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  • Essays on decentralisation, public services andwell-being in Indonesia

    A thesis submitted to the University of Manchester for the degree of

    Doctor of Philosophy in the Faculty of Humanities

    2013

    Sujarwoto

    School of Social Sciences

  • Contents

    Abstract vii

    Declaration and Copyright viii

    Acknowledgements ix

    Abbreviations and Glossary x

    1 Introduction 11.1 Decentralisation in Indonesia: from centralistic government to radical

    decentralisation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21.2 Assessing decentralisation literature on developing countries . . . . . . 12

    1.2.1 Positive associations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 171.2.2 Negative associations and inconclusive findings . . . . . . . . . . 221.2.3 Why does decentralisation work and not work? . . . . . . . . . 25

    1.3 Current decentralisation studies: three research gaps . . . . . . . . . . 321.3.1 The limitations of cross-country analysis and a few studies based

    on local government reform . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 341.3.2 Insufficient analysis of the consequences of decentralisation for

    subjective well-being . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 351.3.3 A limited analysis of the contextual effects of decentralisation on

    well-being . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 371.4 Research contribution . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 381.5 Research aims and questions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 391.6 Data, measures and methods . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 41

    1.6.1 Survey data and official statistics . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 421.6.2 Decentralisation and well-being measures . . . . . . . . . . . . . 461.6.3 Multilevel analyses and instrumental variables method . . . . . 52

    1.7 Description of chapters . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 54

    2 Political decentralisation and public service performance in Indonesia:Multilevel multiple indicators multiple causes (MIMIC) analysis 572.1 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 582.2 Political decentralisation and local public service performance . . . . . 62

    i

  • 2.3 The political accountability system and decentralisation in Indonesia . 672.4 Data, determinants and method . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 70

    2.4.1 The Governance Decentralisation Survey 2006 and official statistics 702.4.2 Local government performance measure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 722.4.3 Local government and household determinants . . . . . . . . . . 742.4.4 Multilevel analyses . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 76

    2.5 Results . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 782.6 Discussion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 862.7 Conclusion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 91

    3 Decentralisation and citizen happiness: Multilevel analysis of self-rated happiness in Indonesia 933.1 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 933.2 Decentralisation and happiness . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 973.3 Democracy and political transition in the contemporary Indonesia . . . 1003.4 Data, determinants and method . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 103

    3.4.1 The Indonesian Family Life Survey (IFLS) 2007 and official statis-tics . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 103

    3.4.2 Happiness and decentralisation measures . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1053.4.3 Local government determinants . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1073.4.4 Individual determinants . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1103.4.5 Multilevel analyses . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 113

    3.5 Results . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1143.6 Discussion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 122

    3.6.1 Local government economic growth, community social capital andhappiness . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 124

    3.6.2 Individual determinants of happiness . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1253.7 Conclusion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 127

    4 Decentralisation, social capital and child health in Indonesia: Instru-mental variables estimation method 1294.1 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1304.2 Social capital and health outcomes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1324.3 Community development and health in Indonesia . . . . . . . . . . . . 1374.4 Data, measures and method . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 140

    4.4.1 The Indonesian Family Life Survey (IFLS) 2007 . . . . . . . . . 1404.4.2 Measures . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1414.4.3 Instrumental variables estimation method . . . . . . . . . . . . 1484.4.4 Results . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1504.4.5 Mothers social capital and child health . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1534.4.6 Mothers social capital and child health: two-way causality? . . 155

    4.5 Discussion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1574.6 Conclusion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 162

    ii

  • 5 Public spending and healthcare demand in Indonesia: Multilevel finitemixture analysis 1635.1 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1645.2 Decentralisation, public health spending and health care demand in de-

    veloping countries . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1685.3 Indonesian healthcare reform . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1745.4 Data and method . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 179

    5.4.1 The Indonesian Socio-Economy Survey (Susenas) 2009 and offi-cial statistics . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 179

    5.4.2 Healthcare demand and fiscal decentralisation measure . . . . . 1815.4.3 Local government determinants . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1835.4.4 Individual socio-demographic determinants . . . . . . . . . . . . 1845.4.5 Multilevel finite mixture analyses . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 186

    5.5 Results . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1905.6 Discussion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1955.7 Conclusion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 200

    6 Conclusion 2026.1 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2026.2 Key findings . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2026.3 Main contributions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2076.4 Policy implications for current decentralisation and development in In-

    donesia . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2096.5 Limitations and suggestions for further research . . . . . . . . . . . . . 213

    6.5.1 Add qualitative research to enrich understanding of the processof decentralisation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 213

