epa's travel efficiency assessment method (team ... · 10/20/2016 · 2017 case studies...
TRANSCRIPT
EPA’s Travel Efficiency Assessment Method (TEAM):
Development and Case Studies
Presented by:
United States Environmental Projection Agency
Office of Transportation and Air Quality
Thursday October 20, 2016
2:00 PM - 3:00 PM EST
Housekeeping
• Please use the Q & A pod within Adobe Connect to send questions. We will try to respond to as many as possible throughout the webinar
• Please direct any technical issues to: [email protected]
NOTE: Audio should be coming through your computer’s speakers. Please ensure that your computer’s volume is properly adjusted
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Agenda
• Introduction
• Issue and Background
• Atlanta Regional Commission - David D'Onofrio
• East West Gateway - Lubna Shoaib
• MetroPlan Orlando - Gary Huttmann
• Next round of TEAM Case Studies
• Questions
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U.S. Greenhouse Gas Emissions by Sector
4
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
8000
1990 1995 2000 2005 2010
GH
G E
mis
sio
ns
(MM
mt
CO
2e)
Commercial Residential Agriculture
Industry Electricity generation Transportation
Source: Inventory of U.S. Greenhouse Gas Emissions and Sinks: 1990-2014 (April 2016)
U.S. Transportation GHG Emission Sources
5Source: Inventory of U.S. Greenhouse Gas Emissions and Sinks: 1990-2014 (April 2016)
Light Duty Vehicles
60%
Medium Duty Vehicles
23%
Aircraft8%
Other4%
Ships and Boats
2%
Rail2%
Atmospheric concentrations of CO2 need to be stabilized at or below 450 ppm
• 80% reduction target are needed to limit 2° C warming
6Source: US EPA/OTAQ/TCD ATLAS, based on AEO 2015 and LD + HD GHG rules.
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050
MM
mt
CO
2
Transportation Sector Lifecycle Emissions Paris Agreement Reducton Targets
Where we’re headed
Where we need to go
Travel Efficiency (TE) Strategies
Strategies to reduce emissions by affecting travel
activity – examples:
• Travel demand management• Telecommuting • Transit Subsidies • Carpool and Vanpool Programs
• Changes to public transit• Reduced Fares • Increased Frequency, Range
• Travel pricing• Road Pricing, Parking Pricing
• Changes to land use• TOD, Mixed Use,
Jobs/Housing Balance
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The Travel Efficiency Assessment Method
• TEAM is a methodology to assess multi-pollutant emission reductions from TE strategies at the local, state and national level
• Modification of traditional 4-step model
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Local Data and Strategies
Sketch ModelChange in VMT, Trips, Fleet Mix
MOVES Emissions Assessment
The Travel Efficiency Assessment Method
• TEAM approach demonstrations
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National scale assessment
(All 541 MSAs)
1st series of case studies:
• Tucson• Kansas City• Boston
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
2nd series of case studies:
• St. Louis• Atlanta• Orlando
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David D'Onofrio
Principal Planner
Air Quality & Climate Change Program
Atlanta Regional Commission
The Atlanta Region
Legend
City Center / Job CentersEstablished Urban CoreSuburbanDeveloping SuburbsRural Areas
Legend
City of AtlantaMARTA RailExpressways
Past Climate Change Work at ARC
Emission Inventory
Scenario Planning
Project Evaluation
Community Design
035
034032
032
6.2 5.3
4.6
4.1
-
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
-
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
2017 2024 2030 2040
Pe
r C
apit
a C
O2
e E
mis
sio
ns
(to
ns/
pe
rso
n/y
ear
)
Tota
l Tra
nsp
ort
atio
n N
etw
ork
CO
2e
Em
issi
on
s (t
on
s/ye
ar)
Mill
ion
s
Year
Total Network CO2e Emissions Per Capita CO2e Emissions
80% below 2005 per capita level
Past Climate Change Work at ARC
Results
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Scenario Applied to Total 2040 Reductions
• Expand telework and guaranteed ride home
Employees in 5 county core area of 20+ counties
• 12 million VMT/day• 2.8 million kg/day GHG • 124 kg/day PM2.5• 535 kg/day NOx• 414 kg/day VOC• Improve transit access times 5 county area
• Parking pricing 5 county area
• Increase density and mixed use land use 5 county area
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Lubna Shoaib
Division Manager
East-West Gateway Council of Governments
Bi State MPO
Eight counties
2.8 Million population
4,500 square miles
Geographical Location
Freight
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We are…
• Region’s interest in addressing air quality issues: Long Range Plan and OneSTL
• One of 10 guiding principles in LRP: linking transportation planning to environmental sustainability
• Regional plan for sustainable development OneSTL, with goals and strategies for the region to build a more sustainable future
• City of St. Louis Mayor signed the Compact of Mayors
• Minimal level of familiarity with sketch planning tools for emissions
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Motivation...
