etf trends and investment ideas files/site...ishares etfs raised $4.5 billion in net new assets in...
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ETF TRENDS AND
INVESTMENT IDEAS
TM
INVESTMENT IDEAS
Growth and Institutional Usage of ETFs
� ETF rapid growth continues due to evolving demand during both bull and bear markets.
� Global ETF assets have hit an all time high of US$1,032 billion at the end of 2009.
� Global ETF assets grew at 27% per year between 2004 and 2009, led by iShares at 31% per year.
� Canadian ETF assets grew at a rate of 30% per year between 2004 and 2009 and surpassed $30 billion in 2009
2
surpassed $30 billion in 2009
� Over half of the largest institutional investors (those with assets over US$10 billion) report using one or more ETFs.
� Institutional investors represent approximately 40% of total AUM invested in iShares’ Canadian ETF family.
Sources: BlackRock Asset Management Canada Limited; ETF Research and Implementation Strategy Team, BlackRock Advisors (UK) Limited, as of 12/31/09.
Growth of Exchange Traded Funds
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200ETF Commodity AssetsETF Fixed Income AssetsETF Equity Assets
# of ETFs
3
Source: ETF Research and Implementation Strategy Team, BlackRock Advisors (UK) Limited; Bloomberg
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2011-F
ETF Assets Total ($M) 0.8 1 2 5 8 18 40 74 105 142 212 310 412 566 797 710 1,032 2,000
3000
4000
5000
6000
Canada’s Fixed Income ETF landscapeFixed Income AUM
(C$ Millions)
4
0
1000
2000
3000
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Other
iShares
Source: Barclays Asset Management Canada Limited. 12/31/09
iShares Funds represent 82% of the total Fixed Income ETF assets
ETF vs Mutual Funds vs Money Market Sales
-5
0
5
10
15
20
Money Market Funds
Mutual Funds
Other ETFs iShares ETFs
Canadian iShares ETFs had the most total net new assets of all mutual fund complexes in 2009.
5
Source: IFIC; BlackRock Asset Management Canada Limited
iShares ETFs raised $4.5 billion in net new assets in 2008, when the S&P/TSX Composite Index fell by 35.03% (its worst-ever year)
iShares ETFs raised $4.9 billion in net new assets in 2009, when the S&P/TSX Composite Index rose by 30.69% (its best year since 1979).
-20
-15
-10
2008 2009
Transparency
Diversification
Liquidity
� ETFs provide immediate exposure to a basket or group of securities for instant diversification
� Broad range of asset classes including equities, bonds, commodities, etc
� ETFs offer two sources of liquidity− Traditional liquidity measured by secondary market trading volume − The liquidity of the underlying via the creation and redemption process
Why have ETFs become popular?
� Investors know the ETF composition at any given time
6
Flexibility
Cost Effectiveness
� ETFs offer a cost-effective route to diversified market exposure
� ETF units and underlying assets can be lent out to potentially offset holding costs
� ETFs are listed on exchanges and can be traded at any time the market is open� Pricing is continuous throughout the day
Securities Lending
Source: Morningstar (March 2009)
ETFs Represent a Significant Portion of all Equity Trading: U.S.
17
25
39
25
1415
20
25
30
35
40
45
Percent of ETF Trading Relative to All Equity Trading (U.S.)
