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Effects of Replacing Animal Protein with Plant Protein on Glycemic Control in Individuals with Diabetes By Effie Viguiliouk A thesis submitted in conformity with the requirements for the degree of Master of Science Graduate Department of Nutritional Sciences University of Toronto © Copyright by Effie Viguiliouk (2015)

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Effects of Replacing Animal Protein with Plant Protein on Glycemic Control in Individuals with

Diabetes

By

Effie Viguiliouk

A thesis submitted in conformity with the requirements

for the degree of Master of Science

Graduate Department of Nutritional Sciences

University of Toronto

© Copyright by Effie Viguiliouk (2015)

ii

Effects of Replacing Animal Protein with Plant Protein on Glycemic Control in Individuals with

Diabetes

Effie Viguiliouk

Master of Science

Department of Nutritional Sciences

University of Toronto

2015

ABSTRACT

The objective was to conduct a systematic review and meta-analysis (SRMA) of randomized

controlled trials (RCTs) to assess the effect of replacing animal with plant protein on glycemic control in

diabetes and to perform a cross-sectional study using baseline data from 5 RCTs to assess the

relationship between replacing animal with plant protein on HbA1c in type 2 diabetes. The SRMA of 12

trials (n=240) showed diets emphasizing replacement of animal with major plant protein sources

significantly lowered HbA1c, fasting glucose and fasting insulin compared with control diets. Our cross-

sectional study (n=627) showed substitution of animal with plant protein was not associated with HbA1c

change. Overall, the results suggest that replacement of animal with plant protein leads to modest

improvements in glycemic control in diabetes, however research is needed to address the limitations of

our SRMA and lack of agreement with the associations seen in our cross-sectional study.

Abstract word count: 148

iii

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS

First and foremost I would like to thank my family for their unconditional love and support, and for

believing in me more than I believe in myself. Without them I do not know where I would be. They have

taught me the value of hard work, perseverance and the courage to take chances. I would also like to

take this opportunity to thank the friends who have always been there and for the new ones I have

made for keeping me grounded and teaching me to appreciate the little things in life.

Second, I would like thank and express my appreciation for my committee members Dr. Anthony

Hanley, Dr. Richard Bazinet and Dr. Russell de Souza for taking the time to guide and support me

throughout the course of my MSc. I would like to also thank Christopher Ireland for spending endless

hours helping me with the logistics of my second project and for teaching me how to use SAS.

Third, I would like to thank my lab members Vivian Choo, Jay Jayalath, Vanessa Ha, Sarah Stewart,

Stephanie Nishi, Laura Chiavaroli, Sonia Blanco Mejia, Arash Mirrahimi, Adrian Cozma, Christine Tsilas,

Shana Kim and Shari Li for all the memories, laughter and for keeping me sane throughout this entire

process. Each and every one of you has touched me in some way and I am extremely grateful for having

you in my life.

Last but not least, I would like to express my gratitude and upmost appreciation for my supervisors Dr.

David Jenkins and Dr. John Sievenpiper for providing me with the opportunity to work with them. Dr.

Jenkins, I thank you for your mentorship and for teaching me the importance of considering how our

dietary habits impact our environment, which is something that has changed my life in many ways. And

John, thank you for believing in my capabilities and changing the trajectory of my life. You have provided

me with many opportunities for growth and development and I feel extremely grateful for your

unconditional support, mentorship, and inspiration.

iv

TABLE OF CONTENTS

ABSTRACT .............................................................................................................................. ii

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS ........................................................................................................... iii

TABLE OF CONTENTS ............................................................................................................. iv

LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS ....................................................................................................... vi

LIST OF FIGURES .................................................................................................................... ix

LIST OF TABLES ...................................................................................................................... x

CHAPTER I – INTRODUCTION .................................................................................................. 1

CHAPTER II – LITERATURE REVIEW ......................................................................................... 4

2.1 DIABETES .............................................................................................................................................5

2.1.1 PREVALENCE OF DIABETES ...........................................................................................................5

2.1.2 PATHOPHYSIOLOGY OF DIABETES ................................................................................................5

2.1.3 DIABETES COMPLICATIONS AND MORTALITY ..............................................................................6

2.1.4 DIABETES RISK FACTORS ...............................................................................................................6

2.1.5 DIAGNOSIS OF DIABETES ..............................................................................................................7

2.1.6 MEASURES OF GLYCEMIC CONTROL ............................................................................................7

2.1.7 PREVENTION AND MANAGEMENT OF DIABETES .........................................................................8

2.2 PLANT AND ANIMAL PROTEIN AND DIABETES ....................................................................................9

2.2.1 SOURCES OF PLANT AND ANIMAL PROTEIN IN THE DIET ............................................................9

2.2.2 POPULATION LEVELS OF PLANT AND ANIMAL PROTEIN INTAKE IN THE U.S., CANADA AND

EUROPE ............................................................................................................................................... 10

2.2.3 GUIDELINES FOR PLANT AND ANIMAL PROTEIN CONSUMPTION ............................................. 11

2.2.4 PLANT-BASED DIETARY PATTERNS AND DIABETES ................................................................... 12

2.2.4.1 Plant-Based Dietary Patterns and Diabetes Risk in Prospective Cohort Studies ................................ 13

2.2.4.2 Plant-Based Dietary Patterns and Glycemic Control in Controlled Dietary Trials .............................. 13

2.2.5 PLANT PROTEIN AND DIABETES ................................................................................................ 14

2.2.5.1 Plant Protein And Diabetes Risk in Prospective Cohort Studies ......................................................... 14

2.2.5.2 Plant Protein and Glycemic Control in Controlled Dietary Trials ....................................................... 15

2.2.5.3 Plant Protein and Other Cardiometabolic Risk Factors in Controlled Dietary Trials .......................... 16

2.2.6 ANIMAL PROTEIN AND DIABETES .............................................................................................. 17

2.2.6.1 Animal Protein and Diabetes Risk in Prospective Cohort Studies ...................................................... 17

2.2.6.2 Animal Protein and Glycemic Control in Controlled Dietary Trials .................................................... 19

2.2.6.3 Animal Protein and Other Cardiometabolic Risk Factors in Controlled Dietary Trials ....................... 20

2.2.7 REPLACING ANIMAL PROTEIN WITH PLANT PROTEIN AND DIABETES ...................................... 21

2.2.7.1 Replacing Animal Protein with Plant Protein and Diabetes Risk in Prospective Cohort Studies ........ 21

v

2.2.7.2 Replacing Animal Protein with Plant Protein and Glycemic Control in Controlled Dietary Trials ...... 22

2.2.7.3 Replacing Animal Protein with Plant Protein and Other Cardiometabolic Risk Factors in Controlled

Dietary Trials .................................................................................................................................................. 22

CHAPTER III – RATIONALE AND OBJECTIVES .......................................................................... 24

3.1 RATIONALE ....................................................................................................................................... 25

3.2 OBJECTIVES ....................................................................................................................................... 25

CHAPTER IV – EFFECT OF REPLACING ANIMAL PROTEIN WITH PLANT PROTEIN ON GLYCEMIC

CONTROL IN DIABETES: A SYSTEMATIC REVIEW AND META-ANALYSIS OF RANDOMIZED

CONTROLLED TRIALS ............................................................................................................ 27

CHAPTER V –ASSOCIATION BETWEEN SUBSTITUTING ANIMAL PROTEIN WITH PLANT PROTEIN

AND HEMOGLOBIN A1C IN TYPE 2 DIABETES: A CROSS-SECTIONAL STUDY ............................ 74

CHAPTER VI – OVERALL DISCUSSION AND LIMITATIONS ....................................................... 89

6.1 OVERALL DISCUSSION ....................................................................................................................... 90

6.2 LIMITATIONS ..................................................................................................................................... 91

6.2.1 SYSTEMATIC REVIEW AND META-ANALYSIS.............................................................................. 91

6.2.2 CROSS-SECTIONAL STUDY ......................................................................................................... 91

6.3 MECHANISMS OF ACTION ................................................................................................................ 92

6.4 CLINICAL IMPLICATIONS ................................................................................................................... 96

6.5 FUTURE DIRECTIONS ........................................................................................................................ 96

CHAPTER VII – CONCLUSIONS ............................................................................................... 98

CHAPTER VIII – REFERENCES ............................................................................................... 100

vi

LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS

% E – Percent energy

%/d – Percent per day

2h-PG – 2-hour plasma glucose value

ADA – American Diabetes Association

AHS-2 - Adventist Health Study 2

AP – Animal protein

Apo-A1 – Apolipoprotein A1

Apo-B – Apolipoprotein B

BMI – Body mass index

C – Crossover

CAD – Coronary artery disease

CAN – Canada

CCHS - Canadian Community Health Survey

CDA – Canadian Diabetes Association

CHD – Coronary heart disease

CI – Confidence interval

CKD – Chronic kidney disease

CRP – C-reactive protein

CVD – Cardiovascular disease

DA – Dietary advice

DASH – Dietary Approaches to Stop Hypertension

DGAC – Dietary Guidelines Advisory Committee

DNK – Denmark

E3N study – Etude Epidémiologique auprès des femmes de la Mutuelle Générale de l'Education

Nationale

EASD – European Association for the Study of Diabetes

EPIC study – European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition

FAO - Food and Agriculture Organization

FPG – Fasting plasma glucose

g – grams

g/d – grams per day

GHF – Glomerular hyperfiltration

vii

GI – Glycemic index

GFR – Glomerular filtration rate

GRC – Greece

HbA1c – Glycated hemoglobin

HDL-C – High-density lipoprotein cholesterol

HPLC – High-performance liquid chromatography

HR – Hazard ratio

Hs-CRP – high-sensitivity C-reactive protein

HOMA-IR – Homeostasis model assessment- estimated insulin resistance

HT – Hypertension

IDF – International Diabetes Federation

IHD – Ischemic heart disease

IRN – Iran

kg – kilograms

LDL-C – Low-density lipoprotein cholesterol

MD – Mean difference

M – Men

Met – Metabolic feeding control

MetS – Metabolic syndrome

MQS – Heyland Methodological Quality Score

N – Nephropathy

NA – Data not available

NCEP – National Cholesterol Education Program

NHANES – National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey

NO/cGMP – Nitric oxide/cyclic-guanosine-3′,5′-cyclic monophosphate

PREDIMED study – Prevención con Dieta Mediterránea

O – Overweight and/or obese

OGTT - Oral glucose tolerance test

OR – Odds ratio

P – Parallel

PDCAAS – Protein digestibility corrected amino acid score

PER – Protein efficiency ratio

PP – Plant protein

viii

R – Retinopathy

RCT – Randomized controlled trial

RDA - Recommended dietary allowance

RR – Relative risk

SD – Standard deviation

SE – Standard error

SMD – Standardized mean difference

Supp – Supplemental feeding control

T1D – Type 1 diabetes

T2D – Type 2 diabetes

TC – Total cholesterol

UNU – United Nations University

USA – United States of America

USDA – U.S. Department of Agriculture

U.S. – United States

W – Women

WHO – World Health Organization

wk – weeks

y – years

ix

LIST OF FIGURES

CHAPTER IV

Figure 4.1 – Flow diagram depicting the literature search and selection process

Figure 4.2A – Forest plot of RCTs investigating the effect of replacing sources of animal with plant

protein in individuals with diabetes on HbA1c

Figure 4.2B – Forest plot of RCTs investigating the effect of replacing sources of animal with plant

protein in individuals with diabetes on fasting glucose

Figure 4.2C – Forest plot of RCTs investigating the effect of replacing sources of animal with plant

protein in individuals with diabetes on fasting insulin

Figure 4.3A – Publication bias funnel plot for HbA1c

Figure 4.3B – Publication bias funnel plot for fasting glucose

Figure 4.3C – Publication bias funnel plot for fasting insulin

Supplemental Figure 4.1 – Cochrane Risk of Bias Graph

Supplemental Figure 4.2A - Categorical a priori subgroup analyses for HbA1c

Supplemental Figure 4.2B - Categorical risk of bias subgroup analyses for HbA1c

Supplemental Figure 4.3A – Categorical a priori subgroup analyses for fasting glucose

Supplemental Figure 4.3B – Categorical risk of bias subgroup analyses for fasting glucose

Supplemental Figure 4.4A – Categorical a priori subgroup analyses for fasting insulin

Supplemental Figure 4.4B – Categorical risk of bias subgroup analyses for fasting insulin

Supplemental Figures 4.5A – Funnel plot for trim-and-fill analysis of HbA1c

Supplemental Figures 4.5B – Funnel plot for trim-and-fill analysis of fasting glucose

Supplemental Figures 4.5C – Funnel plot for trim-and-fill analysis of fasting insulin

CHAPTER V

Figure 5.1 – Correlation between Total Protein Intake and Urea Output

CHAPTER VI

Figure 6.1A – Amino Acid Profiles of Different Plant Protein Sources

Figure 6.1B – Amino Acid Profiles of Different Animal Protein Sources

Figure 6.2 – Model for the regulation of insulin secretion in the β-cell stimulated by glucose and amino

acids

x

LIST OF TABLES

CHAPTER II

Table 2.1 – Advantages and disadvantages of diagnostic tests for diabetes

Table 2.2 - List of essential and non-essential amino acids

CHAPTER IV

Table 4.1 - Characteristics of included randomized controlled trials

Supplemental Table 4.1 – Search strategy

Supplemental Table 4.2 – Study quality assessment using the Heyland Methodological Quality Score

(MQS)

Supplemental Table 4.3 – Continuous a priori & post-hoc subgroup analyses for HbA1c

Supplemental Table 4.4 – Continuous a priori & post-hoc subgroup analyses for fasting glucose

Supplemental Table 4.5 – Continuous a priori & post-hoc subgroup analyses for fasting insulin

Supplemental Tables 4.6A-D – Post-hoc piecewise linear meta-regression analyses for the continuous

subgroup looking at percent animal protein replaced with plant protein from total protein on fasting

glucose

CHAPTER V

Table 5.1 – Participant Characteristics

Table 5.2 – Nutritional Profile of Participants

Table 5.3 – Estimates for change in HbA1c associated with a 1% energy increase derived from

substituting animal protein with total plant protein

INTRODUCTION

1

CHAPTER I – INTRODUCTION

INTRODUCTION

2

CHAPTER I – INTRODUCTION

Type 2 diabetes (T2D) is a global health epidemic. According to the International Diabetes

Federation (IDF), there were approximately 387 million adults (8.3%) living with diabetes in 2014, which

is projected to increase by 53% by the year 20351. This increasing prevalence, which is exacerbated by

increasing urbanization, sedentary lifestyles, and changes in the food environment, is alongside the

increasing prevalence in obesity and is a leading cause of blindness, lower limb amputation, kidney

failure, and cardiovascular disease1. In addition, diabetes is also a major economic burden, where it

accounts for 5-10% of the total health care budget in many countries2 3. Many epidemiological studies

and randomized controlled trials (RCTs) have shown that T2D is largely preventable through diet and

lifestyle modification, which has shown to be significantly more effective than the use of

pharmacological agents4. Following a plant-based diet, which encourages the intake of whole plant-

based foods and discourages the intake of sources of animal protein and refined/processed foods5, is

one such modification that has shown to be beneficial for diabetes prevention and management.

More specifically, following a vegetarian or vegan diet, which is characterized as being high in

major plant protein sources (i.e. soy, soy-derived foods, pulses and nuts) and deficient in animal protein,

has been shown to be protective against the development of T2D6-8 and improve glycemic control in

individuals with T2D9. Studies looking at higher intakes of specific plant protein sources alone have also

shown similar benefits10-14. Diets high in animal protein, on the other hand, especially sources of red

meat, are associated with an increased diabetes risk15-17, do not show any glycemic control benefit18-21,

and have even been suggested to be considered as a risk factor for T2D22. Furthermore, high intakes of

animal protein have been shown to have negative impacts on our environment, which is a current

growing global concern23.

Despite this evidence, diabetes association guidelines (i.e. ADA and EASD) have not made any

specific recommendations for replacing animal protein with plant protein or the intake of major plant

protein sources for diabetes management24-26. One exception to this is dietary pulses (e.g. beans, peas,

chick peas, lentils), which have recently been recommended by the CDA in their most recent clinical

practice guidelines for improving glycemic control in individuals with T2D24. The evidence from RCTs

looking at the effect of replacing animal with plant protein on glycemic control in individuals with

diabetes remains inconsistent, where some have shown significant improvements in glycemic control27,

28, whereas others show no effect29, 30. In order to address this gap in knowledge and better understand

the relationship between replacing animal with plant protein on glycemic control, this thesis work will

present 1) the results of a systematic review and meta-analysis of RCTs on the effect of replacing

sources of animal protein with major sources of plant protein on glycemic control in individuals with

INTRODUCTION

3

diabetes (Chapter IV) and 2) the results of a cross-sectional study of baseline data from 5 RCTs on the

association between replacing animal protein with plant protein on HbA1c in individuals with T2D

(Chapter V).

LITERATURE REVIEW

4

CHAPTER II – LITERATURE REVIEW

LITERATURE REVIEW

5

CHAPTER II – LITERATURE REVIEW

2.1 DIABETES

Diabetes is a group of metabolic diseases characterized by the presence of hyperglycemia due to

the body not being able to produce enough insulin, not being able to effectively respond to the action of

insulin, or both24. Several classifications of diabetes exist, however, the majority fall into two broad

categories: type 1 diabetes and type 2 diabetes31. Type 1 diabetes (T1D), previously referred to as

insulin-dependent, juvenile or child-onset diabetes32, accounts for 5-10% of those with diabetes and is

primarily a result of pancreatic β-cell destruction that usually leads to the body no longer being able to

produce insulin24, 31, 32. Type 2 diabetes (T2D), previously referred to as non-insulin-dependent or adult-

onset diabetes32, accounts for 90-95% of those with diabetes and is a heterogeneous disorder, with its

main features consisting of reduced insulin sensitivity in various tissues and organs and a progressive

decline in pancreatic β-cell function24, 31, 33. Both forms of diabetes have been increasing worldwide34,

especially T2D, which has continued to increase in parallel with the dramatic rise in obesity35. This

disease, which mostly affected adults, is now emerging in children and adolescents35 and has also

become a major economic burden, with 5-10% of the total health care budget being used for T2D in

many countries2.

2.1.1 PREVALENCE OF DIABETES

According to the International Diabetes Federation (IDF) in the year 2014 the global prevalence

of diabetes was 8.3%, which is equivalent to approximately 387 million people living with diabetes.

Among these individuals, the highest prevalence rates were reported in North America and the

Caribbean (11.4% or approximately 39 million)36. In Canada, the most recent estimates from Statistics

Canada report that 6.6% of the population living with diabetes, which is equivalent to approximately 2

million people37, 38. Similar estimates have been reported for the U.S. (9.3% or approximately 29.1

million people)39. The IDF projects that there will be a 53% increase in the number of people living with

diabetes by the year 203536.

2.1.2 PATHOPHYSIOLOGY OF DIABETES

Since T1D and T2D lead to hyperglycemia, individuals with either form can present with the

following signs and symptoms: frequent urination (polyuria), excessive thirst (polydipsia), increased

hunger (polyphagia), blurred vision, weight loss, lack of energy, frequent infections, slow-healing

wounds, and tingling sensation or numbness in the hands or feet1, 2, 31.

LITERATURE REVIEW

6

T1D is defined as an auto-immune disease that is characterized by cellular-mediated destruction

of the pancreatic β-cells, which usually leads to an absolute deficiency in insulin secretion31, 40. The cause

of T1D is not fully understood and continues to be debated, but is said to be multifactorial with both

genetics and environment playing a role40.

T2D on the other hand results from impaired insulin action and/or impaired insulin secretion2, 31.

The disease is also multifactorial and involves several organs and tissues, including the pancreas, liver,

skeletal muscle, adipose tissue, the kidneys, the gastrointestinal tract and the brain33. Although the

precise mechanisms underlying the pathogenesis of T2D are not fully understood, there are several

prevailing theories, some of which include: dysfunctional pancreatic β-cells, excessive accumulation of

lipids, impaired fatty acid oxidation, a defect in insulin-mediated glucose uptake in skeletal muscle, and

impaired sensing and response to hyperglycemia in the central nervous system due to genetic

predisposition, physical inactivity, and obesity2, 33.

2.1.3 DIABETES COMPLICATIONS AND MORTALITY

A consistent high level of circulating blood glucose over time in diabetes is associated with

microvascular complications that affect the eyes (retinopathy), nerves (neuropathy), blood vessels

(arterial stiffness), heart (CVD) and kidneys (nephropathy) 1, 31. In most high-income countries, diabetes

is a leading cause of blindness, lower limb amputation, CVD, and kidney failure1.

In terms of mortality, it was estimated that approximately 4.9 million people died globally from

diabetes in the year 2014. Since estimating the number of deaths from diabetes can be somewhat

challenging due to lack of data and underestimates made by existing health statistics, this number

should be interpreted with caution1. In Canada, only 3.1% of all deaths were attributed to diabetes in

2007, whereas 29.9% of individuals who died in 2008/09 had diabetes41. This is because diabetes on its

own does not usually lead to death directly, but the complications associated with diabetes do41.

Cardiovascular disease in particular is the leading cause of death in individuals with diabetes1.

2.1.4 DIABETES RISK FACTORS

There are several risk factors associated with the development of T2D, which include: family

history of diabetes (first-degree relative), increasing age (≥40 years), ethnicity (e.g. Aboriginal, African,

Asian, Hispanic or South Asian descent), being overweight, having abdominal obesity, hypertension, low

HDL cholesterol levels ( <1.0 mmol/L in males and <1.3 mmol/L in females), elevated triglyceride levels

(≥1.7 mmol/L), unhealthy diet, physical inactivity, or a history of gestational diabetes1, 31. Having

prediabetes, a term referring to impaired fasting glucose (fasting plasma glucose values between 5.6-6.9

LITERATURE REVIEW

7

mmol/L31), impaired glucose tolerance (2-hour plasma glucose values from an OGTT between 7.8-11

mmol/L31) or having an HbA1c value between 6.0% to 6.4%, also places individuals at high risk of

developing T2D24, 31.

In terms of T1D, the risk factors are currently still being researched, but having a family member

with T1D, environmental factors and exposure to some viral infections have been linked to an increased

risk 1, 42.

2.1.5 DIAGNOSIS OF DIABETES

There are multiple tests that can be used to diagnose diabetes. According to the CDA 2013

Clinical Practice Guidelines, in order to be diagnosed with diabetes an individual must have a fasting

plasma glucose (FPG) value ≥7.0 mmol/L, HbA1c value ≥6.5% (in adults), 2-hour plasma glucose value (2h-

PG) from a 75 g oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) ≥11.1 mmol/L, or a random (any time of day) plasma

glucose value ≥11.1 mmol/L24.

At the time of diagnosis, it may be difficult to distinguish between T1D and T2D in certain

situations. As a result, it may be useful to use physical signs of insulin resistance and autoimmune

markers, such as anti-glutamic acid decarboxylase (GAD) or anti-islet cell antibody (ICA) antibodies,

however, these have not been adequately studied as diagnostic tests24.

2.1.6 MEASURES OF GLYCEMIC CONTROL

There are a number of advantages and disadvantages for each test used in the diagnosis of

diabetes, which are summarized in Table 2.1. FPG, HbA1c, and 2h-PG from a 75 g OGTT each predict the

development of retinopathy24, whereas HbA1c is also a CVD risk factor and a better predictor of

macrovascular events24, 43, 44. In addition, FPG and 2h-PG from a 75 g OGTT have high day-to-day

variability and FPG reflects glucose homeostasis at a single point in time. HbA1c, on the other hand, has

low day-to-day variability, reflects long-term glucose concentration24, and is considered the gold

standard for assessing glycemic control45, however it is poor for detecting pre-diabetes.

LITERATURE REVIEW

8

Table 2.1 – Advantages and disadvantages of diagnostic tests for diabetes (adapted from 2013 CDA

clinical practice guidelines24)

Diagnostic test Advantages Disadvantages

FPG Established standard

Single sample

Fast, easy

Predicts microvascular

complications

High day-to-day variability

Sample not stable

Inconvenient (no caloric intake for at

least 8 hours)

Reflects glucose homeostasis at a single

point in time

HbA1c Convenient

Single sample

Does not require fasting

Low day-to-day variability

Reflects long-term glucose

concentration

Predicts microvascular

complications

Better predictor of

macrovascular disease than

FPG or 2h-PG from a 75 g OGTT

Expensive

Standardized, validated assay required

Altered by ethnicity and aging

Not for diagnostic use in children,

adolescents, pregnant women or those

with suspect T1D

Misleading in various medical conditions

(e.g. hemoglobinopathies, iron

deficiency, hemolyctic anaemia, severe

hepatic or renal disease)

2h-PG from

a 75 g OGTT

Established standard

Predicts microvascular

complications

Expensive

High day-to-day variability

Sample not stable

Inconvenient (requires continuous

monitoring over 2-3 hours)

FPG=fasting plasma glucose; OGTT=oral glucose tolerance test; 2h-PG= 2-hour plasma glucose

2.1.7 PREVENTION AND MANAGEMENT OF DIABETES

Although there is currently no evidence of any interventions that can prevent or delay the

development of T1D42, prevention of T2D can largely be achieved by lifestyle modification through diet,

physical activity and weight loss40, which has shown to be more effective than pharmacological agents4.

For individuals living with diabetes, achieving optimal glycemic control is an integral component

in management of the disease. The CDA recommends a range of targets depending on an individual’s

age, diabetes duration, risk of severe hypoglycemia, presence or absence of CVD, as well as expectancy

of life46. For most people with T1D and T2D, it is recommended that they target an HbA1c level of ≤7.0%,

which is consistent with those recommended by the ADA and EASD (general HbA1c target level of <7%)33,

47, 48. Achieving such a target level can help reduce ones risk of microvascular complications, as well as

macrovascular complications if implemented early in the disease46.One such method that can help in

achieving optimal glycemic control is nutrition therapy, which has been shown to lead to a 1-2%

reduction in HbA1c49 and reduce the use of diabetes medications50, 51

LITERATURE REVIEW

9

2.2 PLANT AND ANIMAL PROTEIN AND DIABETES

2.2.1 SOURCES OF PLANT AND ANIMAL PROTEIN IN THE DIET

Several sources of protein fall under the ‘Meat and Alternatives’ category of Health Canada’s

Food Guide and the ‘Protein Food Group’ category of the USDA’s MyPlate. The major sources of plant

protein under these categories consist of cooked legumes (i.e. pulses such as chickpeas and lentils;

peanuts and soybeans)52, soy products (e.g. tofu, tempeh, texturized vegetable protein [TVP]), as well as

nuts and seeds53, 54. Animal protein sources listed under these categories comprise of seafood (i.e. fish

and shellfish), poultry (e.g. chicken and turkey), lean meat (e.g. beef, lamb and pork) and eggs. Although

dairy products, such as milk, cheese, yogurt, and soymilk (a plant source) are not listed under the

protein food group category, they are often consumed as a source of protein in some vegetarian diets

(i.e. lacto-ovo vegetarian diet)55, 56.

When comparing animal protein with plant protein sources most plant protein sources are

lower in saturated fat and cholesterol, higher in fibre, free of heme iron, and are good sources of

antioxidants and phytochemicals56. Plant and animal protein also appear to differ in protein quality.

Currently there are several different methods that can be used to evaluate protein quality, with each

method consisting of its own limitations. In the U.S. and many other countries the protein digestibility

corrected amino acid (PDCAAS) method has been used for over 20 years as the official method for

determining protein quality57, 58, whereas in Canada the official method consists of a protein rating,

which is based on the Protein Efficiency Ratio (PER)59. Since foods are frequently consumed in

complement with one another, questions have been raised around the significance of using methods

like the PDCAAS to assess the protein quality of single protein sources58. Regardless of which score is

used, however, meat, poultry, fish, eggs, dairy foods and soy protein are considered to be sources of

high quality protein since they provide all 9 essential amino acids (referred to as complete protein

sources)60-63, whereas protein found in legumes (other than soy), grains, nuts, seeds and vegetables can

be deficient in one or more essential amino acids and are considered to be lower quality sources of

protein61, 62 (see Table 2.2 for a list of essential and non-essential amino acids). According to the

American Dietetic Association and the Dietitians of Canada, however, consuming an assortment of plant

foods over the course of a day can provide all the essential amino acids and when well planned, the

typical protein intakes of lacto-ovo vegetarians and vegans appear to meet and exceed requirements55,

58, 64. In addition, some plant protein sources have recognized health benefits, where both nuts and soy

protein have been issued a health claim from the FDA and Health Canada, respectively, for their

cholesterol lowering benefit65-67.