    6.5.2 Extend research to include longitudinal data . . . . . . . . . . . 2146.5.3 Extend research to other well-being measures . . . . . . . . . . 2156.5.4 Extend research to other decentralisation and local government

    capacity measures . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2166.5.5 Extend research to longer period of data . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2186.5.6 Extend research to cover a greater number of local government

    authorities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2196.5.7 Extend research to include spatial multilevel analyses . . . . . . 220

    A Appendix 1: Multilevel regression results and correlations 261A.1 Chapter two . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 261

    A.1.1 Multilevel regression results with factor analysis of perceived localpublic service performance . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 261

    A.2 Chapter three . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 262A.2.1 Multilevel regression results of self rated happiness with xtmixed 262A.2.2 Bivariate correlation of self rated happiness determinants . . . . 263

    A.3 Chapter five . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 266

    iii

  • A.3.1 Bivariate correlation of healthcare demand determinants . . . . 266A.3.2 The distribution of two component multilevel finite mixture neg-

    ative binomial for unconditional being ill sample . . . . . . . . . 267A.3.3 The distribution of two component multilevel finite mixture neg-

    ative binomial for conditional being ill sample . . . . . . . . . . 267

    B Appendix 2: Stata and MPlus code 268B.1 Stata code for chapter two . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 268B.2 MPlus code for chapter two . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 281B.3 Stata code for chapter three . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 284B.4 Stata code for chapter four . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 298B.5 Stata code for chapter five . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 328B.6 MPlus code for chapter five . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 340

    iv

  • List of Tables

    Table 1.1: Decentralisation in Indonesia and other developing countries . . . 9Table 1.2: Summary of decentralisation studies in developing countries . . . 13Table 1.3: Research gaps . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33Table 1.4: Data sources and samples used in the study . . . . . . . . . . . . 42Table 1.5: Decentralisation and well-being measures . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 49

    Table 2.1: Description of perceived local public service performance determi-nants . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 73

    Table 2.2: Summary statistics of analytic sample . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 74Table 2.3: Centroids correlation of public service index . . . . . . . . . . . . 79Table 2.4: Results of multilevel regression of local public service performance 84

    Table 3.1: Summary statistics of analytic sample . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 107Table 3.2: Centroid correlations of self-rated happiness . . . . . . . . . . . . 115Table 3.3: Results of multilevel regression of self-rated happiness . . . . . . . 117Table 3.4: Results of multilevel regression of self-rated happiness for cross

    level interactions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 120

    Table 4.1: Distribution of mothers social capital . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 139Table 4.2: Summary statistics of analytic sample . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 142Table 4.3: Bivariate correlation of selected determinants . . . . . . . . . . . 153Table 4.4: Results of second stage regression . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 154Table 4.5: Results of first stage regression . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 156

    Table 5.1: Distribution of length of hospital stay . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 182Table 5.2: Summary statistics of analytic sample . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 182Table 5.3: Centroids correlation of average length of hospital stay . . . . . . 191Table 5.4: Model selection results . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 192Table 5.5: Results of multilevel finite mixture negative binomial . . . . . . . 193

    v

  • List of Figures

    Figure 1.1: Map of Indonesia 2009 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3Figure 1.2: Trend of government spending in Indonesia 1994-2007 . . . . . . 5Figure 1.3: Distribution of intergovernmental fiscal transfer in Indonesia be-

    tween 2001 and 2009 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6Figure 1.4: Percentage of GDP allocated to public spending, 2008 . . . . . . 7Figure 1.5: Local direct elections in Indonesia 2005-2009 . . . . . . . . . . . 8Figure 1.6: A framework of the linkages between decentralisation, its condi-

    tions and outcomes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28Figure 1.7: Schematic research framework for this study . . . . . . . . . . . 53

    Figure 2.1: Distribution of perceived local public service performance across120 local governments . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 79

    Figure 2.2: Distribution of highest and lowest perceived service performance 79Figure 2.3: Bivariate correlation of selected local government determinants . 82

    Figure 3.1: Distribution of average self-rated happiness across 262 local gov-ernments . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 115

    Figure 3.2: Five highest and lowest ranks of aggregate happiness . . . . . . . 115

    Figure 4.1: Distribution of social groups across local governments . . . . . . 138Figure 4.2: Distribution of height for age across local governments . . . . . . 151Figure 4.3: Distribution of weight for age across local governments . . . . . . 152Figure 4.4: Distribution of height and weight for age by mothers social capital 152

    Figure 5.1: Indonesia health spending from 1995 to 2008 . . . . . . . . . . . 176Figure 5.2: Transfer of health spending since decentralisation . . . . . . . . . 177Figure 5.3: Distribution of average length of hospital stay in 471 local govern-

    ments . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 191

    vi

  • The University of ManchesterSujarwoto

    PhD in Social ChangeEssays on decentralisation, public services and well-being in Indonesia

    7th February 2013Abstract

    Decentralisation has been viewed as one means for promoting citizen well-being bybringing public goods and services closer to local needs. Yet empirical evidence acrossdeveloping countries shows mixed results. This study aims to examine the associationbetween decentralisation, public services and well-being in decentralised Indonesia. Itargues that decentralisation enhances citizen well-being through improved local gov-ernment capacity better able to deliver public goods and services. With lack of localgovernment capacity and accountability, decentralisation decreases well-being.