Pe
rce
nt
7
December 2009 - US-Listed Equities Symbol Average Daily Volume ($)
SPDR SPY $16,287,488,207
Apple Inc. AAPL $ 4,063,158,348
Bank of America Corp. BAC $ 4,019,116,985
iShares Russell 2000 Index Fund IWM $ 3,507,122,527
PowerShares QQQ Trust, Series 1 QQQQ $ 3,407,429,245
14
0
5
10
15
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
ETFs Represent a Significant Portion of all Equity Trading: Canada
11
16
8
10
12
14
16
18
Percent of ETF Trading Relative to All Equity Trading (Canada)P
erc
en
t
8
Canadian-Listed Equities – December 2009 Symbol Average Daily Volume ($)
Barrick Gold ABX $ 265,282,043
iShares CDN S&P/TSX 60 Index Fund XIU $ 245,050,783
Suncor Energy Inc SU $ 218,137,435
Royal Bank of Canada RY $ 211,469,087
Horizons BetaPro NYMEX® Natural Gas Bull Plus ETF HNU $ 197,028,609
3
5
2
0
2
4
6
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Pe
rce
nt
ETFs Offer Price Improvement
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
An
nu
al S
ha
res
Tra
de
d (
mln
s)
$0.20
$0.25
$0.30
Sp
rea
d (
$)
iShares MSCI Emerging Markets (EEM)
20,000
25,000
30,000
An
nu
al S
hare
s T
rad
ed
(m
lns
)
$0.03
$0.04
$0.05
Sp
rea
d ($
)
iShares Russell 2000 (IWM)
9
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
An
nu
al S
ha
res
Tra
de
d (
mln
s)
$0.00
$0.05
$0.10
$0.15
Sp
rea
d (
$)
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008A
nn
ua
l S
hare
s T
rad
ed
(m
lns
)$0.00
$0.01
$0.02 Sp
rea
d ($
)
EEM Trading Volume
EEM ETF Spread ($)
EEM Underlying Portfolio Spread ($)
IWM Trading Volume
IWM ETF Spread ($)
IWM Underlying Portfolio Spread ($)
Sources: NYSE Arca, Stock Facts Pro, as of 12/08.
Practical uses of Exchange-Traded Funds
� How are institutions using ETFs?
� Core Satellite
� Cash equitization and transition management
� ETF Overlay
Tactical adjustments
10
� Tactical adjustments
Core/Satellite approachObjective Get exposure to a reliable source of beta while adding value through active management
Benefits of using ETFs
– Wide range of benchmarks available for beta exposure to almost every investment need
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investment need
– Trading efficiency
– Frees up time for the institution to focus on areas where they are most likely to add value
Cash Equitization/Transition Management
Objective
– Maintain liquidity while remaining fully invested
Benefits of using ETFs
– Operational efficiency
– Low tracking error
– Trading flexibility and continuous intraday pricing
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– Trading flexibility and continuous intraday pricing
Overlay Strategies
Objective:
– Adjust asset class exposures
Benefits of ETF implementation
– ETFs provide liquidity and transparency for immediate adjustments to a portfolio
– Reduce implementation time and costs to change exposures in asset
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– Reduce implementation time and costs to change exposures in asset classes
– Take short/long positions to quickly adjust asset class exposure
– Ensure minimal benchmark risk while maintaining alpha objectives
Tactical Adjustments
Objective
– Over- or underweight certain styles, regions or countries on the basis of short-term views
Benefits of implementing with ETFs
– Reduce implementation time
– Reduce implementation costs
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– Reduce implementation costs
– Reduce disruption in long-term holdings
– Ability to invest long or short
Taking advantage of tactical themes with ETFsVIEW ASSET CLASSES THAT
MAY DO WELLTHE iSHARES SOLUTION
Inflation/commodities Real Return Bonds Commodity-producing countries
iShares CDN Real Return Bond Index Fund (XRB)iShares MSCI Australia Index Fund (EWA)iShares MSCI Brazil Index Fund (XBZ)iShares CDN Composite Index Fund (XIC)