Employment Projections– Access to Jobs
Universities and millennials
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Scenarios...
Scenario 1 – Regional Transit Oriented Development Initiative Increase transit oriented development around 7 existing LRT station --- sustainable development
Scenario 2 - Regional Transit Oriented Development Initiative and Workforce Housing Balance InitiativeBalance housing and employment density --- affordable housing
Scenario 3 - Regional Transit Oriented Development Initiative and Workforce Housing Balance Initiative with Bicycle/Pedestrian Infrastructure
Complete bicycle and pedestrian network --- access to employment, mode choices, transit dependent population
Scenario 4 - Regional Transit Oriented Development Initiative and Workforce Housing Balance Initiative with Bike/Ped Infrastructure and Transit Expansion
Transit expansion --- access to employment, mode choices, transit dependent population
Results
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Scenario Applied to Total 2040 Reductions
• TOD near existing light rail stations 3 county core area
• 1.9 million VMT/day• 440,000 kg/day GHG • 16 kg/day PM2.5• 103 kg/day NOx• 80 kg/day VOC
• Increase residential density and mixed development
5 county area
• Complete bicycle and pedestrian network 5 county area
• Complete light rail system 5 county area
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Gary Huttmann, AICP
Deputy Executive Director
Metroplan Orlando
ONE MILLION MORETwo million people… and by 2040,
66.1 millionvisitors in 2015
Source: Visit Orlando
Cost of Congestion
Source:
Texas Transportation Institute’s 2015 Urban Mobility Scorecard
46 hoursstuck in traffic
$1,044per commuter
Transit Focus
Results
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Scenario Applied to Total 2040 Reductions
• Expand employer programs including transit pass
Sub-pop. of 3 county area
• 4.6 million VMT/day• 1.1 million kg/day GHG • 39 kg/day PM2.5• 201 kg/day NOx• 117 kg/day VOC
• Improve transit access and travel times Sub-pop. of 3 county area
• VMT pricing for entire region Sub-pop. of 3 county area
• Unlimited transit pass for with tuition and university employment
Sub-pop. of 3 county area
TEAM Next Steps
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2016 2017 2018
2nd series of case studies:
• St. Louis• Atlanta• Orlando
Next series of case studies
featuring:Your
community
We will soon be soliciting letters of interest for our
next round of case studies and we would invite all
interested parties to apply
2017 Case Studies
• Opening eligibility to smaller sized areas
• Offering support for • Assessing emission reductions under alternative travel efficiency scenarios
(i.e., as in previous case studies), or
• Greenhouse gas planning activities, e.g., developing a GHG inventory of the transportation sector
• Have other ideas that would foster GHG planning/emission reductions? Let us know
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For more information on the TEAM approach, TEAM case studies, and other useful documents, please visit:
https://www.epa.gov/state-and-local-transportation/estimating-road-greenhouse-gas-emissions
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Questions?
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