LITERATURE REVIEW

10

There has been an increasing awareness and interest in plant-based diets over the last decade,

which is evident by the many fast-food restaurants and university foodservice facilities that now offer a

variety of meat free options55, 68 and by the significant growth in the U.S. market for meatless foods (e.g.

meat analogs, vegetarian burgers, soymilk)55, 69. This increased interest in eliminating animal protein

from the diet is fueled by a number of reasons, where the most common ones include: health

considerations, concern for the environment, economical reasons, ethical considerations/animal welfare

factors and religious beliefs55.

TABLE 2.2 – List of essential and non-essential amino acids

Essential amino acidsa Nonessential amino acidsb Conditional amino acidsc

Histidine Alanine Arginine

Isoleucine Asparagine Cysteine

Leucine Aspartic Acid Glutamine

Lysine Glutamic Acid Tyrosine

Methionine Glycine

Phenylalanine Ornithine

Threonine Proline

Tryptophan Serine

Valine

aAmino acids that cannot be produced by the body and must come from food intake

70 (also

referred to as indispensable amino acids)

bAmino acids that can be produced by the body without food intake

70 (also referred to as

dispensable amino acids)

cAmino acids that are usually not essential, but can be in times of illness and stress

70

2.2.2 POPULATION LEVELS OF PLANT AND ANIMAL PROTEIN INTAKE IN THE U.S., CANADA AND

EUROPE

Based on analysis of data collected from across North America and Europe it appears that the

major contributor to total protein intake is animal protein. Among plant protein intake, grain sources

appear to be the greatest contributor, whereas intake of major plant protein sources, such as soy, pulses

and nuts is low. According to data analyzed from NHANES 2007-2010, animal protein sources were the

main contributors to total protein intake in the U.S. population, where poultry, meats and mixed dishes

(consisting of meat, poultry and fish) were the top 3 contributors, contributing to 10%, 9.5% and 7.5% of

total protein intake, respectively62. Grain sources such as breads, rolls, and tortillas were the 4th largest

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contributors, contributing 6.4% of total protein intake, whereas other plant protein sources were one of

the lowest contributors, contributing to 3.2% of total protein intake62. Overall, this data is consistent

with previous data analyzed from NHANES 2003-2006 and 1988-199171-73. It is important to note that

although poultry and meats were the top 2 contributors to total protein intake, they contributed <4% to

total daily energy intake, whereas breads, rolls, and tortillas were the most significant contributors to

total daily energy intake, contributing 7%62. Similar patterns of protein intake were reported from 27

centers across 10 countries in Europe participating in the European Prospective Investigation into

Cancer and Nutrition (EPIC) study, which showed that animal protein was the greatest contributor to

total protein intake across majority of the centers, contributing 55-73% of total protein, whereas plant

protein accounted for 24-39%. Across all centers, cereals were the greatest contributors to plant

protein74. Although data on total plant and animal protein intake in Canada is limited, data analyzed

from the 2004 Canadian Community Health Survey (CCHS) have reported intakes of specific plant

protein sources, such as pulses and soy. In terms of pulses, it has been reported that only 13% of

Canadians consume pulses on any given day, where daily intakes among consumers ranged from 13 g/d

in the lowest quartile to 294 g/d in the highest quartile (less than 2 cups)75. Soy consumption has been

reported to be even lower, where only 3.3% of Canadians consumed soy foods on any given day, with

daily intakes ranging from 1.5 g/d among low consumers to 16.5 g/d among high consumers (1 serving

tofu=150g= ¾ cup)76. Overall, these data appear to be consistent with the overall trends in protein

intake within the U.S. and Europe.

2.2.3 GUIDELINES FOR PLANT AND ANIMAL PROTEIN CONSUMPTION

In terms of recommendations for total protein intake in individuals with diabetes, the 2013 CDA

clinical practice guidelines state that there is no evidence to support that individuals with diabetes

should alter their usual protein intake, which represents 15-20% of their total energy intake (1 to 1.5 g

per kg per body weight per day) 49, 77. Similarly, the ADA states that the evidence on which to

recommend an ideal amount of protein intake for optimizing glycemic control or improving one or more

CVD risk measures are not conclusive26. For individuals with diabetes and chronic kidney disease (CKD)

the recommendations for total protein intake are inconsistent. The CDA states that it is important to

consider targeting a level of intake that does not exceed the recommended dietary allowance (RDA) of

0.8 g per kg body weight per day and that the quality of protein intake must also be optimized in order

to meet the essential amino acids requirements49. The EASD, however, states that there is insufficient

evidence on which to recommend protein restriction and protein type for individuals with diabetes and

CKD25. Similarly, the ADA does not recommend individuals with diabetes and CKD to reduce their protein

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intake below usual intakes since it does not appear to alter glycemic and cardiovascular measures or a

decline in glomerular filtration rate (GFR)26.

In terms of recommendations for specific sources of protein, public health guidelines in the U.S.

and Canada, as well as international dietary guidelines issued by the World Health Organization (WHO)

recommend daily intakes of major sources of plant protein, such as soy, soy-derived foods (e.g. tofu),

pulses and nuts. Health Canada’s Food Guide recommends the intake of 2-3 servings of meat

alternatives per day, such as beans, lentils, tofu, nuts and seeds. This is equivalent to 1½ -2¼ cups of

beans or tofu per day and ½-¾ cup of nuts or seeds per day53, which are similar to recommendations

made by the USDA’s MyPlate78. In a report of a joint WHO/FAO expert consultation, a minimum intake

of 20 g/d of legumes (< 1 serving) was recommended in order to achieve adequate intakes of non-starch

polysaccharides and to reduce overweight and obesity, CVD, and T2D risk79. Diabetes association

guidelines (i.e. CDA, ADA, and EASD), however, have not made any specific recommendations for

replacing animal protein with plant protein or the intake of major sources of plant protein for achieving

optimal glycemic control25, 26, 49. One exception to this is dietary pulses (e.g. beans, peas, chick peas,

lentils), which have recently been recommended by the CDA in their most recent clinical practice

guidelines for improving glycemic control in individuals with T2D (based on Grade B, Level 2 evidence)49

and by the EASD which recommend at least 4 servings of legumes per week in order to help meet

minimum requirements for fibre intake (Grade A evidence) 25. Although the ADA acknowledges the

option of adopting a diet high in plant protein sources, such as a vegetarian or vegan diet, as an

acceptable dietary pattern for diabetes management (Grade E evidence), they make no specific

recommendations for the intake of major plant protein sources26. Overall, the evidence on which most

of these recommendations were made on has been assigned a low grade or is out dated. Therefore, the

lack of data to support certain dietary recommendations, as well as the low-grade evidence that forms

the basis of current recommendations in diabetes association guidelines calls for stronger evidence in

this area.

2.2.4 PLANT-BASED DIETARY PATTERNS AND DIABETES

Over the past few decades’ evidence from prospective cohort studies and RCTs have both

highlighted the importance of lifestyle modification in the prevention and management of diabetes.

Changes in lifestyle consisting of increased physical activity, healthy eating and weight loss have been

shown to prevent 58% of T2D cases, which is a greater reduction than that shown for pharmacologic

agents (i.e. metformin)4. Currently there are several well-known plant-based dietary patterns, such as

Mediterranean , vegetarian or vegan, Portfolio and DASH, all of which encourage (to some degree)

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higher intakes of whole plant-based foods when compared to a Western diet and discourage intakes of

animal protein, as well as refined and processed foods5. Many studies have shown that these plant-

based dietary patterns are associated with a lower risk for various chronic diseases, such as metabolic

syndrome (MetS)80, 81, CVD13, 82-86, cancer87, 88, and all-cause mortality83, 89-92. There have also been a

number of studies looking at the relationship between plant-based dietary patterns, diabetes risk and

glycemic control, which are summarized and discussed in the following two sections.

2.2.4.1 Plant-Based Dietary Patterns and Diabetes Risk in Prospective Cohort Studies

The most recent systematic reviews and meta-analyses of prospective studies looking at the

association between following a Mediterranean diet and diabetes risk found that adherence to a

Mediterranean diet was associated with a significant reduction in the risk of diabetes93, 94, one showing a

19% reduction93 and the other showing a 23% reduction94. Large prospective cohort studies conducted

in the Seventh-day Adventists, a population of individuals who tend to avoid smoking, alcohol and

caffeine intake, have shown that vegetarians are associated with having a lower risk of diabetes in

comparison to non-vegetarians7, 95. This was shown in Adventist Mortality Study, which followed over 25

000 white Seventh-day Adventists over a 21 year duration95 and the Adventist Health Study 2 (AHS-2),

which followed over 40 000 men and women over a 2 year duration7. The results of the latter study

showed that the odds ratio (OR) for developing diabetes for vegans, lacto-ovo vegetarians and semi-

vegetarians was 0.38 (95% CI: 0.24, 0.62), 0.62 (95% CI: 0.50, 0.76), and 0.49 (95% CI: 0.31, 0.76),

respectively, in comparison to non-vegetarians7. There has also been one systematic review and meta-

analysis of prospective cohort studies looking at the DASH diet in relation to diabetes risk, which showed

that diets assessed as high quality by the DASH score were associated with a 21% reduction in T2D risk96.

Overall, this evidence from prospective cohort studies shows that following a plant-based dietary

pattern has beneficial implications for diabetes risk reduction.

2.2.4.2 Plant-Based Dietary Patterns and Glycemic Control in Controlled Dietary Trials

Several systematic reviews and meta-analyses of controlled dietary trials have been conducted

looking at the effect of a plant-based dietary pattern on glycemic control in individuals at risk for or

diagnosed with T2D. A systematic review and meta-analysis of 9 RCTs ≥ 4 weeks conducted in individuals

with T2D (n=1178) showed that following a Mediterranean dietary pattern led to significant reductions

in HbA1c (MD: -0.30; 95% CI: -0.46, -0.14), fasting glucose (MD=-0.72 mmol/l; 95% CI: -1.24 to -0.21) and

fasting insulin (MD=-0.55 μU/ml; 95% CI: -0.81 to -0.29)97. These results were somewhat consistent with

a network meta-analysis consisting of data from 8 controlled trials carried out in individuals at high risk

for or diagnosed with T2D, which showed that the Mediterranean diet significantly reduced HbA1c when

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compared to usual care but not when compared to other dietary treatments98. In addition,

Mediterranean diets, when compared to low fat and low-carbohydrate diets, have shown to delay the

need for antihyperglycemic medication in overweight individuals with newly diagnosed T2D99. Similarly,

a systematic review and meta-analysis of 6 controlled trials ≥ 4 weeks (n=255) looking at the effect of

vegetarian diets (majority of which were low-fat vegan diets) on glycemic control in middle-aged

individuals with T2D showed an overall clinically significant reduction in HbA1c (MD=-0.39; 95% CI: -0.62,

-0.15) and a non-significant reduction in fasting glucose (MD=-0.36 mmol/L ; 95% CI: -1.04, 0.32) in

comparison to comparator diets.9 In terms of the DASH diet, there has been one systematic review and

meta-analysis of RCTs conducted in individuals with various health statuses (e.g. T2D, MetS, otherwise

healthy, etc.) which showed following a DASH diet significantly reduced fasting insulin (MD: -0.15; 95%

CI:-0.22, -0.08) and non-significant reductions in fasting glucose and HOMA-IR100. Lastly, a controlled

trial looking at the effect of a modified portfolio diet in conjunction with medical management in

individuals with T2D (n=30) after receiving by-pass surgery showed a non-significant reduction in both

glucose and insulin concentrations in individuals after a 6-weeks101. Overall, these findings show that

plant-based dietary patterns may be useful for the management of glycemia in individuals at risk for or

diagnosed with T2D and appear to be consistent with prospective cohort studies showing benefits for

diabetes risk.

2.2.5 PLANT PROTEIN AND DIABETES

2.2.5.1 Plant Protein And Diabetes Risk in Prospective Cohort Studies

There have been a number of prospective cohort studies that have looked at the association

between total plant protein, as well as specific sources of plant protein, and diabetes risk. For total plant

protein, three large prospective cohort studies have been conducted and show inconsistent findings.

One of them, which was conducted using data from over 35 000 participants participating in the EPIC

study over a follow-up duration of 10 years, showed that plant protein was not associated with diabetes

incidence, whereas diets high in protein and animal protein were associated with an increased diabetes

risk102. It is important to note, however, that the main contributors to plant protein intake in this study

were bread (43%), fruit and vegetables (14%), and potatoes (9%), which are not considered to be major

sources of plant protein102. The second study, which used data from over 85 000 women participating in

the Nurses' Health Study over a follow-up duration of 20 years, assessed the relationship between low-

carbohydrate diets and T2D risk and showed that low-carbohydrate diets high in plant sources of protein

and fat modestly reduced T2D risk (RR=0.82; 95% CI: 0.71, 0.94), whereas low-carbohydrate diets high in

animal sources of protein and fat did not show this benefit (RR=0.99; 95% CI: 0.85, 1.16)8. Similarly, the

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most recent prospective cohort study, which was conducted in a diabetes-free cohort of over 92 000

women from the Nurses’ Health Study II and over 40 000 men from the Health Professionals Follow-up

Study, showed that after a 4 year follow-up higher intakes of total protein and animal protein were

associated with an increased T2D risk (HR= 1.07; 95% CI: 1.01, 1.17 and HR=1.13; 95% CI: 1.06, 1.21,

respectively), whereas higher intake of plant protein was associated with a moderate decreased T2D risk

(HR=0.91; 95% CI: 0.84, 0.98)103.

One systematic review and meta-analysis of prospective cohort studies has been conducted to

assess the association between legume intake and diabetes risk. It consisted of only 2 studies, both of

which showed different results. One of these studies was conducted in a cohort of over 60 000 middle-

aged Chinese women over a follow-up duration of approximately ~5 years and showed that total legume

intake was inversely associated with T2D risk when comparing the upper quintile of intake to the lower

quintile of intake (RR: 0.62; 95% CI: 0.51, 0.74). In addition, when looking at different legume groups,

soybean intake was inversely associated with T2D risk (RR: 0.53; 95% CI: 0.45, 0.62), whereas soy

products (other than soy milk) and soy protein consumption (protein derived from soy beans and their

products) were not14. The second study was also a large prospective cohort study consisting of data

from over 35 000 older women participating in the Iowa Women's Health Study over a follow-up

duration of 6 years and showed no significant association between intake of mature beans and T2D

risk104. A more recent prospective cohort study conducted in a population of men and women in

Mauritius (n=1421) over a 6 year follow-up duration showed that women with the highest tertile of

pulse consumption had a reduced risk of developing abnormal glucose metabolism (OR: 0.52 [95% CI:

0.27, 0.99]) in comparison to those in the lowest tertile of consumption, which supports findings from

the former study105.

Similarly, systematic reviews and meta-analyses of prospective cohort studies looking at

association between nut intake and diabetes risk showed inconsistent results. Of the 4 most recent

meta-analyses only one showed that nut intake was inversely associated with T2D risk (RR: 0.87; 95% CI:

0.81, 0.94)13, whereas three showed no significant associations between nut intake and T2D risk82, 83, 106.

In summary, prospective cohort studies looking at total plant protein and specific sources of

plant protein show inconsistent findings in relation to diabetes risk, which may be due to the overall low

consumption of these foods in the diet.

2.2.5.2 Plant Protein and Glycemic Control in Controlled Dietary Trials

There have been several systematic reviews and meta-analyses of RCTs looking at the effect of

specific sources of plant protein on glycemic control. In terms of soy and soy products, two systematic

reviews and meta-analyses of RCTs have been conducted, one including 24 trials (n=1518) in individuals

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with various health statuses (e.g. otherwise healthy, obese/overweight, hypercholesterolemic,

hypertensive, diabetes, etc.)107 and the other including 8 trials in individuals with T2D108. Both showed

no overall effect on HbA1c, fasting glucose, fasting insulin, and/or HOMA-IR, however the direction of the

effect favoured soy intake.107, 108

In terms of dietary pulses, there have been a series of meta-analyses conducted by our group

looking at the effect of incorporating dietary pulses into the diet alone or in the context of a low GI or

high-fibre diet in individuals with and without diabetes11. Pulses alone (11 trials) were found to

significantly lower fasting glucose (SMD = -0.82; 95% CI: -1.36, -0.27) and fasting insulin (SMD= -0.49;

95% CI: -0.93, -0.04) and in the context of a low-GI diet (19 trials) they were found to significantly lower

glycosylated blood proteins (measured as HbA1c or fructosamine, SMD= -0.28; 95% CI: -0.42, -0.14). In

the context of a high-fibre diet (11 trials), they were also found to significantly lower glycosylated blood

proteins (SMD = -0.27; 95% CI: -0.45, -0.09), as well as fasting glucose (SMD = -0.32; 95% CI: -0.49, -

0.15)11. Findings from more recent RCTs show that the effect of legumes as part of a low GI diet in

individuals with T2D (n=121) are consistent with these findings109, whereas the effect of a legume-

enriched diet in first degree relatives of patients with diabetes (n=26) showed no significant effect on

fasting glucose or HbA1c110.

Lastly, in terms of tree nut intake, there have been two systematic reviews and meta-analyses

conducted by our group, one in individuals with T2D (n=450)12 and one in individuals with at least one

criterion of the MetS (n=2226)10 . Both found significant improvements in fasting glucose (MD = -0.15

mmol/L; 95% CI: -0.27, -0.02 mmol/L and MD=-0.08 mmol/L ; 95% CI -0.16, -0.01 mmol/L, respectively)10,

12, as well as HbA1c in individuals with T2D (MD = -0.07%; 95% CI:-0.10, -0.03%)12. Several other RCTs

have been published since the conduct of these 2 meta-analyses, where majority appear to be

consistent with our findings111-115.

Overall, incorporation of major plant protein sources into the diet appears to be beneficial for

glycemic control.

2.2.5.3 Plant Protein and Other Cardiometabolic Risk Factors in Controlled Dietary Trials

Incorporation of major plant proteins into diet have also been shown to be beneficial for a

number of other cardiometabolic risk factors. Systematic reviews and meta-analyses of RCTs show that

nut consumption, dietary pulses and soy protein have beneficial effects on blood pressure116-118,

measures of kidney function (i.e. serum creatinine and phosphorus concentrations, proteinura)119, 120,

blood lipids10, 121-124, body weight125, 126, and inflammatory markers (i.e. CRP and hs-CRP)127. Overall, the

results of these meta-analyses show strong support of plant proteins having beneficial effects on other

cardiometabolic risk factors that affect diabetes prevention and management.

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2.2.6 ANIMAL PROTEIN AND DIABETES

2.2.6.1 Animal Protein and Diabetes Risk in Prospective Cohort Studies

The consumption of animal protein sources and its impact on various health outcomes has

received an increasing amount of attention over the last several years, especially in relation to its risk for

various chronic diseases such as MetS128, CVD129, cancer130, 131 and all-cause mortality132-134. Some have

even gone as far as to suggest that meat consumption be used as an identifiable risk factor for

diabetes22. The findings from several systematic reviews and meta-analyses of prospective cohort

studies looking at various animal protein sources, such as red meat, dairy, fish, poultry, eggs and

diabetes risk are summarized and discussed below.

In terms of meat consumption, there have been three systematic reviews and meta-analyses of

prospective cohort studies conducted looking at association between meat consumption and T2D risk.

The first meta-analysis by Aune et al. found that when comparing the highest to lowest categories of

intake, red meat and processed meat were both associated with a higher T2D risk (RR: 1.21; 95% CI:

1.07, 1.38 and RR: 1.41; 95% CI: 1.25, 1.60, respectively), whereas total meat was not (RR: 1.17; 95% CI:

0.92, 1.48)15. The remaining 2 meta-analyses specifically looked at intakes of unprocessed and processed

red meat16, 135. The meta-analysis by Pan et al. found that unprocessed and processed red meat were

both associated with a higher T2D risk (RR: 1.19; 95% CI: 1.04, 1.37 per 100 g/d and RR: 1.51; 95% CI:

1.25, 1.83 per 50 g/d, respectively)16. The third meta-analysis by Micha et al. reported similar findings135.

In addition, a meta-analysis consisting of over 50 000 Caucasians showed that a higher consumption of

processed meat was associated with significantly higher fasting glucose levels and higher consumption

of unprocessed meat was associated with significantly higher fasting glucose and insulin levels136 .Since

the publication of these meta-analyses, several other prospective cohort studies have also been

published, some of which are consistent with these findings whereas others are not. In terms of

consistency, one of these studies, which analyzed data from 3 U.S. cohorts, found that in comparison to

the group that had no changes in red meat intake, increasing intake of red meat by more than ½ serving

per day was associated with a 48% higher risk in the subsequent 4-year period (HR: 1.30; 95% CI: 1.21,

1.41), whereas reducing meat intake by more than this amount was associated with a 14% lower risk

(HR: 0.86; 95% CI: 0.80, 0.93)17. In terms of inconsistency, three prospective cohort studies conducted in

the Malmö Diet and Cancer study (n=27 140)137, the Strong Heart Family Study (n=2001)138, and the E3N

study (n=66 118)139 found that higher intakes of processed red meat were associated with a higher risk

of T2D, whereas unprocessed red meat was not. There was also one study, which was conducted in the

Japan Public Health Center-based Prospective Study (n=63 849; follow-up= 5 years), that found total

meat and total red meat were associated with a higher T2D risk in men but not in women (OR: 1.36

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[95% CI: 1.07, 1.73] and OR: 1·48 [95% CI: 1.15, 1.90], respectively) and that processed red meat was not

associated with T2D risk in either men or women140. Therefore based on the results of these meta-

analyses and recent prospective cohort studies, it appears that red meat is associated with T2D risk, but

it remains unclear whether there are differences between processed and unprocessed red meat.

In terms of dairy consumption, 4 systematic reviews and meta-analyses of prospective cohort

studies have been conducted. The findings for total dairy intake are mixed, where three meta-analyses

showed a significant inverse association between total dairy intake and T2D risk141-143 and one meta-

analysis showed no significant association144, which was also supported by a more recent prospective

cohort study conducted in the The Malmö Diet and Cancer study137. For specific sources of dairy, mixed

findings were also reported for low-fat dairy and yogurt intake141-144, whereas significant inverse

associations were reported by 2 meta-analyses for cheese intake141, 142 and no significant associations

were reported for high-fat dairy or milk intake142, 143.

Similar to dairy, the findings from systematic reviews and meta-analyses of prospective cohort

studies looking at fish intake have been mixed. In terms of overall fish/shellfish consumption, two

systematic reviews and meta-analyses found no overall association between fish/shellfish intake and

T2D risk145, 146. In another systematic review and meta-analysis, inconsistencies were found between

their categorical and linear dose-response analyses, where no significant association was reported in

their categorical analysis and a significant increased association was reported in their linear dose-

response analysis147. Evidence has also suggested that this association may be modified by geographical

region and fish type. One meta-analysis found that fish intake was associated with an increased T2D risk

in those studies conducted in the U.S. but not Europe, Asia or Australia148, whereas another meta-

analysis found that fish intake was inversely associated with T2D risk in those studies conducted in Asia

(i.e. China and Japan) but not in Western countries (i.e. the U.S., U.K., Netherlands, Finland)146. In terms

of fish type, two meta-analyses found a significant inverse association between intake of fatty fish and

T2D risk145, 149 and one found no significant association with intake of lean fish and shellfish149.

Lastly, prospective studies looking at egg and poultry consumption show mixed findings137, 150 151,

152 and no significant associations with T2D risk137, 140, respectively.

Overall, it appears that there is consistent evidence showing that red meat is associated with

T2D risk, with inconsistencies regarding processed and unprocessed red meat, and mixed findings with

regards to dairy, fish and egg consumption. Although evidence regarding poultry consumption is limited,

it does not appear to be associated with T2D risk.

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2.2.6.2 Animal Protein and Glycemic Control in Controlled Dietary Trials

Several RCTs have looked at the effect of animal protein consumption on various

cardiometabolic risk factors, including glycemic control. In particular, there have been a number of trials

that compared the effect of diets higher in beef, pork, dairy and egg to diets lower or deficient in these

sources. The effect of varying amounts of lean beef was tested in a 5 week RCT conducted in

hypercholesterolemic men and women (n=36) and showed no significant differences in fasting glucose

and insulin when comparing one diet with the lowest amount of beef (20 g/d) to three diets higher in

beef (28 g, 113 g and 153 g of beef per day, respectively) 21. Similarly, the effect of a diet higher in pork

(1 kg pork per week) was compared to a habitual diet in an RCT conducted in overweight adults (n=144)

and showed no significant differences in fasting glucose and insulin after 3 months153. In terms of dairy,

a meta-analysis of RCTs (20 studies; n=1677) showed that consumption of high or low fat dairy products

had no significant effect on fasting glucose and HOMA-IR18. This was also supported by a more recent 6

week RCT conducted in postmenopausal women with abdominal obesity (n=27) that showed no

significant between-group differences in fasting glucose, fasting insulin, and various insulin sensitivity

indices154. Comparing diets higher in eggs to diets lower in eggs also showed no significant between-

group differences in measures of glycemic control in 2 RCTs conducted in overweight or obese people

with prediabetes or T2D19, 20. Therefore, based on the results of these studies, it appears that consuming

higher amounts of animal protein sources such as beef, pork, dairy and eggs does not significantly alter

glycemic control in individuals with one or more features of the MetS or T2D. This may be partly due to

the fact that the control arms of these studies were consuming other sources of animal protein. For

example in the study looking at higher intakes of beef, the control arm consumed a greater amount of

poultry, pork and fish21. This is further supported by evidence from RCTs conducted in individuals with

one or more features of the MetS or T2D that specifically compared the effect of consuming different

types of animal protein sources (e.g. pork versus chicken versus fish) and showed, for the most part, no

significant differences in fasting glucose155-157, fructosamine156 and/or fasting insulin155. However, when

comparing a diet higher in animal protein to a diet higher in plant protein, RCTs have shown that diets

higher in plant protein have beneficial effects on glycemic control in individuals with27, 158, 159 and

without diabetes160, 161. Therefore, although RCTs show that various sources of animal protein do not

alter glycemic control in individuals with or at risk for diabetes, majority of these studies consist of a

comparator arm with an equivalent amount of protein from another animal protein source and are not

consistent with findings from RCTs that compare animal protein with plant protein.

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2.2.6.3 Animal Protein and Other Cardiometabolic Risk Factors in Controlled Dietary Trials

As mentioned in the previous section, many RCTs have been conducted looking at the effect of

diets higher in specific animal protein sources on various cardiometabolic risk factors, such as body

weight, blood pressure, blood lipids, kidney function, and inflammatory markers.

The findings for body weight are mixed. In terms of dairy intake, 2 systematic reviews and meta-

analyses of RCTs showed that consumption of dairy products do not alter body weight, whereas

subgroup analyses showed that in the context of energy restriction or short-term intervention (<1 year)

they appeared to reduce body weight but had the opposite effect in ad libitum trials or long-term trials

(≥1 year)162, 163. A more recent meta-analysis showed that dairy consumption increased weight18. In

terms of other animal protein sources, an RCT conducted in overweight adults (n=144) showed that

higher pork consumption resulted in significant reductions in measures of adiposity (i.e. body weight,

BMI, waist circumferences, % body fat, fat mass and abdominal fat) 153, whereas another RCT comparing

lean pork, beef and chicken found no significant differences in measures of adiposity between the 3

animal protein sources after 3 months in a group of overweight and obese middle aged men and women

(n=49), with no changes within each arm either164.