    This study contributes to existing research on decentralisation and well-being inthree ways. First, while most studies discuss decentralisation and well-being in a cross-country context, this examines the relationship in a cross-local government context, andspecifically within a developing country. Second, while most decentralisation studiesfocus on objective measures of well-being, this study uses both a subjective measure (i.e.happiness and citizen satisfaction with public services) and an objective measure (i.e.child health and healthcare demand). Third, while most studies use either aggregate orindividual analyses to examine the effect of decentralisation on well-being, this studyuses multilevel analysis to examine the effect of local government determinants onindividual well-being.

    This study uses unique datasets which combine individual and household level dataand local government data. Individual and household level data is taken from the Gov-ernance and Decentralisation Survey (GDS) 2006, the Indonesian Family Life Survey(IFLS) 2007, and the Indonesia socio-economic survey (Susenas) 2009. Local govern-ment level data comes from the national village census (Podes) 2006-2008, the nationalelection database 2004-2007, the national health database 2009, local development bud-get and expenditure information 2004-2008, and the consumer prices indices 2004-2009.

    The main findings show that well-being among Indonesians varies across local gov-ernments, and that disparities in both public services and well-being appear betweenmore developed and less developed regions. Well-being is not only associated with indi-vidual and household determinants, but also with local government determinants. Theresults are consistent, namely, that variation in well-being is associated with the ca-pacity of local governments to deliver public goods and services. Citizens report beinghappier and more satisfied when local governments are able to provide better publicgoods and services for them (i.e. able to spend more of their budget on providing publicservices). In contrast, well-being decreases in the face of local corruption and of weakcapacity to govern. These findings suggest that improving local government capacity toprovide effective policies and good public services is vital to improve citizen well-beingin decentralised Indonesia.

    vii

  • Declaration

    No portion of the work referred to in the thesis has been submitted in support of anapplication for another degree or qualification of this or any other university or otherinstitute of learning.

    Copyright

    1. The author of this thesis (including any appendices and/or schedules to this thesis)owns certain copyright or related rights in it (the Copyright) and s/he has givenThe University of Manchester certain rights to use such Copyright, including foradministrative purposes.

    2. Copies of this thesis, either in full or in extracts and whether in hard or electroniccopy, may be made only in accordance with the Copyright, Designs and PatentsAct 1988 (as amended) and regulations issued under it or, where appropriate, inaccordance with licensing agreements which the University has from time to time.This page must form part of any such copies made.

    3. The ownership of certain Copyright, patents, designs, trade marks and other intel-lectual property (the Intellectual Property) and any reproductions of copyrightworks in the thesis, for example graphs and tables (Reproductions), which maybe described in this thesis, may not be owned by the author and may be ownedby third parties. Such Intellectual Property and Reproductions cannot and mustnot be made available for use without the prior written permission of the owner(s)of the relevant Intellectual Property and/or Reproductions.

    4. Further information on the conditions under which disclosure, publication andcommercialisation of this thesis, the Copyright and any Intellectual Propertyand/or Reproductions described in it may take place is available in the UniversityIP Policy (see www.campus.manchester.ac.uk/medialibrary/policies/intellectual-property.pdf), in any relevant Thesis restriction declarations deposited in the Uni-versity Library, The University Librarys regulations (see www.manchester.ac.uk/library/aboutus/regulations) and in The Universitys policy on presentation ofTheses.

    viii

  • Acknowledgements

    Over the last four years, I have never been short of other people to guide me in writingmy thesis, to spur my development as a scientist, or to help me relax after (or during)a day of hard work. For their help in starting, continuing, and finishing this thesis, Ifeel very much obliged to express my special gratitude to some of them.

    First and foremost of the long list of those to whom I must express my gratitude aremy supervisors, Gindo Tampubolon and Ronnie Ramlogan for their excellent supervi-sion and persistent support throughout my study of the doctoral programme. Gindohas given me supervision in many respects. He has taught me how good quantitativeresearch is done and has given me enormous assistance in dealing with survey datausing statistical packages such as STATA and MPLUS. Overall, I am thankful for allhis contributions of time, ideas and techniques. Thank you for your advice and sug-gestions, and for reading my papers, drafts, and chapters over and over again. Yoursupervision has certainly made me a better researcher.

