energy transition: a common endeavor · 2020-01-28 · • accelerating renewable energy (...

Energy transition: a common endeavor

Important actors

PilotsNeighborhoods

villages

National actors

sectorsknowledgeinstitutes

....

Municipality(coordination)

Local actors

citizens(organisations)corporations/

building ownerstenants

entrepreneurs....Regional actors

provinceswaterboardscorporations

grid operatorsheating utilities

....

Sectors involved in Climate Agreement

Climateconsultation

Electricity

Mobility

IndustryBuilt environ-ment

Agricultureand land-use

4

ClimateAgreement:

49% reductionin 2030

relative to1990

Electricity

Mobility

IndustryBuilt

environ-ment

Agricultureand land-use

• Phasing out coal-fired electricity production by 2030• Accelerating renewable energy (subsidized until 2025) to

70% in 2030• CO2-minimum price for electricity-production

• 100% new-sold passenger cars zero-emission by2030

• Promoting EV by taxation measures and 1,8 millioncharging points by 2030

• Modal shift to bicycle/public transport and smart logistics

• Targeted carbon levy on every ton CO2 emitted exceeding a fixed reduction path (push)

• Broadening the scope of subsidy scheme (SDE++) incl. limited subsidy for CCS (pull)

• Public-private innovation program for cost reduction in low carbon technologies

• Industrial cluster approach (incl. sector coupling)

• Enhancing EE of 1,5 million houses and 1 million utility buildings

• New buildings will no longer be heated with natural gas• Municipalities lead a local, participative approach to

make housing emission free, neighborhood by neighborhood

• Sustainable heating in greenhouse horticulture• Improved processing of manure to reduce livestock-

emissions• Exploring storage of carbon in soil and vegetation

through pilot programmes and increasing forested surface

Outcomes

Regions are connected to Climate Agreement

Pilot programme for natural gas-free DistrictsGoals:• Pilot for phasing out natural gas in 27

neighborhoods• All parties involved• Makes ambitions visible• Mutual learning and gathering knowledge

Lessons learned• Transparency about the process, management of expectations• Provide sufficient resources, also on local level• Be flexible and anticipate on taking on board new know-how• Multi-level governance: not only between levels of government but also

involvement of other stakeholders. Know the relevant actors• Most important: involve local decision makers

Reducing climate riskParis Agreement implications for decarbonization

Dr. Michiel SchaefferScience Director, Climate Analytics

Content

• Update on climate-change impacts & risks• Global emissions pathways compatible with

Paris Agreement• NDC comparison across countries globally• EU and Member State pathways

Significant differences in impacts between 1.5°C and 2°C

Schleussner et al (2016)

Sea level rise – Multiple meters is plausible

IPCC SROCC

SEA LEVEL RISE

Sea level rise – our legacy for future generations

Tipping elements in the Earth system –the big unknowns that matter a lot

Steffen et al. (2018)

• Tipping elements have the potential to trigger self-reinforcing feedbacks once a specific threshold is crossed, bringing unstoppable additional warming

• Where these thresholds lie, however, is not well known

Ocean acidification key threat for “calcifying” organisms (like corals, clams, mussels, sea urchins, barnacles and certain microscopic plankton)

• Ocean acidification is a key threat for “calcifying” organisms, such as corals, clams, mussels, sea urchins, barnacles and certain microscopic plankton

• Absorption of CO2 from the atmosphere in the oceans leads to acidification (lower pH) and to growth inhibition, deteriorating health and at some point dissolving

• Reductions in CO2 emissions required to limit warming to 1.5oC will lead to ocean acidification peaking and declining Climate Analytics (2019)

Reasons For Concern (RFC) – rapid increase with warming

IPCC SR1.5

28/01/2020

Reasons For Concern (RFC) IPCC AR5 (2014) compared to SR1.5 (2018)

2°C1.5°C

2°C

1.5°C

Four years of additional science: Risks are more severe and climate change is more dangerous than estimated earlier

IPCC AR5 & SR1.5

IMPACTS – vulnerable populations – very big difference between 1.5oC and 2oC

SIDS and communities dependent on coastal livelihoods at disproportionately higher risk

Limiting global warming to 1.5°C, compared with 2°C, could reduce the number of people both exposed to climate-related risks and susceptible to poverty by up to several hundred million by 2050 (medium confidence).