The findings for blood pressure are mixed. Two RCTs looking at fish consumption showed that

diets higher in certain types of fish (i.e. lean or white) significantly improved blood pressure in

individuals with the MetS or CHD165 166, whereas one showed no effect in blood pressure in a group of

older healthy adults167. Diets higher in lean beef also showed benefits on blood pressure in

normotensive men and women168, whereas the effect of consuming lean pork in comparison to chicken

and fish as the main protein source in the context of a DASH diet showed no significant between group

differences in blood pressure but did show reductions within each arm in men and women with elevated

blood pressure155. Lastly, a systematic review and meta-analysis of RCTs showed that consumption of

high or low fat dairy products had no significant effect on blood pressure18.

The findings for blood lipids are also mixed. Diets higher in lean beef showed benefits on blood

lipids (i.e. LDL-C, Apo-B) in hypercholesterolemic men and women21. An RCT conducted in individuals

with T2D and macroalbuminuria, showed that after 4 weeks non-HDL-C was significantly lower in a diet

replacing red meat with chicken and in a lactovegetarian low-protein diet when compared to the usual

diet156. In terms of egg consumption, 2 RCTs conducted in individuals with prediabetes or T2D found that

a high egg diet did not significantly alter most blood lipids (i.e. TC, LDL-C, triglycerides)19, 20, however one

found that higher egg consumption significantly increased HDL-C in comparison to the lower egg diet20.

In terms of diets higher in fish, one RCT conducted in older healthy adults and one in individuals with

CHD 167 found no significant effects on blood lipids, except for Apo-A1 which was significantly lower in

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the control group of the study conducted in individuals with CHD165. There was also an RCT conducted

in individuals with the MetS that showed higher consumption of fish significantly lowering LDL-C 166.

Lastly, a systematic review and meta-analysis of RCTs showed that consumption of high or low fat dairy

products had no significant effect on blood lipids (i.e. LDL-C, HDL-C)18, which was also supported by a

more recent RCT154.

In terms of kidney function, an RCT conducted in individuals with T2D and macroalbuminuria

showed that after 4 weeks urinary albumin excretion rate was significantly lower in a usual diet

replacing red meat with chicken and a lactovegetarian low-protein diet in comparison with just the usual

diet156.

Lastly, RCTs conducted in individuals with various health statuses (i.e. otherwise healthy,

overweight and/or obese with and without glucose intolerance) show that diets higher in specific animal

protein sources, such as dairy, red meat, dairy, and fish have no significant effect on markers of

inflammation (i.e. CRP)18, 154, 157, 167, 169.

Overall, the findings from RCTs indicate that the effects of animal protein across all the

cardiometabolic risk factors discussed are inconsistent or lacking in evidence, with the exception of

markers of inflammation, where several RCTs looking at various animal protein sources consistently

showed no difference in effect.

2.2.7 REPLACING ANIMAL PROTEIN WITH PLANT PROTEIN AND DIABETES

2.2.7.1 Replacing Animal Protein with Plant Protein and Diabetes Risk in Prospective Cohort Studies

To date, there has been one prospective cohort study that specifically looked at the relationship

between substituting animal with plant protein and diabetes risk. In a diabetes-free cohort of over 92

000 women from the Nurses’ Health Study II and over 40 000 men from the Health Professionals Follow-

up Study (follow-up=4 years) substituting 5% energy from plant protein for animal protein was

associated with an 18% reduced risk for T2D and substituting 1 serving per day of plant protein foods for

animal protein foods was associated with 10-21% reduced risk for T2D103. There has also been one cross-

sectional study conducted in diabetes-free female participants from the Nurses’ Health Study (n=3690)

looking at the association between substituting animal with sources of plant protein and HbA1c. They

found no significant association between substituting one serving of total red meat with nuts or legumes

and HbA1c but did show that substitution with poultry, fish, legumes, and nuts together was associated

with significantly lower HbA1c (β ± SE: -0.031±0.015, P=0.04)170. The findings from this study suggest that

certain types of animal protein may affect glycemic control differently; however, more studies are

needed to clarify these findings.

LITERATURE REVIEW

22

2.2.7.2 Replacing Animal Protein with Plant Protein and Glycemic Control in Controlled Dietary Trials

There have been a number of RCTs looking at the effect of replacing animal protein with plant

protein sources on various cardiometabolic risk factors in individuals with diabetes and

hypercholesterolemia, as well in individuals who are overweight or obese and otherwise healthy.

In terms of glycemic control, the findings are mixed. In individuals with diabetes, some RCTs

have shown that the replacement of animal with plant protein improves markers of glycemic control,

such as HbA1c171, fasting glucose27, 158, 159, 172 and fasting insulin158, whereas other RCTs have shown no

difference in effect30, 173-175 (note: these studies will be discussed in greater detail in Chapter IV).

Similarly, in individuals with hyperlipidemia, there have been some RCTs that have shown improvements

in fasting glucose176 and fasting insulin160, 177, whereas others have shown no difference in effect178-180.

Lastly, RCTs conducted in overweight or obese individuals who were otherwise healthy have shown, for

the most part, no significant effect on markers of glycemic control181-184, however one recent study

conducted in post-menopausal women with abdominal obesity (n=15; follow-up duration= 4 weeks)

showed that the diet replacing animal protein with soy protein resulted in significantly greater insulin

sensitivity as measured by a frequently sampled intravenous glucose tolerance test (FSIGT) and the

disposition index161.

Overall, the effect of replacing animal with plant protein on glycemic control in individuals with

various health statuses is not exactly clear. Therefore, a systematic review and meta-analysis of RCTs

would be useful in quantifying and understanding how this replacement in the diet relates to markers of

glycemic control in individuals with and at risk of developing diabetes.

2.2.7.3 Replacing Animal Protein with Plant Protein and Other Cardiometabolic Risk Factors in

Controlled Dietary Trials

In terms of other cardiometabolic risk factors, there have been a number of RCTs which show

that replacing animal with plant protein has beneficial effects on blood lipids (e.g. triglycerides, TC, LDL-

C, HDL-C) in individuals with T1D or T2D with or without nephropathy27, 158, 172, 185, with the exception of

one trial which showed no significant differences in blood lipids (i.e. TC, HDL-C, triglycerides) in

individuals with T2D and microalbuminuria (n=17; follow-up=6 weeks)30. The beneficial effect of

replacing animal with plant protein on blood lipids have been attributed to plant protein sources being

higher in fiber, phytosterols, and isoflavones (in the case of soy protein). Similar beneficial effects on the

lipid profile have also been reported for hyperlipidemic160, 176, 177 and obese individuals who are

otherwise healthy161, 182. Replacement of animal with plant protein has also shown benefits on markers

related to kidney function (e.g. urinary urea nitrogen, proteinuria, urinary creatinine, GFR, renal plasma

flow) in individuals with T1D or T2D with or without nephropathy27, 159, 172, 185, 186, with the exception of

LITERATURE REVIEW

23

one trial which showed no significant differences in GFR, renal plasma flow, and albumin excretion rate

in individuals with T2D and microalbuminuria (n=17; follow-up=6 weeks)30.The beneficial effects on

kidney function may be explained, to some extent, by improvements seen in blood lipids and glycemic

control in these trials and differences in the amino acid profiles. Lastly, replacement of animal with plant

protein has shown benefits on markers of inflammation (i.e. CRP, IL-6 and TNF-α) in individuals with T2D

with or without nephropathy27, 187, which may be attributed to plant proteins being higher in nutrients

that have shown anti-inflammatory potential (i.e. fiber, magnesium , and phenolic compounds, such as

flavonoids and anthocyanins).

Overall, the findings from these RCTs suggest, for the most part, that replacing animal with plant

protein may beneficial for blood lipids, kidney function and inflammation in individuals with diabetes.

RATIONALE AND OBJECTIVES

24

CHAPTER III – RATIONALE AND OBJECTIVES

RATIONALE AND OBJECTIVES

25

CHAPTER III – RATIONALE AND OBJECTIVES

3.1 RATIONALE

Although plant protein sources have shown to be beneficial for lowering diabetes risk8, 13, 14 and

improving glycemic control11, 12, diabetes association guidelines (i.e. ADA and EASD) currently do not

make any specific recommendations for the intake of major plant protein sources (i.e. soy, soy-derived

products and nuts) for optimal glycemic control24-26. One exception to this is dietary pulses (e.g. beans,

peas, chick peas, lentils), which have recently been recommended by the CDA in their most recent

clinical practice guidelines for improving glycemic control in individuals with T2D24. Animal protein, on

the other hand, especially sources of red meat, is associated with an increased diabetes risk15-17, shows

no glycemic benefits18-21, and has even been suggested to be considered as a risk factor for T2D22.

Given this data on plant and animal protein, it still remains unclear whether replacing animal

with plant protein would confer glycemic control benefits in individuals with diabetes. Current evidence

from a small number of RCTs is inconsistent, where some have shown significant improvements in

glycemic control27, 28, whereas others show no effect29, 30. Therefore, in order to gain a clearer

understanding of this relationship and to address this knowledge gap we conducted a systematic review

and meta-analysis of RCTs looking at the effect of replacing sources of animal protein with major

sources of plant protein on HbA1c, fasting glucose, and fasting insulin in individuals with diabetes. We

also conducted a cross-sectional study using baseline data from 5 RCTs conducted in individuals with

T2D in order to assess the relationship between replacing animal with plant protein and HbA1c, the

current clinical standard for assessing glycemic control45, and to adjust for other nutrients that exist in

whole food sources of plant and animal protein (i.e. available carbohydrates, fat, fibre, magnesium).

Furthermore, the use of baseline data in these analyses would allow us to understand this relationship

in the context of “real world” intakes in a sample of people with T2D.

3.2 OBJECTIVES

The overall objective is to investigate the effect of replacing animal protein with plant protein on

glycemic control in individuals with diabetes.

Specific objectives include:

1. To assess the effect of replacing sources of animal protein with major sources of plant protein

(i.e. soy, soy-derived products, pulses, nuts) on HbA1c, fasting glucose, and fasting insulin in

individuals with diabetes in a systematic review and meta-analysis of RCTs.

RATIONALE AND OBJECTIVES

26

2. To assess the association between replacing animal protein with plant protein on HbA1c in

individuals with T2D in a cross-sectional study using baseline data from 5 RCTs conducted in

Toronto, Canada.

SYSTEMATIC REVIEW AND META-ANALYSIS

27

CHAPTER IV – EFFECT OF REPLACING ANIMAL PROTEIN WITH PLANT PROTEIN ON GLYCEMIC CONTROL IN DIABETES: A SYSTEMATIC REVIEW AND META-ANALYSIS OF RANDOMIZED CONTROLLED TRIALS

SYSTEMATIC REVIEW AND META-ANALYSIS

28

EFFECT OF REPLACING ANIMAL PROTEIN WITH PLANT PROTEIN ON GLYCEMIC CONTROL IN

DIABETES: A SYSTEMATIC REVIEW AND META-ANALYSIS OF RANDOMIZED CONTROLLED TRIALS

Effie Viguiliouk1, 2, Sarah E. Stewart1, 2, Viranda H. Jayalath1,3,12, Alena Praneet Ng1, Arash Mirrahimi1, 4,

Russell J. de Souza1, 2, 5, Anthony J. Hanley2,6,7,8, Richard P. Bazinet2, Sonia Blanco Mejia1, 2, Lawrence A.

Leiter1, 2, 7, 9, 10, Robert Josse1, 2, 7, 9, 10, Cyril W.C. Kendall1, 2,11, David J.A. Jenkins1, 2, 7, 9, 10, and John L.

Sievenpiper1, 2, 9, 10

1Toronto 3D Knowledge Synthesis and Clinical Trials Unit, Clinical Nutrition and Risk Factor Modification

Center, St. Michael’s Hospital, Toronto, Ontario, Canada

2Department of Nutritional Sciences, Faculty of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario,

Canada

3Department of Surgical Oncology, Princess Margaret Cancer Center, University Health Network,

Toronto, Ontario, Canada

4School of Medicine, Faculty of Health Sciences, Queen’s University, Kingston, Ontario, Canada

5Department of Clinical Epidemiology & Biostatistics, Faculty of Health Sciences, McMaster University,

Hamilton, Ontario, Canada

6Leadership Sinai Centre for Diabetes, Mount Sinai Hospital, Toronto, Canada

7Department of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada

8Dalla Lana School of Public Health, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada

9Division of Endocrinology and Metabolism, St. Michael’s Hospital, Toronto, Ontario, Canada

10Li Ka Shing Knowledge Institute, St. Michael’s Hospital, Toronto, Ontario, Canada

11College of Pharmacy and Nutrition, University of Saskatchewan, Saskatoon, Saskatchewan, Canada

12Undergraduate Medical Education, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada

Corresponding author:

Dr. John L. Sievenpiper, MD, PhD, FRCPC

St. Michael's Hospital

#6137-61 Queen Street East

Toronto, ON, M5C 2T2, CANADA

T: +1 416 867 7460 x 8045

F: +1 416 867 7495

E: [email protected]

SYSTEMATIC REVIEW AND META-ANALYSIS

29

4.1 ABSTRACT

Aims: Previous research on the effect of replacing sources of animal protein with plant protein on

glycemic control has been inconsistent. To assess the evidence that this replacement may benefit

glycemic control, we conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials

(RCTs) on the effect of replacing animal protein with plant protein on glycemic control in individuals with

diabetes.

Methods: We searched MEDLINE, EMBASE, and Cochrane databases through 26 August 2015. We

included RCTs ≥ 3-weeks comparing the effect of replacing sources of animal protein with plant protein

on HbA1c, fasting glucose (FG), and fasting insulin (FI). Two independent reviewers extracted relevant

data, assessed study quality (Heyland Methodological Score) and risk of bias (Cochrane Risk of Bias

Tool). Data were pooled by the generic inverse variance method and expressed as mean differences

(MD) with 95% CIs. Heterogeneity was assessed (Cochran Q-statistic) and quantified (I2-statistic).

Results: Twelve trials (n = 240) met the eligibility criteria. Diets using major sources of plant protein to

replace sources of animal protein at a level ≥35% of total protein per day significantly lowered HbA1c

(MD= -0.16-% [95%-CI: -0.27, -0.05-%]), FG (MD= -0.53-mmol/L [95%-CI: -0.92, -0.13-mmol/L]) and FI

(MD= -10.09-pmol/L [95%-CI: -17.31, -2.86-pmol/L]) compared with control arms. Most trials were

small, short, and of poor quality.

Conclusions: Pooled analyses show that replacing sources of animal protein with plant protein leads to

modest improvements in glycemic control in individuals with diabetes. Owing to uncertainties in our

analyses there is a need for larger, longer, higher quality trials.

Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov registration number: NCT02037321

Keywords: diabetes; glycemic control; plant protein; animal protein

SYSTEMATIC REVIEW AND META-ANALYSIS

30

4.2 INTRODUCTION

Diabetes association guidelines (i.e. American Diabetes Association, and European Association

for the Study of Diabetes) do not currently recommend the intake of major sources of plant protein such

as soy, soy-derived foods (e.g. tofu) and nuts for optimal glycemic control25, 26. One exception is dietary

pulses (e.g. beans, peas, chick peas, lentils), which have recently been recommended by the Canadian

Diabetes Association clinical practice guidelines for improving glycemic control in individuals with type 2

diabetes (T2D)49. Plant proteins are a major component of vegan and/or vegetarian dietary patterns and

have been shown in prospective cohort and cross-sectional studies in Seventh day Adventists to be

associated with lower diabetes risk6, 7 and all-cause mortality91. Evidence from a systematic review and

meta-analysis of RCTs also suggests that vegetarian diets may improve glycemic control in individuals

with T2D9. Furthermore, a recent prospective cohort study conducted in over 92 000 women from the

Nurses’ Health Study II and over 40 000 men from the Health Professionals Follow-up Study found that

substituting 5% energy from plant protein for animal protein was associated with an 18% reduced risk

for T2D and substituting 1 serving per day of plant protein foods for animal protein foods was associated

with 10-21% reduced risk for T2D103. On the contrary, evidence from previous meta-analyses of

prospective cohort studies15, 16, as well as more recent prospective cohort studies17 have shown that

diets higher in animal protein, specifically in red meat, are associated with an increased incidence of

T2D. A recent review has even suggested that meat consumption be considered as a risk factor for

T2D22. However, it is unclear whether the replacement of animal with plant protein would confer

glycemic control benefits in individuals with diabetes. Evidence from RCTs remains inconsistent: some

trials have shown replacement of animal with plant protein significantly improved glycemic control27, 158,

whereas others have shown no effect30, 174. We therefore conducted a systematic review and meta-

analysis of RCTs to synthesize the effect of replacing sources of animal protein with plant protein on

glycemic control assessed by HbA1c, fasting glucose, and fasting insulin in individuals with diabetes.

4.3 METHODS

We followed the Cochrane Handbook for Systematic Reviews of Interventions for the planning

and conduct of this meta-analysis188. Reporting followed the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic

Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines189. The review protocol is available at ClinicalTrials.gov

(registration number: NCT02037321).

SYSTEMATIC REVIEW AND META-ANALYSIS

31

4.3.1 DATA SOURCES AND SEARCHES

We searched the databases MEDLINE, EMBASE, and the Cochrane Registry through 26 August

2015 using the search strategy shown in Supplemental Table 4.1. Manual searches of reference lists of

review articles and included trials supplemented electronic database searches.

4.3.2 STUDY SELECTION

We included RCTs that compared a diet emphasizing the replacement of animal protein sources

(e.g. meat, dairy, etc.) with major sources of plant protein (e.g. legumes, nuts, etc.) on HbA1c, fasting

glucose, and/or fasting insulin to a control diet without this replacement matched for energy (isocaloric)

for a follow-up duration ≥3 weeks in individuals with diabetes (T1D and/or T2D). Trials that consisted of

a non-randomized treatment allocation, <3-weeks follow-up duration, non-isocaloric comparisons,

lacked a suitable control (i.e. plant protein source in intervention arm did not replace an animal protein

source present in the control arm), were not conducted in individuals with diabetes, or did not provide

suitable endpoint data were excluded. No restrictions were placed on language.

4.3.3 DATA EXTRACTION AND QUALITY ASSESSMENT

Two investigators (EV, and one of SS, AN, VJ or AM) independently reviewed all reports that met

the inclusion criteria. A standardized form was used to extract relevant information on trial

characteristics and endpoint data. Trial characteristics included: sample size, participant characteristics

(e.g. health status, sex, age, etc.), study setting, design (crossover or parallel), level of feeding control

(metabolically controlled, partially metabolically controlled, or dietary advice), intervention arm (plant

protein type), percent and grams per day of animal protein replaced with plant protein from total

protein, control arm (animal protein type), food form (whole food or powder), macronutrient

breakdown of background diet(s), energy balance (neutral, positive or negative), follow-up duration, and

funding source type (agency, industry, or both). Where available, the mean±SD for baseline, end, and

change from baseline values, as well as MD were extracted for the primary endpoints (HbA1c, fasting

glucose, and fasting insulin). Missing SDs were calculated from other available data (95% CI, p-values, t

or F statistics, SE) using standard formulae recommended by the Cochrane Collaboration188. Authors

were contacted to provide missing data.

The quality of each trial was assessed using the MQS. A maximum score of 13 points could be

received on the basis of the trials methods, sample and intervention190. Trials receiving scores of ≥8 and

<8 were considered to be of higher and lower quality, respectively. Disagreements on MQS were

resolved by consensus.

SYSTEMATIC REVIEW AND META-ANALYSIS

32

Trials were assessed for risk of bias using the Cochrane Risk of Bias Tool188. Domains of bias

assessed were sequence generation, allocation concealment, blinding, outcome data, and outcome

reporting. Trials were marked as “high risk of bias” when the methodological flaw was likely to have

affected the true outcome, “low risk of bias” if the flaw was deemed inconsequential to the true

outcome, and “unclear risk of bias” when insufficient information was provided to permit judgment. All

disagreements were resolved by consensus.

4.3.4 DATA SYNTHESIS AND ANALYSIS

Data for primary analyses were conducted using Review Manager (RevMan), version 5.3 (The

Nordic Cochrane Centre, The Cochrane Collaboration, Copenhagen, Denmark). The difference between

the intervention and control arm’s change from baseline value was derived from each trial for the

primary endpoints. If change from baseline values were not available, end-of-treatment values were

used. In the case where we were not able to convert data into appropriate units (i.e. percent change

from baseline values), individual patient data was requested175. Paired analyses were conducted for all

crossover trials191. If SDs were missing for crossover trials and no other data were available for their

derivation, and where we could not derive a calculated pooled correlation coefficient for imputing

missing SDs (<5 trials reporting sufficient data) we assumed a correlation coefficient of 0.5, as it is a

conservative estimate for an expected range of 0–1. A correlation coefficient of 0.5 was assumed in all

three primary analyses due to insufficient data. Once the values were derived from each trial they were

pooled and analyzed for each primary endpoint using the generic inverse variance method with random

effects models. This approach was used even in the absence of statistically significant between-study

heterogeneity, as they yield more conservative summary effect estimates in the presence of residual

heterogeneity. Results were expressed as MD with 95% CIs. A two-sided p-value <0.05 was set as the

level of significance.

Inter-study heterogeneity was tested using the Cochran Q-statistic and quantified using the I2-

statistic with a significance level set at p-value <0.10. An I2<50%, I2≥50% and I2≥75% were considered to

be evidence of “moderate”, “substantial” and “considerable” heterogeneity, respectively188. Sources of

heterogeneity were explored using sensitivity and subgroup analyses. To determine whether a single

trial exerted an undue influence on the overall results, sensitivity analyses were performed in which

each individual trial was removed from the meta-analysis and the effect size recalculated with the

remaining trials. Sensitivity analyses were also undertaken using correlation coefficients of 0.25 and 0.75

to determine whether the overall results were robust to the use of an assumed correlation coefficient of

0.5. A priori subgroup analyses (categorical and continuous) were conducted for baseline values of

SYSTEMATIC REVIEW AND META-ANALYSIS

33

HbA1c, fasting glucose, and fasting insulin within the intervention arm, plant protein type, animal protein

type, percent and grams of animal protein replaced with plant protein (from total protein), absolute

fiber and saturated fat intake within the intervention arm, difference in fiber and saturated fat intake

between the intervention and control arm, change from baseline fiber and saturated fat intake within

the intervention arm, health status (diabetes type), design, follow-up duration, and study quality (MQS).

Post-hoc continuous or categorical subgroup analyses were conducted for isoflavone intake, body

weight, sex, food form and risk of bias. A post-hoc analysis consisting of a piecewise linear meta-

regression was performed using the mkspline function in order to identify a dose-threshold

(breakpoints) for the continuous subgroup looking at percent animal protein replaced with plant protein

(from total protein) on fasting glucose.

Publication bias was investigated by visual inspection of funnel plots, quantitative assessment

using Egger and Begg tests, and Duval and Tweedie nonparametric “trim-and-fill” analyses, where a p-

value <0.05 was considered evidence of small study effects.

All meta-regressions (a-priori and post-hoc), and publication bias analyses were conducted using

STATA software, version 13.0 (StataCorp, College Station, TX) with a significance set at P <0.05.

4.4 RESULTS

4.4.1 SEARCH RESULTS

Figure 4.1 shows the literature search and selection process. We identified a total of 2554

reports, 2496 of which were determined to be irrelevant based on review of titles and abstracts. The

remaining 58 reports were retrieved and reviewed in full, of which 45 were excluded. One of these

reports was excluded for an irreconcilable discrepancy in the reporting of the results in two places in the

same report185. A total of 12 reports containing data on 12 trials in 240 participants with T1D (n = 21)159,

172 and T2D (n = 219)27, 30, 158, 171, 173-175, 186, 192, 193 met the eligibility criteria and were included in the

analyses. Eight trials reported data for HbA1c (n = 133), 10 for fasting glucose (n = 218), and 5 for fasting

insulin (n = 118).

4.4.2 TRIAL CHARACTERISTICS

Table 4.1 shows the characteristics of the 12 included trials. Trials were conducted in outpatient

settings across 5 countries: Iran (5 trials), U.S. (4 trials), and 1 trial each from Canada, Denmark and

Greece. All trials were randomized and majority (83%) used a crossover design. Participants tended to

be middle aged (median age: 62 years [range: 30–66 years]) with an approximately equal distribution of

SYSTEMATIC REVIEW AND META-ANALYSIS

34

men and women across trials (median % women: 49% [range: 0-78% women]) and overweight or obese

(median BMI: 29 kg/m2 [range: 23.8-35.1 kg/m2]. Most trials were conducted in individuals with T2D

with the exception of 2 trials conducted in individuals with T1D159, 172. Half of the trials reported

presence of microvascular complications (e.g. nephropathy, retinopathy) among participants27, 30, 174, 175,

186, 192. Median baseline HbA1c, fasting glucose, and fasting insulin were 7.2% (range: 5.9-8.4%), 8.0-

mmol/L (range: 6.7-10.4 mmol/L), and 70.2-pmol/L (56.3-134.2 pmol/L), respectively. Mean diabetes

duration varied from ~1 to 10 years27, 30, 171, 173, 174, 186, 192, 193 for those with T2D and 15 years172 or before

the onset of 30 years of age159 for those with T1D; otherwise duration was undeclared158, 175. The

majority of trials did not explicitly provide information on how diabetes was defined with the exception

of 4 trials, in which T2D was defined as fasting plasma glucose ≥7-mmol/L27, 158, 171, 173 or the use of oral

glucose-lowering agents or insulin27, 158, 175. Trials conducted in individuals with T2D had all participants

treated with oral glucose-lowering agents (4 trials30, 171, 174, 193), some treated with either oral glucose-

lowering agents, insulin or both (3 trials27, 175, 186), all treated with insulin (1 trial192), or all treated with

diet and lifestyle alone (1 trial173); otherwise information on the use of oral glucose-lowering agents or

insulin was undeclared (1 trial158). All participants with T1D were treated with insulin (2 trials159, 172). Five

trials required participants to keep their medications stable throughout the trial158, 171, 173, 175, 186, while 4

trials reported no changes in medication use in most patients30, 158, 171-175, 186, 192; otherwise it was

undeclared27, 159, 193.

Laboratory measurements of glycemic endpoints across trials varied. HbA1c was measured by

high-performance liquid chromatography (HPLC) in 3 trials159, 173, 174 and immunoassay in 3 trials30, 171, 175;

otherwise it was unspecified172, 192. Fasting glucose was measured by enzymatic methods across all 10

trials27, 158, 159, 171-175, 186, 193. Fasting insulin was measured by a radioimmunoassay in 1 trial171 and an

immunoassay in 3 trials173-175; otherwise it was unspecified158.

The majority of trials consisted of a partial replacement of animal with plant protein, with the

exception of 2 trials which did a full replacement30, 159. The types of animal protein replaced with plant

protein varied among the trials: 6 trials (50%) replaced mixed sources of animal protein with mixed

sources of plant protein30, 159 or sources of soy protein only27, 172, 186, 192; 4 trials (33%) replaced sources of

dairy protein with sources of soy protein173, 175, 194 or almonds171; and 2 trials (17%) replaced sources of

red meat with pulses (e.g. lentils, chickpeas, peas and beans)158, 193. The animal and plant protein sources

were consumed in the form of whole foods in majority of the trials with the exception of 2 trials173, 174

where the animal and plant sources exchanged for one another were in the form of isolated protein

powders. The median percentage of animal protein replaced with plant protein from total protein was

~35%/d (range: 4-70%/d).

SYSTEMATIC REVIEW AND META-ANALYSIS

35

The background diets of the intervention arms consisted of 41–70% energy (E) from

carbohydrate, 9–25% E from protein, and 20–40% E from fat with a median fiber and saturated fat

intake of 22 g/d (range: 13–41 g/d) and 7.4% E (range: 3–10% E), respectively. The background diets of

the control arms consisted of 41–69% E from carbohydrate, 9–26% E from protein, and 22–37% E from

fat with a median fiber and saturated fat intake of 24 g/d (range: 7.7–42 g/d) and 8% E (range: 4–12% E),

respectively. In terms of feeding control, 1 trial was metabolically controlled (i.e. all foods were

provided)30, 8 trials were partially metabolically controlled (i.e. test foods/supplements were provided),

and 2 trials were not metabolically controlled (i.e. dietary advice was provided)158, 193; otherwise it was

unclear159. The median follow-up duration was 8-weeks (range: 4 weeks–4 years).

