european economics issues lecture 2 why do we trade?
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European Economics Issues Lecture 2 Why do we trade? - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
European Economics Issues
Lecture 2
Why do we trade?Some parts of this lecture are drawn from material in Chapter 23.1 of Sloman (2009). Some parts of this lecture are drawn from material in Chapter 23.1 of Sloman (2009).
For the remainder the primary source should be these notes. They are a simplified For the remainder the primary source should be these notes. They are a simplified treatment of material covered in more detail in Markusen & Melvin, The Theory of treatment of material covered in more detail in Markusen & Melvin, The Theory of
International TradeInternational Trade
Why Do We Trade?Why Do We Trade?
• Why individuals and countries trade: Why individuals and countries trade:
• Would we trade if everyone were identical?Would we trade if everyone were identical?
• Yes?/No?/Maybe?Yes?/No?/Maybe?
• OneOne EXAMPLE EXAMPLE
• Assume Same Production Capability, BUT Assume Same Production Capability, BUT Different TastesDifferent Tastes
• Suppose that we could all produce equal Suppose that we could all produce equal numbers of apples and orangesnumbers of apples and oranges
• BUT…….BUT…….
• I only like Oranges and you only like ApplesI only like Oranges and you only like Apples
Equilibrium before tradeEquilibrium before trade
O
Ora
ng
es
Apples
10
10
•Production
set of both
Economies
•Production
set of both
Economies
Equilibrium before tradeEquilibrium before trade
O
Ora
ng
es
Apples
10
•Production
set of both
Economies
•Production
set of both
Economies
•My
Consumption
Set
•My
Consumption
Set
Equilibrium before tradeEquilibrium before trade
O
Ora
ng
es
Apples10
•Production
set of both
Economies
•Production
set of both
Economies
•Your
Consumption
Set
•Your
Consumption
Set
Trade when production same + Trade when production same + tastes differtastes differ
O
Ora
ng
es
Apples
20
1020
10
U Sell Oranges buy Apples
I Sell Apples buy Oranges
What is key assumption?What is key assumption?
• Same Production PatternSame Production Pattern• Equal Apples & OrangesEqual Apples & Oranges• But Different TastesBut Different Tastes• Same Production capability, Different TastesSame Production capability, Different Tastes• If free to produce whatever we want (to match If free to produce whatever we want (to match
production and tastes) then no trade even if tastes production and tastes) then no trade even if tastes differdiffer
• So need some restriction on production for trade: So need some restriction on production for trade: • In reality production capabilities are often not the In reality production capabilities are often not the
same:same:– Some production fixedSome production fixed– Soil, natural resources, oil, minerals etcSoil, natural resources, oil, minerals etc
DifferentDifferent Story Story
• Same Tastes in each country, (both Same Tastes in each country, (both countries like Textiles and Computers)countries like Textiles and Computers)
• But have different TECHNOLOGY But have different TECHNOLOGY
• Suppose technology is such that Labour in Suppose technology is such that Labour in Developed Country more productive than in Developed Country more productive than in Underdeveloped countryUnderdeveloped country
Pre-trade production and consumption possibilitiesPre-trade production and consumption possibilities
Computers (Millions)
Tex
tiles
(ki
los
m)
0
200
400
600
800
1000
0 200 400 600 800 1000
a
Less developedCountry, population 500
Less developed country Developed country
Textiles (kilos m)
Computers (m)
Textiles (kilos m)