IPCC SR1.5

Paris Agreement Pathway Benchmarks in context of 1.5°C pathways in IPCC SR1.5

Sour

ce: C

limat

e An

alyt

ics (

2019

); IP

CC (2

018)

1.5°C transformation requires action in all sectors

• With full transformation of energy-related sectors still strong push needed in land sectors• Investment in low-carbon energy technologies and energy efficiency needs to be increased

by factor 6 by 2050 – Global annual investments in low-carbon energy technologies overtake fossil investments already by around 2025

BATTERIES HYDROGEN ELECTRICITY HYDROGEN

PRODUCT SUBSTITION, CCS

ZERO EMISSIONS BEFORE 2050

PHASE OUT COAL BEFORE 2050

>75% RENEWABLES BY 2050

NET ZERO CO2BY 2025-2040

STOP DEFORESTATION PROTECT ECOSYSTEMS

Source: Climate Analytics (2019); IPCC (2018)

Economy-wide decarbonization must build on zero emissions power sector – but coal remains very large riskGlobal Electricity Generation from Coal (w/o CCS) in IPCC SR1.5 scenarios

Planned additional coal capacity (MW)

Unabated coal in power sector needs to disappear globally by 2040

Movie: possible EU coal phase-out schedules

Source: Climate Analytics (2017)

1.5°C pathways: natural gas for electricity generation will also need to be phased out

Median and 50% range of no- and limited OS 1.5°C pathways from public IPCC SR1.5 scenario database

IPCC SR1.5 SPM explains that even with CCS the role of natural gas in the power sector would be limited to 8% by 2050

Natural gas (w/o CCS) in power sector is phased down rapidly

Source: Climate Analytics (2019)

Large potential to speed up action in the power sector

Source: Climate Analytics compilation based on Lazard‘s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis, Version 12, IRENA‘s Renewable Power Generation Costs in 2018, and numerous sources for individual recent projects

Renewable energy technologies are cost-competitive with new fossil fuel plants and large parts of the operating fleet in many places

NDCs of vast majority of countries not in line with Paris Agreement

Individual countries: vast majority of countries has targets insufficient to achieve PA goals

Climate Action Tracker projection: 2.8°C warming by 2100(Analysis December 2019)

Paris Agreement Pathways for the EUClimate Action Tracker Assessment (equity ranges)

Source: Climate Action Tracker (2019); Climate Analytics (2019)



1.5°C pathway with lower reliance on global Carbon Dioxide Removal in land sector



1.5°C pathway with global Carbon Dioxide Removal in land sector at very-high end of sustainable/technical/economic potential by 2050

How the EU gets to zero emissions matters…(red dotted line includes LULUCF)

Source: European Commission’s Communication

Scenario 1.5LIFE

1.5TECH

1.5LIFE



Scenario 1.5LIFE(excl. LULUCF)

Co-benefits of scaling up action in the EU

EU opportunities in renewable energy sector

Emissions reductions in transport

Climate Analytics‘ report „Between Best Practices in the transport sector and Paris Agreement compatibility“ published in theframework of Project „CEE Climate Policy Frontier“ funded by GIZ‘s European Climate initiative – publication pending

Emissions reductions in the buildings sector

Climate Analytics‘ report „Between Best Practices in the transport sector and Paris Agreement compatibility“ published in theframework of Project „CEE Climate Policy Frontier“ funded by GIZ‘s European Climate initiative – publication pending

Thank you. Questions?

Are NECPs fit for the European Green Deal?Quentin Genard (@QuentinGenard)

21st January 2020

What is E3G?

What: E3G is an independent climate change think tank.

Mission: To accelerate the transition to a climate safe world.

Where: London, Brussels, Berlin, Dublin and Washington D.C. and staff in seven other countries worldwide.

How: We deliver outcomes through coalitions with partners in government, politics, NGOs, science & media.

Funding: Primarily from philanthropic foundations.

Influence: Ranked 5th most influential environmental policy think tank in the world*.

2*In 2018, E3G was ranked the fifth most influential environmental policy think tank in the world for the third year running by the Global Go To Think Tank Index.

The NECPs are not fit for the European Green deal – and it’s OK.

3

THE ARCHITECTURE BUILT AROUND

THEM IS A STRONG START

EVERYONE (REALLY, EVERYONE) HAS

STILL SOME HOMEWORK TO

DO…

…BEFORE WE START MOVING

AGAIN.THE ENERGY UNION IS DEAD. LONG LIVE THE EUROPEAN

GREEN DEAL!

THE ENERGY UNION IS DEAD. LONG LIVE THE

EUROPEAN GREEN DEAL!

SO MUCH TO LOOK FORWARD TO.