The majority of trials (92%) were considered to be of poor quality (MQS<8). Absence of double-

blinding and a preselected or indeterminate sample selection contributed to lower scores

(Supplemental Table 4.2). Majority of the trials (>75%) were judged as having a “low” or “unclear risk

bias” in majority of the domains measured by the Cochrane Risk of Bias Tool. Five trials (42%) were

considered “high risk of bias” due to incomplete outcome data (Supplemental Figure 4.1). In terms of

sources of funding, 5 trials (42%) were funded by agency alone; 4 trials (33%) were funded by both

agency and industry and for 3 trials funding information was not available.

4.4.3 HEMOGLOBIN A1C (HbA1C)

Figure 4.2A shows a forest plot of the pooled effect of replacing animal with plant protein on

HbA1c in individuals with T1D and T2D. Diets emphasizing this replacement significantly lowered HbA1c

in comparison to control diets (MD=-0.16% [95% CI: -0.27, -0.05%]; P=0.006), with no significant

evidence of inter-study heterogeneity (I2=0%; P=0.55). Systematic removal of individual trials did not

alter the results. Sensitivity analyses using different correlation coefficients in paired analyses of

crossover trials (0.25 and 0.75) did not alter the significance of the pooled effect size.

Supplemental Table 4.3 and Supplemental Figure 4.2A-B show the results of continuous and

categorical subgroup analyses for the effect of replacing sources of animal with plant protein on HbA1c.

Meta-regression analyses did not reveal any statistically significant subgroup effects.

4.4.4 FASTING GLUCOSE

Figure 4.2B shows a forest plot of the pooled effect of replacing animal with plant protein on FG

in individuals with T1D and T2D. Diets emphasizing this replacement significantly lowered fasting

glucose in comparison to control diets (MD=-0.53 mmol/L [95% CI: -0.92, -0.13 mmol/L]; P=0.009) with

considerable amount of inter-study heterogeneity (I2=82%; P<0.00001). Although heterogeneity was

SYSTEMATIC REVIEW AND META-ANALYSIS

36

significant, 8 of the 10 trials fell on the left side of the line of unity, which favours the replacement of

animal with plant protein. Systematic removal of individual trials did not alter the results. Sensitivity

analyses using different correlation coefficients in paired analyses of crossover trials (0.25 and 0.75) did

not alter the significance of the pooled effect size.

Supplemental Table 4.4, Supplemental Table 4.6A-D and Supplemental Figure 4.3A-B show the

results of continuous and categorical subgroup analyses for the effect of replacing animal with plant

protein on fasting glucose. Two significant subgroups were identified in the categorical subgroup

analyses (Supplemental Figure 4.3A). Evidence of effect modification was seen for animal protein type,

where the fasting glucose reduction achieved by replacing mixed animal protein sources with plant

protein was significantly greater than the fasting glucose reduction achieved by replacing dairy or red

meat protein sources with plant protein (P=0.003). An effect modification was also seen with percent

animal protein replaced with plant protein from total protein, where the fasting glucose reduction in

trials that replaced ≥35% of animal protein with plant protein was significantly greater than the fasting

glucose reduction when replacing <35% (P=0.025). No other subgroup analyses revealed statistically

significant subgroup effects. Post-hoc analyses for the continuous subgroup looking at percent animal

protein replaced with plant protein (from total protein) on fasting glucose using a piecewise linear meta-

regression did not indicate a dose-threshold (Supplemental Table 4.6A-D).

4.4.5 FASTING INSULIN

Figure 4.2C shows a forest plot of the pooled effect of replacing animal with plant protein on

fasting insulin in individuals with T2D. Diets emphasizing this replacement significantly lowered fasting

insulin in comparison to control diets (MD=-10.09 pmol/L [95% CI: -17.31, -2.86 pmol/L]; P=0.006) with

no significant evidence of inter-study heterogeneity (I2=0%; P=0.41). Sensitivity analyses showed that

removal of any one of the following 3 trials nullified the significance of the effect estimate: Gobert et

al.173 (MD=-6.89 pmol/L [95% CI: -19.20, 5.42 pmol/L]; P=0.27; I2=24%; P=0.27); Cohen et al.171(MD=-8.68

pmol/L [95% CI: -17.90, 0.53 pmol/L]; P=0.06; I2=22%; P=0.28) and Hosseinpour-Niazi et al.158 (MD=-3.89

pmol/L [95% CI: -15.61, 7.83 pmol/L]; P=0.52; I2=0%; P=0.52). None of these trials included insulin-

treated participants. Sensitivity analyses using different correlation coefficients of crossover trials

showed that a correlation coefficient of 0.25 did not alter the significance of the pooled effect size, but a

correlation coefficient of 0.75 changed the pooled effect size from significant to non-significant (MD=-

7.14 pmol/L [95% CI: -16.69, 2.40 pmol/L]; P=0.14; I2=38%; P=0.17).

SYSTEMATIC REVIEW AND META-ANALYSIS

37

Supplemental Table 4.5 and Supplemental Figure 4.4A-B show the results of continuous and

categorical subgroup analyses for the effect of replacing animal with plant protein on fasting insulin.

Meta-regression analyses did not reveal any statistically significant subgroup effects.

4.4.6 PUBLICATION BIAS

Figure 4.3A–C shows the funnel plots for each endpoint. Visual inspection of funnel plots

revealed asymmetry for HbA1c and fasting glucose, suggesting study effects favouring the replacement of

animal for plant protein. Egger tests revealed significant evidence of publication bias for HbA1c and

approached significance for fasting glucose. Begg tests did not reveal significant evidence of publication

bias for any of the endpoints. With one exception, these tests should be interpreted with caution, as

most of them were based on <10 trials188. Trim-and-fill analyses for HbA1c and fasting insulin did not

identify any potentially missed studies due to publication bias (Supplementary Figures 4.5A, C),

however, asymmetry in the funnel plot for fasting glucose was identified, and 1 additional study was

“filled” in to mitigate publication bias. With the inclusion of the “filled” study, the MD for fasting glucose

was not significantly altered (MD=-0.56 mmol/L [95% CI: -0.94, -0.18 mmol/L], P=0.004; Supplementary

Figure 4.5B).

4.5 DISCUSSION

To the best of our knowledge this is the first systematic review and meta-analysis of RCTs to

assess the effect of replacing sources of animal protein with major sources of plant protein on HbA1c,

fasting glucose, and fasting insulin in individuals with T1D and T2D. We included 12 RCTs looking at the

effect of replacing animal with plant protein on these 3 endpoints in 240 predominantly middle-aged

adults. Pooled analyses showed an overall significant modest lowering of HbA1c at −0.16%, fasting

glucose at −0.53 mmol/L and fasting insulin at -10.09 pmol/L when using major sources of plant protein

to replace sources of animal protein at a level ≥35% of total protein per day over a median follow-up

duration of ~8 weeks.

4.5.1 RELATION TO OTHER STUDIES

There have been several systematic reviews and meta-analyses of RCTs looking at the effect of

specific sources of plant protein (i.e. soy products, dietary pulses, and tree nuts) on glycemic control. In

terms of soy products, 2 meta-analyses have been conducted, one in individuals with T2D108 and one in

individuals with and without diabetes (e.g. healthy, hypercholesterolemia, metabolic syndrome, etc.)107.

SYSTEMATIC REVIEW AND META-ANALYSIS

38

Both found no overall significant effect on various glycemic endpoints, however, the direction of the

effect favoured soy interventions107, 108. Two meta-analyses looking at the effect of tree nuts have also

been conducted, one in individuals with T2D12 and one in individuals with and without diabetes10. Both

found significant improvements in fasting glucose, as well as HbA1c in individuals with T2D12. Lastly,

there have been a series of meta-analyses conducted looking at the effect of incorporating dietary

pulses into the diet alone or in the context of a low-GI or high-fibre diet in individuals with and without

diabetes11. Pulses alone were found to significantly lower fasting glucose and fasting insulin. In the

context of a low-GI and high-fibre diet, pulses were found to significantly lower glycosylated blood

proteins (measured as HbA1c or fructosamine), and fasting glucose in the context of a high-fibre diet11.

Overall, the results of these meta-analyses appear to be consistent with our findings.

4.5.2 POSSIBLE MECHANISMS OF ACTION

Several potential mechanisms may explain the beneficial effects of replacing animal with plant

protein on glycemic control. The reduction in body iron stores may be one such mechanism. As a pro-

oxidant, iron catalyzes several cellular reactions that result in the production of reactive oxygen species,

which increases oxidative stress and tissue damage, including damaging pancreatic β-cells60, 195.

Prospective cohort studies have shown that increased heme iron intake, found only in animal protein

sources196, is significantly associated with an increased risk of T2D197, 198, whereas non-heme iron intake,

which is found in both plant and animal source foods196, has been shown to be either inversely

associated with198 or not associated with197 T2D incidence. This may be attributed to differences in

bioavailability between non-heme and heme iron, as heme iron is associated with higher body iron

stores199, 200. Observational studies showed that serum ferritin, the storage form of iron, predicted the

development of hyperglycemia201, 202 and T2D201, 203 and was found to be positively associated with

insulin resistance201, 204, 205. In addition, randomized trials have shown that the use of phlebotomy to

reduce serum ferritin levels was associated with improved glucose tolerance in individuals with MetS206

and T2D207. Another mechanism may relate to differences in amino acid profiles of animal and plant

protein. Compared to animal proteins, plant proteins appear to be higher in L-arginine. Randomized

trials have shown that long-term oral administration of L-arginine improves insulin sensitivity in

individuals with T2D208, 209 and in vitro studies suggest that L-arginine promotes insulin secretion from

pancreatic β-cells by stimulating electrical activity210-214. Although our findings show improvements for

fasting insulin, specific measures of insulin sensitivity were not explored in the present meta-analysis,

where only one of the included trials looked at insulin resistance and showed non-significant reductions

in HOMA-IR173. Neither endpoint, however, is considered to be a good marker of peripheral insulin

SYSTEMATIC REVIEW AND META-ANALYSIS

39

sensitivity215 and thus further studies are warranted. Other potential mechanisms may involve a

reduction in the glycemic index216, 217, as well as sodium and nitrites found in processed meats218, 219.

4.5.3 A-PRIORI AND POST-HOC SUBGROUP ANALYSES

Evidence of considerable heterogeneity was found in the primary pooled analysis for fasting

glucose. Categorical subgroup analyses showed evidence of effect modification by animal protein type

(P=0.003) and percent animal protein replaced with plant protein (from total protein) (P=0.025). Based

on the residual I2 for both of these subgroups (98.26% vs. 35.82%), it appears that a large portion of the

heterogeneity is explained by the latter subgroup, which shows that trials replacing ≥35% of animal with

plant protein had greater reductions in the mean difference for fasting glucose in comparison to those

replacing <35%. Significant effect modification by this subgroup was not seen in our continuous

subgroup analysis, supporting a non-linear relationship. In addition, post-hoc analyses on this subgroup

did not identify a dose-threshold. Regarding the primary pooled analysis for fasting insulin, sensitivity

analyses suggest that the primary pooled effect size is not robust when subject to removing certain

individual trials from the pooled analysis, or when using a different correlation coefficient.

4.5.4 LIMITATIONS

Several limitations exist in the present meta-analysis. First, the majority of trials had small

sample sizes. Second, it is uncertain whether the follow-up duration of included trials was sufficient to

observe meaningful changes in glycemic control: while HbA1c levels reflect blood glucose control in the

preceding 3 months220, the majority of trials (83%) were shorter than 12-weeks in duration. There was,

however, no effect modification by follow-up duration in the subgroup analyses. Third, most trials (92%)

were of poor study quality (MQS<8), however, no effect modification by study quality were observed in

subgroup analyses. Fourth, most subgroup analyses were underpowered due to the limited number of

available studies. Fifth, only a small number of trials (17%) focused on glycemic control endpoints as a

primary outcome. Sixth, sensitivity analyses showed that the pooled effect estimate for fasting insulin

was not robust.

4.5.5 IMPLICATIONS

The reductions seen in HbA1c meets half the threshold proposed by the U.S. Food and Drug

Administration for the development of new drugs for diabetes (≥ 0.3%)221 and therefore may or may not

be clinically significant. It is important to note, however, that the glycemic benefits seen in our meta-

analysis are in addition to the use of oral glucose-lowering agents by majority of individuals. Therefore,

SYSTEMATIC REVIEW AND META-ANALYSIS

40

replacing animal protein with major sources of plant protein may be one strategy that can be utilized in

combination with medication to help improve and manage glycemic control in individuals with diabetes.

Furthermore, the majority of RCTs in our meta-analysis used soy and soy-derived products to replace

sources of animal protein, a food that is consumed by only 3.3% of Canadians on any given day, with

daily intakes ranging from 1.5 g/d among low consumers to 16.5 g/d among high consumers (<1

serving)76. In general, this is consistent with the overall consumption of major plant protein sources in

the North American population, which is very low relative to other sources of plant protein, such as

grains62, 71-73. Therefore, there is ample room in the diet to increase the intake of these sources.

4.5.6 CONCLUSIONS

In conclusion, the present systematic review and meta-analysis of RCTs found significant modest

improvements in HbA1c, fasting glucose and fasting insulin in individuals with diabetes when using major

sources of plant protein to replace sources of animal protein at a level ≥35% of total protein per day

over a median duration of ~8 weeks. Sources of uncertainty in our analyses include the estimate for

fasting glucose, which was complicated by considerable heterogeneity but largely explained by our

subgroup analysis that showed greater benefit in trials that replaced animal with plant protein at a level

≥35% of total protein and for fasting insulin, which was altered by sensitivity analyses. In order to

address these sources of uncertainty and the limitations in our analyses, there is a need for larger,

longer, higher quality RCTs designed to use other sources of plant protein, in addition to soy, to replace

animal protein at a level ≥35% total protein with glycemic endpoints as a primary outcome. The

inclusion of such RCTs in future meta-analyses will help guide the design of future RCTs in this area, as

well as the development of nutrition recommendations and health claims.

4.6 ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS

We wish to thank Teruko Kishibe of Li Ka Shing’s International Healthcare Education Centre at

St. Michael Hospital for her help in the development of the search strategy. Aspects of this work were

presented as an abstract at the Banting & Best Diabetes Centre 26th Annual Scientific Day, May 8, 2015,

Toronto, Ontario, Canada.

4.7 FUNDING

This work was supported by the Canadian Institutes of Health Research (funding reference

number, 129920) through the Canada-wide Human Nutrition Trialists’ Network (NTN). The Diet,

Digestive tract, and Disease (3-D) Centre, funded through the Canada Foundation for Innovation (CFI)

SYSTEMATIC REVIEW AND META-ANALYSIS

41

and the Ministry of Research and Innovation’s Ontario Research Fund (ORF), provided the infrastructure

for the conduct of this project. EV was funded by a Canadian Institutes of Health Research (CIHR)-

Fredrick Banting and Charles Best Canada Graduate Scholarship and the Banting and Best Diabetes

Centre (BBDC)-Yow Kam-Yuen Graduate Scholarship in Diabetes Research. RPB and DJAJ were funded by

the Government of Canada through the Canada Research Chair Endowment. None of the sponsors had a

role in any aspect of the present study, including design and conduct of the study; collection,

management, analysis, and interpretation of the data; and preparation, review, approval of the

manuscript or decision to publish.

4.8 CONFLICTS OF INTEREST

RJdS was funded by the CIHR Postdoctoral Fellowship Award and has received research support

from the CIHR, the Calorie Control Council, the Canadian Foundation for Dietetic Research and the Coca-

Cola Company (investigator initiated, unrestricted grant) and travel support from the World Health

Organization (WHO) to attend group meetings. He has served as an external resource person to WHO's

Nutrition Guidelines Advisory Group and is the lead author of 2 systematic reviews and meta-analyses

commissioned by WHO of the relation of saturated fatty acids and trans fatty acids with health

outcomes. AJH hold a Tier II Canada Research Chair in Diabetes Epidemiology. RPB has received research

funding from Bunge Ltd., travel support from Unilever and consultant fees from Kraft Foods and Mead

Johnson. CWCK has received research support from the Advanced Foods and Material Network,

Agrifoods and Agriculture Canada, the Almond Board of California, the American Pistachio Growers,

Barilla, the California Strawberry Commission, the Calorie Control Council, CIHR, the Canola Council of

Canada, the Coca-Cola Company (investigator initiated, unrestricted grant), Hain Celestial, the

International Tree Nut Council Nutrition Research and Education Foundation, Kellogg, Kraft, Loblaw

Companies Ltd., Orafti, Pulse Canada, Saskatchewan Pulse Growers, Solae and Unilever. He has received

travel funding, consultant fees and/or honoraria from Abbott Laboratories, the Almond Board of

California, the American Peanut Council, the American Pistachio Growers, Barilla, Bayer, the Canola

Council of Canada, the Coca-Cola Company, Danone, General Mills, the International Tree Nut Council

Nutrition Research and Education Foundation, Kellogg, Loblaw Companies Ltd., the Nutrition Foundation

of Italy, Oldways Preservation Trust, Orafti, Paramount Farms, the Peanut Institute, PepsiCo, Pulse

Canada, Sabra Dipping Co., Saskatchewan Pulse Growers, Solae, Sun-Maid, Tate and Lyle, and Unilever.

He is on the Dietary Guidelines Committee for the Diabetes Nutrition Study Group of the European

Association for the Study of Diabetes and has served on the scientific advisory board for the Almond

Board of California, the International Tree Nut Council, Oldways Preservation Trust, Paramount Farms

SYSTEMATIC REVIEW AND META-ANALYSIS

42

and Pulse Canada. DJAJ has received research grants from Saskatchewan Pulse Growers, the Agricultural

Bioproducts Innovation Program through the Pulse Research Network, the Advanced Foods and Material

Network, Loblaw Companies Ltd., Unilever, Barilla, the Almond Board of California, the Coca-Cola

Company (investigator initiated, unrestricted grant), Solae, Haine Celestial, the Sanitarium Company,

Orafti, the International Tree Nut Council Nutrition Research and Education Foundation, the Peanut

Institute, the Canola and Flax Councils of Canada, the Calorie Control Council, the CIHR, the Canada

Foundation for Innovation and the Ontario Research Fund. He has received an honorarium from the

United States Department of Agriculture to present the 2013 W.O. Atwater Memorial Lecture. He

received the 2013 Award for Excellence in Research from the International Nut and Dried Fruit Council.

He received funding and travel support from the Canadian Society of Endocrinology and Metabolism to

produce mini cases for the Canadian Diabetes Association. He has been on the speaker's panel, served

on the scientific advisory board, and/or received travel support and/or honoraria from the Almond

Board of California, Canadian Agriculture Policy Institute, Loblaw Companies Ltd, the Griffin Hospital (for

the development of the NuVal scoring system), the Coca- Cola Company, Saskatchewan Pulse Growers,

Sanitarium Company, Orafti, the Almond Board of California, the American Peanut Council, the

International Tree Nut Council Nutrition Research and Education Foundation, the Peanut Institute,

Herbalife International, Pacific Health Laboratories, Nutritional Fundamental for Health, Barilla,

Metagenics, Bayer Consumer Care, Unilever Canada and Netherlands, Solae, Kellogg, Quaker Oats,

Procter and Gamble, the Coca-Cola Company, the Griffin Hospital, Abbott Laboratories, the Canola

Council of Canada, Dean Foods, the California Strawberry Commission, Haine Celestial, PepsiCo, the

Alpro Foundation, Pioneer Hi- Bred International, DuPont Nutrition and Health, Spherix Consulting and

WhiteWave Foods, the Advanced Foods and Material Network, the Canola and Flax Councils of Canada,

the Nutritional Fundamentals for Health, AgriCulture and Agri-Food Canada, the Canadian Agri-Food

Policy Institute, Pulse Canada, the Saskatchewan Pulse Growers, the Soy Foods Association of North

America, the Nutrition Foundation of Italy (NFI), Nutra-Source Diagnostics, the McDougall Program, the

Toronto Knowledge Translation Group (St. Michael's Hospital), the Canadian College of Naturopathic

Medicine, The Hospital for Sick Children, the Canadian Nutrition Society (CNS), the American Society of

Nutrition (ASN), Arizona State University, Paolo Sorbini Foundation and the Institute of Nutrition,

Metabolism and Diabetes. JLS has received research support from the Canadian Institutes of health

Research (CIHR), Calorie Control Council, American Society of Nutrition (ASN), The Coca-Cola Company

(investigator initiated, unrestricted), Dr. Pepper Snapple Group (investigator initiated, unrestricted),

Pulse Canada, and The International Tree Nut Council Nutrition Research & Education Foundation. He

has received travel funding, speaker fees, and/or honoraria from the American Heart Association (AHA),

SYSTEMATIC REVIEW AND META-ANALYSIS

43

American College of Physicians (ACP), American Society for Nutrition (ASN), National Institute of

Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases (NIDDK) of the National Institutes of Health (NIH), Canadian

Diabetes Association (CDA), Canadian Nutrition Society (CNS), University of South Carolina, University of

Alabama at Birmingham, Oldways Preservation Trust, Nutrition Foundation of Italy (NFI), Calorie Control

Council, Diabetes and Nutrition Study Group (DNSG) of the European Association for the Study of

Diabetes (EASD), International Life Sciences Institute (ILSI) North America, International Life Sciences

Institute (ILSI) Brazil, Abbott Laboratories, Pulse Canada, Canadian Sugar Institute, Dr. Pepper Snapple

Group, The Coca-Cola Company, Corn Refiners Association, World Sugar Research Organization, and

Società Italiana di Nutrizione Umana (SINU). He has consulting arrangements with Winston & Strawn

LLP, Perkins Coie LLP, and Tate & Lyle. He is on the Clinical Practice Guidelines Expert Committee for

Nutrition Therapy of both the Canadian Diabetes Association (CDA) and European Association for the

study of Diabetes (EASD), as well as being on an American Society for Nutrition (ASN) writing panel for a

scientific statement on sugars. He is a member of the International Carbohydrate Quality Consortium

(ICQC) and Board Member of the Diabetes and Nutrition Study Group (DNSG) of the EASD. He serves an

unpaid scientific advisor for the International Life Science Institute (ILSI) North America, Food, Nutrition,

and Safety Program (FNSP). His wife is an employee of Unilever Canada. No competing interests were

declared by EV, SES, VHJ, APN, AM, SBM, LL and RJ. There are no patents, products in development or

marketed products to declare.

4.9 AUTHOR CONTRIBUTIONS

Conceived and designed the experiments: CWCK DJAJ JLS. Analyzed the data: EV SES VHJ AG AM

RJdS JLS. Wrote the paper: EV JLS. Interpretation of the data: EV SES VHJ AG AM RJdS AJH RPB LAL RJ.

Critical revision of the article for important intellectual content: EV SES VHJ AM RJdS AJH RPB SBM LAL

RJ CWCK DJAJ JLS. Final approval of the article: EV SES VHJ AM RJdS AJH RPB SBM LAL RJ CWCK DJAJ JLS..

Obtaining of funding: CWCK DJAJ JLS. Administrative, technical, or logistic support: SBM VHJ AM.

Collection and assembly of data: EV SES AG AM. Guarantors: CWCK DJAJ JLS.

44

4.10 TABLES

Table 4.1 – Characteristics of included randomized controlled trials

Study, Year (Reference) Participants Mean Age

(SD or Range), y

Mean Body Weight or BMI

(SD or Range)a

Settingc Design

Feeding

Controld

Plant Protein

typee

Animal protein

typee

Amount AP replaced

with PPf

Diet

(P:C:F)g

Energy balance

Follow-up

MQSh

Funding

Sourcesi

TYPE 1 DIABETES

Kontessis et al, 1995 (159)j 9 T1D

(7W, 2M) 32

(20-48)b

23.8 (20.6-27.8)

kg/m2b

OP, GRC

C NA 70% (~49 g/d)

Neutral 4 wk 7 NA

Intervention Mixed (PP only)

~17:49:34

Control Mixed ~19:41:37 Stephenson et al, 2005 (172) 12 T1D+GHF

(6W, 6M) 29.9 (8) 79.0 (5.9) kg OP,

USA C Supp ~46-56%

(45-55 g/d) Neutral 8 wk 5 Agency-

industry Intervention Soy

k 22:53:27

Control Mixed 16:49:36

TYPE 2 DIABETES

Anderson et al, 1998 (192)l 8

T2D+N,O,HT (M only)

68 (18.4) 111 (66.8) kg OP, USA

C Supp 50% (~55.5 g/d)

Neutral 8 wk 8 NA

Intervention Soy ~15:55:30 Control Mixed ~15:55:30 Hermansen et al, 2001 (174)m

20 T2D+R (6W, 14M)

63.6 (7.5) OP, DNK

C Supp ~33% (50 g/d)

Neutral 6 wk 5 Agency-industry

Intervention 88.7 (11.9) kg Soy 25:41:29 Control 88.3 (11.8) kg Casein 26:43:28

Wheeler et al, 2002 (30)n 17 T2D+N

(3W, 14M) 56 (12.4) 102.3 (21.4) kg OP,

USA C Met 60%

(64 g/d) Neutral 6 wk 6 Agency-

industry Intervention Mixed

(PP only) 17:53:30

Control Mixed 17:53:30

Azadbakht et al, 2008 (27)o 41 T2D+N,R

(23W, 18M) OP, IRN P Supp 35%

(~20 g/d) Neutral 4 y 4 NA

Intervention 61.9 (11.8) 71 (9) kg Soy ~10:70:20 Control 62.1 (12.1) 72 (8) kg Mixed ~10:68:22

Azadbakht et al, 2009 (186)p 14 T2D+N

(4W, 10M) 62.5 (12.1) OP, IRN C Supp 35%

(~20 g/d) Neutral 7 wk 4 Agency

Intervention 70.6 (10.3) kg Soy ~9:70:21 Control 70.7 (10.7) kg Mixed ~9:69:22

SYSTEMATIC REVIEW AND META-ANALYSIS

45

Table 4.1 (continued) – Characteristics of included randomized controlled trials

AP=animal protein; C=crossover; CAN=Canada; DA=dietary advice; DNK=Denmark; GHF=glomerular hyperfiltration; GRC=Greece; HT=hypertension; IRN=Iran; M=men; Met=metabolic

feeding control; MQS=Heyland Methodological Quality Score; N=nephropathy; NA=data not available; O=overweight and/or obese; P=parallel; PP=plant protein; R=retinopathy;

Supp=supplemental feeding control; T1D=type 1 diabetes; T2D=type 2 diabetes; USA=United States of America; W=women; wk=weeks; y=years aBaseline body weight (kg) values. Baseline BMI values (kg/m

2) are only reported when no data on weight were available.

bReported as a median value.

cCountries are abbreviated using three letter country codes (ISO 3166-1 alpha-3 codes).

dMetabolic feeding control (Met) was the provision of all meals, snacks, and study supplements consumed during the study under controlled conditions. Supplement feeding control

(Supp) was the provision of study supplements only. Dietary advice (DA) is the provision of counseling on the appropriate test and control diets.