Computers (m)
a b c d e f
1000 800 600 400 200 0
0 100 200 300 400 500
g h I j k l m
1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0
0 400 800 1200 1600 2000 2400
Computers (Millions)
Less developed country Developed country
Textiles (kilos m)
Computers ( millions)
Textiles (kilos m)
Computers ( millions)
a b c d e f
1000 800 600 400 200 0
0 100 200 300 400 500
g h I j k l m
1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0
0 400 800 1200 1600 2000 2400
Tex
tiles
(ki
los
m)
0
200
400
600
800
1000
0 200 400 600 800 1000
a
b Less developedcountry
Pre-trade production and consumption possibilitiesPre-trade production and consumption possibilities
Computers (Millions)
Less developed country Developed country
Textiles (kilos m)
Computers (millions)
Textiles (kilos m)
Computers (millions)
a b c d e f
1000 800 600 400 200 0
0 100 200 300 400 500
g h I j k l m
1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0
0 400 800 1200 1600 2000 2400
Tex
tiles
(ki
los
m)
0
200
400
600
800
1000
0 200 400 600 800 1000
a
b
c
d
e
f
Less developedcountry
Pre-trade production and consumption possibilitiesPre-trade production and consumption possibilities
Workers can produce 1000 Kilos of textiles
OR
500 Computers
•Or anything in
between
•Or anything in
between
Computers (Millions)
Less developed country Developed country
Textiles (kilos m)
Computers (millions)
Textiles (kilos m)
Computers (millions)
a b c d e f
1000 800 600 400 200 0
0 100 200 300 400 500
g h I j k l m
1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0
0 400 800 1200 1600 2000 2400
Tex
tiles
(ki
los
m)
0
200
400
600
800
1000
0 200 400 600 800 1000
a
b
c
d
e
f
Less developedcountry
Pre-trade production and consumption possibilitiesPre-trade production and consumption possibilities
Workers can produce 1000 Kilos of textiles
OR
500 Computers
•Or anything in
between
•Or anything in
between
Computers (Millions)
Less developed country Developed country
Textiles (kilos m)
Computers (millions)
Textiles (kilos m)
Computers (millions)
a b c d e f
1000 800 600 400 200 0
0 100 200 300 400 500
g h I j k l m
1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0
0 400 800 1200 1600 2000 2400
Tex
tiles
(ki
los
m)
0
200
400
600
800
1000
0 200 400 600 800 1000
a
b
c
d
e
f
Less developedcountry
Pre-trade production and consumption possibilitiesPre-trade production and consumption possibilities
Workers can produce 1000 Kilos of textiles
OR
500 Computers
So can produce in the ratio of 2 Textiles for
1 Computer
So can produce in the ratio of 2 Textiles for
1 Computer
Computers (Millions)
Less developed country Developed country
Textiles (kilos m)
Computers (millions)
Textiles (kilos m)
Computers (millions)
a b c d e f
1000 800 600 400 200 0
0 100 200 300 400 500
g h I j k l m
1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0
0 400 800 1200 1600 2000 2400
Tex
tiles
(ki
los
m)
0
200
400
600
800
1000
0 200 400 600 800 1000
a
b
c
d
e
f
Less developedcountry
Pre-trade production and consumption possibilitiesPre-trade production and consumption possibilities
So can produce in the ratio of 2 Textiles for 1
Computer
Or it takes 2 units of textiles to purchase 1 unit
of computers
Computers (Millions)
Less developed country Developed country
Textiles (kilos m)
Computers (millions)
Textiles (kilos m)
Computers (millions)
a b c d e f
1000 800 600 400 200 0
0 100 200 300 400 500
g h I j k l m
1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0
0 400 800 1200 1600 2000 2400
Tex
tiles
(ki
los
m)
0
200
400
600
800
1000
0 200 400 600 800 1000
a
b
c
d
e
f
Less developedcountry
Pre-trade production and consumption possibilitiesPre-trade production and consumption possibilities
Formally we say….