1. The architecture built around them is a strong start

• The NECPs mustbe based on consultation (public and neighbouring

countries)be based on the Energy Efficiency First principlebe public include a view on public and private financingbe assessed by the European Commission explore the interlinkages between Energy Union

dimensionsbe discussed in a Multilevel climate and energy

dialoguebe updated in 2023/2024be consistent with national long-term climate strategies

produced by 01/01/2020Be reported on via biennial progress reports Trigger action if there is an ambition or a delivery gap Inform the annual State of the Energy Union

4

2. Everyone (really, everyone) has still some homework to do…

• CommissionWhere are the final NECPs?What about the ambition gaps?What about Efficiency First, public consultation, the

investment dimension of the plans?• Member States

Don’t play the good student. Get the other moving.Croatia and Germany. Put it on the agenda.Laggards. Revise your plan.

• ParliamentStart thinking about the next steps.Collaborate with national Parliaments. Write to the Commission and the Member States.

5

3. …Before we start moving again

6

European Climate Law Emission Trading System extension Carbon Border Tax Energy Taxation

Directive reviewIndustrial and

Innovation Strategy

Just Transition Fund European Climate Pact Strategy for Green Financing

Sustainable Europe Investment Plan and

EIB reform

Increase the EU target for 2030 to 55% and

lead international negotiations

Biodiversity Strategy for 2030

“Farm to Fork” Strategy Zero pollution strategy

New Circular Economy Action Plan and Single Use Plastics Strategy

Conference on the Future of Europe

4. The Energy Union is dead. Long live the European Green Deal!

EU Climate policy

Energy Union

European Green Deal

7

EU Sustainable

finance

Successful climate

diplomacy

Trade, Industry and competition

Just Transition

and taxation

Climate Neutrality

5. So much to look forward to

8

Member states, let’s use the architecture around the NECPs to expand their scope. Include industry and agriculture. Don’t wait for the official request.

Commission, let’s make sure the NECPs do their job and a rock-solid anchor in the heart of the European Green Deal. Leave no stone unturned.

Parliament, let’s think horizontally. The politics of the transition will worsen if files are thought-through in their silo.

Where is the Governance of the European Green Deal? Is it the climate law?

The NECPs are not fit for the European Green deal – and it’s OK.

9

THE ARCHITECTURE BUILT AROUND

THEM IS A STRONG START

EVERYONE (REALLY, EVERYONE) HAS

STILL SOME HOMEWORK TO

DO…

…BEFORE WE START MOVING

AGAIN.

THE ENERGY UNION IS DEAD. LONG LIVE THE

EUROPEAN GREEN DEAL!

SO MUCH TO LOOK FORWARD TO.

10

About E3G

E3G is an independent climate change think tank accelerating the transition to a climate safe world.

E3G builds cross-sectoral coalitions to achieve carefully defined outcomes, chosen for their capacity to leverage change. E3G works closely with like-minded partners in government, politics, business, civil society, science, the media, public interest foundations and elsewhere. In 2018, for the third year running, E3G was ranked the fifth most globally influential environmental think tank.

More information is available at www.e3g.org

http://www.e3g.org/

DANIEL BECKER (NAVIGANT)

22 JANUARY 2020

BEACON IN A NUTSHELLBridging European and Local Climate Action (BEACON)

2 BEACON IN A NUTSHELL

Learning from national climate policies instruments in non-ETS sectors

Supporting 34 municipalities

Promoting multi-level collaboration

Analyses of 21 European climate policy instruments Helped administrations to learn from other MS

On-site coachings & technical support City climate partnerships Thematic regional workshops Transnational conferences

• Climate education, adjusting curricula• Energy saving measures, teacher trainings

& incentive schemes • Study tours and exchange• Comic book & education materials

Collaborating with 57 schools

Multi-level workshops with national decision-makers European conferences EU-wide disseminationInvolving cities & schools in Trio EU presidency of DE-SI-PT

Download in-depth factsheets: https://www.euki.de/en/news/successful-climate-protection-policies-in-europe/

Contact us: [email protected]

https://www.euki.de/en/news/successful-climate-protection-policies-in-europe/

mailto:[email protected]

3

Sector Country Policy instrument

Bonus-Malus Scheme

Incentives for E-mobility

Company car taxation

Modal shift

Energy Performance Certificate Database

Energy transition tax benefit

Innovation cluster

New Green in Savings Programme

Latvian Baltic Energy Efficiency Facility (LABEEF)

Slovak Sustainable Energy Financing Facility (SlovSEFF)

Tax reduction for energy savings

Energy Efficiency Obligation

CO2-Tax

Climate Change Agreements

Action Plan Aquatic Environment

Biomethane support

GHG Action Plan

Agrocovenant

OVERVIEW OF IN-DEPTH FACTSHEETS

Download in-depth factsheets: https://www.euki.de/en/news/successful-climate-protection-policies-in-europe/