Study, Year (Reference) Participants Mean Age

(SD or Range), y

Mean Body Weight or BMI

(SD or Range)a

Settingc Design

Feeding

Controld

Plant Protein

typee

Animal protein

typee

Amount AP replaced

with PPf

Diet

(P:C:F)g

Energy balance

Follow-up

MQSh

Funding

Sourcesi

Gobert et al, 2010 (173)q 29 T2D

(13W, 16M) 60.1 (9.64) 83.4 (10.9) kg OP, CAN C

Supp ~34%

(40 g/d) Neutral 8 wk 7 Agency-

industry Intervention Soy ~23:45:32 Control Milk ~23:44:33

Cohen et al, 2011 (171)r 13 T2D

(6W, 7M) OP, USA P Supp NA

(~6 g/d) NA Neutral 12 wk 7 Agency

Intervention 66 (8.1) 96.1 (21.8) kg Almonds Control 66 (8.7) 105.1 (29.6) kg Cheese

Miraghajani et al, 2013 (175)s 25 T2D+N

(15W, 10M) 51 (10) OP, IRN C DA ~4%

(2.5 g/d) Neutral 4 wk 6 Agency

Intervention 76.1 (13.2) kg Soy 14:46:40 Control 76.5 (13.6) kg Milk 13:50:37 Abd-Mishani et al, 2014

(193)t

21 T2D (18W, 6M)

61.7 (6) 74.5 (7.1) kg OP, IRN C DA ~18% (~13.3 g/d)

Neutral 8 wk 4 Agency

Intervention Pulses 15:55:30 Control Red

meat 15:55:30

Hosseinpour-Niazi et al, 2014

(158)t

31 T2D+O (24W, 7M)

58.1 (33.4) OP, IRN C DA ~17% (~13.3 g/d)

Neutral 8 wk 6 Agency

Intervention 27.7 (3.34) kg/m2 Pulses 14:54:33 Control 27.8 (3.34) kg/m2 Red

meat 15:52:34

SYSTEMATIC REVIEW AND META-ANALYSIS

46

ePlant and animal protein types refer to the specific sources of plant proteins prescribed by the study to replace a specific source(s) of animal protein. If prescribed plant or animal

protein type was not specified by the study it was assumed that the protein type consisted of mixed sources. For example, Kontessis et al.159

referred to their intervention arm as a

“vegetable protein diet” and their control arm as an “animal protein diet”; therefore it was assumed that the intervention and control arm consisted of mixed sources of plant and animal

protein, respectively. All protein sources prescribed in each study were in whole food form with the exception of Hermansen et al.174

and Gobert et al.173

which prescribed isolated

protein powders. Any study with an intervention arm prescribing plant protein exclusively rather than partial substitution of animal for plant protein is indicated in parentheses as “PP

only”. fNumbers in this column represent the amount of plant protein that was prescribed by the study to replace animal protein. Numbers not in parentheses represent the percent of total

protein replacing animal protein with plant protein. Numbers in parentheses represent the amount of plant protein prescribed/amount of animal protein replaced in grams per day.

Numbers preceded by “~” were calculated using relevant data provided by the study. gNumbers in this column indicate the designed percent energy breakdown from protein:carbohydrate:fat reported from each study. If these values were not available or provided, the

measured percent energy breakdown from the end of the study were used. Numbers preceded by “~” were calculated using relevant data provided by the study. hTrials with a MQS score ≥8 were considered to be of higher quality.

iAgency funding is that from government, university, or not-for-profit health agency sources. None of the trialists declared any conflicts of interest with the exception of Stephenson et al. 172

and Hermansen et al. 29

. jBoth intervention and control arm were designed to contain 1 gram of protein per kilogram body weight per day. Intervention arm consisted of plant protein exclusively and the control

arm consisted of~70% animal protein and 30% plant protein. The intervention arm was also provided animal fat supplements, as well as calcium and phosphate tablets. kNine daily soy food intake options were provided: soy patties; soy pasta; soy chocolate beverage; chocolate, vanilla, or plain silk soy milk; lemon or chocolate soy bars; roasted soy nuts,

or frozen edamame. lBoth intervention and control arm were designed to contain 1 gram of protein per kilogram body weight per day. Fifty percent of the protein in the soy protein intervention arm was in

the form of a beverage, meat analogue patties, or ground meat analogue, whereas 50% of the protein in the animal protein control arm was in the form of ground beef with a specified

fat content and cow milk. m

Both intervention and control arm were provided with their respective powders and instructed to mix half of their daily allotted amount in 250ml of water before breakfast and half

before their evening meal. The powder provided in the intervention arm also contained 20g/d of soy cotyledon fiber and a high isoflavone content (minimum 165 mg/d), whereas the

powder provided in the control arm contained 20 g/d of cellulose. nIntervention arm consisted of plant protein exclusively (62% soy-based), where major protein foods included tofu, textured vegetable protein, soy milk, and legumes. The control arm

consisted of 60% animal protein and 40% plant protein, where major protein foods included beef, poultry, fish and milk. o73% of participants in this study had retinopathy. Both intervention and control arm were designed to contain 0.8 grams of protein per kilogram body weight per day. The intervention

arm consisted of 35% soy protein (in the form of textured soy protein), 30% other plant protein and 35% animal protein and the control arm consisted of 70% animal protein and 30%

plant protein. pThe intervention arm consisted of 35% soy protein (in the form of textured soy protein), 30% other plant protein and 35% animal protein and the control arm consisted of 70% animal

protein and 30% plant protein.

SYSTEMATIC REVIEW AND META-ANALYSIS

47

qWomen in this study were postmenopausal. The powder provided in the intervention arm also consisted of 88 mg/d isoflavones (65% genistein, 31% daidzein, 4% glycitein).

Participants supplemented their habitual diets with the powders and were provided with multiple examples of ways to consume them but were encouraged to reconstitute them with

water with the option of adding Nestle flavor packets. In order to avoid excess protein and calcium intakes, participants were counseled to replace foods like milk, cheese, and lunch

meat with the powders. rParticipants were instructed to consume their food prescription (1 oz almonds or 2 cheese sticks) 5 days per week.

sBoth intervention and control arm were designed to contain 0.8 grams of protein per kilogram body weight per day. The intervention and control arm consisted of 1 glass of soy and

cow’s milk (240 mL each) per day, respectively. tBoth intervention and control arm were prescribed a Therapeutic Lifestyle Change (TLC) diet. The intervention arm was the same as the control arm but participants were advised to

replace 2 servings of red meat with different types of cooked legumes such as lentils, chickpeas, peas and beans 3 days per week. Half a cup of cooked legumes was considered to be

one serving of red meat.

tBoth intervention

and control arm were

prescribed a

Therapeutic Lifestyle

Change (TLC) diet.

The intervention arm

was the same as the

control arm but

participants were

advised to replace 2

servings of red meat

with different types

of cooked legumes

such as lentils,

chickpeas, peas and

beans 3 days per

week. Half a cup of

cooked legumes was

considered to be one

serving of red meat.

SYSTEMATIC REVIEW AND META-ANALYSIS

SYSTEMATIC REVIEW AND META-ANALYSIS

48

4.11 FIGURES

Figure 4.1 – Flow diagram depicting the literature search and selection process

2554 Reports identified:2028 EMBASE (through 26 Aug 2015)399 MEDLINE (through 26 Aug 2015)124 The Cochrane Library (through 26 Aug 2015)3 Manual searches

2496 Reports excluded on basis of title and/or abstract:104 Acute/short-term studies872 Animal/in-vitro/non-human studies8 Case studies18 Clinical practice guidelines/recommendations486 Duplicate reports/studies148 Letters/editorials/commentaries/conference proceedings13 Non-randomized studies366 Observational studies251 Review papers and meta-analyses43 Studies not conducted in individuals with diabetes 158 Studies with no plant protein intervention 22 Studies with unsuitable control group7 Studies with unsuitable outcome data

58 Reports reviewed in full

45 Reports excluded: 6 Acute/short-term studies3 Letters/editorials/commentaries/conference proceedings5 Non-randomized studies20 Studies with unsuitable control group7 Studies with unsuitable outcome data5 Studies with no plant protein intervention

12 Reports [12 trials] included in the meta-analysis:HbA1c: 8 trials (n=133)Fasting glucose: 10 trials (n=218)Fasting insulin: 5 trials (n=118)

SYSTEMATIC REVIEW AND META-ANALYSIS

49

Figure 4.2A – Forest plot of RCTs investigating the effect of replacing sources of animal with plant

protein in individuals with diabetes on HbA1c. Pooled effect estimates for each subgroup and overall

effect are represented by the diamonds. Data are expressed as weighted mean differences (MD) with

95% CIs, using the generic inverse-variance method with random effects models. Paired analyses were

applied to all crossover trials. Inter-study heterogeneity was tested by the Cochran Q-statistic and

quantified by I2 at a significance level of P <0.10.

Study or Subgroup

4.5.1 T2D

Anderson 1998

Hermansen

Wheeler

Gobert

Cohen

MiraghajaniSubtotal (95% CI)

Heterogeneity: Tau² = 0.00; Chi² = 3.93, df = 5 (P = 0.56); I² = 0%

Test for overall effect: Z = 2.54 (P = 0.01)

4.5.2 T1D

Kontessis

StephensonSubtotal (95% CI)

Heterogeneity: Tau² = 0.00; Chi² = 0.55, df = 1 (P = 0.46); I² = 0%

Test for overall effect: Z = 1.59 (P = 0.11)

Total (95% CI)

Heterogeneity: Tau² = 0.00; Chi² = 5.93, df = 7 (P = 0.55); I² = 0%

Test for overall effect: Z = 2.75 (P = 0.006)

Test for subgroup differences: Chi² = 1.45, df = 1 (P = 0.23), I² = 31.1%

Mean Difference

-0.7

-0.3

-0.1

-0.06

-0.3

-0.364

-0.3

-0.9

SE

0.5

0.338

0.084

0.117

0.133

0.387

0.608

0.535

Weight

1.3%

2.9%

47.7%

24.6%

19.0%

2.2%97.9%

0.9%

1.2%2.1%

100.0%

IV, Random, 95% CI

-0.70 [-1.68, 0.28]

-0.30 [-0.96, 0.36]

-0.10 [-0.26, 0.06]

-0.06 [-0.29, 0.17]

-0.30 [-0.56, -0.04]

-0.36 [-1.12, 0.39]-0.15 [-0.26, -0.03]

-0.30 [-1.49, 0.89]

-0.90 [-1.95, 0.15]-0.64 [-1.43, 0.15]

-0.16 [-0.27, -0.05]

Year

1998

2001

2002

2010

2011

2012

1995

2005

Mean Difference Mean Difference

IV, Random, 95% CI

-2 -1 0 1 2Favours [experimental] Favours [control]

Subgroup and Study (Reference)

Year Participants, n Weight, % Mean Difference [95% CI] in HbA1c, %

Type 2 Diabetes

Anderson et al. (192) 1998 8 1.3 -0.70 [-1.68, 0.28]

Hermansen et al. (174) 2001 20 2.9 -0.30 [-0.96, 0.36]

Wheeler et al. (30) 2002 17 47.7 -0.10 [-0.26, 0.06]

Gobert et al. (173) 2010 29 24.6 -0.06 [-0.29, 0.17]

Cohen et al. (171) 2011 13 19.0 -0.30 [-0.56, -0.04]

Miraghajani et al. (175) 2013 25 2.2 -0.36 [-1.12, 0.39]

Subtotal (95% CI) 97.9 -0.15 [-0.26, -0.03]

Heterogeneity: Tau² = 0.00; Chi² = 3.93, df = 5 (P = 0.56); I² = 0%

Test for overall effect: Z = 2.54 (P = 0.01)

Type 1 Diabetes

Kontessis et al. (159) 1995 9 0.9 -0.30 [-1.49, 0.89]

Stephenson et al. (172) 2005 12 1.2 -0.90 [-1.95, 0.15]

Subtotal (95% CI) 2.1 -0.64 [-1.43, 0.15]

Heterogeneity: Tau² = 0.00; Chi² = 0.55, df = 1 (P = 0.46); I² = 0%

Test for overall effect: Z = 1.59 (P = 0.11)

Total (95% CI) 133 100 -0.16 [-0.27, -0.05]

Heterogeneity: Tau² = 0.00; Chi² = 5.93, df = 7 (P = 0.55); I² = 0%

Test for overall effect: Z = 2.75 (P = 0.006)

Test for subgroup differences: Chi² = 1.45, df = 1 (P = 0.23), I² = 31.1% Favours

Animal ProteinFavours

Plant Protein

-2 -1 0 1 2

SYSTEMATIC REVIEW AND META-ANALYSIS

50

Figure 4.2B – Forest plot of RCTs investigating the effect of replacing sources of animal with plant

protein in individuals with diabetes on fasting glucose. Pooled effect estimates for each subgroup and

overall effect are represented by the diamonds. Data are expressed as weighted mean differences (MD)

with 95% CIs, using the generic inverse-variance method with random effects models. Paired analyses

were applied to all crossover trials. Inter-study heterogeneity was tested by the Cochran Q-statistic and

quantified by I2 at a significance level of P <0.10.

Study or Subgroup

4.2.1 T2D

Hermansen

Azadbakht 2008

Azadbakht 2009

Gobert

Cohen

Miraghajani

Abd-Mishani

Hosseinpour-NiaziSubtotal (95% CI)

Heterogeneity: Tau² = 0.04; Chi² = 9.67, df = 7 (P = 0.21); I² = 28%

Test for overall effect: Z = 2.38 (P = 0.02)

4.2.2 T1D

Kontessis

StephensonSubtotal (95% CI)

Heterogeneity: Tau² = 2.00; Chi² = 2.59, df = 1 (P = 0.11); I² = 61%

Test for overall effect: Z = 1.51 (P = 0.13)

Total (95% CI)

Heterogeneity: Tau² = 0.21; Chi² = 50.62, df = 9 (P < 0.00001); I² = 82%

Test for overall effect: Z = 2.63 (P = 0.009)

Test for subgroup differences: Chi² = 1.47, df = 1 (P = 0.23), I² = 32.1%

Mean Difference

-0.4

-1.443

0.45

0.12

-0.5

-0.184

-0.333

-0.511

-0.999

-3.552

SE

0.638

0.595

0.968

0.232

0.465

0.528

0.282

0.14

0.007

1.586

Weight

6.4%

7.0%

3.5%

14.9%

9.3%

8.1%

13.6%

17.1%79.9%

18.6%

1.5%20.1%

100.0%

IV, Random, 95% CI

-0.40 [-1.65, 0.85]

-1.44 [-2.61, -0.28]

0.45 [-1.45, 2.35]

0.12 [-0.33, 0.57]

-0.50 [-1.41, 0.41]

-0.18 [-1.22, 0.85]

-0.33 [-0.89, 0.22]

-0.51 [-0.79, -0.24]-0.34 [-0.63, -0.06]

-1.00 [-1.01, -0.99]

-3.55 [-6.66, -0.44]-1.78 [-4.09, 0.53]

-0.53 [-0.92, -0.13]

Year

2001

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2014

2014

1995

2005

Mean Difference Mean Difference

IV, Random, 95% CI

-4 -2 0 2 4Favours Vegetable Protein Favours Animal Protein

Subgroup and Study (Reference)

Year Participants, n Weight, % Mean Difference [95% CI] in Fasting Glucose, mmol/L

Type 2 Diabetes

Hermansen et al. (174) 2001 20 6.4 -0.40 [-1.65, 0.85]

Azadbakht et al. (27) 2008 41 7.0 -1.44 [-2.61, -0.28]

Azadbakht et al. (186) 2009 14 3.5 0.45 [-1.45, 2.35]

Gobert et al. (173) 2010 29 14.9 0.12 [-0.33, 0.57]

Cohen et al. (171) 2011 13 9.3 -0.50 [-1.41, 0.41]

Miraghajani et al. (175) 2013 25 8.1 -0.18 [-1.22, 0.85]

Abd-Mishani et al. (193) 2014 24 13.6 -0.33 [-0.89, 0.22]

Hosseinpour-Niazi et al. (158) 2014 31 17.1 -0.51 [-0.79, -0.24]

Subtotal (95% CI) 79.9 -0.34 [-0.63, -0.06]

Heterogeneity: Tau² = 0.04; Chi² = 9.67, df = 7 (P = 0.21); I² = 28% Test for overall effect: Z = 2.38 (P = 0.02)

Type 1 Diabetes

Kontessis et al. (159) 1995 9 18.6 -1.00 [-1.01, -0.99]

Stephenson et al. (172) 2005 12 1.5 -3.55 [-6.66, -0.44]Subtotal (95% CI) 20.1 -1.78 [-4.09, 0.53]

Heterogeneity: Tau² = 2.00; Chi² = 2.59, df = 1 (P = 0.11); I² = 61%

Test for overall effect: Z = 1.51 (P = 0.13)

Total (95% CI) 218 100 -0.53 [-0.92, -0.13]

Heterogeneity: Tau² = 0.21; Chi² = 50.62, df = 9 (P < 0.00001); I² = 82%

Test for overall effect: Z = 2.63 (P = 0.009)

Test for subgroup differences: Chi² = 1.47, df = 1 (P = 0.23), I² = 32.1% -4 -2 0 2 4

Favours Plant Protein

Favours Animal Protein

SYSTEMATIC REVIEW AND META-ANALYSIS

51

Figure 4.2C – Forest plot of RCTs investigating the effect of replacing sources of animal with plant

protein in individuals with diabetes on fasting insulin. Pooled effect estimates for each subgroup and

overall effect are represented by the diamonds. Data are expressed as weighted mean differences (MD)

with 95% CIs, using the generic inverse-variance method with random effects models. Paired analyses

were applied to all crossover trials. Inter-study heterogeneity was tested by the Cochran Q-statistic and

quantified by I2 at a significance level of P <0.10.

Study or Subgroup

Hermansen

Gobert

Cohen

Miraghajani

Hosseinpour-Niazi

Total (95% CI)

Heterogeneity: Tau² = 0.00; Chi² = 3.98, df = 4 (P = 0.41); I² = 0%

Test for overall effect: Z = 2.74 (P = 0.006)

Mean Difference

6

-11.72

-29.17

2.5

-13.89

SE

9.646

8.305

55.56

20.39

4.685

Weight

14.6%

19.7%

0.4%

3.3%

62.0%

100.0%

IV, Random, 95% CI

6.00 [-12.91, 24.91]

-11.72 [-28.00, 4.56]

-29.17 [-138.07, 79.73]

2.50 [-37.46, 42.46]

-13.89 [-23.07, -4.71]

-10.09 [-17.31, -2.86]

Year

2001

2010

2011

2012

2014

Mean Difference Mean Difference

IV, Random, 95% CI

-100 -50 0 50 100Favours [experimental] Favours [control]

Subgroup and Study (Reference)

Year Participants, n Weight, % Mean Difference [95% CI] in Fasting Insulin, pmol/L

Type 2 Diabetes

Hermansen et al. (174) 2001 20 14.6 6.00 [-12.91, 24.91]

Gobert et al. (173) 2010 29 19.7 -11.72 [-28.00, 4.56]

Cohen et al. (171) 2011 13 0.4 -29.17 [-138.07, 79.73]

Miraghajani et al. (175) 2013 25 3.3 2.50 [-37.46, 42.46]

Hosseinpour-Niazi et al. (158) 2014 31 62 -13.89 [-23.07, -4.71]

Total (95% CI) 118 100 -10.09 [-17.31, -2.86]

Heterogeneity: Tau² = 0.00; Chi² = 3.98, df = 4 (P = 0.41); I² = 0%

Test for overall effect: Z = 2.74 (P = 0.006)

Favours Animal Protein

Favours Plant Protein

SYSTEMATIC REVIEW AND META-ANALYSIS

52

Figure 4.3A - Publication bias funnel plot for HbA1c. The solid line represents the pooled

effect estimate expressed as the weighted mean difference for each analysis, the

dashed lines represent pseudo-95% confidence limits, and the circles represent effect

estimates for each included study. P-values displayed in the top right corner of each

funnel plot are derived from quantitative assessment of publication bias by Egger and

Begg tests set at a significance level of P<0.05.

Egger: P=0.028 Begg: P=0.266

SYSTEMATIC REVIEW AND META-ANALYSIS

53

Figure 4.3B - Publication bias funnel plot for fasting glucose. The solid line represents

the pooled effect estimate expressed as the weighted mean difference for each analysis,

the dashed lines represent pseudo-95% confidence limits, and the circles represent

effect estimates for each included study. P-values displayed in the top right corner of

each funnel plot are derived from quantitative assessment of publication bias by Egger

and Begg tests set at a significance level of P<0.05.

0.5

11.5

SE

of M

D in

Fastin

g G

lucose

(m

mo

l/L)

-4 -2 0 2MD in Fasting Glucose (mmol/L)

Egger: P=0.058 Begg: P=0.210

SYSTEMATIC REVIEW AND META-ANALYSIS

54

Figure 4.3C - Publication bias funnel plot for fasting insulin. The solid line represents the

pooled effect estimate expressed as the weighted mean difference for each analysis, the

dashed lines represent pseudo-95% confidence limits, and the circles represent effect

estimates for each included study. P-values displayed in the top right corner of each

funnel plot are derived from quantitative assessment of publication bias by Egger and

Begg tests set at a significance level of P<0.05.

020

40

60

SE

of M

D in

Fastin

g Insu

lin (

pm

ol/L)

-100 -50 0 50 100MD in Fasting Insulin (pmol/L)

Egger: P=0.531 Begg: P=0.806

SYSTEMATIC REVIEW AND META-ANALYSIS

55

4.12 SUPPLEMENTARY TABLES

Supplemental Table 4.1 – Search strategy*

Database Search period Search terms

MEDLINE 1946 to August 2015 1. exp Diet, Vegetarian/ 2. vegetarian*.mp. 3. vegan*.mp. 4. exp Vegetable Proteins/ 5. (vegetable* adj1 protein*).mp. 6. (plant* adj1 protein*).mp. 7. (plant* adj1 food*).mp. 8. (plant* adj1 based).mp. 9. exp Fabaceae/ 10. exp Soybean Proteins/ 11. soy*.mp. 12. tofu*.mp. 13. natto*.mp. 14. tempeh*.mp. 15. miso*.mp. 16. lentil*.mp. 17. bean*.mp. 18. legume*.mp. 19. peanut*.mp. 20. (meat* adj1 analog*).mp. 21. lactoovo*.mp. 22. lacto-ovo*.mp. 23. ovolacto*.mp. 24. ovo-lacto*.mp. 25. lactoveg*.mp. 26. lacto-veg*.mp. 27. ovoveg*.mp. 28. ovo-veg*.mp. 29. 1 or 2 or 3 or 4 or 5 or 6 or 7 or 8 or 9 or 10 or 11 or 12 or 13 or 14 or 15 or 16 or 17 or 18 or 20 or 21 or 22 or 23 or 24 or 25 or 26 or 27 or 28 30. omnivor*.mp. 31. (conventional adj3 diet*).mp. 32. (normal adj3 diet*).mp. 33. (regular adj3 diet*).mp. 34. (mixed adj3 diet*).mp. 35. exp Meat/ 36. exp Eggs/ 37. exp Egg Proteins, Dietary/ 38. exp Dairy Products/ 39. exp Milk/ 40. exp Milk Proteins/ 41. (meat* adj1 protein*).mp. 42. (meat* adj1 product*).mp. 43. (animal* adj1 protein*).mp. 44. (animal* adj1 product*).mp. 45. (fish* adj1 protein*).mp. 46. (fish* adj1 product*).mp. 47. (poultry adj1 protein*).mp. 48. (poultry adj1 product*).mp. 49. (chicken* adj1 protein*).mp. 50. (chicken* adj1 product*).mp. 51. (egg* adj1 protein*).mp. 52. (egg* adj1 product*).mp. 53. (milk adj1 protein*).mp. 54. (milk adj1 product*).mp. 55. (dairy adj1 protein*).mp. 56. (dairy adj1 product*).mp. 57. 30 or 31 or 32 or 33 or 34 or 35 or 36 or 37 or 38 or 39 or 40 or 41 or 42 or 43 or 44 or 45 or 46 or 47 or 48 or 49 or 50 or 51 or 52 or 53 or 54 or 55 or 56 58. OGTT.mp. 59. exp Hemoglobin A, Glycosylated/

SYSTEMATIC REVIEW AND META-ANALYSIS

56

60. hba1c.mp. 61. fructosamine*.mp. 62. insulin*.mp. 63. glycemia.mp. 64. exp Glucose/ 65. exp Hyperglycemia/ 66. hyperinsulin*.mp. 67. dysglycemia.mp. 68. gly* albumin.mp. 69. exp Diabetes Mellitus/ 70. metabolic syndrome.mp. 71. HOMA*.mp. 72. 58 or 59 or 60 or 61 or 62 or 63 or 64 or 65 or 66 or 67 or 68 or 69 or 70 or 71 73. 29 and 57 and 72 74. limit 73 to animals 75. limit 74 to human 76. 74 not 75 77. 73 not 76 78. 77 not (exp infant formula/ or exp milk, human/)

EMBASE 1947 to August 2015 1. exp vegetarian diet/ 2. exp vegetarian/ 3. vegetarian*.mp. 4. vegan*.mp. 5. exp vegetable protein/ 6. (vegetable* adj1 protein*).mp. 7. (plant* adj1 protein*).mp. 8. (plant* adj1 food*).mp. 9. (plant* adj1 based).mp. 10. exp Fabaceae/ 11. soy*.mp. 12. tofu*.mp. 13. natto*.mp. 14. tempeh*.mp. 15. miso*.mp. 16. lentil*.mp. 17. bean*.mp. 18. legume*.mp. 19. peanut*.mp. 20. (meat* adj1 analog*).mp. 21. lactoovo*.mp. 22. lacto-ovo*.mp. 23. ovolacto*.mp. 24. ovo-lacto*.mp. 25. lactoveg*.mp. 26. lacto-veg*.mp. 27. ovoveg*.mp. 28. ovo-veg*.mp. 29. 1 or 2 or 3 or 4 or 5 or 6 or 7 or 8 or 9 or 10 or 11 or 12 or 13 or 14 or 15 or 16 or 17 or 18 or 20 or 21 or 22 or 23 or 24 or 25 or 26 or 27 or 28 30. exp omnivore/ 31. omnivor*.mp. 32. (conventional adj3 diet*).mp. 33. (normal adj3 diet*).mp. 34. (regular adj3 diet*).mp. 35. (mixed adj3 diet*).mp. 36. exp Meat/ 37. exp egg/ 38. exp dairy product/ 39. (meat* adj1 protein*).mp. 40. (meat* adj1 product*).mp. 41. (animal* adj1 protein*).mp. 42. (animal* adj1 product*).mp. 43. (fish* adj1 protein*).mp. 44. (fish* adj1 product*).mp. 45. (poultry adj1 protein*).mp. 46. (poultry adj1 product*).mp. 47. (chicken* adj1 protein*).mp.

SYSTEMATIC REVIEW AND META-ANALYSIS

57

48. (chicken* adj1 product*).mp. 49. (egg* adj1 protein*).mp. 50. (egg* adj1 product*).mp. 51. (milk adj1 protein*).mp. 52. (milk adj1 product*).mp. 53. (dairy adj1 protein*).mp. 54. (dairy adj1 product*).mp. 55. 30 or 31 or 32 or 33 or 34 or 35 or 36 or 37 or 38 or 39 or 40 or 41 or 42 or 43 or 44 or 45 or 46 or 47 or 48 or 49 or 50 or 51 or 52 or 53 or 54 56. exp oral glucose tolerance test/ 57. OGTT.mp. 58. exp hemoglobin A1c/ 59. hba1c.mp. 60. fructosamine*.mp. 61. insulin*.mp. 62. exp glucose blood level/ 63. glycemia.mp. 64. exp glucose/ 65. 'impaired fasting glucose'.mp. 66. hyperglycemia.mp. 67. 'impaired glucose tolerance'.mp. 68. hyperinsulin*.mp. 69. dysglycemia.mp. 70. 'gly* albumin'.mp. 71. exp diabetes mellitus/ 72. exp insulin dependent diabetes mellitus/ 73. exp non insulin dependent diabetes mellitus/ 74. exp pregnancy diabetes mellitus/ 75. exp metabolic syndrome X/ 76. HOMA*.mp. 77. 56 or 57 or 58 or 59 or 60 or 61 or 62 or 63 or 64 or 65 or 66 or 67 or 68 or 69 or 70 or 71 or 72 or 73 or 74 or 75 or 76 78. 29 and 55 and 77 79. limit 78 to (animals and animal studies) 80. 78 not 79 81. 80 not (exp breast milk/ or exp infant formula/)

Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials

through to 26 August 2015 1. exp Diet, Vegetarian/ 2. vegetarian*.mp. 3. vegan*.mp. 4. exp Vegetable Proteins/ 5. (vegetable* adj1 protein*).mp. 6. (plant* adj1 protein*).mp. 7. (plant* adj1 food*).mp. 8. (plant* adj1 based).mp. 9. exp Fabaceae/ 10. exp Soybean Proteins/ 11. soy*.mp. 12. tofu*.mp. 13. natto*.mp. 14. tempeh*.mp. 15. miso*.mp. 16. lentil*.mp. 17. bean*.mp. 18. legume*.mp. 19. peanut*.mp. 20. (meat* adj1 analog*).mp. 21. lactoovo*.mp. 22. lacto-ovo*.mp. 23. ovolacto*.mp. 24. ovo-lacto*.mp. 25. lactoveg*.mp. 26. lacto-veg*.mp. 27. ovoveg*.mp. 28. ovo-veg*.mp. 29. 1 or 2 or 3 or 4 or 5 or 6 or 7 or 8 or 9 or 10 or 11 or 12 or 13 or 14 or 15 or 16 or 17 or 18 or 20 or 21 or 22 or 23 or 24 or 25 or 26 or 27 or 28 30. omnivor*.mp. 31. (conventional adj3 diet*).mp.