the RELATIVE price of Computers
in terms of Textiles
(not money!!) is
Pc/Pt=2/1
Computers (Millions)
Less developed country Developed country
Textiles (kilos m)
Computers (millions)
Textiles (kilos m)
Computers (millions)
a b c d e f
1000 800 600 400 200 0
0 100 200 300 400 500
g h I j k l m
1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0
0 400 800 1200 1600 2000 2400
Tex
tiles
(ki
los
m)
0
200
400
600
800
1000
0 200 400 600 800 1000
a
b
c
d
e
f
Less developedcountry
Pre-trade production and consumption possibilitiesPre-trade production and consumption possibilities
Or alternatively
the RELATIVE price of Textiles
in terms of Computers in the LDC is
Pt/Pc=1/2
0
400
800
1200
1600
2000
2400
0 400 800 1200 1600 2000 2400
Tex
tiles
(ki
los
m)
Computers (Millions)
Pre-trade production and consumption possibilitiesPre-trade production and consumption possibilities
Developed Country can produce in the ratio of 2
Computers for 1 K of Textiles
Or it takes 1 units of textiles to purchase 2 unit of computers
SO it takes 1/2 units of textiles to purchase 1 unit of computers
Less developed country Developed country
Textiles (kilos m)
Computers (millions)
Textiles (kilos m)
Computers (millions)
a b c d e f
1000 800 600 400 200 0
0 100 200 300 400 500
g h I j k l m
1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0
0 400 800 1200 1600 2000 2400
0
400
800
1200
1600
2000
2400
0 400 800 1200 1600 2000 2400
Tex
tiles
(ki
los
m)
Computers (Millions)
Pre-trade production and consumption possibilitiesPre-trade production and consumption possibilities
So the RELATIVE Price of a 1 computer in
terms of textiles in the Developed Country is
Pc/Pt=1/2
Less developed country Developed country
Textiles (kilos m)
Computers (millions)
Textiles (kilos m)
Computers (millions)
a b c d e f
1000 800 600 400 200 0
0 100 200 300 400 500
g h I j k l m
1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0
0 400 800 1200 1600 2000 2400
0
400
800
1200
1600
2000
2400
0 400 800 1200 1600 2000 2400
Tex
tiles
(ki
los
m)
Computers (Millions)
Pre-trade production and consumption possibilitiesPre-trade production and consumption possibilities
OR the RELATIVE Price of a 1 unit of texties computer in terms of
computers in the Developed Country is
Pt/Pc=2/1
Less developed country Developed country
Textiles (kilos m)
Computers (millions)
Textiles (kilos m)
Computers (millions)
a b c d e f
1000 800 600 400 200 0
0 100 200 300 400 500
g h I j k l m
1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0
0 400 800 1200 1600 2000 2400
0
200
400
600
800
1000
0 200 400 600 800 1000
Computers (Millions)
Less developed country Developed country
Textiles (kilos m)
Computers (millions)
Textiles (kilos m)
Computers (millions)
a b c d e f
1000 800 600 400 200 0
0 100 200 300 400 500
g h I j k l m
1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0
0 400 800 1200 1600 2000 2400
Tex
tiles
(ki
los
m)
a
b
c
d
e
f0
400
800
1200
1600
2000
2400
0 400 800 1200 1600 2000 2400
Tex
tiles
(ki
los
m)
Computers (Millions)
gh
ij
kl
m
Less developedcountry
Developedcountry
Slope 2/1 Slope 1/2
Pre-trade production and consumption possibilitiesPre-trade production and consumption possibilities
0
200
400
600
800
1000
0 200 400 600 800 1000
Computers (Millions)
Tex
tiles
(ki
los
m)
a
b
c
d
e
f0
400
800
1200
1600
2000
2400
0 400 800 1200 1600 2000 2400
Tex
tiles
(ki
los
m)
Computers (Millions)
gh
ij
kl
m
Less developedcountry
Developedcountry
Slope 2/1 Slope 1/2
Pre-trade production and consumption possibilitiesPre-trade production and consumption possibilities
Developed countries relative pre-trade price = Pc /Pt=1/2
Less-Developed countries relative pre-trade price = Pc /Pt= 2
Computers (Millions)
Tex
tiles
(ki
los
m)
a
b
c
d
e
f0
400
800
1200
1600
2000
2400
0 400 800 1200 1600 2000 2400
Tex
tiles
(ki
los
m)
Computers (Millions)
gh
ij
kl
m
Less developedcountry
Developedcountry
Slope 2/1 Slope 1/2
So C is relatively cheap in the Developed countries (it has a comparative advantage in Computers)
And relatively expensive in the Less-Developed countries whereas Textiles are relatively cheaper. (The LDC is LESS BAD at Textiles and therefore
Textiles are its comparative advantage)
0
200
400
600
800
1000
0 200 400 600 800 1000
Effect of trade on consumption possibilitiesEffect of trade on consumption possibilitiesT
extil
es (
kilo
s m
)
0
200
400
600
800
1000
0 200 400 600 800 10000
400
800
1200
1600
2000
2400
0 400 800 1200 1600 2000 2400
Computers (Millions)
Tex
tiles
(ki
los
m)
Computers (Millions)
Less developed country Developed country
Slope 1/1 Slope 1/1
Possibilities have clearly risen
So can’t be worse off!!