    The members of Institute for Social Change at the University of Manchester havecontributed to the completion of this work. I am especially grateful to David Cutts,Edward Fieldhouse and Jennifer Birchall, to name just a few, for their assistance,comments and discussions on the work at various stages. To my colleagues Adi, Devi,Citra and Asri, what moments of great joy, enormous stress, and huge ambition havewe shared the last couple of years. It is hard to imagine how I would have managedto complete my thesis without your suggestions and companionship. Having goodcolleagues is very helpful in writing a PhD thesis, as is having nice friends.

    I must also express my gratitude to Indonesian government, for the funding of mydoctoral programme. It would have been impossible to have come to a smooth comple-tion of the research project without its grant assistance. A very special debt is owedto Mbak Ria in University of Brawijaya for her work in financial administration andlogistic assistance. I also thank the Harvard Kennedy School Indonesia for giving mean opportunity to spend two months at the Harvard Kennedy School of Government asa visiting scholar. Strolling around Boston and Cambridge was not only a life changingexperience in itself, my stay at Harvard has also truly propelled my career as a socialscientist.

    Finally, I would like to thank my family members for all their love: for my parentswho choose me with care and love; for my wife, Tri Yumarni, and my son, Danish, fortheir understanding, support and encouragement. A special acknowledgment goes tomy late father-in-law, Muji Pranoto, who had lived with my core family for years andhad spent much time taking care of my son but very sorrowfully passed away beforethe completion of the doctoral thesis.

    ix

  • Abbreviations and Glossary

    AIC Akaike Information Criterion.arisan or binda a form of rotating savings and credit association in Indone-

    sian culture.Askes (Asuransi kesehatan) health insurance for Indonesian civil

    servant.Askeskin (Asuransi kesehatan masyarakat miskin) health insurance

    for poor people in Indonesia.BIC Bayesian Information Criterion.BPS (Badan Pusat Statistik) The Indonesian governments Cen-

    tral Bureau of Statistics.Bupati/walikota mayor or head of local government in Indonesia.CFI Comparative Fix Index.CPI Consumer Price Index.DPRD (Dewan Perwakilan Rakyat Daerah) local government par-

    liament body in Indonesia.GDP Gross Domestic Product.GDS Governance Decentralisation Survey.GLLAMM generalised linear latent and mixed models.Golkar (Golongan Karya) the ruling political party during

    Suhartos autocratic regime.Gotong royong Generalised reciprocity both in rural and urban areas.ICC Intra Class Correlation.IDR Indonesia Rupiah.IFLS Indonesian Family Life Survey.IRT Item Response Theory.Jamkesmas (Jaminan kesehatan masyarakat) Community health protec-

    tion scheme in Indonesia.Kabupaten/kota district or local government in Indonesias term.Karangtaruna youth group organisation in Indonesia culture.Kelompok pengajian muslim religious group in Indonesia culture.Kelompok kebaktian christian/catholic religious group in Indonesia culture.Kelompok wanita women groups in Indonesia.Kerja bakti a form of voluntary labour in Indonesia culture.Koperasi a form of business organisation which is organised based on

    common interest within communities.

    1

    x

  • MIMIC Multiple Indicators Multiple Causes.MoH The Ministry of Health.Musyawarah a form of discussions and sharing of ideas or opinions among

    community members to solve problems within community.Ndihma Ekonomike the name of Albanias poverty-alleviation program in the

    early 1990s.OECD Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development.Orde Baru New Order regime in Indonesia from 1965 to 1998.Panchayats the oldest system of local government in the Indian subcon-

    tinent. The word panchayat literally means assembly (ayat)of five (panch) wise and respected elders chosen and acceptedby the local community.

    PDI (Partai Demokrasi Indonesia Perjuangan) Indonesia Demo-cratic Party.

    PPP (Partai Persatuan Pembangunan) Indonesia United Devel-opment Party.

    PKK (Pendidikan Kesejahteraan Keluarga) a group of women inIndonesia, guided by the idea that improving family welfareby providing village women with improved basic skills buildsthe foundation for a better society.