SYSTEMATIC REVIEW AND META-ANALYSIS

58

32. (normal adj3 diet*).mp. 33. (regular adj3 diet*).mp. 34. (mixed adj3 diet*).mp. 35. exp Meat/ 36. exp Eggs/ 37. exp Egg Proteins, Dietary/ 38. exp Dairy Products/ 39. exp Milk/ 40. exp Milk Proteins/ 41. (meat* adj1 protein*).mp. 42. (meat* adj1 product*).mp. 43. (animal* adj1 protein*).mp. 44. (animal* adj1 product*).mp. 45. (fish* adj1 protein*).mp. 46. (fish* adj1 product*).mp. 47. (poultry adj1 protein*).mp. 48. (poultry adj1 product*).mp. 49. (chicken* adj1 protein*).mp. 50. (chicken* adj1 product*).mp. 51. (egg* adj1 protein*).mp. 52. (egg* adj1 product*).mp. 53. (milk adj1 protein*).mp. 54. (milk adj1 product*).mp. 55. (dairy adj1 protein*).mp. 56. (dairy adj1 product*).mp. 57. 30 or 31 or 32 or 33 or 34 or 35 or 36 or 37 or 38 or 39 or 40 or 41 or 42 or 43 or 44 or 45 or 46 or 47 or 48 or 49 or 50 or 51 or 52 or 53 or 54 or 55 or 56 58. OGTT.mp. 59. 'oral glucose tolerance test'.mp. 60. exp Hemoglobin A, Glycosylated/ 61. hba1c.mp. 62. fructosamine*.mp. 63. insulin*.mp. 64. glycemia.mp. 65. exp Glucose/ 66. exp Hyperglycemia/ 67. hyperinsulin*.mp. 68. dysglycemia.mp. 69. gly* albumin.mp. 70. exp diabetes mellitus/ 71. metabolic syndrome.mp. 72. HOMA*.mp. 73. 58 or 59 or 60 or 61 or 62 or 63 or 64 or 65 or 66 or 67 or 68 or 69 or 70 or 71 or 72 74. 29 and 57 and 73 75. 74 not (exp infant formula/ or exp milk, human/)

* For all databases the original search was 19 December 2013; updated searches were performed 10 November 2014 and 26 August 2015

59

Supplemental Table 4.2 – Study quality assessment using the Heyland Methodological Quality Score (MQS)*

Study, Year (Reference)

Designa Sample

b Intervention

c

MQS

(n/13) Randomization

(n/2)

Blinding

(n/1)

Analysis

(n/2)

Selection

(n/1)

Compatibility

(n/1)

Follow-up

(n/1)

Protocol

(n/1)

Co-

interventions

(n/2)

Crossovers

(n/2)

Kontessis et al, 1995 (159) 1 0 2 0 1 1 0 2 0 7

Stephenson et al, 2005 (172) 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 1 0 5

Anderson et al, 1998 (192) 1 0 2 0 1 1 1 2 0 8

Hermansen et al, 2001 (174) 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 1 0 5

Wheeler et al, 2002 (30) 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 2 0 6

Azadbakht et al, 2008 (27) 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 0 4

Azadbakht et al, 2009 (186) 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 0 4

Gobert et al, 2010 (173) 2 1 0 1 1 0 1 1 0 7

Cohen et al, 2011 (171) 1 0 2 0 1 1 0 2 0 7

Miraghajani et al, 2013 (175) 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 2 0 6

Abd-Mishani et al, 2014 (193) 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 2 0 4

Hosseinpour-Niazi et al, 2014 (158) 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 2 0 6

MQS=Heyland Methodological Quality Score

*The Heyland MQS assigns a score of 0 or 1 or from 0 to 2 over 9 categories of quality related to study design, sampling procedures, and interventions, for a

total of 13 points. Trials that scored ≥8 were considered to be of higher quality190

. aRandomization was scored 2 points for being randomized with the methods described, 1 point for being randomized without the methods described, or 0

points for being neither randomized nor having the methods described. Blinding was scored 1 point for being double-blind or 0 points for “other.” Analysis was

scored 2 points for being intention-to-treat; all other types of analyses scored 0 points. bSample selection was scored 1 point for being consecutive eligible or 0 points for being preselected or indeterminate. Sample comparability was scored 1

point for being comparable or 0 points for not being comparable at baseline. Follow-up was scored 1 point for being 100% or 0 points for <100%. cTreatment protocol was scored 1 point for being reproducibly described or 0 points for being poorly described. Co-interventions were scored 2 points for

being described and equal, 1 point for being described but unequal or indeterminate, or 0 points for not being described. Treatment crossovers (where

participants were switched from the control treatment to the experimental treatment) were scored 2 points for being <10%, 1 point for being >10%, and 0

points for not being described.

SYSTEMATIC REVIEW AND META-ANALYSIS

SYSTEMATIC REVIEW AND META-ANALYSIS

60

Supplemental Table 4.3 – Continuous a priori & post-hoc subgroup analyses for HbA1c

Subgroup category Range No. of Trialsa N β [95% CI]

b Residual I2

P-value

Baseline 5.9-8.5 % 8 133 -0.04 [-0.27, 0.19] 0.00% 0.695

Percent AP replaced 4-70 %/d 7 120 0.00 [-0.01, 0.01] 0.00% 0.844

Grams AP replaced 2.4-64 g/d 8 133 0.00 [-0.00, 0.01] 0.00% 0.294

Absolute fiber intake 12.6-41 g/d 6 112 0.00 [-0.02, 0.02] 0.00% 0.751

Between arm ∆ in fiber intake -1.4-4.9 g/d 6 112 -0.04 [-0.23, 0.15] 0.00% 0.611

Within arm ∆ in fiber intake -1.8-15 g/d 3 61 -0.00 [-0.52, 0.52] 56.60% 0.995

Absolute SF intake 7.6-9.7 %E 3 58 0.02 [-4.33, 4.37] 56.60% 0.958

Between arm ∆ in SF intake -3.6-0 %E 3 58 0.16 [-1.57, 1.89] 3.07% 0.453

Within arm ∆ in SF intake - - - - - -

Isoflavone intake - - - - - -

Body weight 79-111 kg 7 124 0.00 [-0.02, 0.02] 14.86% 0.970

Sex 0-77.8 %W 8 133 -0.00 [-0.01, 0.01] 0.00% 0.632

AP=animal protein; E=energy; N=number of subjects; No.=number; SF=saturated fat;

W=women aTotal number of trials=8

bβ is the slope derived from subgroup analyses on meta-regression analyses and represents

the treatment effect of replacing animal protein with plant protein for each subgroup. The

residual I2 value indicates heterogeneity unexplained by the subgroup. Absolute intakes

represent intakes within the treatment arm. Between arm differences represent the

difference between the treatment (T) and control (C) arm (T-C). Within arm differences

represent the difference between end (E) and baseline (B) values within the treatment arm

(E-B). * Statistically significant between subgroups (P<0.05).

SYSTEMATIC REVIEW AND META-ANALYSIS

61

Supplemental Table 4.4 – Continuous a priori & post-hoc subgroup analyses for fasting glucose

Subgroup category Range No. of Trialsa N β [95% CI]

b Residual I2

P-value

Baseline 6.7-10.4 mmol/L 9 209 -0.35 [-0.80, -0.10] 24.18% 0.109

Percent AP replaced 4-70 %/d 9 205 -0.01 [-0.03, 0.01] 56.00% 0.187

Grams AP replaced 6-50 g/d 10 218 -0.01 [-0.03, 0.02] 68.19% 0.502

Absolute fiber intake 12.6-41 g/d 8 181 0.03 [-0.04, 0.10] 68.38% 0.361

Between arm ∆ in fiber intake -7-6 g/d 8 181 0.04 [-0.14, 0.22] 80.26% 0.576

Within arm ∆ in fiber intake -1.8-15 g/d 5 116 0.04 [-0.29, 0.37] 71.20% 0.729

Absolute SF intake 2.6-9.7 %E 5 127 -0.02 [-0.80, 0.77] 65.75% 0.953

Between arm ∆ in SF intake -3.6- -0.6 %E 5 127 1.00 [-0.32, 2.33] 28.52% 0.095

Within arm ∆ in SF intake -3.3- -0.2 %E 4 96 0.97 [-1.96, 3.89] 69.72% 0.291

Isoflavone intake 56-165 mg/d 4 104 0.00 [-0.47, 0.05] 68.87% 0.868

Body weight 70.6-102.3 kg 8 178 0.01 [-0.07, 0.09] 47.63% 0.756

Sex 28.6-77.8 %W 10 218 -0.01 [-0.04, 0.01] 69.77% 0.244

AP=animal protein; E=energy; N=number of subjects; No.=number; SF=saturated fat; W=women aTotal number of trials=10

bβ is the slope derived from subgroup analyses on meta-regression analyses and represents the

treatment effect of replacing animal protein with plant protein for each subgroup. The residual I2

value indicates heterogeneity unexplained by the subgroup. Absolute intakes represent intakes

within the treatment arm. Between arm differences represent the difference between the

treatment (T) and control(C) arm (T-C). Within arm differences represent the difference between

end (E) and baseline (B) values within the treatment arm (E-B). * Statistically significant between

subgroups (P<0.05).

SYSTEMATIC REVIEW AND META-ANALYSIS

62

Supplemental Table 4.5 – Continuous a priori & post-hoc subgroup analyses for fasting insulin

Subgroup category Range No. of Trialsa N β [95% CI]

b Residual I2

P-value

Baseline 56.3-134.2 pmol/L 5 118 0.18 [-0.65, 1.02] 6.36% 0.536

Percent AP replaced 4-34 %/d 4 105 0.22 [-2.34, 2.78] 36.54% 0.744

Grams AP replaced 2.5-50 g/d 5 118 0.31 [-0.45, 1.08] 0.00% 0.284

Absolute fiber intake 19.2-41 g/d 4 105 0.62 [-2.68, 3.91] 31.50% 0.506

Between arm ∆ in fiber intake -1.2-4.5 g/d 4 105 -1.37 [-12.13, 9.39] 28.58% 0.638

Within arm ∆ in fiber intake - - - - - -

Absolute SF intake - - - - - -

Between arm ∆ in SF intake - - - - - -

Within arm ∆ in SF intake - - - - - -

Isoflavone intake - - - - - -

Body weight 76.3-96.1 kg 4 87 0.44 [-7.30, 8.18] 0.00% 0.830

Sex 30-77.4 %W 5 118 -0.30 [-0.92, 0.33] 0.00% 0.226

AP=animal protein; E=energy; N=number of subjects; No. =number; SF=saturated fat; W=women aTotal number of trials=5

bβ is the slope derived from subgroup analyses on meta-regression analyses and represents the

treatment effect of replacing animal protein with plant protein for each subgroup. The residual I2

value indicates heterogeneity unexplained by the subgroup. Absolute intakes represent intakes

within the treatment arm. Between arm differences represent the difference between the

treatment (T) and control(C) arm (T-C). Within arm differences represent the difference between

end (E) and baseline (B) values within the treatment arm (E-B). * Statistically significant between

subgroups (P<0.05).

SYSTEMATIC REVIEW AND META-ANALYSIS

63

Supplemental Table 4.6A-D – Post-hoc piecewise linear meta-regression analyses for the continuous

subgroup looking at percent animal protein replaced with plant protein from total protein on fasting

glucose A – Dose-threshold=20%

Residual I2=61.29%

P=0.466

Dose ranges β [95% CI] P-value

<20% 0.00 [-0.13, 0.13] 0.999

≥20% -0.01 [-0.04, 0.02] 0.279

B – Dose-threshold=30%

Residual I2=49.03%

P=0.339

Dose ranges β [95% CI] P-value

<30% 0.00 [-0.06, 0.08] 0.831

≥30% -0.02 [-0.05, 0.01] 0.196

C – Dose-threshold=35%

Residual I2=47.76%

P=0.330

Dose ranges β [95% CI] P-value

<35% 0.00 [-0.05, 0.06] 0.930

≥35% -0.02 [-0.06, 0.01] 0.200

D – Dose-threshold=40%

Residual I2=49.08%

P=0.369

Dose ranges β [95% CI] P-value

<40% -0.00 [-0.05, 0.05] 0.983

≥40% -0.02 [-0.07, 0.02] 0.290

β is the slope derived from the piecewise linear

meta-regression analyses and represents the

treatment effect on fasting glucose for doses

above and below each dose-threshold

representing percent animal protein replaced with

plant protein from total protein. The residual I2

value indicates heterogeneity unexplained by each

dose-threshold.

SYSTEMATIC REVIEW AND META-ANALYSIS

64

4.13 SUPPLEMENTARY FIGURES

Supplemental Figure 4.1 – Cochrane Risk of Bias Graph. Risk of bias graph consists

of the review authors’ judgments about each risk of bias item presented as

percentages across all included studies. Random Sequence Generation assessed

whether the method of randomization was described. Allocation concealment

assessed whether investigators could tell which treatment participants were going

to be randomized to. Blinding of participants and personnel assessed whether the

study was blinded to investigators, study personnel/outcome assessors, and/or

participants. Incomplete outcome data assessed whether missing outcome data

effected the true outcome. Selected outcome reporting assessed whether all of

the studies pre-specified outcomes (primary and secondary) of interest have been

reported in a pre-specified way.

Random sequence generation (selection bias)

Allocation concealment (selection bias)

Blinding of participants and personnel (performance bias)

Blinding of outcome assessment (detection bias)

Incomplete outcome data (attrition bias)

Selective reporting (reporting bias)

Other bias

0% 25% 50% 75% 100%

Low risk of bias Unclear risk of bias High risk of bias

Selective reporting (reporting bias)

Random sequence generation (selection bias)

Allocation concealment (selection bias)

Blinding of participants and personnel (performance bias)

Blinding of outcome assessment (detection bias)

Incomplete outcome data (attrition bias)

Selective reporting (reporting bias)

Other bias

0% 25% 50% 75% 100%

Low risk of bias Unclear risk of bias High risk of bias

Random sequence generation (selection bias)

Allocation concealment (selection bias)

Blinding of participants and personnel (performance bias)

Blinding of outcome assessment (detection bias)

Incomplete outcome data (attrition bias)

Selective reporting (reporting bias)

Other bias

0% 25% 50% 75% 100%

Low risk of bias Unclear risk of bias High risk of bias

Random sequence generation (selection bias)

Blinding of participants, personnel and outcome assessors (performance and detection bias)

Incomplete outcome data (attrition bias)

Random sequence generation (selection bias)

Allocation concealment (selection bias)

Blinding of participants and personnel (performance bias)

Blinding of outcome assessment (detection bias)

Incomplete outcome data (attrition bias)

Selective reporting (reporting bias)

Other bias

0% 25% 50% 75% 100%

Low risk of bias Unclear risk of bias High risk of bias

Allocation concealment (selection bias)

Low risk of bias Unclear risk of bias High risk of bias

Random sequence generation (selection bias)

Allocation concealment (selection bias)

Blinding of participants and personnel (performance bias)

Blinding of outcome assessment (detection bias)

Incomplete outcome data (attrition bias)

Selective reporting (reporting bias)

Other bias

0% 25% 50% 75% 100%

Low risk of bias Unclear risk of bias High risk of bias

SYSTEMATIC REVIEW AND META-ANALYSIS

65

Supplemental Figure 4.2A – Categorical a priori subgroup analyses for HbA1c. Point estimates for each

subgroup level (diamonds) are the pooled effect estimates. The dashed line represents the pooled

estimate for the overall (total) analysis. The residual I2 value indicates heterogeneity unexplained by

the subgroup. Pairwise between-subgroup mean differences (95%CIs) for plant protein type were as

follows: 0.12 [-0.43, 0.68] (1 vs. 2); 0.19 [-0.47, 0.84] (1 vs. 3); -0.06 [-0.69, 0.56] (3 vs. 2). Absolute

intakes represent intakes within the treatment arm. Between arm differences represent the difference

between the treatment (T) and control (C) arm (T–C). Within arm differences represent the difference

between end (E) and baseline (B) values within the treatment arm (E–B). AP=animal protein; N=number

of participants; MQS=Heyland Methodological Quality Score; SF=saturated fat. *Statistically significant

between subgroups (P<0.05)

-5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5

Subgroup Level Trials N Mean Difference [95% CI] in Hemoglobin A1c, %Residual

I2P-value

Within subgroups Between subgroups

Total 8 133 -0.16 [-0.27, -0.05]

Baseline <7 %

≥7 %

3

5

58

75

-0.11 [-0.44, 0.22]

-0.23 [-0.46, 0.01] -0.12 [-0.52, 0.29] 0.00% 0.500

Plant protein type Mixed

Soy

Tree nuts

Pulses

2

5

1

-

26

94

13

-

-0.11 [-0.53, 0.30]

-0.24 [-0.61, 0.13]

-0.30 [-0.81, 0.21]

-

See legend 0.00% 0.755

Animal protein type Mixed

Dairy

Red meat

4

4

-

36

87

-

-0.19 [-0.50, 0.12]

-0.20 [-0.46, 0.07]

-

-0.01 [-0.42, 0.40] 0.00% 0.966

Percent AP replaced <35 %/d

≥35 %/d

3

4

74

46

-0.14 [-0.52, 0.24]

-0.20 [-0.56, 0.15] -0.07 [-0.59, 0.45] 0.00% 0.757

Grams AP replaced <30 g/d

≥30 g/d

2

6

38

95

-0.31 [-0.61, 0.00]

-0.12 [-0.28, 0.04] 0.19 [-0.16, 0.53] 0.00% 0.235

Absolute fiber intake <30 g/d

≥30 g/d

4

2

75

37

-0.13 [-0.42, 0.17]

-0.11 [-0.34, 0.11] 0.01 [-0.36, 0.39] 0.00% 0.924

Between arm ∆ in fiber intake <0.00 g/d

≥0.00 g/d

2

4

41

71

-0.10 [-0.42, 0.22]

-0.13 [-0.34, 0.09] -0.03 [-0.41, 0.36] 0.00% 0.855

Within arm ∆ in fiber intake <3.00 g/d

≥3.00 g/d

2

1

41

20

-0.32 [-5.24, 4.60]

-0.30 [-7.45, 6.85] 0.02 [-8.67, 8.70] 57.50% 0.983

Absolute SF intake <7 %

≥7 %

0

3

0

58

-

-0.10 [-0.26, 0.05] - - -

Between arm ∆ in SF intake <-1.24 %

≥-1.24 %

1

2

12

46

-0.90 [-7.70, 5.90]

-0.09 [-0.95, 0.78] 0.81 [-6.04, 7.67] 0.00% 0.373

Within arm ∆ in SF intake <-0.64 %

≥-0.64 %

1

1

12

29

-0.90 [-1.95, 0.15]

-0.06 [-0.29, 0.17] - - -

Design Crossover

Parallel

7

1

120

13

-0.13 [-0.28, 0.03]

-0.30 [-0.63, 0.03] -0.17 [-0.54, 0.19] 0.00% 0.285

Follow up <12 wk

≥12 wk

7

1

120

13

-0.13 [-0.28, 0.03]

-0.30 [-0.63, 0.03] -0.17 [-0.54, 0.19] 0.00% 0.285

MQS <8

≥8

7

1

125

8

-0.15 [-0.29, -0.01]

-0.70 [-1,92, 0.52] -0.55 [-1.78, 0.68] 0.00% 0.318

Food form Powder

Whole

2

6

49

84

-0.10 [-0.44, 0.24]

-0.23 [-0.46, 0.00] -0.13 [-0.54, 0.28] 0.00% 0.467

Favours Plant

Protein

Favours Animal

Protein

>

><

<

<

SYSTEMATIC REVIEW AND META-ANALYSIS

66

Supplemental Figure 4.2B – Categorical risk of bias subgroup analyses for HbA1c. Point estimates for

each subgroup level (diamonds) are the pooled effect estimates. The dashed line represents the pooled

estimate for the overall (total) analysis. The residual I2 value indicates heterogeneity unexplained by

the subgroup. Pairwise between-subgroup mean differences (95%CIs) for sequence generation were as

follows: 0.23 [-0.12, 0.58] (2 vs. 1); -0.58 [-1.99, 0.83] (3 vs. 1); 0.81 [-0.58, 2.19] (2 vs. 3). Pairwise

between-subgroup mean differences (95%CIs) for blinding of participants, personnel, and outcome

assessors were as follows: 0.12 [-0.32, 0.57] (2 vs. 1); -0.14 [-1.20, 0.92] (3 vs. 1); 0.27 [-0.83, -1.36] (2

vs. 3). N=number of participants; ROB=risk of bias. *Statistically significant between subgroups (P<0.05)

-3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3

Subgroup Level Trials N Mean Difference [95% CI] in Hemoglobin A1c, %Residual

I2P-value

Within subgroups Between subgroups

Total 8 133 -0.16 [-0.27, -0.05]

Sequence generation Unclear ROB

Low ROB

High ROB

4

3

1

50

71

12

-0.32 [-0.63, -0.02]

-0.09 [-0.27, 0.08]

-0.90 [-2.28, 0.48]See legend 0.00% 0.188

Allocation concealment Unclear ROB

Low ROB

High ROB

7

0

1

121

0

12

-0.15 [-0.29, -0.01]

-

-0.90 [-2.21, 0.41]

-0.75 [-2.07, 0.57] 0.00% 0.213

Blinding of participants, personnel,

and outcome assessors

Unclear ROB

Low ROB

High ROB

5

2

1

59

49

25

-0.22 [-0.48, 0.03]

-0.10 [-0.46, 0.27]

-0.36 [-1.39, 0.66]See legend 2.01% 0.716

Incomplete outcome data Unclear ROB

Low ROB

High ROB

0

6

2

0

104

29

-

-0.22 [-0.46, 0.03]

-0.14 [-0.44, 0.16]0.07 [-0.32. 0.46] 0.00% 0.655

Selective outcome reporting Unclear ROB

Low ROB

High ROB

6

2

0

79

54

0

-0.22 [-0.45, 0.00]

-0.10 [-0.44, 0.25]

-0.13 [-0.28, 0.54] 0.00% 0.480

Favours Plant

Protein

Favours Animal

Protein

SYSTEMATIC REVIEW AND META-ANALYSIS

67

Supplemental Figure 4.3A – Categorical a priori subgroup analyses for fasting glucose. Point estimates

for each subgroup level (diamonds) are the pooled effect estimates. The dashed line represents the

pooled estimate for the overall (total) analysis. The residual I2 value indicates heterogeneity

unexplained by the subgroup. Pairwise between-subgroup mean differences (95%CIs) for plant protein

type were as follows: -0.69 [-1.88, 0.50] (1 vs. 2); -0.50 [-2.39, 1.39] (1 vs. 3); -0.56 [-1.76, 0.64] (1 vs.

4); -0.19 [-2.02, 1.63] (3 vs. 2); -0.13 [-1.23, 0.96] (4 vs. 2); 0.06 [-1.77, 1.89] (4 vs. 3). Pairwise

between-subgroup mean differences (95%CIs) for animal protein type were as follows: 0.94 [0.46,

1.41] (2 vs. 1); 0.53 [0.18, 0.87] (3 vs. 1); 0.41 [-0.15, 0.97] (2 vs. 3). Absolute intakes represent intakes

within the treatment arm. Between arm differences represent the difference between the treatment

(T) and control (C) arm (T–C). Within arm differences represent the difference between end (E) and

baseline (B) values within the treatment arm (E–B). AP=animal protein; N=number of participants;

MQS=Heyland Methodological Quality Score; SF=saturated fat. *Statistically significant between

subgroups (P<0.05)

-5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5

Subgroup Level Trials N Mean Difference [95% CI] in Fasting Glucose, mmol/LResidual

I2P-value

Within subgroups Between subgroups

Total 10 218 -0.53 [-0.92, -0.13]

Baseline <8 mmol/L

≥8 mmol/L

7

2

172

37

-0.36 [-0.82, 0.11]

-0.58 [-2.11, 0.94] -0.22 [-1.82, 1.37] 48.53% 0.749

Plant protein type Mixed

Soy

Tree nuts

Pulses

1

6

1

2

9

141

13

55

-1.00 [-1.91, -0.09]

-0.31 [-1.08, 0.46]

-0.50 [-2.16, 1.16]

-0.44 [-1.22, 0.34]

See legend 48.00% 0.575

Animal protein type Mixed

Dairy

Red meat

4

4

2

76

87

55

-1.00 [-1.12, -0.88]

-0.06 [-0.52, 0.40]

-0.47 [-0.80, -0.15]

See legend 98.26% 0.003*

Percent AP replaced <35 %/d

≥35 %/d

5

4

129

76

-0.28 [-0.67, 0.12]

-1.02 [-1.50, -0.54] -0.74 [-1.36, -0.12] 35.82% 0.025*

Grams AP replaced <30 g/d

≥30 g/d

6

4

148

70

-0.48 [-1.09, 0.13]

-0.59 [-1.31, 0.12] -0.11 [-1.05, 0.83] 74.10% 0.789

Absolute fiber intake <30 g/d

≥30 g/d

6

2

130

51

-0.61 [-1.44, 0.23]

-0.48 [-1.74, 0.79]0.13 [-1.39, 1.64] 80.67% 0.842

Between arm ∆ in fiber intake <0.00 g/d

≥0.00 g/d

3

5

82

99

-0.69 [-1.95, 0.57]

-0.51 [-1.37, 0.34] 0.18 [-1.35, 1.70] 78.79% 0.788

Within arm ∆ in fiber intake <3.00 g/d

≥3.00 g/d

2

3

41

75

-0.87 [-4.35, 2.62]

-0.55 [-3.27, 2.17]0.32 [-4.10, 4.73] 64.44% 0.835

Absolute SF intake <7 %

≥7 %

2

3

55

72

-0.68 [-3.94, 2.59]

-0.60 [-3.01, 1.82]0.08 [-3.98, 4.14] 75.55% 0.953

Between arm ∆ in SF intake <-1.24 %

≥-1.24 %

3

2

57

70

-0.72 [-3.50. 2.06]

-0.57 [-3.42, 2.29]0.16 [-3.83, 4.14] 71.83% 0.909

Within arm ∆ in SF intake <-0.64 %

≥-0.64 %

2

2

26

70

-1.18 [-7.84, 5.47]

-0.62 [-6.05, 4.81]0.56 [-8.02, 9.15] 81.18% 0.804

Design Crossover

Parallel

8

2

164

54

-0.46 [-0.94, 0.02]

-0.90 [-2.04, 0.24]-0.44 [-1.67, 0.80] 84.15% 0.437

Follow up <12 wk

≥12 wk

8

2

164

54

-0.46 [-0.94, 0.02]

-0.90 [-2.04, 0.24]-0.44 [-1.67, 0.80] 84.15% 0.437

MQS <8

≥8

10

0

218

0

-0.53 [-0.92, -0.13]- - -

Food form Powder

Whole

2

8

49

169

0.01 [-0.80, 0.81]

-0.68 [-1.08, -0.28]-0.69 [-1.58, 0.21] 70.55% 0.116

Favours Plant

Protein

Favours Animal

Protein

><<

SYSTEMATIC REVIEW AND META-ANALYSIS

68

Supplemental Figure 4.3B – Categorical risk of bias subgroup analyses for fasting glucose. Point

estimates for each subgroup level (diamonds) are the pooled effect estimates. The dashed line

represents the pooled estimate for the overall (total) analysis. The residual I2 value indicates

heterogeneity unexplained by the subgroup. Pairwise between-subgroup mean differences (95%CIs)

for sequence generation were as follows: 0.48 [-0.26, 1.23] (2 vs. 1); -2.84 [-6.70, 1.01] (3 vs. 1); 3.32

[-0.54, 7.19] (2 vs. 3). Pairwise between-subgroup mean differences (95%CIs) for blinding of

participants, personnel, and outcome assessors were as follows: 0.28 [-0.72, 1.27] (2 vs. 1); 0.51 [-

1.39, 2.41] (3 vs. 1); -0.23 [-2.13, 1.68] (2 vs. 3). Pairwise between-subgroup mean differences

(95%CIs) for incomplete outcome data were as follows: 0.11 [-1.43, 1.65] (1 vs. 2); 0.45 [-1.23, 2.13] (1

vs. 3); -0.34 [-1.50, 0.82] (3 vs. 2). Pairwise between-subgroup mean differences (95%CIs) for selective

outcome reporting data were as follows: 0.74 [0.06, 1.43] (1 vs. 2); 0.62 [-0.40, 1.64] (1 vs. 3); 0.12 [-

0.90, 1.14] (2 vs. 3). N=number of participants; ROB=risk of bias. *Statistically significant between

subgroups (P<0.05)

-8 -6 -4 -2 0 2 4 6 8

Favours Plant

Protein

Favours Animal

Protein

Subgroup Level Trials N Mean Difference [95% CI] in Fasting Glucose, mmol/LResidual

I2P-value

Within subgroups Between subgroups

Total 10 218 -0.53 [-0.92, -0.13]

Sequence generation Unclear ROB

Low ROB

High ROB

6

3

1

121

85

12

-0.71 [-1.19, -0.23]

-0.23 [-0.79, 0.34]

-3.55 [-7.38, 0.27]See legend 56.00% 0.118

Allocation concealment Unclear ROB

Low ROB

High ROB

9

0

1

206

0

12

-0.49 [-0.90, -0.09]

-

-3.55 [-7.31, 0.21]

-3.06 [-6.84, 0.72] 83.34% 0.099

Blinding of participants, personnel,

and outcome assessors

Unclear ROB

Low ROB

High ROB

5

4

1

72

121

25

-0.69 [-1.39, 0.01]

-0.41 [-1.12, 0.30]

-0.18 [-1.95, 1.58]See legend 65.46% 0.729

Incomplete outcome data Unclear ROB

Low ROB

High ROB

1

5

4

24

96

98

-0.33 [-1.72, 1.05]

-0.44 [-1.12, 0.23]

-0.78 [-1.73, 0.16]See legend 79.78% 0.747

Selective outcome reporting Unclear ROB

Low ROB

High ROB

5

4

1

95

99

24

-0.96 [-1.44, -0.47]

-0.21 [-0.69, 0.27]

-0.33 [-1.23, 0.57]See legend 38.26% 0.087

SYSTEMATIC REVIEW AND META-ANALYSIS

69

Supplemental Figure 4.4A – Categorical a priori subgroup analyses for fasting insulin. Point estimates for

each subgroup level (diamonds) are the pooled effect estimates. The dashed line represents the pooled

estimate for the overall (total) analysis. The residual I2 value indicates heterogeneity unexplained by the

subgroup. Pairwise between-subgroup mean differences (95%CIs) for plant protein type were as follows:

-26.15 [-268.74, 216.45] (3 vs. 2); -10.87 [-56.82, 35.08] (4 vs. 2); 15.28 [-227.65, 258.21] (4 vs. 3).