Contact us: [email protected]



4

Connect with usWAYS TO CONNECT WITH BEACON

Visit the BEACON page on the EUKI website: www.euki.de/euki-projects/beacon

Follow us on Twitter:@EUKI_Climate

Download BEACON publications

Sign up for the EUKI newsletterEmail us at [email protected]


5

Supporting the development of the climate policy framework

ANALYSIS OF NATIONAL CLIMATE POLICIES

• Lead: Navigant & adelphi• Overview of activities:

• 1 Overview study• 21 in-depth factsheets (15-20

pages) on individual instruments/laws

• 4 sectoral workshops• 2 public workshops• 2+ presentations at int‘l

conferences• 20+ authors involved• 2 webinars

22

Key question: What are sector-specific policy instruments in other EU Member States (+ CH and NO) from which Germany and other states can learn from to improve climate policy?

6

Background

EXCHANGE OF GOOD PRACTICES IN NATIONAL CLIMATE POLICY

Key question: What are sector-specific policy instruments in other EU Member States (+ CH & NO) from which Germany and other states can learn from to make climate policy more effective, particularly in non-ETS sectors?

Setting the scene: ESD sectors are hard to decarbonise and comparatively evaluating policies in ESD sectors is difficult.

Methodology:

1. Data analysis of GHG emission reduction und ESD-target achievement bycountry. Relevant sectors include: Industry outside ETS, transport, buildings (heat), agriculture, waste

2. Analyse sector-specific developments

3. Identify country/sector combinations where between 2005-2015 substantial emission reductions have occurred

4. Exclude results when they appear primarily driven by economic downturn

5. Amongst the selected country/sector combinations, select promising policy instruments for detailed analysis.

7

• Overview Paper (in EN & DE): incl. data analysis of GHG emission reduction and ESD-target achievement by country. Relevant sectors include:

• Industry outside ETS• Transport• Buildings (heat)• Agriculture• Waste

Outputs


Source: adelphi

Public workshop in Berlin, 10 October 2018EIONET Conference, EEA, Copenhagen, 11-12 September 2018

• 18 individual policies: see next slide

• 3 climate change laws:• FR Energy Transition Act• UK Climate Change Act• SE Climate Act

Our analyses aimed to evaluate instruments along a common framework – focused on effectiveness and transferability – but do not „pick winners“ amongst the instruments.

• Selected policies vary along a number of dimensions: legal status, scope of mitigation targets, technological specificity

• Germany must significantly increase its climate protection efforts, especially with regard to 2030

• Exchange of successful policy instruments in other European countries can make a considerable contribution and provide concrete impetus for the 2030 program of measures. "Learning from each other" also helps other Member States to implement their climate change activities

• Emission reductions in ESD sectors are difficult, but there are quite similar countries that are making much more progress.

• In the building and partly in the industrial sector there are real pioneers in emission reductions; Transport and agriculture are slow progress.

• Many instruments are incremental

8

Conclusions


9 BEACON IN A NUTSHELL

Implementation of climateaction and energy savingmeasures in schools

Connecting and buildingcapacity for climate action in local communities

Networking and sharing goodpractices across countries with local partners

Bi- and multilateral cooperation and informationsharing on climate policies

• A Horizon 2020 project, under the heading « Supporting public authorities in theimplementation of the Energy Union », from 1st June 2019 to 31st May 2021

• BPIE in partnership with the network of the Green Building Councils and Climate Alliance(+ 8 pilot cities)

SCOPE AND PROBLEM ADRESSED: 1. Support renovation of buildings and avoid a piecemeal approach

between various levels of governments (EU, national and local).2. Delivering the EPBD and ensure that local initiatives, particularly in

Covenant of Mayors’ cities, are aligned with national and European policies.

3. Establish a multi-level renovation framework that contains milestones, measurable progress indicators and methods to measure impacts for building renovation strategies, integrating data and insights from the local level.

KEY SUCCESSES SO FAR Involving stakeholders across Europe, including by creating National Steering Committees in 8 countries, to provide

input to the renovation framework. 20 followers cities have already committed to apply the renovation framework (target for the all project duration was

10 cities).

This project has received funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under Grant Agreement No 840926. The content of this presentation reflects only the authors’ views.

C-Track 50 was initiated on March 1st 2018, and has a duration of three years.

The ambitious long-term EU climate and energy targets, can not be solely achieved by the national governments. Local and regional authorities can play a decisive role.

