energy connectivity in south asia
TRANSCRIPT
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ENERGY CONNECTIVITY IN SOUTH ASIA: CHALLENGES AND OPPORTUNITIES
SANJAY KUMARExecutive Dircetor, Climate Parliament
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SOUTH ASIA: A REGION OF HIGH POVERTY, BUT STABLE GROWTH
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NUMBER AND PERCENTAGE OF POOR PEOPLE
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Electrification Rate
Mil. People without Electric
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HVDC Links & Interconnections
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SEASONAL COMPLEMENTARITY IN POWER SYSTEMS IN SOUTH ASIA – MONTHLY ELECTRICITY LOAD PROFILES ACROSS SOUTH ASIAN GRIDSTIMILSINA ET AL 2015
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BASELINE INSTALLED GENERATION CAPACITY (GW)
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CUMULATIVE CHANGE IN TOTAL INSTALLED CAPACITY RELATIVE TO REGIONAL COOPERATION AND TRADE OVER THE 2015-2040 PERIOD, BY COUNTRY (GW)
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Cumulative Change In Total Installed Capacity Relative To Baseline With RegionalCooperation And Trade Over The 2015-2040 Period, By Type Of Generation Technology (GW)
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Change In Cumulative Costs From The Baseline Due To Regional Trade Over The 2015- 2040 Period (Billion US$)
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PERCENTAGE SHARE OF FUEL (BY TYPE) AND CHANGES
Type of Fuel Baseline Share in Total Installed Capacity
Change with Regional trade at fixed Capital Cost
Change with trade @ lower Capital Cost **
Diesel 0.6% 0% 0%
Gas 5.7% -15.4% -18.8%
Hydro 15.9% 42.1% 42.2%
Solar 2.3% 0% 98.3%
Coal 54.3% -9.4% -11.4%
Wind 10.3% -5.9% 26%
Combined Cycle 5.1% 6.2% 4.7%
Biomass 2.2% 0% 0%
Nuclear 3.4% 0% 0%** Baseline Capital Cost of Solar and Wind plants respectively US$ 2200/Kw and US$ 1900/Kw.
Reduction in cost as per IEA estimate of 32% in Solar and 24% in Wind by 2020
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PERCENTAGE CHANGE IN ESTIMATED DISCOUNTED COSTS DURING 2015-40 FROM BASELINE
Regional Trade at Fixed Capital Costs
Regional Trade at Reduced Capital Costs of Solar , Wind
Total Investment (Generation + Transmission/ Distribution)
3.5% 5.1%
Total Fuel Cost -8.7% -11.9%
Total Electric Supply Cost -4.8% -6.5%
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ANNUAL SOLAR PERFORMANCE MAPANNUAL SOLAR PERFORMANCE MAP
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SOLAR IRRIGATION PUMP PROGRAMME - INDIA
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THE BIG PICTURE:Needs Political Mobilisation on Sharing Resources …
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… OVER SIX TIME ZONES IN SOUTH ASIA ALONE,
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…....... and, Institutional Capacity Building
Progress from Bilateral trade agreements to a Multi-lateral Trade Institution
EstablishRegional Power Market Build upon the experiences of the 2 power exchanges (IEX and PEI)
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Thank You for Kind Attention!