emerging markets for teeling whiskey

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Emerging Markets for Teeling Whiskey ‘The Spirit of Dublin’ Paudie Murphy

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Page 1: Emerging Markets for Teeling Whiskey

Emerging Markets for Teeling Whiskey

‘The Spirit of Dublin’

Paudie Murphy

Page 2: Emerging Markets for Teeling Whiskey

Global Trends in Whisk(e)y“Whisk(e)y is projected to be one of the most dynamic segments of the global

alcoholic drinks market over the next few years” (IWSR Forecast 2015-2020)

● Premiumisation: Value and low-priced brands will lose share to the

standard-and-above quality segments as consumers trade up.

● Geographical Indicators

● Sustainable Production

● Mainstreaming of Connoisseurship

● New forces of global demand

Page 3: Emerging Markets for Teeling Whiskey

The Teelings Brand● Boutique craft whiskey distillery● Full portfolio of Premium and above Irish Whiskeys

○ Blended○ Single Grain○ Single Malt○ Aged

● Innovative approach - daring to do things differently● ‘Spirit of Dublin’ - a brand rich in personality● Strong geographical indicator - Dublin produced● 100% Irish● Award winning

Page 4: Emerging Markets for Teeling Whiskey

Teeling Whiskeys

● Teeling Small Batch Blended - €38.99

● Teeling Single Grain - €45.95

● Teeling Single Malt - €52.99

● Teeling 15 year Single Malt - ‘The Revival’ - €100 (Limited edition 10,000 bottles)

● Teeling 21 year Single Malt - ‘The Silver’ - €152.99 (Limited edition 5000 bottles)

● Teeling 26 year Single Malt - ‘The Gold’ - €695 (Limited edition 1000 bottles)

● Teeling 30 year Single Malt - ‘The Platinum’ - €2150 (Limited edition 250 bottles)

● Teeling Poitin - €32.99

Page 5: Emerging Markets for Teeling Whiskey

New horizons Preliminary research indicates the following as emerging markets for whiskey:

South Korea, South Africa, Mexico, Brazil, Thailand

However, market analysis leads me to choose Mexico as a focus

Page 6: Emerging Markets for Teeling Whiskey

Total Whisk(e)y Market Size 2015

Volume litres Annual Growth

Value Annual Growth

€ Value

South Korea 14.4 M -3.3 % 3.5 T (skw) -1.1% 2.6 B

South Africa 47.9 M +2.6 % 14.9 B (zar) +11.4% 876 M

Mexico 42.9 M +13.7% 35 B (mxn) +19.6% 1.75 B

Brazil 53.1 M +2.5% 8.2 B (brl) +11.6% 2.05 B

Thailand 20 M -8.2% 35.6 (thb) -4.3% 890 M

Page 7: Emerging Markets for Teeling Whiskey

Total Whisk(e)y Market Size 2019

Volume litres Growth 2015-2019

Value Growth 2015-2019

€ Value

South Korea 12.9 M -15% 3.5 T (skw) -0.4% 2.7 B

South Africa 52 M +8.6% 21.4 B (zar) +44% 1.26 B

Mexico 68.6 M +60% 67.7 B (mxn) +93% 3.38 B

Brazil 59.6 M +12% 12.5 B (brl) +52% 3.1 B

Thailand 17.8 M -11% 37.6 B (thb) +5.5% 942 M

Page 8: Emerging Markets for Teeling Whiskey

Irish Whiskey Market Size 2015

Volume litres Annual Growth

Value Annual Growth

€ Value

South Korea - - - - -

South Africa 2.4 M +6% 1.3 B (zar) +14% 80 M

Mexico 75 K +8% 92 M (mxn) +12% 4.6 M

Brazil 62 K +0% 10 M (brl) +7.3% 2.6 M

Thailand - - - - -

Page 9: Emerging Markets for Teeling Whiskey

Irish Whiskey Market Size 2019

Volume litres Growth 2015-2019

Value Growth 2015-2019

€ Value

South Korea - - - - -

South Africa 2.9 M +21% 2.1 B (zar) +53% 122 M

Mexico 99.7 K +33% 139 M (mxn) +51% 6.95 M

Brazil 63 K +2% 13.4 M (brl) +31% 3.35 M

Thailand - - - - -

Page 10: Emerging Markets for Teeling Whiskey

Single Malt Market Size 2015

Volume litres Annual Growth

Value Annual Growth

€ Value

South Korea 632 K +4% 247 B (skw) +7% 190 M

South Africa 683 K +14% 350 M (zar) +17% 20 M

Mexico 546 K +27% 758 M (mxn) +34% 38 M

Brazil 2.6 K +4% 1.4 M (brl) +8% 7.3 M

Thailand 53.5 K +0% 291 M (thb) +13% 7.3 M

Page 11: Emerging Markets for Teeling Whiskey

Single Malt Market Size 2019

Volume litres Growth 2015-2019

Value Growth 2015-2019

€ Value

South Korea 734 K +16% 331 B (skw) +34% €255 M

South Africa 951 K +39% 566 M (zar) +62% €33 M

Mexico 1.4 M +172% 2.5 M (mxn) +225% €123 M

Brazil 2.8 K +8% 1.9 M (brl) +36% €475 K

Thailand 55 K +3% 421 M (thb) +45% €10.5 M

Page 12: Emerging Markets for Teeling Whiskey

Why Mexico?Summary of market analysis:

● Mexico is the fastest growing whiskey market

● Irish Whiskey is an underdeveloped market in Mexico with steady growth

● Single Malt Whisky is the fastest growing spirit market in Mexico

● Premiumisation trend - upgrade consumers to Single Malts

● Benchmark product is Premium

● Premium whiskey is 34% of the market volume ( more than the other

countries)

● Super Premium is 1.9% of the market but growing

● Acquisition of Bushmills by local company José Cuervo

Page 13: Emerging Markets for Teeling Whiskey

Why Mexico?Demographic indicators:

● Population of 122 million

● 79% of these in urban areas

● Mexico City 21M, Guadalajara 4.6M, Monterrey 4.4M

● Young demographic: Median age is 28, 45% of population under 24

● Approx 20 million in the 25 to 35 age range (target demographic)

● Growing middle class with rising disposable income. Whiskey = Status

● GDP 2.3%

● Expansive macroeconomic investment

● Developing infrastructure

Page 14: Emerging Markets for Teeling Whiskey

Market Segmentation● Young millennials 18-35 age group● Avid social media user● Middle and Upper class professionals● Desire exclusivity and to demonstrate sophistication● Premium brand consumer● Hipster culture- craves authenticity in brand story ● Seeks craft and artisanal products with known provenance ● Appreciates innovative, disruptive products i.e. Teelings is the new

generation of Irish Whiskeys, doing things differently● Appreciates the start-up nature of the family owned brand● Gourmet food interests / food and whiskey pairings / mixology

Page 15: Emerging Markets for Teeling Whiskey

Competitor Brandshare in Mexico

Whiskies 2009 2014

Johnnie Walker 33.5% 23.2%

Passport 8.2% 11.8%

Buchanan’s 15.8% 9.9%

Chivas Regal 10.3% 8.7%

William Lawson 6.5% 7.4%

Trend: Traditional market leaders losing brandshare

Page 16: Emerging Markets for Teeling Whiskey

Teelings Blended - Market positioning● Shift in brandshare from traditional market leaders in blended

whisk(e)y to more niche and premium brands

● Great opportunity for Teelings Flagship Blended Whiskey

● Capitalize on trend for premiumisation to encourage sales of a

more expensive craft blended whiskey.

● Greatest volume of sales expected from this product

● This is a gateway to premium whiskey for young professionals

● Pricepoint of €38.99 similar to Jameson Crested Ten €36.50 or

Johnnie Walker Blacklabel €43.

● However, this is a small batch, niche, “cooler” product

Page 17: Emerging Markets for Teeling Whiskey

The rise of the single malt

Single Malt Scotch

2009 2010 2011 2014

Macallan 4.4 23.0

Glenfiddich 14.6 19.8

Glenlivet 0.5 9.10

Cardhu 0.7 2.8

Increasing brandshare of Single Malt Scotch in Mexico

Page 18: Emerging Markets for Teeling Whiskey

Teelings Single Malt - Product Positioning

● Increasing brandshare of single malt whiskeys, indicates a premiumisation

trend of consumers “graduating” to single malt from blended.

● Priced a little higher, but not too much - to entice customers up the product

range

● Opportunity to be an early mover to be the craft, Irish single malt of choice-

still a relatively unique category

● As consumer matures opportunity for more exclusivity by moving up to the

limited edition, aged single malts.

● The single malt at €52.99 compares favourably to competitors e.g. Macallan

Amber €52.00 and Cardhu €53.00 with the advantage of its boutique,

innovative craft pedigree.

Page 19: Emerging Markets for Teeling Whiskey

Sales channels● Independent premium spirits agent to distribute● Food & Beverage Trade shows e.g. Abastur and Gourmet Show● Target luxury hotel chains ● Duty free ● Off-licence chains● Direct sales to influential cocktail bars

Page 20: Emerging Markets for Teeling Whiskey

Operations considerations

● Logistics● Warehousing● Import Duty Rate: 16%● Excise duty: 53%

Page 21: Emerging Markets for Teeling Whiskey

Strategy Implementation● Phase 1:

○ Guadalajara (4.6 M) or Monterrey (4.4 M)○ Gain a foothold in region and develop brand

recognition○ Greater insight into the market ○ Test marketing strategies

● Phase 2:○ Mexico City (21 M)○ Use insights and feedback from phase 1 and

iterate on strategy○ Increase marketing budget

Page 22: Emerging Markets for Teeling Whiskey

Reaching the target market● Strong Brand Ireland approach under the Bord Bia Irish Food and

Beverages umbrella● Connect with Irish Embassy for events● Build on the Origin Green platform and emphasise Teelings sustainable

credentials● Target Whisk(e)y festivals, clubs, tastings.● Teeling Brand Ambassador to build relationships with trade, consumers

and key influencers e.g. whiskey/food bloggers● Sponsorship of key events e.g. music or arts● Target Mixology events/competitions

Page 23: Emerging Markets for Teeling Whiskey

Digital marketing● Integrated Social Media Campaigns

● Facebook is primary platform, also Whatsapp and

Twitter

● Rise in “at home occasions”. Create a Teelings

occasion e.g. #Teelings and Tamales

● Videos on how to make new cocktails - (bigger off-

trade market) Pair with local foods e.g. Mexican

Hot Chocolate, Chipotle Whiskey Sour

● QR codes on bottles

Page 24: Emerging Markets for Teeling Whiskey

Possible challenges● Currency volatility could derail growth

● Market growth may vary according to region - may

have to use split testing on different regions

● Ecommerce retail still low in Mexico,

predominance of cash over credit cards due to

fears of hacking and unreliable postal system.

Poses challenges for online sales.

Page 25: Emerging Markets for Teeling Whiskey

Thank you

Paudie Murphy