Infrastructure spending Emerging economies like Brazil, China and India that have seen a constant increase in Infrastructure spending and Foreign Direct Investment
iShares FTSE/Xinhua China 25 Index Fund (XCH)
iShares S&P India Nifty 50 Index Fund (XID)
iShares S&P Global Infrastructure Index Fund
15
Foreign Direct Investment iShares S&P Global Infrastructure Index Fund
(IGF)
iShares S&P Emerging Markets Infrastructure
Index Fund (EMIF)
Information technology Global Information Technology asset class
Countries that have a high exposure in Information Technology
iShares S&P India Nifty 50 Index Fund (XID)
iShares Tech Sector Index Fund (XIT)
iShares S&P Global Technology Index Fund (IXN)
Healthcare reform cloud should be lifting in the USA
Global Healthcare sectors
Countries that have a high healthcare exposure
iShares S&P Global healthcare (IXJ)
iShares MSCI Switzerland Index Fund (EWL)
Direct Investments in Bonds are Inefficient When Lacking Scale
Entire asset classes are often unavailable
� High Yield Bonds, U.S. Corporate Bonds, Real-Return Bonds
Getting specific bonds & issuers is challenging
16
Getting specific bonds & issuers is challenging
� The account is not in a position to buy when the initial offering happens
� Desks make active secondary markets in only a small number of bonds
� Less of the bond is available than needed
Bond markets a structurally less liquid and less transparent than equity markets
Pricing
� Prices are negotiated and not observable
� Liquidity and spreads are not observable
� Very difficult to measure transaction costs
17
Execution
� No centralized trading: desk-by-desk OTC market
� Liquidity may not exist when it is needed
� Vast and idiosyncratic universe exacerbates information asymmetry
iShares Fixed Income ETFs Solve Structural Challenges
iShares ETFs leverage BlackRock’s economies of scale and scope
�Ensures breadth of liquidity
�Drives best execution
18
Trading via the exchange provides transparency around pricing, bid/ask spread, and liquidity
Significant implementation of corporate bond view through iShares in 2009
iShares CDN Corporate Bond Index Fund
Assets Under Management since 2007
800.0
1,000.0
1,200.0
1,400.0
AU
M ($C
Million)
19
-
200.0
400.0
600.0
Dec-0
7
Jan-0
8
Feb-0
8
Mar-08
Apr-08
May-0
8
Jun-0
8
Jul-08
Aug-0
8
Sep-0
8
Oct-08
Nov-0
8
Dec-0
8
Jan-0
9
Feb-0
9
Mar-09
Apr-09
May-0
9
Jun-0
9
Jul-09
Aug-0
9
Sep-0
9
Oct-09
Nov-0
9
Dec-0
9
AU
M ($C
Million)
As of December 2009, Source: BlackRock Asset Management Canada Limited
ETF usage in times of recovery iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Index Fund (EEM)
iShares MSCI EAFE SmallCap Index Fund (SCZ)
Assets under management since Dec 2007
30000
35000
40000
45000
EE
M A
UM
($U
S m
illion)
500
600
700
800
SCZ AUM ($US million)
SC
Z A
UM
($U
S m
illion)
20
10000
15000
20000
25000
Dec-0
7
Jan-0
8
Feb-0
8
Mar-08
Apr-08
May-0
8
Jun-0
8
Jul-08
Aug-0
8
Sep-0
8
Oct-08
Nov-0
8
Dec-0
8
Jan-0
9
Feb-0
9
Mar-09
Apr-09
May-0
9
Jun-0
9
Jul-09
Aug-0
9
Sep-0
9
Oct-09
Nov-0
9
Dec-0
9
EE
M A
UM
($U
S m
illion)
0
100
200
300
400
SC
Z A
UM
($U
S m
illion)
EEM (LHS) SCZ (RHS)
As of December 2009, Source: BlackRock Asset Management Canada Limited
THANK YOU
For more information, visit
www.iShares.ca
Using iShares Strategies for using iShares in your practice
Education Centre eLearning (live & on-demand webinars)
21
1-866-486-4874
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This presentation is intended for accredited investors in Canada only.
iShares® Funds are managed by BlackRock Asset Management Canada Limited. Commissions, management fees and expenses all may be associated with investing in iShares Funds. Please read the relevant prospectus before investing. The funds are not guaranteed, their values change frequently and past performance may not be repeated. Tax, investment and all other decisions should be made, as appropriate, only with guidance from a qualified professional.
