energy landscape in 2020; smart and sustainable

7/31/2019 Energy Landscape in 2020; Smart and Sustainable

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Energy Landscape in 2020:Smart and Sustainable?

Roberta Gamble, Director

Energy & Power Systems


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Focus Points

Context: Mega Trends Drive Change

Global Market Dynamics

The Energy Mix

Solar and Wind Forecasts

Smart Grid Advances to Meet the Challenge

Energy in 2020


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Mega Trends Impacting the Energy Industry


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Top Global Mega Trends

Mega City

SMART Cities and SMART Infrastructure

Mega City

SMART Cities and SMART Infrastructure

Growing Middle Class

Geo Socialization

Growing Middle ClassGeo Socialization

Beyond BRIC: The Next Game ChangersEmerging Outsourcing Hotspots

Beyond BRIC: The Next Game ChangersEmerging Outsourcing Hotspots

SMART CloudsVirtual WorldWireless Intelligence

SMART CloudsVirtual WorldWireless Intelligence

URBANIZATION

SOCIAL

ECONOMY

TECHNOLOGY

Power, Water, TransportPower, Water, Transport

New Business ModelsNew Business Models

Health , WellnessAging Populations

Health, WellnessAging Populations

INFRASTRUCTURE

BUSINESS

HEALTH &WELLNESS

SMART FACTORY

SMART and GREENSMART and GREEN


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Market Trends Driving Energy

Growing

Economies,Populations

Growing

Economies,Populations

InfrastructureInfrastructure Need to for GreenerEnergy solutions

Need to for GreenerEnergy solutions

EnergyEnergy


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BRIC, N-11 Among Fastest Growing Economies

2009$32

Growth

Rate(%)

3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000 9000 10000 25000 35000 40000

-(3.0)

-(2.0)

-(1.0)

2.0

3.0

4.0

45000

5.0

BRIC6.0

GDP ($Trillion)

2030$42.8

G-7

2009$8.9

2030

$32

2009$4.3

2030

$9.9

N-11


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Chennai

Outsourcing Hotspots of 2020

BuenosAires

Bucharest

Mexico City

Moscow

Prague

St.Petersburg

Sao Paulo

ShenzhenCairo Kolkat

a

Krakow

Beijing

Shanghai

R&D Centres

Production Plants

Engineering Services Centres

Delhi

Singapore

Rio de Janeiro


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Rise of the Middle Class in 2020:Over 1 Billion from India and China Alone

700 Million

15 Million

120 Million

140 Million

400 Million


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Stimulus Packages Target Infrastructure, Energy

Canada $26 billion

UK $4.6 billion

Germany $32 billion

USA

Estimated that over $2.2trillion is needed over next5 years for i nfrastructure

Government stimuluspackages allocates $72billion

France Constructionstimulus $6.3 billion

Italy $5 billionSpain $10 Billion

China $333 billion

Indonesia $1.17 bi llion

Australia $16.2 billion

Russia Major share of the$20 bil lion stimulus package


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Shift in Energy Consumption

North Ameri ca

32%

Latin Am erica

4%

Europe

29%

Russia

9%

Middle East

2%

Africa

3%

India

3%

Rest of Asia

13%

China

5%

North America

28%

Latin America

6%

Europe

22%

Russia

6%

Middle Eas t

3%

Africa

3%

India

4%

Rest of Asia

15%

China

13%

North Amer ica

23%

Latin America

7%

Europe

18%

Russia

5%

Rest of Asia15%

China

20%

India

6%

Africa

3%

Middle East

3%


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The Energy Mix Today and in 2020


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Top 10 Energy Technologies to Watch For in 2020

Nuclear Power

Wind

Advanced Batteries and Storage

SMART Grid

Biofuels

Fuel cellsDistributed

Geothermal

Energy

Management

Solar PV, CSP

Carbon Capture

and Storage

Top 10 Energy Technologiesof the Future

Key technologies that are poisedto have a profound impact on the

global energy industry. Theseareas represent high potential

ROI.

Key technologies that are poisedto have a profound impact on the

global energy industry. Theseareas represent high potential

ROI.


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Fuel Balance Today and in 2020

Coal

Oil

Gas

Nuclear

Hydro

Wind

Solar, OtherRenewables

0

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

30000

2010

Coal

Oil

Gas

Nuclear

Hydro

Wind

Solar, OtherRenewables

0

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

30000

2010

3%3%


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Why Solar and Wind?


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Solar and Wind Market Growth


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Photovoltaic Market Global Growth

CAGR33.5%

CAGR33.5%

Note: All figures are rounded; the base year is 2009. Source: Frost & Sullivan

Megawatts InstalledMegawatts Installed


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Concentrated Solar Power Global Market Growth

CAGR

49.6%

CAGR

49.6%




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Concentrated Solar Power Global Market Growth



43%

CAGRto 2016

43%

CAGRto 2016


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Wind Power Market Global Growth

GlobalCAGR22%

GlobalCAGR22%



US: 24%

CAGR

US: 24%

CAGR


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Solar and Wind Power Market Drivers


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Solar and Wind Power Market Restraints


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Smart Grid Connection to the Future


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Primary Objectives for Utilities by 2020

1. Increase Power Availability

-by minimizing interruptions inpower delivery

2. Improve Energy Efficiency

-by reducing waste in power delivery andenergy losses

3. Accommodate Renewable Power

-Prevent congestion on thepower lines and interruptions

4. Preparing for Growing Power Load


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Driving the Market

Supply-Side Drivers Demand-Side Drivers

Source: Frost & Sullivan.

RenewableEnergy

Need for

PowerInformation

ElectricVehicles

NetMetering

Mitigate NewBuild T&D

Respond to

EnergyLegislation


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New Business Models for Utilities

Current flow

Information flow

Distribution

Future Business Model

Electric

appliances/

devices

Customer

service

Power

generation

Power

transmission

Monitoring

Powerdistribution

Power from utility

Power

generation

End User/

Grid

Power from Distributed Generation units

Monitoring

Metering andenergy

portal

Third-party

energymanagement

services

Energy InformationServices

Current Business Model

Power

generation

Power

transmission

Electric

appliances/

devices

Customer

serviceMeteringPower

distribution

Distribution

Electricityusage bill


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Energy in 2020


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Fuel Balance Today and in 2020

Coal

Oil

Gas

Nuclear

Hydro

Wind

Solar, Other

Renewables

0

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

30000

2010

Coal

Oil

Gas

Nuclear

Hydro

Wind

Solar, Other

Renewables

0

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

30000

2010

3%3%

Coal

Oil

Gas

Nuclear

HydroWind

Solar, Other

Renewables

2020

Coal

Oil

Gas

Nuclear

HydroWind

Solar, Other

Renewables

2020

7%7%


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Installations of renewable energy technologies will more thandouble

Government incentives will be a big driver

Wind and other technologies will achieve increasing price

parity

Current traditional power sources will evolve: more gas,cleaner coal, expanded nuclear

The grid will have to keep up and will be an increasing area ofinvestment

Installations of renewable energy technologies will more thandouble

Government incentives will be a big driver

Wind and other technologies will achieve increasing price

parity

Current traditional power sources will evolve: more gas,cleaner coal, expanded nuclear

The grid will have to keep up and will be an increasing area ofinvestment


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