Key achievements include: Ongoing work with 118 municipalities and 11 regions,

covering approx. 5.56 million people. Implementation of 50 roundtables with national,

regional and local stakeholders. Development of a set of policy recommendations

on multi-level governance and national energy and climate planning.

Next steps: 116 energy and climate plans for carbon neutrality

developed. 105 projects identified and supported into financing

proposals.This project has received funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020 programme under grant agreement no. 784974

Putting Regions on Track for Carbon Neutrality by 2050

11 countries and 13 partners

● DURATION: 01/09/2019 - 31/08/2022

● PROJECT PARTNERS + COUNTRIES COVERED: EU level coordination: CAN Europe

● OBJECTIVE: to facilitate the effective and early transition of Member States across Europe to low carbon and resilient economies by unifying three key opportunities: programming of EU funds, National Energy and Climate Plans and national Long Term Strategies.

This project has received funding from the European Union’s LIFE programme under grant agreement no. LIFE18 GIC/BE/001190

● NEXT STEPS-Develop qualitative and quantitative tools to assess final NECPs and their implementation

- Inform the programming of EU funds in 10 target countries to optimize implementation of NECPs

- Assess and monitor national Long Term Strategies, highlighting coherence with EU-level LTS, NECPs, and Paris Agreement commitments

- Support municipalities to develop or improve SECAPs and strengthen links with NECPs in 6 target MS

- Formation of 10 national and 1 pan-EU stakeholder groups to facilitate regular and open dialogue between key stakeholders, and decision-makers

Czech Republic: Centre for Transport and Energy (CDE), Croatia: DOOR, Denmark: D92, Estonia: Estonian Fund for Nature, France:RAC France, Germany: Germanwatch, Poland:Institute for Sustainable Development, Portugal: ZERO, Slovenia: FOCUS, Spain:Birdlife Spain

● Project duration: 1.3.2018.-28.2.2021.● Countries covered: Croatia, Belgium, Latvia, Spain, Norway● Objectives: • Empower local and regional authorities to find innovative and cost-effective

approaches to develop, finance, implement and improve SECAP• Develop a peer-to-peer platform• Provide climate communication training and guidelines for the partners in the

consortium and the associated pilot municipalities● Key achievements and next steps: PentaHelix consortium is currently

developing 25 SECAPs by following PentaHelix approach, 40 municipalities provided positive feedback to become replication municipality.

● Benefits of PentaHelix approach: stakeholders feel involved in the overall planning process, realistic measures added into the SECAP, a stronger focus on the financing and links to existing and future funding sources, grounds for communication between the different stakeholders, potential identification of synergies…

This project has received funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under grant agreement No. 784994

PentaHelix project

● Project duration : March 2018 – March 2021

● Countries covered: Belgium (Client Earth), Croatia (UZ), Germany (Leuphana, IOW), Italy (ICLEI), Netherlands (Delt, Drift), Portugal (Lisboa/Porto U.), Spain (eco-union), UK (Leeds U.) + EU

● Objective : Meanstreaming self-consumption of Renewable Energy by Citizens, SMEs, Local Authorities (Prosumers)

● Problem addressed: - Assessing state of prosumerism in Europe - Improving National/EU regulation & policies- Supporting national/local initiatives (living labs) - Developing innovative business models - Creating scenarios by 2030-2050 . - Empowering a community of Prosumers at national/EU level

● Key achievements and next steps:- Publishing academic papers and policy reports (2018-19)- Influencing NECPs (2019-20)- Organizing Participatory assesments (PIA)s with key stakeholders (2020)- Publishing scenarios (2020)

This project has received funding from the European Union’s x programme under grant agreement no.

● Project duration: 2016 – 2020 (2021)

● Countries covered. Lighthouse cities: UK (Greenwich, London), Portugal (Lisbon), Italy (Milan). Followers cities: Bulgary (Burgas), France (Bordeaux), Poland (Warsaw)

● Scope and problem addressed: developing smart- and low energy urban districts, implementing affordable solutions and cooperative approches/models for: energy building retrofitting, shared e-mobility, citizen-oriented data and digital services

● Key achievements: the cities have invested on public building energy efficiency; involved private owners in high energy-performing, co-designed, condominium renovation projects (Milan); strengthened their investments and attracted investors on urban sharing e-mobility; developed (Greenwich) or strengthened their e-vehicle charging network; developed their urban sharing platform. Next steps: monitoring and dissemination; checking behavioural change in house management by residents, with regard to building energy efficiency:

This project has received funding from the European Union’s x programme under grant agreement no.

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