    Persatuan kematian funeral group in Indonesia culture.Pilkadal (Pemilihan kepala daerah langsung) direct local government

    election in Indonesia.Podes (Potensi Desa) Village Potential Census.Propinsi Province in Indonesia government structure.PT Askes Indonsia state owned enterprise engaged in health insurance.Puskesmas (Pusat kesehatan masyarakat) Community health centre.RMSEA Root-Mean Square Error of Approximation.rukun warga neighbourhood association in Indonesia culture.SIKD (Sistem Informasi Keuangan Daerah) Indonesian develop-

    ment budget and expenditure information system.Susenas Indonesian Socio Economic Survey.UNDP United Nation Development Programme.USD United State Dollars.WHO-CDC World Health Organisation, Centers for Disease Control and

    Prevention.WLSV weighted least-square with mean and variance adjustment.

    1xi

  • Chapter 1

    Introduction

    In her book Going local: decentralisation, democratisation, and the promise of good

    governance (2007), Merilee S. Grindle writes that in the early twenty-first century the

    quality of local governments presents new relevance to the well-being of people across

    developing countries. Although having long played some role in the management of local

    affairs, they have now been given many new responsibilities, provided with increased

    resources, and allowed greater autonomy to decide local policies and services aimed at

    promoting citizen well-being. Decentralisation of fiscal, administrative, and political

    responsibilities has transformed local government into the central actor in delivering

    local public services and enhancing citizen well-being. Bardhan and Mookherjee (2006)

    explain that this phenomenon is geographically widespread, from Latin America, Africa,

    and Asia to Eastern Europe. The earliest changes were initiated in the 1970s, picked

    up momentum in the 1980s, and accelerated after the 1990s (World Bank, 2008a).

    Focusing on this increasing role of local government, this study aims to examine

    the consequences of decentralisation reform on public services and citizen well-being,

    and to find answers to the following: When local governments are charged with new

    responsibilities and provided with new resources, to what extent can they promote

    public services and citizen well-being? Why are some local governments more effective

    than others in promoting well-being? What are the implications of decentralisation

    1

  • reform for local public service performance and citizen well-being? To answer these

    questions, I refer to the decentralisation experience of Indonesia.

    Throughout this study, decentralisation refers to the formal and informal mecha-

    nisms and rules that allocate political authority and resources downward to the various

    levels of government (Grindle, 2007). My main focus is the decentralisation of political

    authority and resources to local governments below state or provincial level. Local

    government thus refers to district level government. This distinction is meaningful in

    countries such as Indonesia which are of a large enough size that provincial governments

    form an intermediate tier between national and local governments1. This distinguishes

    this enquiry from prior studies which provide a comparative perspective of how ad-

    ministrative decentralisation affects states or provinces within federated systems across

    developed and developing countries (see for instance Rodden et al., 2003). In such con-

    texts, my main interest is the devolution of responsibilities and resources from central

    to local government2.

    1.1 Decentralisation in Indonesia: from centralistic

    government to radical decentralisation

    Made up of over 13,000 islands covering 8.8 million square kilometres (a distance roughly

    equal to that between London and Baghdad), Indonesia is home to over 228 million

    people. The largest islands are Sumatra, Java (the most populous), Bali, Kalimantan

    1As in China and India, a typical province in Indonesia is larger (in terms of size of population)than most countries in the world, and so decentralisation in the sense of devolution of power to theprovincial state government may still keep power over people somewhat centralised.

    2In countries with a long history of centralised control such as Russia, China or India, by decen-tralisation public administrators often mean the dispersion of some responsibilities to regional branchoffices at the local level. For the purpose of this study, I distinguish decentralisation in the sense ofdevolution of political decision-making power from such mere administrative delegation of functions ofcentral government to their local branches.

    2

  • (Indonesias part of Borneo), Sulawesi (Celebes), the Nusa Tenggara islands, and Papua,

    the western part of New Guinea. Its neighbour to the north is Malaysia and to the east

    is Papua New Guinea.

    Figure 1.1 : Map of Indonesia 2009

    Sumatra

    Java

    Kalimantan SulawesiPapua

    Nusa tenggara

    Jakarta

    BaliSource: author calculated based on Indonesia shape files 2007

    Indonesia is a unitary state with a presidential system. As such, provincial and

    local governments are the creation of central government. Hence, local governments

    generally act based on authority delegated to them by legislation or by the directives of

    central government. From 1965 until 1998, the country was under a centralised govern-

    ment. During this period, local governments were controlled by the highly centralistic

    government of the New Order. They had little right and no authority to decide local

    laws and preferences, as all policy were decided by central government agencies. Any

    notion of local development was non-existent, since all development initiatives came

    from central government in Jakarta. This centralistic political order resulted in not

    only a lack of democracy but also a high dependency of local governments on central

    government3.

    3See Ricklefs (2001) for elaboration of the history and historiography of the New Order regime inIndonesia. See Turner et al. (2003) for an elaboration on political system and decentralisation inIndonesia before and after 1999.

