TUM – International Master Course on Land Management and Land Tenure

Environmental Risk Management - Prof. Dr. J.-P. Mund, HNEE - 12/07/2011

ENVIRONMENTAL RISK MANAGEMENT

4TH SECTION:

REGIONAL DISTRIBUTION OF ENVIRONMENTAL RISKS

NATURAL HAZARDS AND MAN-MADE DISASTERS

TUM – INTERNATIONAL 2011 MASTER COURSE ON

LAND MANAGEMENT AND LAND TENURE

EBERSWALDE UNIVERSITY FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT

UNIVERSITY OF APPLIED SCIENCES

PROF. DR. JAN-PETER MUND

TUM – International Master Course on Land Management and Land Tenure

Environmental Risk Management - Prof. Dr. J.-P. Mund, HNEE - 12/07/2011

Content of the course and detailed lecture plan

The course is divided into 12 major section/topics:

12.07. - General Introduction – Details of the course

A Holistic Approach to Risk and Disaster

Types of Environmental Risks and Natural Hazards

The regional approach

13.07. - The Risk and Disaster cycle

Environmental Risks and Land Management

Risk Analysis and Risk Assessment with Earth

Observation Technology

Remote Sensing Examples for Disaster monitoring

14.07. - Disaster Prevention and Decision Support Systems

Disaster monitoring and Damage assessment

Information and details of the poster assignment

Wrap up, conclusion and closing discussion

There will be enough time available for thematic

suggestions as well as questions and answers of students

TUM – International Master Course on Land Management and Land Tenure

Environmental Risk Management - Prof. Dr. J.-P. Mund, HNEE - 12/07/2011

Seismic monitor at Potsdam research center

http://geofon.gfz-potsdam.de/geofon/seismon/globmon.html

TUM – International Master Course on Land Management and Land Tenure

Environmental Risk Management - Prof. Dr. J.-P. Mund, HNEE - 12/07/2011

Seismic monitor at USGS

Sourc

e: U

SG

S a

nd G

oogle

TUM – International Master Course on Land Management and Land Tenure

Environmental Risk Management - Prof. Dr. J.-P. Mund, HNEE - 12/07/2011

Global situation of environmental risks

Regional distribution of earthquakes worldwide

Ref: DLR- GITEWS Project 2008, based on various sources

TUM – International Master Course on Land Management and Land Tenure

Environmental Risk Management - Prof. Dr. J.-P. Mund, HNEE - 12/07/2011

Global situation of environmental risks

Global risk of tsunami appearance

TUM – International Master Course on Land Management and Land Tenure

Environmental Risk Management - Prof. Dr. J.-P. Mund, HNEE - 12/07/2011

Global situation of environmental risks

Regional tropical storm risk:

TUM – International Master Course on Land Management and Land Tenure

Environmental Risk Management - Prof. Dr. J.-P. Mund, HNEE - 12/07/2011

Global situation of environmental risks

Regional distribution of environmental hazards worldwide

TUM – International Master Course on Land Management and Land Tenure

Environmental Risk Management - Prof. Dr. J.-P. Mund, HNEE - 12/07/2011

Global situation of environmental risks

Regional distribution of flood affected people worldwide

TUM – International Master Course on Land Management and Land Tenure

Environmental Risk Management - Prof. Dr. J.-P. Mund, HNEE - 12/07/2011

Global situation of environmental risks

Regional distribution of flood mortality worldwide

TUM – International Master Course on Land Management and Land Tenure

Environmental Risk Management - Prof. Dr. J.-P. Mund, HNEE - 12/07/2011

Global situation of environmental risks

Regional distribution of drought risk worldwide

TUM – International Master Course on Land Management and Land Tenure

Environmental Risk Management - Prof. Dr. J.-P. Mund, HNEE - 12/07/2011

Global situation of environmental risks

Regional distribution of predicted weather extremes worldwide

TUM – International Master Course on Land Management and Land Tenure

Environmental Risk Management - Prof. Dr. J.-P. Mund, HNEE - 12/07/2011

Global situation of environmental risks

Regional environmental disasters in 2003

TUM – International Master Course on Land Management and Land Tenure

Environmental Risk Management - Prof. Dr. J.-P. Mund, HNEE - 12/07/2011

Global situation of environmental risks

Regional distribution of predicted earthquakes in Japan

TUM – International Master Course on Land Management and Land Tenure

Environmental Risk Management - Prof. Dr. J.-P. Mund, HNEE - 12/07/2011

Global situation of environmental risks

Regional distribution of predicted volcano eruption impacts

TUM – International Master Course on Land Management and Land Tenure

Environmental Risk Management - Prof. Dr. J.-P. Mund, HNEE - 12/07/2011

Wrap up 1st day :

A holistic, participatory, multicultural approach to risk

Risk is a cultural and sociological differentiated concept.

Definition of Risk:

Risk is a concept that denotes a potential negative impact to some

characteristic of value that may arise from a future event.

