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Eng
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ring Technology
ManagementTracking the Constant of Change
ManagementHistory
Society Legal Aspects
LogisticsSupply Chain
SystemsEngineering
Economics
Risk
TechnicalInformation
MultidisciplineDesign
ProductDevelopment
Systems Engineering Technical Vision for 2020
Dr. John C. HSU, Systems Engineering TC
Eng
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TechnologyManagement
Tracking the Constant of Change
SystemsEngineering
ManagementHistory
Society Legal Aspects
Economics
LogisticsSupply Chain
Risk
TechnicalInformation
MultidisciplineDesign
ProductDevelopment
Eng
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ring Technology
ManagementTracking the Constant of Change
ManagementHistory
Society Legal Aspects
LogisticsSupply Chain
SystemsEngineering
Economics
Risk
TechnicalInformation
MultidisciplineDesign
ProductDevelopment
Historic errors on technology !
The Telephone has too many serious problems to become a genuine means of communication. This device has by its nature no value for us!
Western Union, 1876
Worldwide, I think there may be a market for some 5 Computers!
Thomas Watson, IBM Boss, 1943
Eng
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ManagementTracking the Constant of Change
ManagementHistory
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What is Systems Engineering?
- Operations - Cost & Schedule
- Performance - Training & Support - Test - Disposal - Manufacturing
Systems Engineering is an interdisciplinary approach and means to enable the realization of successful systems.It focuses on defining customer needs and required functionality early in the development cycle, documenting requirements, then proceeding with design synthesis and system validation while considering the complete problem:
Systems Engineering integrates all the disciplines and specialty groups into a team effort forming a structured development process that proceeds from concept to production and to operation. Systems Engineering considers both the business and the technical needs of all customers with the goal of providing a quality product that meets the user needs.
Eng
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ManagementTracking the Constant of Change
ManagementHistory
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INCOSE Systems Engineering INCOSE Systems Engineering Technical Vision Technical Vision
Project Objective: Converge on a shared technical vision for SE community of practice by including other SE Technical Organizations (AIAA, GEIA G-47, IEEE, NDIA, IEE & Others)
Eng
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ManagementTracking the Constant of Change
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Scope of Effort Scope of Effort
The SE Technical Vision encompasses Six Focus Areas: Systems Engineering Drivers
Systems Architecting
Systems Development
Systems Engineering Management Methods
Systems Engineering Standards
Systems Engineering Education & Research
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Systems Engineering DriversSystems Engineering Drivers
Global Engineering Business Environment
A need to address integrated multiculturalism, world peace, management of natural resources, health systems,…
Engineering efforts must consider social and ecological impacts of decisions
Growth in international cooperation of defense, information technology, communication, transportation, energy, and other sectors
The International Space Station is the largest and most complex international scientific project in history
(photo credit: NASA, with permission)
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Systems Engineering DriversSystems Engineering Drivers(continued)(continued)
Future Systems A new worldview : systems of systems
Emerging systems will be evolutionary and adaptive
Systems will become more complex in their composition, capabilities, and interfaces
Increase in “super systems”, such as Air Traffic Control Systems and Intelligent Transportation
Aggregation of systems of systems will drive the need to network new and existing systems
A need to implement continuous technology updates throughout the lifecycle
Long-range impacts and supportability will increase
Eng
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Systems Engineering Evolution Emphasis on increasingly complex technological, human, and
organizational systems
Ensure that systems "not only do things right, but do the right things"
SE trends to combine : operations research, cybernetics, simulation, decision analysis, requirements management, risk management, logistics, manufacturing, verification and validation, business, economic analysis, …
Harmonization of engineering standards, practices, and education is on the way
A trend towards differentiation into levels : system of systems (e.g., a transportation network), individual systems (e.g., an automobile), components (e.g., an engine, a gear box)
Systems Engineering DriversSystems Engineering Drivers(continued)(continued)
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Systems ArchitectingState of the Art & drivers
Evolving Scope The system no longer consists of just hardware and software, but also
includes data, facilities, personnel, organizations, materials, services, techniques, …
Some awareness of system architecture the need for a more formalized architecture modeling approach – example:
DoDAF (DoD Architecture Framework)
Connecting elements of many different systems to achieve greater synergies and functionality Breaking into small components, solving each, then integrating pieces
back into a whole solution is no longer sufficient. There is a need for more and better “synthesis” techniques that can produce more robust and balanced system solutions.