0
200
400
600
800
1000
0 200 400 600 800 1000
Computers (Millions)
Tex
tiles
(ki
los
m)
a
b
c
d
e
f0
400
800
1200
1600
2000
2400
0 400 800 1200 1600 2000 2400
Tex
tiles
(ki
los
m)
Computers (Millions)
gh
ij
kl
m
Less developedcountry
Developedcountry
Slope 2/1 Slope 1/2
If there is no trade (the country is in Autarky) then the production possibility frontier in each case also
represents the consumption possibilities. The bundle each consumes will depend on tastes but
production and consumption will be the same.
0
200
400
600
800
1000
0 200 400 600 800 1000
Computers (Millions)
Tex
tiles
(ki
los
m)
a
b
c
d
e
f0
400
800
1200
1600
2000
2400
0 400 800 1200 1600 2000 2400
Tex
tiles
(ki
los
m)
Computers (Millions)
gh
ij
kl
m
Less developedcountry
Developedcountry
Slope 2/1 Slope 1/2
If we now allow free trade between the two countries, the free trade price must lie between the
two sets of AUTARKY prices
FTt
FTC
P
P
0
200
400
600
800
1000
0 200 400 600 800 1000
Computers (Millions)
Tex
tiles
(ki
los
m)
a
b
c
d
e
f0
400
800
1200
1600
2000
2400
0 400 800 1200 1600 2000 2400
Tex
tiles
(ki
los
m)
Computers (Millions)
gh
ij
kl
m
Less developedcountry
Developedcountry
Slope 2/1 Slope 1/2
If we now allow free trade between the two countries, the free trade price must lie between the
two sets of AUTARKY prices
2
12
FTt
FTC
P
P
0
200
400
600
800
1000
0 200 400 600 800 1000
Computers (Millions)
Tex
tiles
(ki
los
m)
a
b
c
d
e
f0
400
800
1200
1600
2000
2400
0 400 800 1200 1600 2000 2400
Tex
tiles
(ki
los
m)
Computers (Millions)
gh
ij
kl
m
Less developedcountry
Developedcountry
Slope 2/1 Slope 1/2
If we now allow free trade between the two countries, the free trade price must lie between the
two sets of AUTARKY prices
1FTt
FTC
P
PSuppose
0
200
400
600
800
1000
0 200 400 600 800 10000
400
800
1200
1600
2000
2400
0 400 800 1200 1600 2000 2400
Effect of trade on consumption possibilitiesEffect of trade on consumption possibilities
Computers (Millions)
Tex
tiles
(ki
los
m)
Tex
tiles
(ki
los
m)
Computers (Millions)
Less developed country Developed country
1FTt
FTC
P
PSuppose
Effect of trade on consumption possibilitiesEffect of trade on consumption possibilitiesT
extil
es (
kilo
s m
)
0
200
400
600
800
1000
0 200 400 600 800 10000
400
800
1200
1600
2000
2400
0 400 800 1200 1600 2000 2400
Computers (Millions)
Tex
tiles
(ki
los
m)
Computers (Millions)
Less developed country Developed country
Slope 1/1 Slope 1/1
Possibilities have clearly risen
So can’t be worse off!!