Absolute intakes represent intakes within the treatment arm. Between arm differences represent the

difference between the treatment (T) and control (C) arm (T–C). Within arm differences represent the

difference between end (E) and baseline (B) values within the treatment arm (E–B). AP=animal protein;

N=number of participants; MQS=Heyland Methodological Quality Score; SF=saturated fat. *Statistically

significant between subgroups (P<0.05)

-70 -50 -30 -10 10 30 50 70

Subgroup Level Trials N Mean Difference [95% CI] in Fasting Insulin, pmol/L Residual I2 P-value

Within subgroups Between subgroups

Total 5 118 -10.09 [-17.31, -2.86]

Baseline <70.2 pmol/L

≥70.2 pmol/L

2

3

51

67

-6.42 [-32.47, 19.64]

-9.12 [-43.07, 24.83]-2.70 [-45.49, 40.10] 24.58% 0.854

Plant protein type Mixed

Soy

Tree nuts

Pulses

0

3

1

1

0

74

13

31

-

-3.02 [-34.26, 28.21]

-29.17 [-269.75, 211.41]

-13.89 [-47.59, 19.81]

See legend 1.76% 0.630

Animal protein type Mixed

Dairy

Red meat

0

4

1

0

87

31

-

-3.49 [-25.99, 19.01]

-13.89 [-37.86, 10.08]

-10.40 [-43.28, 22.48] 0.00% 0.388

Percent AP replaced <35 %/d

≥35 %/d

4

-

105

-

-8.68 [-17.90, 0.53]

-- - -

Grams AP replaced <30 g/d

≥30 g/d

3

2

69

49

-12.26 [-35.29, 10.78]

-3.75 [-28.22, 20.72] 8.50 [-25.10, 42.11] 0.00% 0.480

Absolute fiber intake <30 g/d

≥30 g/d

2

2

54

51

-8.29 [-55.99, 39.42]

-6.29 [-42.57, 29.99]1.99 [-57.94, 61.92] 48.15% 0.899

Between arm ∆ in fiber intake <0.00 g/d

≥0.00 g/d

1

3

29

76

-11.72 [-67.13, 43.69]

-5.15 [-39.56, 29.27] 6.57 [-58.65, 71.80] 47.45% 0.707

Within arm ∆ in fiber intake <3.00 g/d

≥3.00 g/d

1

1

29

20

-11.72 [-28.00, 4.56]

6.00 [-12.91, 24.91] - - -

Absolute SF intake <7 %

≥7 %

0

2

0

60

-

-13.37 [-21.36, -5.37]- - -

Between arm ∆ in SF intake <-1.24 %

≥-1.24 %

1

1

31

29

-13.89 [-23.07, -4.71]

-11.72 [-28.00, 4.56] - - -

Within arm ∆ in SF intake <-0.64 %

≥-0.64 %

0

1

0

29

-

-11.72 [-28.00, 4.56] - - -

Design Crossover

Parallel

4

1

105

13

-8.26 [-24.50, 7.98]

-29.17 [-206.92, 148.58]-20.91 [-199.40, 157.57] 22.27% 0.734

Follow up <12 wk

≥12 wk

4

1

105

13

-8.26 [-24.50, 7.98]

-29.17 [-206.92, 148.58]-20.91 [-199.40, 157.57] 22.27% 0.734

MQS <8

≥8

5

0

118

0

-10.09 [-17.31, -2.86]

-- - -

Food form Powder

Whole

2

3

49

69

-3.75 [-28.22, 20.72]

-12.26 [-35.29, 10.78]-8.50 [-42.11, 25.10] 0.00% 0.480

Favours Plant

Protein

Favours Animal

Protein

< >

< >

< >

SYSTEMATIC REVIEW AND META-ANALYSIS

70

Supplemental Figure 4.4B – Categorical risk of bias subgroup analyses for fasting insulin. Point

estimates for each subgroup level (diamonds) are the pooled effect estimates. The dashed line

represents the pooled estimate for the overall (total) analysis. The residual I2 value indicates

heterogeneity unexplained by the subgroup. Pairwise between-subgroup mean differences (95%CIs) for

blinding of participants, personnel, and outcome assessors were as follows: -20.35 [-274.86, 234.16] (1

vs. 2); -31.67 [-302.72, 239.38] (1 vs. 3); 11.32 [-88.11, 110.75] (3 vs. 2). N=number of participants;

ROB=risk of bias. *Statistically significant between subgroups (P<0.05)

-100-80 -60 -40 -20 0 20 40 60 80 100

Favours Plant

Protein

Favours Animal

Protein

Subgroup Level Trials N Mean Difference [95% CI] in Fasting Insulin, pmol/LResidual

I2P-value

Within subgroups Between subgroups

Total 5 118 -10.09 [-17.31, -2.86]

Sequence generation Unclear ROB

Low ROB

High ROB

2

3

0

33

85

0

4.97 [-25.27, 35.22]

-12.76 [-25.49, -0.02]

-17.73 [-15.09, 50.54] 0.00% 0.184

Allocation concealment Unclear ROB

Low ROB

High ROB

5

0

0

118

0

0

-10.09 [-17.31, -2.86]

-

-

- - -

Blinding of participants, personnel,

and outcome assessors

Unclear ROB

Low ROB

High ROB

1

3

1

13

80

25

-29.17 [-282.50, 224.16]

-8.82 [-33.26, 15.61]

2.5 [-93.88, 98.88]See legend 42.38% 0.845

Incomplete outcome data Unclear ROB

Low ROB

High ROB

0

4

1

0

87

31

-

-3.49 [-25.99, 19.01]

-13.89 [-37.86, 10.08]-10.40 [-43.28, 22.48] 0.00% 0.388

Selective outcome reporting Unclear ROB

Low ROB

High ROB

2

3

0

33

85

0

4.97 [-25.27, 35.22]

-12.76 [-25.49, -0.02]

-17.73 [-15.09, 50.54] 0.00% 0.184

SYSTEMATIC REVIEW AND META-ANALYSIS

71

Supplemental Figure 5.5A – Funnel plot for trim-and-fill

analysis of HbA1c. The horizontal line represents the pooled

effect estimate expressed as a mean difference, the diagonal

lines represent the pseudo-95% CIs of the mean difference and

the clear circles represent effect estimates for each included.

SE of MD in HbA1c (%)

MD

in H

bA

1c

(%)

Imputed MD accounting for publication bias: N/AP-value: N/A

SYSTEMATIC REVIEW AND META-ANALYSIS

72

Supplemental Figure 5.5B – Funnel plot for trim-and-fill

analysis of fasting glucose. The horizontal line represents the

pooled effect estimate expressed as a mean difference, the

diagonal lines represent the pseudo-95% CIs of the mean

difference and the clear circles represent effect estimates for

each included study while back squares represent "imputed"

studies.

MD

in F

asti

ng

Glu

cose

(m

mo

l/L)

SE of MD in Fasting Glucose (mmol/L)

Imputed MD accounting for publication bias: -0.56 [95% CI: -0.94, -0.18]P-value: 0.004

SYSTEMATIC REVIEW AND META-ANALYSIS

73

Supplemental Figure 5.5C – Funnel plot for trim-and-fill

analysis of fasting insulin. The horizontal line represents the

pooled effect estimate expressed as a mean difference, the

diagonal lines represent the pseudo-95% CIs of the mean

difference and the clear circles represent effect estimates for

each included.

MD

in F

asti

ng

Insu

lin (

pm

ol/

L)

SE of MD in Fasting Insulin (pmol/L)

Imputed MD accounting for publication bias: N/A P-value: N/A

CROSS-SECTIONAL STUDY

74

CHAPTER V –ASSOCIATION BETWEEN SUBSTITUTING ANIMAL PROTEIN WITH PLANT PROTEIN AND HEMOGLOBIN A1C IN TYPE 2 DIABETES: A CROSS-SECTIONAL STUDY

CROSS-SECTIONAL STUDY

75

ASSOCIATION BETWEEN SUBSTITUTING ANIMAL PROTEIN WITH PLANT PROTEIN AND HEMOGLOBIN

A1C IN TYPE 2 DIABETES: A CROSS-SECTIONAL STUDY

Effie Viguiliouk1, 2, Christopher Ireland1, Viranda H. Jayalath1,3,10, Russell J. de Souza1, 2, 4, Anthony J.

Hanley2,5,6,7, Richard P. Bazinet2, John L. Sievenpiper1, 2, 8, 9 and David J.A. Jenkins1, 2, 6, 8, 9

1Toronto 3D Knowledge Synthesis and Clinical Trials Unit, Clinical Nutrition and Risk Factor Modification

Center, St. Michael’s Hospital, Toronto, Ontario, Canada

2Department of Nutritional Sciences, Faculty of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario,

Canada

3Department of Surgical Oncology, Princess Margaret Cancer Center, University Health Network,

Toronto, Ontario, Canada

4Department of Clinical Epidemiology & Biostatistics, Faculty of Health Sciences, McMaster University,

Hamilton, Ontario, Canada

5Leadership Sinai Centre for Diabetes, Mount Sinai Hospital, Toronto, Canada

6Department of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada

7Dalla Lana School of Public Health, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada

8Division of Endocrinology and Metabolism, St. Michael’s Hospital, Toronto, Ontario, Canada

9Li Ka Shing Knowledge Institute, St. Michael’s Hospital, Toronto, Ontario, Canada

10Undergraduate Medical Education, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada

Corresponding author:

Dr. David J.A. Jenkins, MD, PhD, DSc

University Professor

Canada Research Chair in Nutrition and Metabolism

University of Toronto

150 College St., Toronto, Ontario, M5S 3M2, CANADA

T: 416 867 7475

F: 416 867 7495

E: [email protected]

CROSS-SECTIONAL STUDY

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5.1 ABSTRACT

Aims: It remains unclear whether replacing animal with plant protein would confer glycemic control

benefits in individuals with T2D. Current evidence from observational studies is lacking and findings

from RCTs are inconsistent. Therefore, we conducted a cross-sectional study to assess the effect of

substituting animal with plant protein on HbA1c, in individuals with T2D.

Methods: We analyzed baseline data from 5 RCTs conducted in a group of middle-aged men and women

with T2D (n=627) in Toronto, Canada. A multivariate nutrient density model was used to model the

effect of substituting total plant protein for animal protein on HbA1c. A spearman correlation was used to

validate protein intake by correlating total protein intake with urinary urea measurements.

Results: Substituting total plant protein for animal protein was not associated with a difference in HbA1c

concentrations. Total protein intake correlated with urinary urea measurements (rs=0.397; P<0.0001).

Conclusions: This cross-sectional study showed that replacement of animal protein with total plant

protein was not associated with HbA1c. Prospective cohort studies and large, high quality RCTs are

warranted in order to address the limitations in our study and to further clarify the relationship between

substituting animal protein with major sources of plant protein and glycemic control in individuals with

diabetes.

Keywords: diabetes; HbA1c; plant protein; animal protein

CROSS-SECTIONAL STUDY

77

5.2 INTRODUCTION

Type 2 diabetes is largely preventable through diet and lifestyle modification, which has been

shown to be significantly more effective than the use of pharmacological agents4. For individuals living

with diabetes, achieving optimal glycemic control is an integral component in management of the

disease. Nutrition therapy is one such method that can help with the management of diabetes, where it

has been shown to lead to a 1-2% reduction in HbA1c49 and reduce the use of diabetes medications50, 51.

Diets high in major plant protein sources (i.e. soy, soy-derived foods, pulses and nuts) and

deficient in animal protein, such as a vegetarian or vegan diets, have been shown to be protective

against the development of T2D6-8 and beneficial for glycemic control in individuals with T2D9.

Prospective cohort studies and RCTs looking at higher intakes of specific plant protein sources alone

have also shown similar benefits10-14. Diets high in animal protein, especially in sources of red meat, are

associated with an increased diabetes risk15-17 and have even been suggested to be considered as a risk

factor for T2D22. Given these data on plant and animal protein, it still remains unclear whether replacing

animal protein with plant protein would confer glycemic control benefits in individuals with diabetes.

Current evidence from observational studies is lacking and findings from RCTs are inconsistent27-30.

Therefore, in order to assess the relationship between replacing animal protein with plant

protein and HbA1c, the current clinical standard for assessing glycemic control45, we have undertaken a

cross-sectional study using baseline data from 5 RCTs conducted in individuals with T2D. More

specifically, this study will allow us to assess this relationship while adjusting for other nutrients that

exist in whole food sources of plant and animal protein (i.e. available carbohydrates, fat, fibre,

magnesium) and to understand this relationship in the context of “real world” intakes in T2D.

5.3 METHODS

Baseline data were obtained from 5 RCTs conducted at the Clinical Nutrition and Risk Factor

Modification Centre at St. Michael’s Hospital (SMH) in Toronto, Canada. All 5 trials were approved by

the research ethics board of SMH and the University of Toronto, and written consent was obtained from

all participants at the time of recruitment. The trials were registered on ClinicalTrials.gov (registration

numbers: NCT00410722, NCT01063361, NCT01348568, NCT00438698, NCT01063374). Details of the

methods for 4 of the 5 original trials have previously been reported109, 222-224.

5.3.1 STUDY POPULATION

Participants were recruited by placing advertisements in local newspapers, the subway, hospital

clinics and/or distribution of similar advertisements to diabetes education programs. A total of 672

CROSS-SECTIONAL STUDY

78

unique individuals with dietary, anthropometric and biomarker data were included in the analysis.

Eligible participants consisted of men and post-menopausal women diagnosed with T2D for at least 6

months, were on a stable dose of antihyperglycemic medications for at least the previous 3 months, had

an HbA1c value between 6.5% to 8.5% at screening and baseline, and were free of any clinically

significant cardiovascular, renal (serum creatinine >150µmol/L) or liver (serum alanine aminotransferase

>3 times greater than the upper limit of the normal) disease, or a history of cancer.

5.3.2 ASSESSMENT OF DIETARY INTAKE

Participants provided food records covering the previous 7 days before their clinic visit at

baseline. Diet records were analyzed using a computer program (ESHA Food Processor SQL, version

10.9.0; ESHA, Salem, OR) based on U.S. Department of Agriculture data225 and international GI tables226

using the bread scale227 with additional GI measurements made on local foods (Glycemic Index

Laboratories).

5.3.3 BIOCHEMICAL ANALYSES

Blood and urine were analyzed at the SMH Core Lab and University of Toronto, FitzGerald

Building. In two of the trials HbA1c was analyzed within 2 days using whole blood collected in EDTA

Vacutainer tubes and measured by a designated high-performance liquid chromatography (HPLC)

method (Tosoh G7 Automated HPLC Analyzer; Tosoh Bioscience, Grove City, OH) with a coefficient of

variation (CV) of 1.7%222, 224. In the remaining three trials, HbA1c was analyzed within 24 hours using

whole blood collected in EDTA Vacutainer tubes by a turbidometric inhibition latex immunoassay (TINIA

Roche Diagnostics) with a CV between assays of 3% to 4%109, 223. Urea from 24-hour urine collection was

measured using an enzymatic method (SYNCHROLINX LX System).

5.3.4 STATISTICAL ANALYSES

Distributions of all continuous variables were assessed for normality by visual inspection of

distribution and probability plots. Variables that were not normally distributed underwent natural log

transformations. Descriptive statistics for continuous variables were summarized as means ± SDs and

categorical variables were summarized using frequencies and percents.

For the primary analysis a multivariate nutrient density model228 was used to evaluate the

relationship between the main predictor variable: substitution of animal protein with total plant protein

and the main outcome variable: HbA1c. We used seven models adjusted for different sets of covariates in

our analyses. Model 1 was adjusted for total plant protein, available carbohydrate, total fat, alcohol,

CROSS-SECTIONAL STUDY

79

and total energy (all continuous). Model 2 was adjusted for Model 1 covariates and age (continuous).

Model 3 was adjusted for Model 2 covariates and sex (male or female). Model 4 was adjusted for Model

3 covariates, BMI (continuous) and waist circumference (continuous). Model 5 was adjusted for Model 4

covariates, smoking (current or not current), diabetes duration (continuous), ethnicity (African,

European, Far Eastern, Indian/South Asian, or other whites/Caucasian), and number of

antihyperglycemic medications used (0, 1, 2, 3, or 4). Model 6 was adjusted for Model 5 covariates,

magnesium intake (continuous), fibre intake (continuous), and GI (continuous). Model 7 was adjusted

for Model 6 covariates and for the type of method used to analyze HbA1c (immunoassay or HPLC). The

estimate ± SE is reported for each model and represents the estimated change in HbA1c associated with

a 1% energy increase derived from substituting animal protein with plant protein.

In order to validate protein intake reported from the 7-day food records, urea from 24 hour

urinary output was correlated with total protein intake. Since the two variables were not normally

distributed, a spearman correlation was used to assess the relationship between the two variables. All

analyses were carried out using SAS software (version 9.4). Significance was set at P< 0.05.

5.4 RESULTS

5.4.1 PARTICIPANT CHARACTERISTICS

Table 5.1 shows the characteristics of the 627 middle-aged, overweight or obese participants

with T2D. There were approximately an equal number of men and women. The mean diabetes duration

was 8 years and majority of participants were using at least 1 antihyperglycemic medication.

Approximately half of the participants met the recommended target levels for HbA1c (≤7.0%46). Most

participants were of European (46%) or Indian/South Asian (22%) descent. The mean percentage of daily

energy derived from animal and plant protein was 12% and 7.2%, respectively (Table 5.2). Majority of

the animal protein consisted of protein from red meat, poultry and dairy (~3% E from each) and the

majority of plant protein consisted of protein from grain sources (4.2% E), where greater than 50% of

the grain sources were derived from breads (whole grain and white bread).

5.4.2 SUBSTITUTION OF ANIMAL PROTEIN WITH TOTAL PLANT PROTEIN AND HbA1C

Table 5.3 shows the estimates for change in HbA1c associated with a 1% energy increase derived

from substituting animal protein with plant protein in 7 models adjusted for different sets of covariates.

The most fully adjusted model showed no significant association between substituting animal with total

plant protein and HbA1c (Model 7; P=0.126).

CROSS-SECTIONAL STUDY

80

5.4.3 PROTEIN VALIDATION

Figure 5.1 shows the results of the spearman correlation analysis conducted to validate protein

intake, which showed that total protein intake was moderately correlated with 24 hour urinary urea

output (rs=0.397; P<0.0001; n=444).

5.5 DISCUSSION

To the best of our knowledge this is the first cross-sectional study to assess the relationship

between substituting animal protein with plant protein and HbA1c in individuals with T2D. Our analysis

of 627 middle-aged men and women showed that substituting animal protein with total plant protein

was not associated with HbA1c.

5.5.1 RELATION TO OTHER STUDIES AND POTENTIAL EXPLANATIONS

Our findings appear to be consistent with a previous cross-sectional study conducted in

diabetes-free female participants from the Nurses’ Health Study (n=3690), which did not show a

significant association between substituting one serving of total red meat with nuts or legumes and

HbA1c, but did show that substitution with poultry, fish, legumes, and nuts together was associated with

significantly lower HbA1c (β ± SE: -0.031±0.015, P=0.04)170. The lack of association between substituting

animal protein with total plant protein intake and HbA1c in our analysis may be due to the overall low

consumption of major plant protein sources (soy, pulses and nuts/seeds) by participants in our study,

which together contributed to <2% of total energy intake. This low level of consumption is reflected in

the overall pattern of protein intake by participants, which showed that 60% of total protein intake

consisted of animal protein, with the remaining protein consisting of >50% from grain sources and only

18% from soy, pulses, and nuts/seeds, which is consistent with the overall pattern of protein intake

reported for the North American population71, 72. As a result, it is possible that the range of intake in our

study may not be large enough to detect an overall difference and that with higher intakes of major

plant protein sources the association between substituting animal protein with plant protein and HbA1c

may change. This is supported by evidence from RCTs showing beneficial effects on glycemic control

when substituting animal protein with major plant protein sources in individuals with T2D27, 171. In

addition, the lack of association between substituting animal protein with total plant protein and HbA1c

may also be due to the high intake of plant protein for grain sources, which may be a marker of high GI

refined carbohydrates. This is supported by evidence from prospective cohort studies and RCTs showing

that consumption of higher GI foods is associated with increased T2D risk229-231 and poorer glycemic

CROSS-SECTIONAL STUDY

81

control outcomes in individuals with diabetes216, 217, respectively. Therefore, due to the heterogeneous

nature of plant and animal protein sources, it would be useful to compare substitutions of different

animal protein sources with major plant protein sources in order to gain a better understanding of

whether substitution of specific sources is more beneficial than overall substitution.

Furthermore, it is possible that our findings could be influenced by incomplete adjustment

resulting from measured residual confounding, which may include measurement errors from 7 day food

records. Misreporting of dietary intake is a major issue in dietary studies as it introduces error in the

estimation of energy intake and nutrients. Several cross-sectional and prospective studies using weighed

food records have been shown to underestimate energy intake by approximately 18% and the

prevalence of under reporters in these studies was 33%232. The extent of misreporting by individuals in

our study is not clear. Our protein validation analysis showed a moderate correlation between reported

daily protein intake and urea measured from 24 hour urinary output (rs=0.397). However, since there

may be a large within-subject variation in daily nitrogen excretion, repeat collections of consecutive 24

hour urinary output samples are required to validate protein intake 232, 233, which was not possible in the

current study since this was an exploratory analysis using baseline data from 5 RCTs.

5.5.2 LIMITATIONS

There are several limitations in our study that require consideration when interpreting our

findings. First, this was a cross-sectional analysis and therefore causal relationships cannot be inferred.

Second, the extent of misreporting by individuals in our analysis is not clear and may potentially

contribute to measured residual confounding. Third, since we were not able to adjust for other relevant

covariates (e.g. physical activity, socioeconomic status, etc.) it is possible that unmeasured residual

confounding may also exist in our analysis. Fourth, the adjusted R2’s for the main analysis was very small

(R2 ≤0.05), suggesting that the relationship is not strongly linear. Fifth, given the low intakes of major

plant protein sources it is possible that there was not a large enough range of intake to detect an overall

difference between substituting animal protein with plant protein and HbA1c

.

5.5.3 CONCLUSIONS

Overall, the results of our cross-sectional study show that replacing animal protein with total

plant protein is not associated with HbA1c in a group of middle-aged men and women with T2D. Given

the overall low consumption of major plant protein sources in the general population and the

heterogeneous nature of plant and animal protein sources, there is a need for prospective cohort

studies and large RCTs looking at the replacement of different types of animal protein with major plant

CROSS-SECTIONAL STUDY

82

protein sources on markers of glycemic control in individuals with diabetes in order to help address the

limitations in our study and further clarify our findings.

5.6 FUNDING

This work was supported by the Canadian Institutes of Health Research, Canola Council of

Canada, Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada, Loblaw Companies (Canada), Barilla (Italy), International

Tree Nut Council Nutrition Research and Education Foundation, Peanut Institute, ABIP through the

PURENet and the Saskatchewan Pulse Growers. . EV was funded by a Canadian Institutes of Health

Research (CIHR)-Fredrick Banting and Charles Best Canada Graduate Scholarship and the Banting and

Best Diabetes Centre (BBDC)-Yow Kam-Yuen Graduate Scholarship in Diabetes Research. RPB and DJAJ

were funded by the Government of Canada through the Canada Research Chair Endowment. None of

the sponsors had a role in any aspect of the present study, including design and conduct of the study;

collection, management, analysis, and interpretation of the data; and preparation, review, approval of

the manuscript or decision to publish.