Definition of natural/environmental hazard:

Natural Hazards: are naturally-occurring physical phenomena

caused either by rapid or slow onset events having atmospheric,

geologic and hydrologic origins on solar, global, regional, national

and local scales. Hazard is a process which has potential impacts on

humans.

Definition of Disaster:

Disasters are NOT natural

A Disaster is a serious disruption of the functioning of a society,

causing widespread human, property or environmental losses which

exceed the ability of the affected society to cope using only its own

resources.

TUM – International Master Course on Land Management and Land Tenure

Environmental Risk Management - Prof. Dr. J.-P. Mund, HNEE - 12/07/2011

Wrap up 1st day :

Structuring Natural/Environmental Hazards into:

Endogenous causes

Exogenous causes

By time scale:

short term events:

abrupt unpredictable catastrophes:

medium term predicable events:

long term predicable events:

Long term environmental changes

By spatial scale:

Local events (scale 1:5.000 – 1:50.000)

Regional events (scale 1:50.000 – 1:1.000.000)

Global events (1:1.000.000 – 1:10.000.000)

By magnitude, frequency and impact risk:

Magnitude: Intensity of natural hazards in terms of the energy released

Frequency: Recurrence interval of a disastrous event

TUM – International Master Course on Land Management and Land Tenure

Environmental Risk Management - Prof. Dr. J.-P. Mund, HNEE - 12/07/2011

Wrap up 1st day :

Earthquakes

Endogenous natural hazards like earthquakes are appearing

frequently but irregular

The number and magnitude of earthquakes are not increasing

The number of affected people are increasing rapidly due to global

population growth

Storms

The number of storms and storm surges are increasing rapidly and

tremendously

due to climate change processes

Floods

The number of floods and disastrous inundations are increasing

rapidly and tremendously

due to climate change processes

population growth

inadequate land management and land use systems

TUM – International Master Course on Land Management and Land Tenure

Environmental Risk Management - Prof. Dr. J.-P. Mund, HNEE - 12/07/2011

The World at your attention

TUM – International Master Course on Land Management and Land Tenure

Environmental Risk Management - Prof. Dr. J.-P. Mund, HNEE - 12/07/2011

Further reading: Introduction to environmental Risk

ALEXANDER, D. (1993). Natural disasters. London: UCL Press.

BARON, D.S. (1992). The abuse of risk assessment. In WATERSTONE, M. (Hrsg.), Risk and society: The

interaction of science, technology and public policy (S. 173-). Dordrecht: Kluwer Academic Publishers.

BERZ, G. (1997). Changing weather extremes: The viewpoint of the international reinsurer. München: Münchner

Rückversicherung.

BLAIKIE, P.; CANNON, T.; DAVIS, I.; WISNER, B. (1994). At risk. Natural hazards, people's vulnerability and

disasters. London: Routledge.

Brower, R. & J. Nhassengo (2006): About Bridges and Bonds: Community Responses to The 2000 Floods in

Mabalane District, Mozambique . In: Disasters. Vol. 30 Issue 2. pp. 234-255.

KRIMSKY, S.; GOLDING, D. (Hrsg.). (1992). Social theories of risk. Westport: Praeger LOW, B.S. (1990).

Human responses to environmental extremes and uncertainty: A cross-cultural perspective. In CASHDAN, E.

(Hrsg.), Risk and uncertainty in tribal and peasant economies (S. 229-256). Boulder: Westview Press.

MCGALL, G.J.H.; LAMING, D.J.C.; SCOTT, S.C. (Hrsg.). (1992). Geohazards: Natural and man-made. London:

Chapman & Hall.

Mitchell, J. (Ed.) (1999): Crucibles of Hazard. Mega-Cities and Disasters in Transition. Tokyo.

Münchener Rück 2008: Natural catastrophes 200; 2008; 2009, Analyses, assessments, positions

Nauß, T. & Reudenbach, C. 2003: Developing an Absolute Natural Disaster Risk Index (ANDRI) on the basis of

economic geophysical data In: Erde, Volume 134, Issue Nr. 2, Pp. 195-209

PALM, R.I. (1990). Natural hazards: An integrated framework for research and planning. Baltimore: Johns

Hopkins University Press.

Pelling, M. (ed.) (2003)Natural Disasters and Development in a Globalizing World, London: Routledge. pp249.

RENN, O. (1998). The role of risk perception for risk management. Reliability Engineering and System Safety,

59, 49-61.

SCHELLNHUBER, H.-J.; WENZEL, V. (Hrsg.). (1998). Earth system analysis: Integrating science for

sustainability.Berlin: Springer.

VAUGHAN, E. (1993). Individual and cultural differences in adaption to environmental risks. American

Psychologist, 48, 673- 680.

WATERSTONE, M. (Hrsg.). (1992a). Risk and society: The interaction of science, technology and public policy.

Dordrecht: Kluwer Academic Publishers.

WILDAVSKY, A.; DAKE, K. (1990). Theories of risk perception. Who fears what and why?. Daedalus, 119,41-60.