eu market situation for eggs and poultry management committee 16 may 2012

EU market situation for eggs and poultry

Management Committee

16 May 2012

EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry Man Com 16 May 2012

2

Weekly evolution of the Community price for Broiler

150

160

170

180

190

1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 4 43 46 49 52

€uro

/ 10

0kg

Avg 07 - 11 2009 2010 2011 2012


3

Percentual change of Broiler prices April 2012

-10.0%

-5.0%

0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

20.0%

BE BG CZ DK DE EE EL ES FR IE IT CY LV LT HU MT NL ÖS PL PT RO SI SK SF SV UK EU

- 1 year

- 1 month


4

Price of Basic Ingredients 2009 - 2012

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

Jan 09 April Juil Oct Jan 10 April Juil Oct Jan-11 April Juil Oct Jan-12 April Juil

Euro

/ to

nne

Soft wheat (EU)

Barley (EU)

Maïs (EU)

Soja (CAF)

Hulls (EU)

Manioc (CAF)

C.G.F. (CAF)


5

Futures for Feed wheat EU (Euronext) (Nearby = 2011 & 2012)

120

150

180

210

| Jan2011

| Feb | Mrch | Apr | May | June | July | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Jan2012

| Feb | Mrch | Apr | May | June |

€u

ro/ T

on

n

01 Nearby

2012 May

2012 Nov

2013 Jan


6

Futures for Maize EU (Euronext) (Nearby = 2011 - 2012)

170

190

210

230

| Jan2011

| Feb | Mch | Apr | May | Jun | July | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Jan2012

| Feb | Mrt | Apr | May | Jun |

€/T

on

n

01 Nearby

2012 Mar

2012 Aug

2013 Jun

Delivery:


7

Futures for Soybeans in US$ct/ Bushel (nearby = 2011 & 2012)

1 100

1 200

1 300

1 400

1 500

| Jan2011

| Feb | Mch | Apr | May | Jun | July | Aug. | Sept. | Oct. | Nov. | Dec. | Jan2012

| Feb | Mch | Apr | May | Jun |

01 Nearby

2012 Jul

2012 Aug

2012 Nov

2013 Mar

Delivery:


8

Price development of Compound feed for Broilers, a Broiler Cereal-Feedmix and Broiler price

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

| 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 |

Eu

ro/ T

(fe

ed

)

Eu

ro/ 1

00

kg

(B

roile

r)

margin broiler/ comp feed (2.7)Cereal-mixCompound feedBroilerAvg. Margin 2007 - 2011

NB. Comp. Feed 2012 =Forecast Feed and Poultry 2012 = Forecast (except J an - Feb)


9

Placings of Broiler chicks (1 000 pieces)compared to the baseline trend

(baseline = monthly avg 2006 - 2009)

0

100 000

200 000

300 000

400 000

500 000

| 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 |


10

Forecast and Production of Broilers.In Tonn

0

150 000

300 000

450 000

600 000

750 000

| 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 |

0

150

300

450

600

750

Realis

ed

sla

ug

hte

r

in 1

000 T

Forecast Realised


11

IMPORT

Compared

tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % to Jan-Mar 11

Brazil 679.469 76,3% 659.368 75,3% 581.391 72,4% 587.404 71,0% 133.125 68,4% - 4%

Thailand 146.882 16,5% 141.524 16,2% 149.682 18,6% 154.229 18,6% 40.577 20,8% - 4%

Chile 34.718 3,9% 39.022 4,5% 34.276 4,3% 44.306 5,4% 11.042 5,7% + 15%

China 15 0,0% 5.690 0,6% 9.997 1,2% 13.735 1,7% 3.429 1,8% - 3%

Argentina 20.416 2,3% 20.576 2,3% 15.760 2,0% 15.630 1,9% 3.140 1,6% + 19%

Israel 6.252 0,7% 5.470 0,6% 7.249 0,9% 7.084 0,9% 1.566 0,8% + 12%

Croatia 1.884 0,2% 2.295 0,3% 2.650 0,3% 2.714 0,3% 648 0,3% + 6%

USA 393 0,0% 386 0,0% 439 0,1% 99 0,0% 74 0,0% +++

Uruguay 109 0,0% 98 0,0% 2 0,0% 7 0,0% 1 0,0% #DIV/0!