    3

  • A number of attempts were made by Indonesian government since its independence

    to enhance local government autonomy, but these efforts were often side-tracked by po-

    litical considerations4. However, the economic and political crisis in Indonesia in 1998

    triggered radical decentralisation reform in 19995. This reform has changed Indonesias

    political system from one of highly centralised to highly decentralised government, a

    radical reform which has devolved all central government functions to local government

    level, except for national defence, international relations, justice, police, monetary pol-

    icy, development planning, religion, and finance, which are retained at the centre. Local

    governments are now obliged to perform a set of key functions. These include the pro-

    vision of health, education, environmental and infrastructure services, and are designed

    to perform any functions not explicitly reserved for either the centre or the provinces

    (World Bank, 2003).

    This radical decentralisation also brings substantial resources to local governments.

    The bill on intergovernmental fiscal transfer set out a revised framework for the coun-

    try (Kaiser and Hofman, 2003; World Bank, 2003). This replaces the old system of

    earmarked grants and centralised control over local finances with one in which a gen-

    eral allocation fund or dana alokasi umum and shared taxes provide the bulk of local

    revenue6. Figure 1.2 describes government spending trends in Indonesia between 2001

    4See Devas (1989), Kaiser and Hofman (2003) and Turner (2003) for further discussion of theseissues.

    5The Asian financial crisis that began to affect Indonesia in mid-1997 became an economic andpolitical crisis. Its effects were severe: by November 1997, rapid currency depreciation had seen publicdebt reach USD$60 billion, imposing a severe strain on the governments budget. In 1998, actual GDPcontracted by 13.7%. The economy reached its lowest point in mid-1999 and actual GDP growth for theyear was 0.3%. Inflation reached 77% in 1998 but slowed to 2% in 1999. The rupiah, which had been inthe range of IDR2,600 to USD1 at the start of August 1997 fell to IDR11,000 to USD1 by January 1998,with spot rates around IDR15,000 for brief periods during the first half of 1998. It returned to aroundIDR8,000 to USD1 at the end of 1998 and has generally traded in the IDR8,000-10,000 to USD1 rangeever since, with fluctuations that are relatively predictable and gradual (World Bank, 2003). Thiseconomic crisis de-legitimised the regime. Widespread social unrest erupted, and after the regime fellin May 1998, a number of fundamental changes in the Indonesian political and administration systemtook place. One of the most fundamental was the radical decentralisation formulated in 1999.

    6The general allocation fund or dana alokasi umum is a grant through which equalisation paymentsare made, and is designed to ensure that local governments have adequate and similar capacities. By

    4

  • and 2007. Decentralisaton almost doubled the regional share of government spending,

    from about 17% in 1994 to over 30% of total government expenditure after 2001. By

    2007, this share had grown to over 40% (Figure 1.2).

    Figure 1.2 : Trend of government spending in Indonesia 1994-2007

    Con

    stan

    t 200

    0 pr

    ices

    , Rp.

    Tril

    lion

    Decentralisation bills

    Transfer to local governments

    Central government spending

    0

    50

    100

    150

    0

    50

    100

    150

    1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

    Subsidies

    Source: author calculated based on World Bank (2008c)

    The distribution of intergovernmental transfer since decentralisation has also sig-

    nificantly increased. Most local governments have received more than double since the

    beginning of decentralisation. Some local governments (Papua and Aceh) received an

    even larger transfer in 2009, about triple that received in 2001 (Figure 1.3).

    law, at least 26% of net domestic revenue has to be transferred to local governments through this fund(Ministry of Finance, 2009). The general allocation fund is the most important tool of the transfersystem, financing more than 80% of local government expenditure (World Bank, 2008). The schemehas substantially contributed to closing fiscal gaps in Indonesias poorer regions.

    5

  • Figure 1.3 : Distribution of intergovernmental fiscal transfer in Indonesia between

    2001 and 2009

    Source: author calculated based on Indonesian local government development budget and expenditure information (SIKD) 20012009 data

    > 200%150200%100150%< 100%

    Decentralisation also encourages local governments to increase their public spending.

    In 1998, the national public spending average was about 23% of GDP, increasing to

    about 35% of GDP in 2008. This increase is mainly due to the significant growth

    in public spending at local government level. Figure 1.4 presents the share of public

    spending in terms of GDP for a selected range of local governments in 2008 (World

    Bank, 2008c). For example, the local governments of Kepulauan Aru and Paniai (in

    Papua province) allocated about 90% of GDP for public spending in 2008, a proportion

    higher than that of the United Kingdom, France, Denmark and Sweden. However, there

    is also evidence that some local governments are lagging behind in their spending. For

    example, the local government of Kupang in Nusa Tenggara Timur province has spent

    below 20% of its GDP for public spending, a proportion comparable to Bangladesh and

    Afghanistan over the same period.

