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© OECD/IEA 2015 Energy Technology Perspectives : The Role of Energy Technology Innovation in Accelerating Low-Carbon Transitions “Innovation as a catalyst for energy markets” Brussels, 22 June 2016 Daniele Poponi Energy Technology and Policy Division International Energy Agency

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Page 1: Energy Technology Perspectives 2015: Mobilising Innovation ... · Energy Technology Perspectives : The Role of Energy Technology Innovation ... China’s global export share by value

© OECD/IEA 2015

Energy Technology Perspectives : The Role of Energy Technology Innovation

in Accelerating Low-Carbon Transitions “Innovation as a catalyst for energy markets”

Brussels, 22 June 2016

Daniele Poponi Energy Technology and Policy Division

International Energy Agency

Page 2: Energy Technology Perspectives 2015: Mobilising Innovation ... · Energy Technology Perspectives : The Role of Energy Technology Innovation ... China’s global export share by value

© OECD/IEA 2015

COP21 provided a historic push for clean energy • Start of a new era of collaboration: Country-based approaches

preferred to top-down regulation

• New goals put forward – going beyond what everyone already considered challenging when our first ETP was released in 2006

Growing recognition that greater innovation is essential to meet ambitious climate goals • Mission Innovation: 20 countries will seek to double its

governmental and/or state-directed clean energy R&D, focused on transformational clean energy technology.

• 28 private sector investors have joined the Breakthrough Energy Coalition to invest patient capital in early-stage technology development.

Context

Page 3: Energy Technology Perspectives 2015: Mobilising Innovation ... · Energy Technology Perspectives : The Role of Energy Technology Innovation ... China’s global export share by value

© OECD/IEA 2015

Energy innovation is crucial in making a 2 Degree Scenario possible

Energy innovation has already yielded solutions, but needs support and guidance to deliver on its promises

Contribution of technology area to global cumulative CO2 reductions

Technologies

Page 4: Energy Technology Perspectives 2015: Mobilising Innovation ... · Energy Technology Perspectives : The Role of Energy Technology Innovation ... China’s global export share by value

© OECD/IEA 2015

Energy RD&D spending should reflect the importance of energy technology in meeting climate objectives

IEA government energy RD&D expenditure

Energy RD&D funding now targets the right issues, but is not enough

Source: ETP 2015

Page 5: Energy Technology Perspectives 2015: Mobilising Innovation ... · Energy Technology Perspectives : The Role of Energy Technology Innovation ... China’s global export share by value

© OECD/IEA 2015

Supporting Energy Innovation: The right policy at the right time

The right support depends on the maturity of the technology and the degree of market uptake

Page 6: Energy Technology Perspectives 2015: Mobilising Innovation ... · Energy Technology Perspectives : The Role of Energy Technology Innovation ... China’s global export share by value

© OECD/IEA 2015

The “cost gap” needs to be closed, not just reduced

During scale up, competitiveness rises due to cost reductions and increased costs of not using CCS

Page 7: Energy Technology Perspectives 2015: Mobilising Innovation ... · Energy Technology Perspectives : The Role of Energy Technology Innovation ... China’s global export share by value

© OECD/IEA 2015

Annual energy-related direct CO2 emissions in the industrial sector in the 2DS

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

2012 2020 2030 2040 2050

GtC

O2

Energy efficiency Fuel and feedstock switching Recycling Innovative processes

6DS

2DS

Source: ETP 2015

Innovation is essential for sustainable growth in the industrial sector

The deployment of innovative technologies is crucial to making a 2DS scenario possible

Page 8: Energy Technology Perspectives 2015: Mobilising Innovation ... · Energy Technology Perspectives : The Role of Energy Technology Innovation ... China’s global export share by value

© OECD/IEA 2015

Role of public private partnership in catalysing innovation in industry

FEEDSTOCK / RAW MATERIAL SUPPLY MANUFACTURING

FINAL PRODUCTS TO MARKETS

PRIVATE SECTOR GOVERNMENT

PPP

Partnerships can accelerate innovation while increasing the chances that a technology will be adopted

Role of public private partnerships in catalysing innovation in industry

Page 9: Energy Technology Perspectives 2015: Mobilising Innovation ... · Energy Technology Perspectives : The Role of Energy Technology Innovation ... China’s global export share by value

© OECD/IEA 2015

Cooperation between industrial and emerging economies could be a win-win solution

Building innovation capacity is key to successful technology deployment

Source: ETP 2015

Page 10: Energy Technology Perspectives 2015: Mobilising Innovation ... · Energy Technology Perspectives : The Role of Energy Technology Innovation ... China’s global export share by value

© OECD/IEA 2015

China can make the 2Ds possible with strong policies encouraging energy technology innovation

Long-term scenarios of China’s 2030 emissions peak

Solutions exist to China’s daunting energy challenge

Page 11: Energy Technology Perspectives 2015: Mobilising Innovation ... · Energy Technology Perspectives : The Role of Energy Technology Innovation ... China’s global export share by value

© OECD/IEA 2015

China’s global export share by value of solar and LEDs has grown significantly to roughly 40%, with its share of patents doubling between 2005 and 2010.

China is pushing to become an innovation engine

Page 12: Energy Technology Perspectives 2015: Mobilising Innovation ... · Energy Technology Perspectives : The Role of Energy Technology Innovation ... China’s global export share by value

© OECD/IEA 2015

In order to accelerate technological progress in low-carbon technologies, innovation policies

should be systemic

Better understanding innovation can increase confidence in its outcomes

Page 13: Energy Technology Perspectives 2015: Mobilising Innovation ... · Energy Technology Perspectives : The Role of Energy Technology Innovation ... China’s global export share by value

© OECD/IEA 2016

Cities as clean energy innovation hubs

Urban energy systems are “innovation-mines”

Page 14: Energy Technology Perspectives 2015: Mobilising Innovation ... · Energy Technology Perspectives : The Role of Energy Technology Innovation ... China’s global export share by value

© OECD/IEA 2015

Thank you