EXTRA EU 25/27891.087 875.886 803.120 827.420 194.665

% change - 2% - 8% + 3% - 2,3%

2008 2009 2010 Jan-Mar 122011

Import of Poultrymeat from selected origins


12

Imports of selected Poultry products

0

10. 000

20. 000

30. 000

40. 000

50. 000

60. 000

70. 000

80. 000

90. 000

100. 000

|Jan06

2006 |Jan07

2007 |Jan08

2008 |Jan09

2009 |Jan10

2010 |Jan11

2011 |Jan12

in Tonnes cwe

FROZEN PREPARED SALTED OTHERS


13

I MPORTS of Poul t r y Meat i nt o EU ( Tonnes cwe)

140. 849 138. 664 133. 125

35. 079 42. 368 40. 577

1. 006

194. 330 199. 335 194. 665

0

50. 000

100. 000

150. 000

200. 000

250. 000

J an- Mar 10 J an- Mar 11 J an- Mar 12

Tonn

es c

w

Br azi l Thai l and I sr ael Chi l e Chi na Ot her dest i nat i ons

I MPORTS of Poul t r y Meat i nt o EU ( 1000 EUR)

275. 738 286. 135 288. 964

148. 333180. 660 179. 601

462. 975

520. 619 532. 181

0

100. 000

200. 000

300. 000

400. 000

500. 000

600. 000


1000EUR

Br azi l Thai l and I sr ael Chi l e Chi na Ot her dest i nat i ons

EU Poultrymeat Import


14

EXPORT

Compared

tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % to Jan-Mar 11

Hong Kong 58.669 6,0% 88.357 8,7% 151.529 12,0% 188.366 13,4% 47.795 13,1% - 10%

Saudi Arabia 95.132 9,7% 97.485 9,6% 118.010 9,3% 151.247 10,7% 34.248 9,4% - 6%

Benin 83.405 8,5% 84.885 8,4% 115.022 9,1% 126.006 8,9% 28.862 7,9% + 11%

Russia 230.113 23,4% 227.555 22,4% 245.429 19,4% 115.025 8,2% 25.306 6,9% + 6%

Ukraine 112.443 11,4% 89.314 8,8% 86.028 6,8% 81.735 5,8% 23.168 6,3% + 32%

Ghana 31.530 3,2% 28.689 2,8% 41.094 3,3% 68.953 4,9% 17.452 4,8% + 22%

Yemen 26.673 2,7% 36.331 3,6% 39.628 3,1% 37.970 2,7% 11.517 3,1% + 30%

U.A.Emirates 25.858 2,6% 24.429 2,4% 20.231 1,6% 21.122 1,5% 5.645 1,5% - 34%

Vietnam 39.488 4,0% 39.971 3,9% 31.661 2,5% 29.086 2,1% 8.744 2,4% + 8%

Switzerland 28.201 2,9% 28.111 2,8% 29.804 2,4% 29.270 2,1% 6.989 1,9% - 3%

Malaysia 17.888 1,8% 22.676 2,2% 25.895 2,0% 20.965 1,5% 7.012 1,9% + 16%

Congo (Dem. Rep.) 21.386 2,2% 20.893 2,1% 27.748 2,2% 29.960 2,1% 6.304 1,7% + 12%

EXTRA EU 25/27 982.285 1.015.639 1.264.120 1.410.658 365.978

% change + 3% + 24% + 12% + 11,9%

2008 2009 2010 Jan-Mar 122011

Export of Poultrymeat to selected destinations


15

Expor t s of sel ect ed Poul t r y pr oduct s

0

20. 000

40. 000

60. 000

80. 000

100. 000

120. 000

140. 000

|J an06

2006 |J an07

2007 |J an08

2008 |J an09

2009 |J an10

2010 |J an11

2011 |J an12

i nTonnes

cwe

FROZEN PREPARED FRESH OTHERS


16

EU EXPORTS of Poul t r y Meat ( Tonnes cwe)

27. 77452. 816 47. 795

38. 547

34. 248

21. 709

25. 89528. 862

27. 342

23. 94625. 306131. 033

175. 360

191. 219

36. 428

235. 026

327. 110

365. 978

0

50. 000

100. 000

150. 000

200. 000

250. 000

300. 000

350. 000

400. 000


Tonn

es c

w

Hong Kong Sout h Af r i ca Saudi Ar abi a

Beni n Russi a Ot her dest i nat i ons

EU EXPORTS of Poul t r y Meat ( 1000 EUR)

26. 831 42. 678 50. 527

41. 761

45. 969

23. 885

30. 31739. 63227. 75338. 100188. 048

249. 583

267. 079

56. 724

301. 865

419. 194

483. 067

0

100. 000

200. 000

300. 000

400. 000

500. 000

600. 000


10

00

E

UR

Hong Kong Sout h Af r i ca Saudi Ar abi a

Beni n Russi a Ot her dest i nat i ons

EU Poultrymeat Export


17

302277 292 310

371

676

794

480

614 616

858891 876

803827

195

1. 017

1. 101 1. 1161. 153

1. 114

1. 275

1. 063 1. 046997 997

867

9821. 016

1. 264

1. 411

366

0

200

400

600

800

1. 000

1. 200

1. 400

1. 600

1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 J an-Mar12

in 1000 Tonnes cwe

I MPORTS EXPORTS

EU Poultrymeat Trade Balance


18

Cumulated quantity of weekly requests

for Export licenses in the Poultrymeat sectorfor Gatt year 2011 - 2012.