    6

  • Figure 1.4 : Percentage of GDP allocated to public spending, 2008

    Kab. Kepulauan Aru

    Kab. Kutai Barat

    Kab. Kayong Utara

    Kab. Gianyar

    Kab. Paniai

    Kab. Maros

    Kab. Buton Utara

    Kota Kupang

    Iraq

    FranceDenmark

    Indonesia

    Sweden

    BangladeshAfghanistan

    Kab. Yapen Waropen

    Kab. Wakatobi Kab. Simelue

    United Kingdom

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100Pu

    blic

    spen

    ding

    as

    % o

    f GDP

    Local governments Countries Source: author calculated based on SIKD 2008 and World Development Indicators 2008

    Decentralisation not only brings change to the fiscal transfer system but also to the

    local political system, shifting the balance from a largely top-down form of government

    to one of local political accountability (Erb and Sulistiyanto, 2009). Between 1999 and

    2004, local parliaments were directly elected. However, mayors or bupati/walikota were

    indirectly elected. Under this system, local parliaments elect mayors, and can dismiss

    them through rejection of their annual accountability speech. Further powers rested

    in the local parliaments or Dewan Perwakilan Rakyat Daerah include approval of the

    annual local budget and of local laws and regulations.

    Concerns around indirect political accountability triggered a second wave of local

    government electoral reform in terms of direct elections or pilkada langsung (Erb and

    Sulistiyanto, 2009). Starting in 2005, mayors were elected along direct (and more pres-

    idential) rather than parliamentary lines. This reform made the mayor more directly

    accountable to the people. Legislation regarding local government elections also stip-

    ulated that the mayor should (1) manage their jurisdiction along guidelines laid down

    7

  • by local parliament, (2) implement local laws, including budget law, (3) present annual

    accountability reports to the local parliament and central government, and (4) provide

    information to citizens on the governments performance.

    Based on the local government election bill or pilkada amendment, central govern-

    ment decided to conduct the first batch of direct local government elections in June

    2005 in those local governments where the local parliament speakers had come to the

    end of their tenure. By 2009 all local governments had directly elected mayors (Figure

    1.5).

    Figure 1.5: Local direct elections in Indonesia 2005-2009

    Direct election

    Indirect election

    0

    100

    200

    300

    400

    500

    0

    100

    200

    300

    400

    500

    2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

    Nu

    mb

    er

    of

    loc

    al

    go

    ve

    rnm

    en

    ts

    Source: author calculated based on Indonesian local government election data (The Ministry of Home Affairs, 2010)

    Radical decentralisation reform in Indonesia has unique characteristics compared

    to that which has taken place in Africa, Asia and South America countries. Bardhan

    and Mookherjee (2006) for example identify three forms of decentralisation in several

    countries across these continents (including Indonesia); they base their classification

    8

  • on motive for decentralisation, and the nature of each countrys political and economic

    decentralisation. Table 1.1 presents these categories and the countries within each.

    Table 1.1: Decentralisation in Indonesia and other developing countries

    Countries Motives Nature of political Nature of economicdecentralisation decentralisation

    1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8Indonesia (2001) Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes YesMalaysia No No No Yes No No No NoPhilippines Yes No No Yes Yes Yes No YesChina (1978) No No No Yes No Yes No NoIndia (1994) No No No No Yes No No NoPakistan (2000) No No Yes Yes No No No NoBrazil (1988) Yes Yes No No Yes Yes No YesUganda (1987-2004) No No No No Yes No No NoSouth Africa (2000) Yes Yes No Yes Yes Yes Yes NoNote: 1: transition to democracy, 2: change in political party power, 3:radical approach, 4: uniform, 5: direct election, 6: financial autonomy, 7: sizeof fiscal transfer >30%, 8: responsibility of most public functions

    1

    In 2001, Indonesia embarked on a programme of comprehensive decentralisation that

    was implemented simultaneously throughout the entire country within a short period

    of time. The reform was introduced as part of the transition to democracy following

    the collapse of the autocratic regime and subsequent weakening of central government

    power in the face of strengthening regional interests. The previous centralised regime

    had been associated with high levels of inequality in terms of interregional allocation of

    funds, poor service delivery, and high levels of corruption. External pressures (such as

    international donor agenda and ideological considerations) played a relatively small role

    in the transition (Kaiser and Hofman, 2003; Kaiser et al., 2006; Kruse et al., 2012; Erb

    and Sulistiyanto, 2009; World Bank, 2003). This motivation behind decentralisation is

    noticeably different from that of other countries, such as China, Malaysia, India, Pak-

    istan and Uganda. China and Malaysia for example are characterised by a long tradition

    of centralised political power monopolised by a single ruler or one party. Decentral-

