emergency preparedness education: learning from experience, science of disasters, and preparing for...
TRANSCRIPT
Emergency Preparedness Emergency Preparedness Education: Learning from Education: Learning from
Experience, Science of Experience, Science of Disasters, and Preparing for Disasters, and Preparing for
the Future (II): Focus on the Future (II): Focus on Flood and Typhoon Flood and Typhoon
Roberto ArayaRoberto Araya
CIAE CIAE University of ChileUniversity of Chile
Empirical Study of the Empirical Study of the CurriculumCurriculum
Math Modeling of FloodsMath Modeling of Floods
Empirical Study of the Empirical Study of the CurriculumCurriculum
Curriculum + teacher practices + students activities Curriculum + teacher practices + students activities knowledge knowledge components networkcomponents network
(515.823 exercises made by 805 4th graders from 23 courses)
Empirical study: Empirical study: number of excercises per monthnumber of excercises per month
Empirical study: Empirical study: # of exercises of each curriculum component per # of exercises of each curriculum component per
month month
Empirical study: Empirical study: causality between curriculum componentscausality between curriculum components
To predict performance in a component c, which historical performance k will be To predict performance in a component c, which historical performance k will be better? better?
Empirical study: Empirical study: causality network of components causality network of components
Empirical study: Empirical study: causality between strandscausality between strands
Empirical studyEmpirical study
Mathematical ModelingMathematical Modeling
Use Use Select Select Adjust Adjust Build Build
Concrete Concrete Computational Computational AbstractAbstract
How to study How to study propagation? propagation?
Use simple modelsUse simple models
Model # 1 Model # 1
Model # 1 Model # 1
Model # 2 Model # 2
Model # 2 Model # 2
Model # 2 Model # 2 (another initial condition)(another initial condition)
Model # 2 Model # 2
Model # 3 Model # 3
Model # 3 Model # 3
Model # 4 Model # 4
Model # 4 Model # 4
SelectSelect
AdjustAdjust
BuildBuild