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  • 7/30/2019 Envilit Notes

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    Climate Change Diane Shayne

    Natural Greenhouse

    Anthropogenic Greenhouse Gases

    Impact to

    Health

    Weather

    Global Warming

    Diseases driven by climate change

    Impact to the Philippines

    43 degrees in 30 years

    more and stronger rains in Luzon and Visayas

    Less rain, more drought at the Southern tip

    Least Greenhouse Gases:

    Small island state

    Poorer countries

    Irony of Climate Change: the those of that produce the least GHGs

    will be the first and worst hit by the effects of CC

    Climate Justice

    Not easy to stop everyone from consuming items which add to

    GHG emissions

    Solution: Mitigation by individual and state

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    Next Problem: How do you allocate mititgation?

    o Should it be based on the countrys 1990 levels?

    o As for the US, thats not possible. US offers 17%

    reductions of that of their 2005 GHG emissions, bringing

    them back to their 1990 level. Virtually, this is 50% of theircurrent emissions.

    EU demand for big reduction; they have strong green groups;

    they are willing to reduce 20-30% of their 1990 rates

    Annex I parties of the COP in the 1990 Convention

    Developing countries who contributed the most emissions

    #1 emitter now: China; they overtook the US in 2008

    China

    Highest emitter, but they are still poor per capita; but they are

    significantly reducing poverty rates in the macro level.

    Per capita emission is still very small compared to that of the US

    The fight between DEVELOPING and DEVELOPED Countries

    How can parties agree to allocate mititgation

    Cancun Agreement

    All go

    Failed: agreement on allocation of mitigation of emission

    Agreements now will serve beyond 2050, because of our inaction

    in the last 20 years , the earths fate is only determined until 2050. Our

    only action in the meantime is to cope and adopt to climate change.

    CC- a common but differentiated responsibilities (argument of thedeveloping countries)

    Developing will participate and help CC, but developed countries

    must act more and contribute more

    10-15 years to reduce emission, another 5-10 years impact the

    atmosphere

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    18/12/2010 07:23:00

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    18/12/2010 07:23:00