0

50.000

100.000

150.000

200.000

250.000

300.000

350.000

400.000

1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45 47 49 51w eek

ton

nes

Cumulated attributions

Average available


19

€uro Exchange rate 1 Euro = .....…US$ / BRZ Real/ 10 Rupee

1

3

5

7

I 2004 I 2005 I 2006 I 2007 I 2008 I 2009 I 2010 I 2011 I 2012 I

source:http://europa.eu.int/comm/budget/inforeuro/fr/index.htm

India RBRZ RealUSA $

2001 2002 2003 2004

20052006 2007 2008

2009 2010 2011 2012

EU market situation for Eggs and Poultry

Management Committee 19 April 2012


22

Weekly evolution of the Community price for Eggs for Consumption

85

105

125

145

165

185

1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52

Price

Pack

ers

sta

tion

€uro

/ 10

0kg

Avg 07 - 11 2009 2010 2011 2012


23

Percentual change of Egg prices April 2012

-30.0%

-20.0%

-10.0%

0.0%

10.0%

20.0%

30.0%

40.0%

50.0%

60.0%

70.0%

80.0%

90.0%

BE BG CZ DK DE EE EL ES FR IE IT CY LV LT HU MT NL ÖS PL PT RO SI SK SF SV UK EU

- 1 year- 1 month


24

Prices for Eggs for consumption and Eggs for Breaking 2011 - 2012

0

40

80

120

160

200

1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 36 39 42 45 48 51

€u

ro/ 100kg

EU Low difference Eggs for Consumption US High breaking

100% increase for Eggs for Breaking from week 1 2011 to week 18 201252,6% increase for Eggs for Consumption from week 1 2011 to week 17 2012


25

Margin between feedcost and Eggprice in Egg production

0

30

60

90

120

150

180

0 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 ja fe mr ap m jn jl au se oc no de

Euro

/ 10

0kg

marge

feed

egg

Avg Margin


26

Placings of Laying chicks (1 000 pieces)compared to the baseline trend

(baseline= monthly avg 2006 - 2009)

0

7 500

15 000

22 500

30 000

37 500

| 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 |


27

Production forecast ofeggs in shell (Mio p).

compared to the price development

4.000

5.500

7.000

8.500

| 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 |

0

40

80

120

160

Pric

e €

uro

/10

0k

g


28

Compared

tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % to Jan-mars 11

Argentina 6.164 27,0% 7.899 26,0% 7.888 25,2% 7.898 41,5% 3.499 41,3% + 190%

USA 4.245 18,6% 11.165 36,7% 13.439 42,9% 5.417 28,4% 2.153 25,4% + 1%

Mexico 2.002 8,8% 1.893 6,2% 1.425 4,5% 556 2,9% 1.016 12,0% +++

Albania 2.209 9,7% 1.659 5,5% 3.208 10,2% 1.303 6,8% 524 6,2% +++

India 6.593 28,9% 5.776 19,0% 3.211 10,2% 1.505 7,9% 326 3,8% + 6%

Israel 646 2,8% 711 2,3% 941 3,0% 547 2,9% 173 2,0% - 17%

Canada 1 0,0% 33 0,1% 2 0,0% 0 0,0% 154 1,8%

Brazil 64 0,3% 67 0,2% 0 0,0% 0 0,0% 0 0,0%

EXTRA EU 25/27 22.850 30.409 31.356 19.045 8.475

% change + 33% + 3% - 39% + 89,2%

2008 2009 2010 Jan-mars 122011

EU Imports of Eggs:Trade Figures (Comext – tonnes egg equiv.)


29

EU Egg ImportsTotal EU Import of Eggs (Tonnes eggs

equiv) incl. Hatch. Eggs.

6. 405

2. 124 2. 153

2. 365

1. 206

3. 499

1. 659

727

1. 819

11. 879

4. 480

8. 475

0

2. 000

4. 000

6. 000

8. 000

10. 000

12. 000

14. 000

J an- mar s 10 J an- mar s 11 J an- mar s 12

USA Ar gent i naI ndi a CanadaAl bani a Ot her dest i nat i ons

Total EU Import of Eggs (1000 EUR) incl. Hatch. Eggs.

