energy emergency, climate crisis: another transition is possible
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Energy Emergency, Climate Crisis: Another Transition is Possible. Presentation for “Energy Emergency: Developing Trade Union Strategies for a Global Transition” Roundtable October 10, 2012 NYC District Council of Carpenters Sean Sweeney , Ph.D. and Lara Skinner, Ph.D. - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
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Energy Emergency, Climate Crisis: Another Transition is
PossiblePresentation for “Energy Emergency: Developing Trade Union Strategies for a Global Transition”
Roundtable
October 10, 2012
NYC District Council of Carpenters
Sean Sweeney, Ph.D. and Lara Skinner, Ph.D.
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Energy Transition and the Green Economy
Global Labor Institute
“A transition to a green economy is in the end inevitable…”
UN Secretary General Ban Ki–Moon 2008
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Global Renewables Investment
Global Labor Institute
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Global Energy Investment
Global Labor Institute
$302B$237B
Source:UNEP Division of Technology Industry and Economics (2012, June 11). Global investment in renewable energy powers to record $257 billion
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Global Labor Institute
98 countries and 20 sub-national authorities have RE targets or standards
Obama-led green investments created 990,000 jobs
Policies for Renewable Energy (RE)
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Renewables in Germany
Global Labor Institute
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Renewables in China
Global Labor Institute
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Energy Expansion, Not Transition
Global Labor Institute
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Renewable Energy Under Siege
Global Labor Institute
unemployment line
Job Losses in Wind and Solar:
Spain, China and the United States
Renewable Energy companies in trouble
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A New Era of Fossil Fuels
Global Labor Institute
“When I was in Davos in January (2010), the energy discussion was all about renewables growth in megawatts.
Soon after I was in Singapore and the discussion was all about coal and power generation, talked about in gigawatts.
It was like living on two different planets.”
Fatih Birol pic
--- Fatih Birol, IEA Chief Economist
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Carbon Capture and Nuclear Power
Global Labor Institute
Nuclear power? Losing ground to fossil fuels
Carbon Capture and Storage? Not happening
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If governments honor their existing commitments….
Global Labor Institute
…..fossil fuels will still be 74% of the energy mix in 2035
World Energy Outlook, 2011
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Market-based policies are not working
“Rio+20 is about scaling-up and accelerating the Green Economy transformation already manifest in most if not all countries across the globe.”
-- Remarks by Achim Steiner to the Second Trade Union Assembly on Labour and the Environment, “Rio+20”, June 12, 2012
Photo: ITUC
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GREEN JOBS INITIATIVE
An opportunity for unions to have the voices heard?
…Or a means to cut off new ideas, strategies, and movement building?
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Another Energy Transition is Necessary
Global Labor Institute
Welcome to the Discussion!
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There is an Energy Emergency1. The Three RISINGS => Climate & Environmental Crises
Fossil fuel demand Greenhouse gas emissions Harmful pollution
2. Fossil fuel corporations’ power grows
3. Attacks on workers and unions have intensified
4. More energy ≠ More access
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Fossil Fuel Use is Expanding Rapidly Currently, fossil fuels meet ≅ 80% of world energy
demand.
Fossil fuels will meet the majority of energy demand through 2035.
We are in serious danger of ‘carbon lock-in.”
Fossil fuel corporations are advancing ‘extreme energy’ agenda.
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Shares of energy sources in total global primary energy supply in 2008.
IPCC Renewable Energy Sources and Climate Change Mitigation, 2012
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Global energy demand increases by 1/3 from 2010 to 2035.
IEA World Energy Outlook 2011
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Share of coal in China’s total energy demand is over 50% in 2035.
IEA World Energy Outlook 2011
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Fossil fuels are not running outIPCC Renewable Energy Sources and Climate Change Mitigation, 2012
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Carbon is ‘Locked-In’ Without Major Changes
4/5’s of the total energy-related CO2 emissions is already ‘locked-in’ by our existing infrastructure.
Must take action by 2017 or there will be no room for additional infrastructure unless it’s zero-carbon. (IEA)
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Fossil Fuel Corporations’ Extreme Energy Agenda – Far Riskier for Workers, Communities & Environment
Tar Sands Oil
Shale gas “fracking”
Mountaintop removal and surface coal mining
Deep sea / Artic oil drilling
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Emissions Have Increased Dramatically from 1970 – 2010, Largely From Fossil Fuels
Global CO2 Emissions (Gt)
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
19732010
IEA CO2 from Fossil Fuel Combustion Statistics, 2011
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Current emissions trends will lead to a catastrophic 6°C (11°F) of warming
National Climatic Data Center, NOAA
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Political Target = Keep warming below 2°C What we really need = 1.5°C
Now=392PPM CO2 Target=350PPM CO2 C
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Impact of 0.8°C Warming is Far Worse Than Scientists Expected
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Fossil fuel corporations’ power is growing, making it harder to protect workers, communities and the
environment.
Carbon Tracker Initiative
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Under Attack – Workers and Communities
Many workers lack rights & union representation
Health & safety issues Production up,
employment down Companies closing union
operations, reopening non-union.
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More Fossil Fuels, More Emissions ≠ Energy Equity
United Nations Development Program and World Health Organization, 2009