EPA Region 3

23 employees 866 employees

43 employees

21 employees

Children6,728,627 23%

Rural Children 2,355,019 35%

Urban Children 4,373,608 65%

Total Population in Region III 27,820,058

Major Cities

People

Current Mid-Atlantic Land Cover

• 70% Forest Cover• 25% Agriculture• 2%

Urban/Disturbed Areas

• 3% Other

How do we best protectpublic health and the environmentin Region 3?

Policy (or strategic direction)= Values x Indicators

Policy (or strategic direction): •What shall we work on, •Where shall we work, •How should we work,

Values:•What do we care about•How much do we care about each “what”?

Indicators:•What data best describes what we care about?

P=VI What is it?

PRIMARY LEVEL SECONDARY LEVEL THIRD LEVEL FOURTH LEVEL

Area Wide

Data Fit Population weighted

Design Value weighted

Attn. Threshold weighted

Area Wide

Region III Data Scatter Population weighted

Design Value weighted

Attn. Threshold weighted

Worst Outlier

Area Wide

Data Fit Population weighted

Design Value weighted

Attn. Threshold weighted

Area Wide

1-Hr O3 Non-Attainment Areas Data Scatter Population weighted

Design Value weighted

Attn. Threshold weighted

Ozone Air Quality Worst Outlier

Area WideData Fit Population weighted

Design Value weighted

Attn. Threshold weighted

Area Wide

1-Hr O3 Attainment Areas Data Scatter Population weighted

Design Value weighted

Attn. Threshold weighted

Worst Outlier

Area Wide

Data Fit Population weighted

Design Value weighted

Attn. Threshold weighted

Area Wide

Class I Areas Data Scatter Population weighted

Design Value weighted

Attn. Threshold weighted

Worst Outlier

Personnel Impact Monitor Servicing Distance

Work Load

Costs

Trends Impact

Data Collection Manager

Geostatistical Indicators Module

Fate and Transport Models

Programmatic and Budget Decision Analysis Module

P=VI How do we structure our analysis?

(Multi Criteria Integrated Resource Assessment)

MIRA

Human Health

Welfare

Future Vulnerability

Disease

Food Supply

Catastrophic

Ecosystem Integrity

Recreation

Infrastructure

Energy

Inhalation

Ingestion

Aquatic

Terrestrial

Lands

Wetlands

Waters

Exercise

Fishing

Natural

Built

. . . .

. . . .

. . . .

. . . .

. . . .

. . . .

. . . .

Simplified MIRA Hierarchy: context, values, data

180

Values Make a Difference!Values Change….Science & Data do not

Human Health Emphasis Welfare Emphasis

Policy Made TransparentBiofuels

Policy: Increase corn production in Chesapeake Bay Watershed

Indicators: Increased Nitrogen, Decreased Fisheries, Decreased Food Production, Deforestation

Value: Ag Economic and Energy psyche trump ecological

Region III Rivers and Streams Trend Analysis

303(d) impaired waters

303(d) Delisted Waters

Waters

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

1998 2000 2002 2004 2006

Year

Mile

s o

f W

ater

s

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

Wat

ers

Assessed 43,243 66,166 94,212 105,225 123,672 Miles

GAP

Epiphanies lead to new approaches!

4000

8000

12000

16000

20000

24000

28000

TMDL's Completed and 303(d) Delisted

Headline: We are discovering polluted streams faster than we can clean them!

What MIRA Suggests…..

AirProtectionDIvision

HazSite

CleanupDiv

Ches BayPrg

EnvironAssess

AndInnovDIv

WaterProtectionDivision

WasteAnd

ChemMgtDiv

Natural Infrastructure

Healthy Waters

Healthy Air

Energy

Healthy Communities

What MIRA Suggests…..

Could be informed by the height of the bars.

Potential Priorities

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

Energy

-RCC-20*

Natural

Infra

structu

re-45*

Health

y Waters-

80*

Homeland Se

curit

y-1*

Inhalation-In

door Air-

15*

Loca

l Community

Hea

lth-32

*

What’s more important to invest in today vs historic investments?