0
400
800
1200
1600
2000
2400
0 400 800 1200 1600 2000 24000
200
400
600
800
1000
0 200 400 600 800 1000
Effect of trade on consumption possibilitiesEffect of trade on consumption possibilities
Computers (Millions)
Tex
tiles
(ki
los
m)
Tex
tiles
(ki
los
m)
Computers (Millions)
Less developed country Developed country
Imports
600
Exports600
Exports600
x
y
•Imports
600
•Imports
600
• Developed Country is better at producing both Textiles AND Computers
– It has an absolute advantage in both
– Initially c = 1600 t = 400
– But it has a comparative advantage in producing computers
– Specialise in producing 2400 computers
– Exports 600c, Imports 600t: c = 1800 t = 600
– Less Developed Country initially t = 200, c = 400,
– If it now produces textiles = 1000
– Exports 600t, Imports 600c: t = 400 c= 600,
– DC gains 200c and 200t, LDC gains 200c and 200t
• Developed Country is better at producing both Textiles AND Computers
– It has an absolute advantage in both
– Initially c = 1600 t = 400
– But it has a comparative advantage in producing computers
– Specialise in producing 2400 computers
– Exports 600c, Imports 600t: c = 1800 t = 600
– Less Developed Country initially t = 200, c = 400,
– If it now produces textiles = 1000
– Exports 600t, Imports 600c: t = 400 c= 600,
– DC gains 200c and 200t, LDC gains 200c and 200t
THE ADVANTAGES OF TRADETHE ADVANTAGES OF TRADE
• 1. Production (& technology) the same but fixed - tastes different = TRADE
• 2. Production, technology the same, but can produce any combination you want = No Trade
• 3. Technology Different, tastes same - Trade
– absolute advantage & comparative advantage
• 4. NEXT: Technology the same, tastes the same but endowment of resources (e.g Capital & Labour or skilled labour) different.
• 1. Production (& technology) the same but fixed - tastes different = TRADE
• 2. Production, technology the same, but can produce any combination you want = No Trade
• 3. Technology Different, tastes same - Trade
– absolute advantage & comparative advantage
• 4. NEXT: Technology the same, tastes the same but endowment of resources (e.g Capital & Labour or skilled labour) different.
Equilibrium before tradeEquilibrium before trade
O
Te
xtile
s
Computers
Suppose Computers need mostly capital and textiles need mostly labour, and
suppose Developed country has mostly capital and the less
developed country has mostly labour
Equilibrium before tradeEquilibrium before trade
O
Te
xtile
s
Computers
Suppose initially each country put exactly half
their workers in to producing computers and
textiles
DC
LDC
Labour abundant LDCLabour abundant LDC
O
Te
xtile
s
Computers
LDC
If capital and labour were used in the same ratio in both industries then if I want to produce more T
or more C then move in a straight line either wayalong the production
frontier
Labour abundant LDCLabour abundant LDC
O
Te
xtile
s
Computers
LDC
But if Textiles are more labour intensive then can produce more,
And if computers are capital intensive cannot
produce as much
So Production frontier looks like…
Labour abundant LDCLabour abundant LDC
O
Te
xtile
s
Computers
LDC
Alternative explanation:
As we move down from the spot, to produce more
computers we are allocating more capital &
workers
but since capital is relatively scarce, capital
per worker is lower, so not getting much extra
production.
Labour abundant LDCLabour abundant LDC
O
Te
xtile
s
Computers
LDC
AND….
As we move UP from the spot, to produce more textiles, we are
allocating more workers and capital
but workers per machine is rising, so can produce more.
Capital abundant Developed CountryCapital abundant Developed Country
O
Te
xtile
s
Computers
LDC
For DC
Textiles are more labour intensive so
produce……. LESS
DC
Capital abundant Developed CountryCapital abundant Developed Country
O
Te
xtile
s
Computers
LDC
And since Computers are more capital
intensive can produce……. MORE
So Production frontier looks like…
DC
O
Te
xtile
s
Computers
LDC
Assume initially that each country produces & consumes at the dots
DC
TradeTrade
O
Te
xtile
s
Computers
LDC
DC
Note in LDC Computers will be RELATIVELY expensive,
e.g, Pc /Pt = 2/1
while in DC they will be relatively cheap e.g. Pc /Pt =1/2
O
Te
xtile
s
Computers
LDC
Now suppose we allow free trade……. And
have a common price that lies in between
DC
O
Te
xtile
s
Computers
LDC
Now suppose we allow free trade……. And
have a common price that lies in between
DC
LDC EXPORT
IMPORT
DC EXPORT
DC IMPORTS
Trade when have different factor endowmentsTrade when have different factor endowments
• Even if technology and tastes are the same, Even if technology and tastes are the same, different factor endowments means different different factor endowments means different production possibilities. production possibilities.