    9

  • isation in these countries represents more a combination of more extensive economic

    decentralisation with the near absence of local democracy (Bardhan and Mookherjee,

    2006). Pakistan represents a different extreme, where state bureaucrats have become

    subordinate to elected district officials, at least at the de jure level. China represents

    the other extreme, with unelected local government officials subordinate to those at

    more central level.

    Decentralisation in Indonesia was both political and economic in nature. Local

    governments were provided with political authority independent of the centre, regular

    direct local mayoral and parliamentary elections were conducted, and responsibility

    over most local social services (including primary education, health, infrastructure, and

    welfare) was devolved from the centre. This mode of decentralisation and the degree of

    public function transfer differ from those which occurred in Malaysia and China (where

    there is no regular direct election for mayors and parliaments) and Malaysia and India

    (where local governments have no jurisdiction over the administration of basic services,

    such as primary education and health). The common feature of decentralisation in

    these countries is that local governments remain essentially subordinate to the dominant

    power at national level, are elected (if at all) in a partyless election, have no independent

    (or at least limited) constitutional authority or protection, and can be dismissed or

    neutralised by higher levels of government. As a consequent, local governments typically

    have limited authority to formulate and to implement policies or programmes related

    to most public functions (Bardhan and Mookherjee, 2006). In Malaysia and China for

    example local governments have little authority over the personnel they hire, especially

    with respect to pay and service conditions (and salaries represent a significant part of

    local government costs).

    Also in contrast to many other decentralised developing countries, the size of fiscal

    decentralisation in Indonesia is specific in terms of devolution of fiscal resources and

    10

  • generation of revenue power. Local governments here have received substantial fund

    transfers - more than thirty per cent of central government budget (World Bank, 2008),

    substantially more than other Asian countries such as Philippines and Malaysia (where

    it is less than twenty per cent) and certain countries in South America. Furthermore,

    intergovernmental transfers in Indonesia are largely formula-bound, greatly reducing

    the scope for interference at upper levels of government (Kaiser et al., 2006). Local

    governments thus are able to exercise relatively strong power and have the freedom

    to generate local, own-source revenue from taxes. In most other developing countries,

    spending mandates have not been comfortably covered by devolved funds, giving rise

    to considerable fiscal strain. In Malaysia for example, local governments have no right

    to generate taxes.

    It is widely agreed that radical decentralisation in Indonesia has provided local

    governments with increased authority to devise their own policies and programmes (see

    for example Kaiser and Hofman (2003); Kaiser et al. (2006); Kruse et al. (2012);

    Erb and Sulistiyanto (2009); World Bank (2003)). This has widely increased their role

    in managing public services for the benefit of local citizens. Local governments also

    have better access to sources of revenue. However, although research has discussed the

    consequences of decentralisation in Indonesia in terms of various development outcomes,

    relatively few studies have examined the relationship between this decentralisation and

    the well-being of its citizens. The next section reviews the literature on decentralisation

    in developing countries and outlines the research gaps which this study attempts to

    address.

    11

  • 1.2 Assessing decentralisation literature on devel-

    oping countries

    This section outlines some of the attempts that have been made to empirically evaluate

    the impact of decentralisation on the delivery of public services and on well-being in

    developing countries. Even though decentralisation is continuing to be implemented in

    many of these countries, quantitative evidence on its impact is rather scarce. There

    are a number of scattered studies that I will try to arrange in terms of the nature of

    empirical methodology followed. Overall, the conclusions are mixed and the relationship

    they attempt to establish is at times elusive. Table 1.2 provides a summary of some

    of the prominent studies in this area from the last two decades which show positive,

    negative and inconclusive relationships between decentralisation and public services and

    various measures of well-being across developing countries.

    12

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    bes

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    der

    son

    and

    Kunco

    ro,

    2004

    )

    Use

    larg

    enu

    mb

    erof

    firm

    san

    dso

    phis

    tica

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    stat

    is-

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    ethod

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    lyuse

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    ive

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    alis

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    al.,

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    )U

    selo

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    Hea

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    loca

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    spec

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    Qual

    itat

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    ugh

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    bud-

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    ease

    wel

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    occ

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    07)

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    ure

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    pit

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    fras

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    iver

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    ean

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    pan

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    s,but

    only

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    ited

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    ber

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