“TSX”® is a registered trademark of TSX Inc. and “S&P”® is a registered trademark of The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. XIU, XIC, XMD, XCS, XEG, XFN, XGD, XIT, XRE, XMA, XTR and XSP are permitted to use the S&P marks, and, as applicable, the TSX marks, pursuant to a license agreement between Standard & Poor’s, a division of The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., and BlackRock Institutional Trust Company, N.A., an affiliate of BlackRock , which has sublicensed the use of those trademarks to BlackRock, which has further sublicensed their use to the applicable funds. XIU, XIC, XMD, XCS, XEG, XFN, XGD, XIT, XRE, XMA, XTR and XSP are not sponsored, endorsed, sold or promoted by S&P, The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. or the TSX and they make no representation, condition or warranty regarding the advisability of investing in units of the funds.
DEX Universe Bond Index™, DEX Short Term Bond Index™, DEX Real Return Bond Index™, DEX Long Term Bond Index™, DEX All Government Bond Index™, and DEX All Corporate Bond Index™ are trademarks of TSX Inc. and have been licensed for use for certain purposes to BlackRock by PC-Bond, a business unit of TSX Inc. XBB, XSB, XRB, XLB, XGB and XCB are not sponsored, endorsed, sold or promoted by PC-Bond, TSX Inc., its affiliates or third party data providers and they make no representation, warranty, or condition regarding the advisability of investing in the funds.
“MSCI” is a trademark of MSCI, Inc. (“MSCI”). XBZ is permitted to use the MSCI mark pursuant to a license agreement between MSCI and BlackRock
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“MSCI” is a trademark of MSCI, Inc. (“MSCI”). XBZ is permitted to use the MSCI mark pursuant to a license agreement between MSCI and BlackRock Institutional Trust Company, N.A., relating to, among other things, the license granted to BlackRock Institutional Trust Company, N.A. to use the Indices. BlackRock Institutional Trust Company, N.A. has sublicensed the use of these trademarks to BlackRock Canada. XBZ is not sponsored, endorsed, sold or promoted by MSCI and MSCI makes no representation, condition or warranty regarding the advisability of investing in XBZ.
“FTSE™” is a trademark jointly owned by the London Stock Exchange PLC and The Financial Times Limited. “Xinhua” is a service mark and trademark of Xinhua Finance Limited. All marks are licensed for use by FTSE/Xinhua Index Limited (“FTSE”). The FTSE/Xinhua China 25 Index is calculated by or on behalf of FTSE. XCH is not sponsored, endorsed, sold or promoted by FTSE and it makes no representation, condition, warranty or recommendation regarding the advisability of investing in XCH.
“S&P®” is a registered trademark, and “S&P Latin America 40 Index™” and “S&P CNX Nifty Index” are trademarks, of Standard & Poor’s Financial Services LLC, a subsidiary of The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. (“S&P”). XLA is permitted to use the “S&P” and “S&P Latin America 40 Index” trademarks pursuant to a license agreement between S&P and BlackRock Institutional Trust Company, N.A., an affiliate of BlackRock Canada, which has sublicensed the use of those trademarks to BlackRock Canada. S&P has licensed the “S&P” and “S&P CNX Nifty Index” trademarks to India Index Services & Products Ltd. (“IISL”), and XID is permitted to use these trademarks pursuant to a license agreement between IISL and BlackRock, Inc. XLA and XID are not sponsored, endorsed, sold or promoted by S&P and it makes no representation, condition or warranty regarding the advisability of investing in Units of XLA and XID.© 2010 BlackRock Asset Management Canada Limited. All rights reserved. iShares is a registered trademark of BlackRock Institutional Trust Company, N.A. Used under license. All other trademarks, service marks or registered trademarks are the property of their respective owners.