5. 5633. 468

8. 310

1. 872

971

2. 6871. 095

2. 000

9. 942

5. 698

16. 768

0

2. 000

4. 000

6. 000

8. 000

10. 000

12. 000

14. 000

16. 000

18. 000

20. 000

J an- mar s 10 J an- mar s 11 J an- mar s 12

USA Ar gent i naI ndi a CanadaAl bani a Ot her dest i nat i ons


30

EU- 27 I mpor t s of sel ect ed EGGS pr oduct s

0

1. 000

2. 000

3. 000

4. 000

5. 000

6. 000

7. 000

8. 000

|J an06

2006 |J an07

2007 |J an08

2008 |J an09

2009 |J an10

2010 |J an11

2011 |J an12

i n Tonnes egg equi v.

FRESH Al bumi n Not I n Shel l Yol k Hachi ng


31

Compared

tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % to Jan-mars 11

Japan 62.254 33% 47.238 31% 52.923 29% 65.982 30% 15.676 26% + 12%

Sw itzerland 44.229 24% 43.499 29% 45.107 25% 42.152 19% 11.798 20% + 2%

Russia 7.113 4% 4.360 3% 5.293 3% 4.947 2% 7.154 12% +++

Angola 4.049 2% 4.019 3% 10.227 6% 17.498 8% 3.981 7% + 12%

Libya 0 0% 40 0% 201 0% 226 0% 2.572 4% #DIV/0!

Thailand 6.190 3% 4.068 3% 6.180 3% 7.254 3% 1.860 3% + 21%

South Korea 1.859 1% 1.948 1% 2.495 1% 4.379 2% 1.115 2% + 51%

Ukraine 7.250 4% 4.304 3% 5.693 3% 4.422 2% 1.317 2% + 56%

Norw ay 1.805 1% 963 1% 570 0% 1.300 1% 638 1% +++

U.A.Emirates 9.436 5% 2.664 2% 5.864 3% 8.262 4% 573 1% - 72%

Taiw an 4.624 2% 2.868 2% 7.145 4% 7.941 4% 761 1% - 50%

Israel 6.002 3% 3.398 2% 1.308 1% 2.729 1% 204 0% - 79%

EXTRA EU 25/27 187.209 150.173 181.682 216.447 60.376

% change - 20% + 21% + 19% + 21,1%

2008 2009 2010 Jan-mars 122011

EU Exports of Eggs:Trade Figures (Comext – tonnes egg equiv.)


32

Total EU Export of Eggs (T. eggs equiv.) Incl. Hatch. Eggs

10.135 14.020 15.676

12.59311.573 11.798

8.182

19.947

19.163

7.154

32.372

49.854

60.376

0

10.000

20.000

30.000

40.000

50.000

60.000

70.000

Jan-mars 10 Jan-mars 11 Jan-mars 12

Japan Sw itzerland Russia Angola Iraq Other destinations

Total EU Export of Eggs (1000 EUR) incl. Hatch. Eggs

7.203 9.331 11.725

18.414 15.22418.152

9.24218.825

41.014

22.62636.035

47.456

105.009

0

20.000

40.000

60.000

80.000

100.000

120.000

Jan-mars 10 Jan-mars 11 Jan-mars 12

Japan Sw itzerland Russia Angola Iraq Other destinations

EU Egg Exports


33

EU- 27 Expor t s of sel ect ed EGGS pr oduct s ( i ncl udi ng Hat chi ng eggs)

0

5. 000

10. 000

15. 000

20. 000

25. 000

30. 000

|J an06

2006 |J an07

2007 |J an08

2008 |J an09

2009 |J an10

2010 |J an11

2011 |J an12

i n Tonnes egg equi v.

FRESH Al bumi n Not I n Shel l Yol k Hachi ng


34

1018

23 18 1727

16

30

69

25 3039

45

2330 31

198

144

164

186

209

231

201 205

191

142

198 198202

167

187

150

182

216

60

0

25

50

75

100

125

150

175

200

225

250

275

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 J an-mar s12

i n 1000 TonnesI MPORTS EXPORTS

EU Egg Trade Balance


35

Cumulated quantity of weekly requests

for Export licenses in the Egg sector

for Gatt year 2011 - 2012.

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45 47 49 51 53w eek

ton

nes

Average available

Cumulated attributions

eu market situation for eggs and poultry management committee 16 may 2012

Documents

eu market situation

poultry man com

eu imports of eggs

eu exports of eggs

eu egg imports slide

eu egg exports slide

eu poultrymeat import

eu poultrymeat export