ensemble products (at 12 hour intervals from 00 hr to 144 hrs):

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Ensemble products (at 12 hour intervals from 00 hr to 144 hrs): Africa Desk GFS Ensemble Web Page Spaghetti plots 500mb height (5500 and 5670, 5700 and 5870-m contours) 10-m winds (20-kt and 30-kt contours) 6-hr accumulated precipitation (50-mm contour) Probability of exceedance 10-m wind exceeding 20- and 30-kt 6-hr accumulated precipitation exceeding 10- and 50-mm

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Africa Desk GFS Ensemble Web Page. Ensemble products (at 12 hour intervals from 00 hr to 144 hrs):. Spaghetti plots 500mb height (5500 and 5670, 5700 and 5870-m contours) 10-m winds (20-kt and 30-kt contours) 6-hr accumulated precipitation (50-mm contour). Probability of exceedance - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Ensemble products (at 12 hour intervals from 00 hr to 144 hrs):

• Ensemble products (at 12 hour intervals from 00 hr to 144 hrs):

Africa Desk GFS Ensemble Web Page

• Spaghetti plots • 500mb height (5500 and 5670, 5700 and 5870-m contours)• 10-m winds (20-kt and 30-kt contours)• 6-hr accumulated precipitation (50-mm contour)

• Probability of exceedance• 10-m wind exceeding 20- and 30-kt• 6-hr accumulated precipitation exceeding 10- and 50-mm

Page 2: Ensemble products (at 12 hour intervals from 00 hr to 144 hrs):

• Ensemble products (at 12 hour intervals from 00 hr to 144 hrs):

Africa Desk GFS Ensemble Web Page

• Spaghetti plots • 500mb height (5500 and 5670, 5700 and 5870-m contours)• 10-m winds (20-kt and 30-kt contours)• 6-hr accumulated precipitation (50-mm contour)

• Probability of exceedance• 10-m wind exceeding 20- and 30-kt• 6-hr accumulated precipitation exceeding 10- and 50-mm

Page 3: Ensemble products (at 12 hour intervals from 00 hr to 144 hrs):

• Ensemble products (at 12 hour intervals from 00 hr to 144 hrs):

Africa Desk GFS Ensemble Web Page

• Spaghetti plots • 500mb height (5500 and 5670, 5700 and 5870-m contours)• 10-m winds (20-kt and 30-kt contours)• 6-hr accumulated precipitation (50-mm contour)

• Probability of exceedance• 10-m wind exceeding 20- and 30-kt• 6-hr accumulated precipitation exceeding 10- and 50-mm

Page 4: Ensemble products (at 12 hour intervals from 00 hr to 144 hrs):

• Ensemble products (at 12 hour intervals from 00 hr to 144 hrs):

Africa Desk GFS Ensemble Web Page

• Spaghetti plots • 500mb height (5500 and 5670, 5700 and 5870-m contours)• 10-m winds (20-kt and 30-kt contours)• 6-hr accumulated precipitation (50-mm contour)

• Probability of exceedance• 10-m wind exceeding 20- and 30-kt• 6-hr accumulated precipitation exceeding 10- and 50-mm

Page 5: Ensemble products (at 12 hour intervals from 00 hr to 144 hrs):

• Ensemble products (at 12 hour intervals from 00 hr to 144 hrs):

Africa Desk GFS Ensemble Web Page

• Spaghetti plots • 500mb height (5500 and 5670, 5700 and 5870-m contours)• 10-m winds (20-kt and 30-kt contours)• 6-hr accumulated precipitation (50-mm contour)

• Probability of exceedance• 10-m wind exceeding 20- and 30-kt• 6-hr accumulated precipitation exceeding 10- and 50-mm

Page 6: Ensemble products (at 12 hour intervals from 00 hr to 144 hrs):

• Ensemble products (at 12 hour intervals from 00 hr to 144 hrs):

Africa Desk GFS Ensemble Web Page

• Spaghetti plots • 500mb height (5500 and 5670, 5700 and 5870-m contours)• 10-m winds (20-kt and 30-kt contours)• 6-hr accumulated precipitation (50-mm contour)

• Probability of exceedance• 10-m wind exceeding 20- and 30-kt• 6-hr accumulated precipitation exceeding 10- and 50-mm

Page 7: Ensemble products (at 12 hour intervals from 00 hr to 144 hrs):
Page 8: Ensemble products (at 12 hour intervals from 00 hr to 144 hrs):
Page 9: Ensemble products (at 12 hour intervals from 00 hr to 144 hrs):
Page 10: Ensemble products (at 12 hour intervals from 00 hr to 144 hrs):
Page 11: Ensemble products (at 12 hour intervals from 00 hr to 144 hrs):
Page 12: Ensemble products (at 12 hour intervals from 00 hr to 144 hrs):
Page 13: Ensemble products (at 12 hour intervals from 00 hr to 144 hrs):

• Ensemble products (at 12 hour intervals from 00 hr to 144 hrs):

Africa Desk GFS Ensemble Web Page

• Spaghetti plots • 500mb height (5500 and 5670, 5700 and 5870-m contours)• 10-m winds (20-kt and 30-kt contours)• 6-hr accumulated precipitation (50-mm contour)

• Probability of exceedance• 10-m wind exceeding 20- and 30-kt• 6-hr accumulated precipitation exceeding 10- and 50-mm

New Requests?

Page 14: Ensemble products (at 12 hour intervals from 00 hr to 144 hrs):

6 hour Precipitation – 50 mm contour

Ensemble Members, Ensemble Mean and Operational GFS (higher resolution)

Compliments “Probability of Exceeding” plots