electric vehicles today and tomorrow - dvrpc · 2017-11-15 · electric vehicles today and tomorrow...
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Electric Vehicles Today and Tomorrow
November 6, 2017
Enjoy a cup of coffee!
Please be sure to get a copy of the agenda and bios and sign in for APA CM Credits
We will start promptly at 10:00
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Electric Vehicles Today and Tomorrow November 6, 2017 Rob Graff – Manager, Office of Energy and Climate Change Initiatives Delaware Valley Regional Planning Commission
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Electric Vehicles Today and Tomorrow
Welcome • Logistics
• Breaks • Lunch • APA CM Credit
• Participant Introduction • Name/Organization • What are you hoping to learn today?
• Intro to DVRPC • Context for Today • Overview of Day • Speaker Introduction
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Metropolitan Planning Organization (MPO) for the bi-s ta te , 9-county Philade lphia region
Home rule region: • 351 municipa lities • land use power res ides with loca l
governments
Is sue a reas : • Transporta tion • Land Use • Economy • Environment
Board makeup: • Governors • Counties and cities • Sta te agencies
About DVRPC
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Contextual Overview
• International • Strong Presence in Much of the World • Auto Companies Moving Away from ICE to EVs
• National • Electrify America • National Plug-in Electric Vehicle Infrastructure Analysis • Proposed End of the $7,500 Tax Deduction
• State/Regional Drive Electric PA Coalition NJ BPU NJTPA Interagency Collaboration on AFV Infrastructure
• Philadelphia EV Task Force • Driven by Untenable 2007 Law
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Transportation emissions are now the largest source of CO2 emissions in the U.S. EVs are a market-ready, low-carbon technology that can meet fleet needs
The Environmental Motivation for Electric Vehicles
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Two main types of EV: All Electric Vehicles & Plug-In Hybrids
EV Technologies
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Plug-In Hybrid Electric Vehicle (PHEV) – Two Types
In some situations all-electric, some all gasoline, some mix. • Plug-in Prius • Chevy Volt (not Bolt) – a.k.a.
Extended Range EV (EREV) • BMW i3
Advantages: • Long range • Can easily substitute
for a gasoline car • For many drivers,
will provide a 100% electric commute.
Disadvantages: • More complex • Burn gasoline
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No gasoline. Battery only. Examples: • Nissan LEAF • Tesla – All models • Chevy Bolt (not Volt) Performance: • Range fine for most
commutes • Challenges for long trips, or
unexpected trips • Range decrease in hot or
cold weather
All Electric Vehicles (AEVs) a.k.a. Battery Electric Vehicles (BEVs)
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Three standard types of charging: Level 1, Level 2, and DC Fast Charge • Level 1: home outlet (120V / 1400W) – about what a
powerful hair dryer uses. Adds about 4 miles of range in an hour.
• Level 2: 240V/7700W – like an electric stove with all burners and oven on. Adds 12-24 miles of range in an hour.
• DC Fast Charge: 480+V/50,000 to 120,000W or more. Like a commercial building. Adds 40 to 100 miles in 10 minutes
• Note: Gasoline adds about 250 mile of range per minute.
EV Charging Technologies
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DVRPC’s EV Analysis History
2011 “Ready to Roll?” Overview of Challenges and Opportunities for
Alternative Fuel Vehicles in the Delaware Valley 2012 DVRPC Electric Vehicle Transportation Study – Funded by PECO 2013 “Ready to Roll!” – US DOE funded Regional EV Readiness Plan 2015 FHWA funded model of EVs energy and emissions (forthcoming) Key analysis by Adam Beam, DVRPC 2017 NCST-Funded partnership with UC Davis to calibrate model
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How Far Do We Drive?
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4 8 12 16 20 24 28 32
Approximate miles using Level 1 charging
15 30 45 60 75 90 105 120
Approximate miles using Level 2 charging
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By Mariordo (Mario Roberto Durán Ortiz) (Own work) [CC BY-SA 3.0 (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/3.0)], via Wikimedia Commons
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PH&EV Research Center launched in 2007 with CA Public Interest Energy Research (PIER) funds for transportation research.
Collaborates closely with California utilities, automakers, regulators, and others on research to develop a sustainable market for plug-in vehicles.
DVRPC has been working with their researchers informally for 4 or 5 years
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UC Davis EV Planning Toolbox
Market Tool ACS and LODES* data Shows concentration of vehicles based on user-decided parameters
Workplace Charging Tool Uses Market Tool output and LODES data to determine where
workplace charging most likely to occur Uses three scenarios: Free Work Charging, Work Charging Equal
Cost of Home Charging, Work Charging Double Cost of Home Charging
Project will be to calibrate tools using SE PA counties data Willing to add other geographies to analysis (e.g., rest of PA, NJ)
*Longitudinal Employer-Household Dynamics Origin-Destination Employment Statistics
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Goals of Work with UC Davis
• Calibrate EV Planning Toolkit to the Greater Philadelphia Region • Where PEV owners will live • Predict workplace charging demand by location • Predict long distance DCFC demand by location • Help optimize locations for publicly available charging
• Overnight • Workplace • DCFC
• Additional Goals • Identify potential electric distribution grid concerns • Inform siting overnight charging infrastructure in urban areas
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Projected EV Concentration
Default Parameters 1% of HHs buying new vehicles buy PEVs
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Work Charging Same Cost as Home Charging
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EV Uptake Issues
• Cost – Decreasing • Range – Increasing • Charging – Where the need for planning lies
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Presenters from UC Davis
Tom Turrentine, Ph.D. — Director, The Plug-in Hybrid & Electric Vehicle Research Center, Institute of Transportation Studies, University of California, Davis.
Gil Tal, Ph.D. — Research Director, The Plug-in Hybrid & Electric Vehicle (PH&EV) Research Center, Institute of Transportation Studies, University of California, Davis.
Wei Ji — Graduate Student in Transportation Technology and Policy, Institute of Transportation Studies, University of California, Davis.
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Agenda • Morning Session—Electric Vehicles Today
• Global and regional review of the EV market • Supply and demand: Understanding trends in EV cost and buyers’
awareness • Incentives and the EV market • PEV users travel and charging behavior • Public infrastructure needs
• Afternoon Session—Modeling the Future of Electric Vehicles in the DVRPC Region • Predicting PEV ownership locations • Forecasting demand for workplace and other commute related
charging • DC fast charging location modeling