2.4
1.3
Avg2010
Avg2011
Avg2012
Avg2013
Avg2014
0.9 0.4
Avg2010
Avg2011
Avg2012
Avg2013
Avg2014
SEB Group Op profit*
+12%
Op Profit growth 2014 vs.
2013
+11%
Op Profit growth 2014 vs.
2013
+15%
Op Profit growth 2014 vs.
2013
+23%
Op Profit growth 2014 vs.
2013
+13%
Operating income Operating expenses
SEK bn
* Excluding one-off gains
11
![Page 12: European Financials Conference, London 26 March, 2015 ... · European Financials Conference, London 26 March, 2015 Magnus Carlsson Deputy President & CEO . ... rolling 12 months Dec](https://reader036.vdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022070108/603dfa8a9bca3109aa08eb9c/html5/thumbnails/12.jpg)
Large corporate strategy successfully increasing SEB income
High up-tiering potential going forward New and existing clients drive income growth
13.7 14.3 14.1 14.5
15.7
0.3 0.8 1.1 1.6 2.2
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Client base pre 2010 New clients 2010-2014
New clients 2010-2014
Client base pre 2010
Financing Flow products Advisory
Primarily income from Corporate & Investment Banking
Primarily income from Markets and Transaction Banking
12
![Page 13: European Financials Conference, London 26 March, 2015 ... · European Financials Conference, London 26 March, 2015 Magnus Carlsson Deputy President & CEO . ... rolling 12 months Dec](https://reader036.vdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022070108/603dfa8a9bca3109aa08eb9c/html5/thumbnails/13.jpg)
0.4
0.5
1.0
0.7
0.9
0.9
1.6
1.5
MB operating result* (SEK bn) CAGR 2010-2014
+22%
+18%
+13%
+21%
2010
2014
Denmark
Finland
Norway
Germany
2010
2014
2010
2014
2010
2014
*FX adjusted – excluding one offs
Growth initiatives boost geographical diversification
Denmark – growth primarily coming out of market share gained from local competitors
Finland – growth primarily coming out of increasing share of wallet on existing clients
Norway – growth primarily coming out of market share gained from local competitors, changed business mix with stronger focus on corporate banking as well as from a growing market
Germany – growth primarily coming out of market share gained from banks suffering from the financial crisis such as regional savings banks etc.
Key take aways
13
![Page 14: European Financials Conference, London 26 March, 2015 ... · European Financials Conference, London 26 March, 2015 Magnus Carlsson Deputy President & CEO . ... rolling 12 months Dec](https://reader036.vdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022070108/603dfa8a9bca3109aa08eb9c/html5/thumbnails/14.jpg)
Growing asset gathering franchise
050
100150200250300
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Unit-linked AuM (SEK bn)
+16% CAGR
Private Banking AuM (SEK bn)
0
200
400
600
800
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
+21% CAGR
Household deposits (SEK bn)
+7% CAGR
0
100
200
300
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Advice driven
Holistic Performance
Traditional life Long-term focus
#1 Private Banking
Asset allocation
14
![Page 15: European Financials Conference, London 26 March, 2015 ... · European Financials Conference, London 26 March, 2015 Magnus Carlsson Deputy President & CEO . ... rolling 12 months Dec](https://reader036.vdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022070108/603dfa8a9bca3109aa08eb9c/html5/thumbnails/15.jpg)
Full service Swedish Retail offering built on long-term customer relations
Household mortgage portfolio Customer satisfaction
+0.1
+3.4
-1.9
+0.4
-1.2
Handelsbanken
Danske Bank
Nordea
Swedbank
Increase from 2013
SME full service customers, thousands
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
Full-service offering Now also Traditional Life insurance Sweden
Private SME
Private full service customers, thousands
350370390410430450470
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
+11 477
406080
100120140160
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
149 +9,4
15
![Page 16: European Financials Conference, London 26 March, 2015 ... · European Financials Conference, London 26 March, 2015 Magnus Carlsson Deputy President & CEO . ... rolling 12 months Dec](https://reader036.vdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022070108/603dfa8a9bca3109aa08eb9c/html5/thumbnails/16.jpg)
Continued resilience and flexibility
Net credit loss level 0.09%
NPL coverage ratio 59%
CET1 16.3%
LCR 115%
Liquidity resources 25%
Asse
t Qua
lity
Liqu
idity
C
apita
l
16
![Page 17: European Financials Conference, London 26 March, 2015 ... · European Financials Conference, London 26 March, 2015 Magnus Carlsson Deputy President & CEO . ... rolling 12 months Dec](https://reader036.vdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022070108/603dfa8a9bca3109aa08eb9c/html5/thumbnails/17.jpg)
Going forward
Continued disciplined execution
Resilience and long-term perspective in challenging economic climate
Focus on customer relationships
17