5.7 CONFLICTS OF INTEREST

RJdS was funded by the CIHR Postdoctoral Fellowship Award and has received research support

from the CIHR, the Calorie Control Council, the Canadian Foundation for Dietetic Research and the Coca-

Cola Company (investigator initiated, unrestricted grant) and travel support from the World Health

Organization (WHO) to attend group meetings. He has served as an external resource person to WHO's

Nutrition Guidelines Advisory Group and is the lead author of 2 systematic reviews and meta-analyses

commissioned by WHO of the relation of saturated fatty acids and trans fatty acids with health

outcomes. AJH hold a Tier II Canada Research Chair in Diabetes Epidemiology. RPB has received

research funding from Bunge Ltd., travel support from Unilever and consultant fees from Kraft Foods

and Mead Johnson. JLS has received research support from the Canadian Institutes of health Research

(CIHR), Calorie Control Council, American Society of Nutrition (ASN), The Coca-Cola Company

(investigator initiated, unrestricted), Dr. Pepper Snapple Group (investigator initiated, unrestricted),

Pulse Canada, and The International Tree Nut Council Nutrition Research & Education Foundation. He

has received travel funding, speaker fees, and/or honoraria from the American Heart Association (AHA),

American College of Physicians (ACP), American Society for Nutrition (ASN), National Institute of

Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases (NIDDK) of the National Institutes of Health (NIH), Canadian

Diabetes Association (CDA), Canadian Nutrition Society (CNS), University of South Carolina, University of

Alabama at Birmingham, Oldways Preservation Trust, Nutrition Foundation of Italy (NFI), Calorie Control

CROSS-SECTIONAL STUDY

83

Council, Diabetes and Nutrition Study Group (DNSG) of the European Association for the Study of

Diabetes (EASD), International Life Sciences Institute (ILSI) North America, International Life Sciences

Institute (ILSI) Brazil, Abbott Laboratories, Pulse Canada, Canadian Sugar Institute, Dr. Pepper Snapple

Group, The Coca-Cola Company, Corn Refiners Association, World Sugar Research Organization, and

Società Italiana di Nutrizione Umana (SINU). He has consulting arrangements with Winston & Strawn

LLP, Perkins Coie LLP, and Tate & Lyle. He is on the Clinical Practice Guidelines Expert Committee for

Nutrition Therapy of both the Canadian Diabetes Association (CDA) and European Association for the

study of Diabetes (EASD), as well as being on an American Society for Nutrition (ASN) writing panel for a

scientific statement on sugars. He is a member of the International Carbohydrate Quality Consortium

(ICQC) and Board Member of the Diabetes and Nutrition Study Group (DNSG) of the EASD. He serves an

unpaid scientific advisor for the International Life Science Institute (ILSI) North America, Food, Nutrition,

and Safety Program (FNSP). His wife is an employee of Unilever Canada. DJAJ has received research

grants from Saskatchewan Pulse Growers, the Agricultural Bioproducts Innovation Program through the

Pulse Research Network, the Advanced Foods and Material Network, Loblaw Companies Ltd., Unilever,

Barilla, the Almond Board of California, the Coca-Cola Company (investigator initiated, unrestricted

grant), Solae, Haine Celestial, the Sanitarium Company, Orafti, the International Tree Nut Council

Nutrition Research and Education Foundation, the Peanut Institute, the Canola and Flax Councils of

Canada, the Calorie Control Council, the CIHR, the Canada Foundation for Innovation and the Ontario

Research Fund. He has received an honorarium from the United States Department of Agriculture to

present the 2013 W.O. Atwater Memorial Lecture. He received the 2013 Award for Excellence in

Research from the International Nut and Dried Fruit Council. He received funding and travel support

from the Canadian Society of Endocrinology and Metabolism to produce mini cases for the Canadian

Diabetes Association. He has been on the speaker's panel, served on the scientific advisory board,

and/or received travel support and/or honoraria from the Almond Board of California, Canadian

Agriculture Policy Institute, Loblaw Companies Ltd, the Griffin Hospital (for the development of the

NuVal scoring system), the Coca- Cola Company, Saskatchewan Pulse Growers, Sanitarium Company,

Orafti, the Almond Board of California, the American Peanut Council, the International Tree Nut Council

Nutrition Research and Education Foundation, the Peanut Institute, Herbalife International, Pacific

Health Laboratories, Nutritional Fundamental for Health, Barilla, Metagenics, Bayer Consumer Care,

Unilever Canada and Netherlands, Solae, Kellogg, Quaker Oats, Procter and Gamble, the Coca-Cola

Company, the Griffin Hospital, Abbott Laboratories, the Canola Council of Canada, Dean Foods, the

California Strawberry Commission, Haine Celestial, PepsiCo, the Alpro Foundation, Pioneer Hi- Bred

International, DuPont Nutrition and Health, Spherix Consulting and WhiteWave Foods, the Advanced

CROSS-SECTIONAL STUDY

84

Foods and Material Network, the Canola and Flax Councils of Canada, the Nutritional Fundamentals for

Health, AgriCulture and Agri-Food Canada, the Canadian Agri-Food Policy Institute, Pulse Canada, the

Saskatchewan Pulse Growers, the Soy Foods Association of North America, the Nutrition Foundation of

Italy (NFI), Nutra-Source Diagnostics, the McDougall Program, the Toronto Knowledge Translation Group

(St. Michael's Hospital), the Canadian College of Naturopathic Medicine, The Hospital for Sick Children,

the Canadian Nutrition Society (CNS), the American Society of Nutrition (ASN), Arizona State University,

Paolo Sorbini Foundation and the Institute of Nutrition, Metabolism and Diabetes. No competing

interests were declared by EV, CI, and VHJ. There are no patents, products in development or marketed

products to declare.

5.8 AUTHOR CONTRIBUTIONS

Conceived and designed the experiments: DJAJ JLS. Analyzed the data: EV CI VHJ RJdS JLS.

Wrote the paper: EV JLS. Interpretation of the data: EV CI VHJ RJdS AJH RPB DJAJ JLS. Critical revision of

the article for important intellectual content: EV CI VHJ RJdS AJH RPB DJAJ JLS. Final approval of the

article: EV CI VHJ RJdS AJH RPB DJAJ JLS. Obtaining of funding: DJAJ JLS. Administrative, technical, or

logistic support: CI VHJ. Collection and assembly of data: EV CI. Guarantors: DJAJ JLS.

CROSS-SECTIONAL STUDY

85

5.9 TABLES

Table 5.1 – Participant Characteristics

Characteristic Mean ± SD or No. (%)

n 627 Age (years) 60 ± 9 Sex

Female 265 (42) Male 362 (58)

Race/Ethnicity African 42 (7) European 286 (46) Far Eastern 46 (7) Indian/South Asian 139 (22) Othera 67 (11)

BMI (kg/m2) 30 ± 6 Waist (cm)b 105 ± 13 Current smokers 26 (4) Duration of diabetes (years)c 8 ± 6 HbA1c (%) 7.1 ± 0.6

≤7.1% 364 (58) >7.1% 263 (42)

Fasting glucose (mmol/L)d 7.5 ± 1.6 Total cholesterol (mmol/L) 4.1 ± 1.0 LDL-C (mmol/L) 2.3 ± 0.9 HDL-C (mmol/L) 1.1 ± 0.3 Triglycerides (mmol/L) 1.5 ± 0.9 Systolic blood pressure (mmHg) 124 ± 14 Diastolic blood pressure (mmHg) 72 ± 9 No. of antihyperglycemic medicationse

0 2 (0.3) 1 323 (52) 2 225 (36) 3 73 (12) 4 4 (0.6)

No.=number aWhite or Caucasian

bn=498

cn=565

dn=626

eAntihyperglycemic medications consisted of metformin, sulfonylurea,

thiazolidinedione, DPP-4 inhibitors, meglitinides (nonsulfonylurea),

and/or α-glucosidase inhibitors.

CROSS-SECTIONAL STUDY

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Table 5.2 – Nutritional Profile of Participants

Nutrient Mean ± SD

Energy (kcal/d) 1827.8 ± 498.2 Available carbohydrate (%E) 42.7 ± 7.4 Total fat (%E) 32.6 ± 6.5 Total Protein (%E) 19.2 ± 3.4

Plant protein (%E) 7.2 ± 1.8 Grain (%E) 4.2 ± 1.3 Potato (%E) 0.2 ± 0.2 Pulse (%E) 0.5 ± 0.8 Soy (%E) 0.2 ± 0.5 Nut/Seed (%E) 0.6 ± 0.7 Othera (%E) 1.5 ± 0.7

Animal protein (%E) 12 ± 4.0 Red meat (%E) 2.7 ± 2.5 Poultry (%E) 2.9 ± 2.5 Seafood (%E) 1.2 ± 1.4 Egg (%E) 0.6 ± 0.6 Dairy (%E) 2.9 ± 1.5 Other (%E)a 1.7 ± 1.8

Alcohol (%E) 1.7 ± 3.3 Fibre (g/1000 kcal) 14.4 ± 5.0 Magnesium (g/1000 kcal) 196 ± 49.3 Glycemic Index 56.3 ± 4.1 %E =percent energy aThis includes any remaining sources of plant or

animal protein (i.e. fruits and vegetables, gluten

added to various foods, etc.)

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Table 5.3 – Estimates for change in HbA1c associated with a 1% energy increase derived from

substituting animal protein with total plant protein*

Modela n Estimate ± SE (%) Adjusted-R2 P-value

1 627 0.01 ± 0.01 -0.002 0.492 2 627 0.01 ± 0.01 0.013 0.382 3 627 0.01 ± 0.01 0.015 0.485 4 498 0.04 ± 0.02 0.026 0.033 5 487 0.04 ± 0.02 0.035 0.031 6 487 0.03 ± 0.02 0.044 0.117 7 487 0.03 ± 0.02 0.044 0.126

n=sample size aModel 1 was adjusted for total plant protein, available carbohydrate

(continuous), total fat (continuous), alcohol (continuous), and total

energy (continuous). Model 2 was adjusted for Model 1 covariates and

age (continuous). Model 3 was adjusted for Model 2 covariates and sex

(male or female). Model 4 was adjusted for Model 3 covariates, BMI

(continuous) and waist circumference (continuous). Model 5 was

adjusted for Model 4 covariates, smoking (current or not current),

diabetes duration (continuous), ethnicity (African, European, Far

Eastern, Indian/South Asian, or other), and number of

antihyperglycemic medications used (0, 1, 2, 3, or 4). Model 6 was

adjusted for Model 5 covariates, magnesium intake (continuous), fibre

intake (continuous), and GI (continuous). Model 7 was adjusted for

Model 6 covariates and for the type of method used to analyze HbA1c

(immunoassay or HPLC)

*Note: Data are presented using non-log transformed variables

CROSS-SECTIONAL STUDY

88

5.10 FIGURES

Figure 5.1 – Correlation between Total Protein Intake and Urea Output

Total Protein Intake (g/d)

Ure

a O

utp

ut

(mm

ol/

d)

rs= 0.397P < 0.0001

OVERALL DISCUSSION AND LIMITATIONS

89

CHAPTER VI – OVERALL DISCUSSION AND LIMITATIONS

OVERALL DISCUSSION AND LIMITATIONS

90

CHAPTER VI – OVERALL DISCUSSION AND LIMITATIONS

6.1 OVERALL DISCUSSION

We conducted two studies to investigate the effect of replacing animal protein with plant

protein on glycemic control in individuals with diabetes. Our systematic review and meta-analysis of

RCTs found that replacing animal protein with major plant protein sources (i.e. soy, soy-derived

products, pulses and nuts) modestly improved glycemic control in individuals with T1D and T2D, where

our pooled analyses showed a statistically significant reduction in HbA1c, fasting glucose, and fasting

insulin by 0.16%, 0.53 mmol/L and 10.09 pmol/L, respectively. Our cross-sectional study showed that

substituting animal protein with total plant protein independent of other nutrients (i.e. available

carbohydrates, fat, fibre, magnesium) was not associated with HbA1c in a group of middle-aged men and

women with T2D. Taken together our results suggest that (1) replacing animal protein with major plant

protein sources leads to modest improvements in glycemic control in individuals with diabetes and (2)

due to the limited amount of data in this area, future research is warranted to address the limitations of

our systematic review and meta-analysis and lack of agreement with the associations seen in our cross-

sectional study.

Although both studies are the first to assess the replacement of animal with plant protein on

glycemic control in individuals with diabetes, our results support findings from previous studies related

to this area of study. In terms of our systematic review and meta-analysis, there have been several

systematic reviews and meta-analyses of RCTs looking at the effect of specific sources of plant protein

on glycemic control. Three of these meta-analyses were conducted by our group, which found that

incorporation of nuts or pulses into the diet led to significant improvements in measures of glycemic

control in individuals with and without diabetes10-12. There have also been two meta-analyses that

looked at the effect of soy and soy-derived products, which showed non-significant reductions in

measures of glycemic control107, 108. Overall these results are consistent with the findings of our meta-

analysis. In terms of our cross-sectional study, our results were somewhat consistent with a previous

cross-sectional study conducted in diabetes-free women participating in the Nurses’ Health Study, which

assessed the relationship between substituting one serving of red meat with alternative protein sources

such as poultry, fish, legumes and nuts and HbA1c. Similar to our findings, substituting a serving of red

meat with nuts or legumes alone were not associated with HbA1c, but substitution with poultry, fish,

legumes, and fish together was associated with significantly lower HbA1c (β ± SE: -0.031±0.015,

P=0.04)170. This inconsistency between the results of RCTs and epidemiological studies may be due to

the fact that there is a low consumption of major plant protein sources in the North American diet

OVERALL DISCUSSION AND LIMITATIONS

91

relative to animal protein and protein from other plant sources (i.e. grains)62, 71-73. Due to the low range

of intakes, this makes it difficult to detect an overall difference between substituting animal protein with

major sources of plant protein and HbA1c in individuals with diabetes. Furthermore, the high intake of

protein from grain sources may be contributing to the lack of association between substituting animal

with total plant protein and HbA1c, since it may be a marker for refined carbohydrates. This is consistent

with systematic reviews and meta-analyses of prospective cohort studies showing that higher GI is

associated with higher T2D risk229-231 and RCTs showing that higher GI is associated with higher HbA1c

levels in individuals with T2D234, 235.

6.2 LIMITATIONS

6.2.1 SYSTEMATIC REVIEW AND META-ANALYSIS

Limitations of our systematic review and meta-analysis include: 1) most of the trials had small

sample sizes (50% <20 participants); 2) the majority of trials (83%) were shorter than 12-weeks, which

may not be a sufficient follow-up duration to observe meaningful changes in glycemic control220; 3) the

majority of trials (92%) were of low quality (MQS<8); 4) most subgroup analyses were underpowered

due to the limited number of available studies; 5) only a small number of trials (17%) focused on

glycemic control endpoints as a primary outcome; and 6) sensitivity analyses showed that the pooled

effect estimate for fasting insulin was not robust.

6.2.2 CROSS-SECTIONAL STUDY

Limitations of our cross-sectional study include: 1) since this is an observational study causal

relationships cannot be inferred; 2) the extent of misreporting by individuals is not clear and may

potentially contribute to measured residual confounding in our analysis; 3) we were not able to adjust

for other relevant covariates (e.g. physical activity, socioeconomic status, etc.) and therefore it is

possible that there may also be unmeasured residual confounding in our analysis; 4) the adjusted R2 for

the main analysis was very small (R2 ≤0.05), suggesting that the relationship between substituting animal

with plant protein and HbA1c is not strongly linear; and 5) given the low intakes of major plant protein

sources it is possible that there was not a large enough range of intake to detect an overall difference

between substituting animal protein with plant protein and HbA1c.

Overall, the limitations of these 2 studies reinforce the need for more trials that are larger,

longer and of higher quality with a specific focus on glycemic endpoints as a primary outcome to better

understand the effect of replacing animal protein with plant protein on glycemic control in individuals

with diabetes.

OVERALL DISCUSSION AND LIMITATIONS

92

6.3 MECHANISMS OF ACTION

There are several potential mechanisms that may explain the beneficial effects of replacing

animal protein with major plant protein sources on glycemic control. The reduction in body iron stores

may be one such mechanism. Prospective cohort studies have shown that increased heme iron intake,

found only in animal protein sources196, is associated with a significantly higher risk of T2D197, 198,

whereas non-heme iron intake, which is found in both plant and animal protein sources196, has been

shown to be either inversely associated with198 or not associated with the incidence of T2D197. This may

be attributed to differences in bioavailability between non-heme and heme iron, where heme iron is

associated with higher body iron stores199, 200. Furthermore, observational studies have shown that

serum ferritin, the storage form of iron, predicted the development of hyperglycemia202 and T2D203, 236

and was found to be positively associated with insulin resistance204, 205, whereas randomized trials have

shown that the use of phlebotomy to reduce serum ferritin levels was associated with improved glucose

tolerance in individuals with metabolic syndrome206and T2D207. Overall, the negative impact of iron on

glycemic control may be due to its pro-oxidant activities, where it catalyzes several cellular reactions

that result in the production of reactive oxygen species, which in turn increases oxidative stress and

tissue damage, including damage to the pancreatic β-cells60, 195.

Another mechanism may relate to differences in the amino acid profiles between animal and

plant protein. Compared to animal proteins, plant proteins appear to be higher in L-arginine185 (Figure

6.1A-B). Randomized trials have shown that long-term oral administration of L-arginine improves insulin

sensitivity in individuals with T2D208, 209 and in vitro studies suggest that L-arginine promotes insulin

secretion from pancreatic β-cells by directly depolarizing the plasma membrane at a neutral pH and only

in the presence of glucose. Specifically, the electrogenic transport of L-arginine into the β-cell via the

amino acid transporter mCAT2A has been shown to lead to an increase in intracellular Ca2+

concentration through depolarization of the plasma membrane and activation of voltage-dependent

calcium channels, which in turn stimulates insulin secretion (see Figure 6.2)211-214, 237. However, other

mechanisms have also been proposed (i.e. the NO/cGMP pathway209). Given these findings, it is

uncertain whether the arginine levels typically found in dietary proteins would also have a significant

effect on insulin secretion. Furthermore, although our findings show improvements for fasting insulin,

specific measures of insulin sensitivity were not explored in our meta-analysis, where only one of the

included trials looked at HOMA-IR and found non-significant reductions173. Neither endpoint, however,

is considered to be a good marker of peripheral insulin sensitivity238 and therefore further studies are

warranted.

OVERALL DISCUSSION AND LIMITATIONS

93

Figure 6.1A – Amino Acid Profiles of Different Plant Protein Sources239

AMINO ACID (% of total protein for

100g serving)

PLANT PROTEIN SOURCE

Soybeans Chickpeas Lentils Kidney beans

Navy beans

Almonds Walnuts

Tryptophan 1.215 0.959 0.898 1.200 1.215 0.997 1.116

Threonine 3.984 3.713 3.581 3.679 3.512 2.839 3.913

Isoleucine 4.397 4.289 4.324 4.729 4.702 3.554 4.104

Leucine 7.150 7.122 7.251 8.489 8.505 6.970 7.682

Lysine 5.984 6.693 6.984 7.001 6.318 2.686 2.784

Methionine 1.215 1.309 0.854 1.303 1.349 0.740 1.550

Cysteine 0.915 1.343 1.308 0.934 0.923 1.021 1.366

Phenylalanine 4.526 5.361 4.933 5.894 5.723 5.353 4.668

Tyrosine 3.587 2.483 2.672 2.364 2.394 2.128 2.666

Valine 4.445 4.199 4.967 5.767 6.124 4.046 4.944

Arginine 8.049 9.424 7.727 5.479 5.043 11.660 14.957

Histidine 2.688 2.754 2.816 2.745 2.503 2.548 2.567

Alanine 4.494 4.289 4.180 4.544 4.484 4.728 4.570

Aspartic acid 11.652 11.761 11.064 12.526 12.831 12.481 12.009

Glutamic acid 18.785 17.494 15.510 16.067 15.298 29.356 18.490

Glycine 4.162 4.165 4.069 4.048 3.961 6.760 5.358

Proline 4.688 4.131 4.180 5.721 5.516 4.585 4.636

Serine 5.571 5.045 4.612 6.275 5.820 4.313 6.133

Non-essential amino acids (glutamic & aspartic acid) abundantly found in all proteins240

Most abundant amino acid found in plant protein source (with the exception of glutamic & aspartic acid)

OVERALL DISCUSSION AND LIMITATIONS

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Figure 6.1B – Amino Acid Profile Of Animal Protein Sources239

Non-essential amino acids (glutamic & aspartic acid) abundantly found in all proteins240

Most abundant amino acid found in plant protein source (with the exception of glutamic & aspartic acid)

AMINO ACID (% of total protein for

100g serving)

ANIMAL PROTEIN SOURCE

Beef Chicken Cod fish Salmon Eggs Milk

Tryptophan 0.657 1.261 1.121 1.120 1.216 1.273

Threonine 3.995 4.486 4.385 4.383 4.801 4.273

Isoleucine 4.551 4.905 4.608 4.607 5.453 5.182

Leucine 7.956 8.274 8.130 8.125 8.545 9.485

Lysine 8.453 9.614 9.185 9.182 7.186 8.364

Methionine 2.604 2.600 2.961 2.960 3.116 2.636

Cysteine 1.291 1.048 1.073 1.073 2.321 0.606

Phenylalanine 3.950 4.037 3.903 3.903 5.310 5.182

Tyrosine 3.186 3.602 3.377 3.377 4.078 5.061

Valine 4.963 5.177 5.151 5.149 6.097 6.545

Arginine 6.465 6.762 5.983 5.983 6.002 2.848

Histidine 3.190 3.726 2.943 2.944 2.369 3.030

Alanine 6.079 5.838 6.049 6.046 5.564 3.394

Aspartic acid 9.110 9.404 10.241 10.240 10.048 8.576

Glutamic acid 15.011 14.813 14.928 14.925 13.068 22.485

Glycine 6.091 4.427 4.801 4.800 3.362 1.970

Proline 4.766 3.176 3.535 3.534 3.983 9.879

Serine 3.939 3.811 4.082 4.080 7.440 6.030

OVERALL DISCUSSION AND LIMITATIONS

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Figure 6.2 – Model for the regulation of insulin secretion in the β-cell stimulated by glucose and amino

acids. Reprinted with permission from Diabetes, Vol 55 © 2006 by the American Diabetes Association

http://diabetes.diabetesjournals.org213.

Other potential mechanisms that may explain the effects of replacing animal protein with plant

protein on glycemic control involve a reduction in the glycemic index216, 217, the sodium and nitrite

content found in processed meats218, 219, reduced intake of saturated fat241-243, advanced glycation end

products (AGEs)244, phytoestrogens found in soy245, 246, and higher fiber intake247-250. It has also been

suggested that the negative impact of meat intake may be mediated by its effects on body weight251, 252,

inflammatory biomarkers170, 253, visceral adiposity254, 255, and intracellular lipid concentrations256, 257.

With regards to the results of our cross-sectional study, the lack of association between

substituting animal with major plant protein sources may be due to the low intake of soy, pulses and

nuts/seeds in our analysis, which together contributed to <2% E. This is consistent with North American

and European dietary intake patterns, which show that sources of animal protein are the major

contributors to total protein intake and that protein from grain sources are the major contributors to

total plant protein intake62, 71-74. As a result, these low ranges of intake makes it difficult to detect an

overall difference between substituting animal protein with major sources of plant protein and HbA1c in

individuals with diabetes. Furthermore, the lack of association may be a result of grain protein being a

marker of refined carbohydrates, where higher GI has been shown to be associated with an increased

T2D risk229-231 and poorer glycemic control in individuals with diabetes216, 217.

OVERALL DISCUSSION AND LIMITATIONS

96

Therefore, the findings from both of our studies suggest that if major plant protein sources were

consumed at higher levels of intake there may be less of an inconsistency between the results reported

from observational studies and those reported from RCTs.

6.4 CLINICAL IMPLICATIONS

Higher consumption of major sources of plant protein appears to be beneficial for the

management of diabetes. Our data support the evidence from existing recommendations for diabetes

management that recommend following plant-based diets, such as the Portfolio, vegetarian or vegan,

Mediterranean, and DASH diet, of which soy, soy-derived products, pulses and/or nuts are key

components 26, 258. In our meta-analysis, the median percent of animal protein replaced with plant

protein from total protein was approximately ~35% per day, which is equivalent to approximately 29

grams of protein per day49 for a middle-aged, overweight or obese adult with diabetes. This amount of

protein is found in approximately 3 servings of pulses or tofu53, which meets the recommended intakes

made by public health guidelines for intakes of meat and alternatives53, 54. Achieving such intakes,

however, may be challenging in North America as well as Europe, given that current intake levels of

major plant protein sources are low62, 71, 72, 74. In addition, it has been shown that although individuals

with diabetes are willing to follow a plant-based diet, very few actually do259. This may be in part due to

a gap in translation from knowledge to practice, where most health care providers appear to be aware

of plant-based diets for the management of diets, but the level of practice in implementing them is

low259. Overall, our data support that a partial or full substitution of animal with plant protein may be

beneficial in the management of with glycemic in individuals with diabetes, however further research is

needed to clarify our findings.

6.5 FUTURE DIRECTIONS

Future research is needed to confirm the results of our two studies. First, our systematic review

and meta-analysis revealed that majority of existing RCTs consist of small sample sizes (50% <20

participants), short follow-up duration (83% <12 weeks), are of low-quality (92% MQS<8) and do not

focus on measurements of glycemic control as a primary outcome. Therefore, there is an urgent need

for larger, longer, higher quality RCTs to assess the effect of replacing whole food sources of animal with

plant protein on measurements of glycemic control as a primary outcome in individuals with diabetes.

The inherent limitations of our cross-sectional study also support the need for such trials. Second, there

is only one prospective cohort study that has assessed the association between replacing animal with

plant protein on hard endpoints (i.e. development of diabetes)103, whereas most have looked at either

OVERALL DISCUSSION AND LIMITATIONS

97

plant-based dietary patterns or specific plant protein sources. Therefore, more studies are needed to

understand how replacement of animal with plant protein in the diet affects diabetes risk. Third, our

cross-sectional study provided further support for the fact that consumption of major plant protein

sources is low, which makes it difficult to detect a difference in HbA1c when substituting animal protein

with plant protein. Fourth, given the heterogeneous nature of plant and animal protein sources, we

suggest comparing substitutions of different animal protein sources with major plant protein sources in

order to gain a better understanding of whether it is more beneficial to substitute specific sources of

animal protein versus overall animal protein. Fifth, given the increasing amount of evidence that have

shown plant-based dietary patterns are associated with reducing the risk of diabetes, metabolic

syndrome80, 81, CVD13, 82-86, cancer87, 88, and all-cause mortality83, 89-92 and plant protein sources such as

soy, pulses and/or nuts showing beneficial effects on glycemic control10-12, blood pressure116-118, kidney

function119, 120, blood lipids10, 121-124, body weight125, 126, and inflammation127, it is clear that there is a gap

between knowledge and translation. Therefore, there is a need to focus on strategies that will promote

consumption of plant-based diets in those with or at risk for diabetes. As a first step in addressing these

future directions, our group has undertaken a series of systematic reviews and meta-analyses of RCTs to

look at the effect of replacing animal with plant protein on other cardiometabolic risk factors, such as

blood lipids and measures of kidney function, which will help us gain a better understanding of the

effects of replacing animal with plant protein in the management of diabetes. Overall, given the global

diabetes epidemic and mounting concern for the protection of our environment, it will remain

important to implement life-style modification strategies that will also positively impact our

environment. The replacement of animal protein with plant protein in our diet may serve as one

potential strategy.

CONCLUSIONS

98

CHAPTER VII – CONCLUSIONS

CONCLUSIONS

99

CHAPTER VII – CONCLUSIONS

Replacing animal protein with major sources of plant protein (i.e. soy, soy-derived products,

pulses and nuts) leads to modest improvements in glycemic control in individuals with diabetes,

however research is needed to address the limitations of our systematic review and meta-analysis and

lack of agreement with the associations seen in our cross-sectional study.

Overall, this thesis demonstrated the following:

1. In a systematic review and meta-analysis of 12 RCTs (n=240), diets emphasizing a replacement

of animal protein with major sources of plant protein significantly lowered HbA1c, fasting glucose

and fasting insulin in comparison with control diets in individuals with diabetes.

2. In a cross-sectional study using baseline data from 5 RCTs conducted in a sample of middle-aged

men and women with T2D (n=627), substitution of animal protein with total plant protein was

not associated with HbA1c.

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CHAPTER VIII – REFERENCES

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CHAPTER VIII - REFERENCES

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