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Systems analysis emphasis System Architecture is both an art (how to combine
elements to create a solution) and a science (the solution must match the physical laws and a level of efficiency).
Increasing body of knowledge (e.g., frameworks) A need to better-understood architectural principles and
practices
Unclear relationship between SA & SE Due to the lack of common concepts and terminology SE &
SA result in semantic confusion.
SESA
SESA
SESA
Systems ArchitectingState of the Art & drivers
(continued)
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Systems Development Emerging Drivers
SysML will provide ability to create & execute models of systems and partition SW & HW
System Architecture Frameworks provide system views based on underlying unified product/system information model
Semantic models based on XML enable exchange of data between organizations domains
Semantic web & ontologies are leading to richer, distributed information models
Product data management environments for capturing data
Distributed simulation environments enable virtual analysis over geo-distributed teams & across lifecycle
COSYSMO under development as basis for estimating system engineering costs
Collaboration technologies developed to support virtual teams
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Systems Engineering Management Methods
State of the Art & driversModeling and simulation tools are looked at as the
mechanism for accelerating development programs
The use of tools increases, the risk of becoming tool dependent grows
Tendency to make short term decisions without regard to the long term consequences
An international “common framework, common language” is evolving
A new term appears = co-opetition (cooperative competition)
Programs continue to place more emphasis on lower unit costs when lower life cycle costs are more significant
The next generation of engineers will be more comfortable working with distributed databases, distributed business partners, and web-based applications
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Systems Engineering Standards Emerging Drivers
Processes models(Activities & outcomes)
632, 1220, 15288, …
Semantic models(Entities/Relationships)AP233, SysML profiles …
Semiotic models(symbols, diagrams)
FFBD, StateCharts, UML 2.0 …
Must work
together
Today these 3 types of modeling studies are separate initiatives
Harmonization & reconciliation -
concurrent initiatives
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SE Education and ResearchSE Education and ResearchState of the ArtState of the Art
Increasing demands for SE education and training
Undergraduate engineering programs evolving to more systems-centered disciplinary programs
More complex university capstone projects
Growing international competition in education and training
Research into systems engineering topics increasing, but topics not well defined
RoboCup 2003 International Robotics Competition (photo credit: Patrick Riley, with permission
Eng
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2010 Systems Engineering Technical 2010 Systems Engineering Technical Vision Vision
• The US DoD is focusing on network-centric, interoperable warfare and effects integrated over all Commands, Services, and Agencies.
• “Systems of systems” and “Architecture-first” viewpoints will lead to a “federated” guidance.
• Directly executable models will be realized as operational systems in the arena of systems development.
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2010 Systems Engineering Technical 2010 Systems Engineering Technical Vision Vision (continued)(continued)
• Systems engineering practices are applied routinely to organizations as well as products.
• A Body of Knowledge will exist that truly transcends systems engineering applications domains.
• Alignment of systems engineering standards with ISO/IEC 15288 will be achieved.
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2010 Systems Engineering Technical 2010 Systems Engineering Technical Vision Vision (continued)(continued)
• Systems engineering certification will become a required part of the career path of many organizations.
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• The development of distributed semantic models for specific technical domains will lead to semantic models for organizations and elements of society.
• “Soft” or “intelligent systems” will add significant effort to up front systems engineering with the benefit of enabling planned change at an industry or society level.
2020 Systems Engineering Technical 2020 Systems Engineering Technical VisionVision
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• Engineering textbooks will have been re-written, tools based on this theory will have been validated against both theory and empirical evidence.
• Management process models and simulations will provide real time planning by taking into account risk outcomes, changing political, financial, technical and personnel factors, etc.
2020 Systems Engineering Technical 2020 Systems Engineering Technical VisionVision (continued) (continued)
Eng
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• A high level systems engineering standard is envisioned that will provide a means to achieve systems engineering integration across applicable commercial, government and educational domains.
• The high-level systems engineering standard envisioned for the future should be open and extendable.
2020 Systems Engineering Technical 2020 Systems Engineering Technical VisionVision (continued) (continued)
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• Systems engineering will become an established international “inter-disciplinary connector” or a “meta-discipline.”
2020 Systems Engineering Technical 2020 Systems Engineering Technical VisionVision (continued) (continued)
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