• Again this creates possible Again this creates possible comparative comparative advantagesadvantages and hence benefits from trade. and hence benefits from trade.
• In the example, both countries gain by producing In the example, both countries gain by producing more of the good in which they have the abundant more of the good in which they have the abundant factor and engaging in trade.factor and engaging in trade.
• This was probably believed to be the dominant This was probably believed to be the dominant source of gains from trade in the original EU.source of gains from trade in the original EU.
Comparative Advantage or Why might prices Comparative Advantage or Why might prices differ – Summary 1-5?differ – Summary 1-5?
• 1. Different tastes 1. Different tastes – (same Technology & Factors)(same Technology & Factors)
• 2. Different technology or physical capabilities2. Different technology or physical capabilities– (Patented R&D, Land/Minerals)(Patented R&D, Land/Minerals)
• 3. Differences in Factor Endowments3. Differences in Factor Endowments– Labour/Capital/Skilled labourLabour/Capital/Skilled labour
• 4. Differences in Taxes - 4. Differences in Taxes - – e.g. Corporation tax, alcohol, cigs, petrole.g. Corporation tax, alcohol, cigs, petrol
• 5. (Differences in) competition5. (Differences in) competition– (Monopoly pushes prices up)(Monopoly pushes prices up)
• 6. One Special case: Can trade even if we are 6. One Special case: Can trade even if we are identicalidentical
– Increasing Returns to ScaleIncreasing Returns to Scale
Returns to ScaleReturns to Scale
• Constant returns to scale Constant returns to scale – Double the factory, double the workforce, double the Double the factory, double the workforce, double the
machinery -------- Get double the productionmachinery -------- Get double the production• Increasing returns to scale Increasing returns to scale
– Double the factory, double the workforce, double the Double the factory, double the workforce, double the machinery -------- Get MORE THAN DOUBLE the machinery -------- Get MORE THAN DOUBLE the productionproduction
• Why might this happenWhy might this happen– Internal EconomiesInternal Economies– More efficient work practice and specialisation of More efficient work practice and specialisation of
workersworkers– Bigger buying power for materials or better distribution Bigger buying power for materials or better distribution
networksnetworks– External EconomiesExternal Economies– Government invests in training or infrastructureGovernment invests in training or infrastructure
Identical technology, endowments and Identical technology, endowments and tastes BUT increasing returns to scale.tastes BUT increasing returns to scale.
O
Ae
rop
lan
es
Computers
Identical technology, endowments and tastes BUT increasing Identical technology, endowments and tastes BUT increasing returns to scale. returns to scale.
O
Ae
rop
lan
es
Computers
Germany & UK
Initially both Germany and UK produce Aeroplanes and
computersNow suppose UK
specialises in Aeroplanes
and gains increasing returns
to scale
Identical technology, endowments and tastes BUT increasing Identical technology, endowments and tastes BUT increasing returns to scale. returns to scale.
O
Ae
rop
lan
es
Computers
Germany & UK
Similarly, Germany specialises in Computers
Overall EU(?) Production Frontier
now moves out
and gains increasing returns to scale
O
Ae
rop
lan
es
Computers
Germany & UK
Now Germany exports Computers and imports
Aeroplanes
German Exports
IMPORTS
UK
Exports
While the UK exports Aeroplanes and imports
Computers
UK IMPORTS
Identical technology, endowments and tastes BUT increasing Identical technology, endowments and tastes BUT increasing returns to scale. returns to scale.
Identical technology, Identical technology, endowments and tastes BUT endowments and tastes BUT increasing returns to scale.increasing returns to scale.
O
Ae
rop
lan
es
Computers
Germany & UK
So Even when identical specialisation and
Trade allows welfare gains
German Exports
IMPORTS
UK
Exports
UK IMPORTS