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Effect of Good Agricultural and Environmental Conditions on erosion and soil organic carbon balance Pasquale Borrelli, Emanuele Lugato, Panos Panagos EU-JRC, IES, LRM Joint Research Centre (JRC) www.jrc.ec.europa.eu ies.jrc.ec.europa.eu GAEC Greening Workshop Prague, 23 October 2015

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Page 1: Effect of Good Agricultural and Environmental Conditions on ...Borrelli et al. 2016. Land Use Policy, in press Soil erosion and organic C Pilot area: Potential Impact of GAEC Application

Effect of Good Agricultural and Environmental Conditions on erosion

and soil organic carbon balance

Pasquale Borrelli, Emanuele Lugato, Panos Panagos

EU-JRC, IES, LRM

Joint Research Centre (JRC)

www.jrc.ec.europa.euies.jrc.ec.europa.eu

GAEC Greening WorkshopPrague, 23 October 2015

Page 2: Effect of Good Agricultural and Environmental Conditions on ...Borrelli et al. 2016. Land Use Policy, in press Soil erosion and organic C Pilot area: Potential Impact of GAEC Application

Policy background

The EU thematic strategy for Soil Protection (COM 2006. 231) has identified the eight main threats to soils:

CONTAMINATIONORGANIC MATTER LOSS BIODIVERSITY LOSS

COMPACTION SALINISATION FLOODS-LANDSLIDES SEALING

EROSION

Page 3: Effect of Good Agricultural and Environmental Conditions on ...Borrelli et al. 2016. Land Use Policy, in press Soil erosion and organic C Pilot area: Potential Impact of GAEC Application

State of the art 2013

The recent report ‘The implementation of the Soil Thematic Strategy and on-going activities’ (Jones et al., 2012) stated that 20% of Europe’s land surface is subject to erosion

rates above 10 t ha-1 yr-1

Page 4: Effect of Good Agricultural and Environmental Conditions on ...Borrelli et al. 2016. Land Use Policy, in press Soil erosion and organic C Pilot area: Potential Impact of GAEC Application

Soil erosion

Soil degradation through erosion has been identified as major threat to European soils and agriculture

European Commissionrequested new assessments to the Joint Research Centre

Water Erosion Wind Erosion Forest Erosion

Page 5: Effect of Good Agricultural and Environmental Conditions on ...Borrelli et al. 2016. Land Use Policy, in press Soil erosion and organic C Pilot area: Potential Impact of GAEC Application

Soil erosion modelling

Water Erosion Wind Erosion Forest Erosion

Panagos, Borrelli, Poesen et al. 2015. Environmental Science & Policy, 54

Borrelli et al. 2014. Geoderma, 232Borrelli et al. 2014. Land Degradation & Development

Borrelli et al. 2016. Ecological Indicators, 60Borrelli et al. 2014. Applied Geography, 48

Page 6: Effect of Good Agricultural and Environmental Conditions on ...Borrelli et al. 2016. Land Use Policy, in press Soil erosion and organic C Pilot area: Potential Impact of GAEC Application

Priorities? Water erosion

Page 7: Effect of Good Agricultural and Environmental Conditions on ...Borrelli et al. 2016. Land Use Policy, in press Soil erosion and organic C Pilot area: Potential Impact of GAEC Application

Revised Universal Soil Loss Equation

The RUSLE was developed in the U.S. based on soil erosion data collected by the U.S.Department of Agriculture (USDA), and has been used to help implement the United States'multi-billion dollar conservation program.

The RUSLE was developed from erosion plot and rainfall simulator experiments. It is composedof six factors to predict the long-term average annual soil loss (A). The equation includes therainfall erosivity factor (R), the soil erodibility factor (K), the topographic factors (L and S) andthe cropping management factors (C and P):

A = R ∙ K ∙ LS ∙ C ∙ P

Water erosion modelling

With the introduction of the cross-compliance mechanism, many effortshave been made in the EU to increase the sustainability of agriculturalsystems...

However, what is still largely unknown are the actual effects onprocesses affecting soils such as erosion and SOC change, whichultimately determine the efficacy and cost-effectiveness of the policy.

Page 8: Effect of Good Agricultural and Environmental Conditions on ...Borrelli et al. 2016. Land Use Policy, in press Soil erosion and organic C Pilot area: Potential Impact of GAEC Application

What is the effect of GAEC on soil erosion at EU level?

Good Agricultural and Environmental Conditions (GAEC)

Requirements and standards

Cover crops

Contour farming

Crop residues

GAEC

Grass Margins

Terracing

Page 9: Effect of Good Agricultural and Environmental Conditions on ...Borrelli et al. 2016. Land Use Policy, in press Soil erosion and organic C Pilot area: Potential Impact of GAEC Application

Pilot area: Italy

Borrelli et al., 2016. Land Use Policy, in pressLugato et al., 2014. Global Change Biology, 20

Page 10: Effect of Good Agricultural and Environmental Conditions on ...Borrelli et al. 2016. Land Use Policy, in press Soil erosion and organic C Pilot area: Potential Impact of GAEC Application

Pilot area: Potential Impact of GAEC Application

The following scenarios were simulated to assess the impact of GAEC application on soil erosion and SOC conservation:

a) Baseline’: In order to estimate the impact of GAEC implementation, a ‘baselinescenario’ underlying the absence of any specific policy on erosion prevention andcarbon conservation was simulated; chronologically, it refers to the conditions beforecross-compliance introduction (2003);

b) ‘Current’: This scenario is based on the implementation of the compulsory GAECstandards. The data of the European Agricultural Census (year 2010) are employed todefine the specific conservation practices and their application areas on the arableland;

c) ‘Technical potential’: This scenario suggests the technical biophysical capacity of thearable land to sequester SOC, when GAEC standards are applied to the entiresurface for a long-term period (2050).

Page 11: Effect of Good Agricultural and Environmental Conditions on ...Borrelli et al. 2016. Land Use Policy, in press Soil erosion and organic C Pilot area: Potential Impact of GAEC Application

Borrelli et al. 2016. Land Use Policy, in press

Soil erosion and organic C

Pilot area: Potential Impact of GAEC Application – soil erosion

(Bosco et al., 2014) (Van der Knijff et al., 2000) (Borrelli et al., 2016)

Page 12: Effect of Good Agricultural and Environmental Conditions on ...Borrelli et al. 2016. Land Use Policy, in press Soil erosion and organic C Pilot area: Potential Impact of GAEC Application

Pilot area: Potential Impact of GAEC Application – soil erosion

Soil loss: • 8.33 Mg ha-1 yr-1

• 29.2 % > 10 Mg ha-1 yr-1

‘baseline scenario’ ‘current scenario’ ‘technical potential’

Soil loss: • 7.43 Mg ha-1 yr-1

• 25 % > 10 Mg ha-1 yr-1

• Decrease ca. 11%

Soil loss: • 4.1 Mg ha-1 yr-1

• 10.2 % > 10 Mg ha-1 yr-1

• Decrease ca. 50%

Page 13: Effect of Good Agricultural and Environmental Conditions on ...Borrelli et al. 2016. Land Use Policy, in press Soil erosion and organic C Pilot area: Potential Impact of GAEC Application

Coupling CENTURY with erosion:Soil organic carbon

30 cm

EC=1.2

More recalcitrant

incoming SOC

Soil profile

Landscape- non-connected territorial

units

2005

baseline

GAEC

time

SOC

dSOC

GAEC: - crop residues during the winter period - reduced straw exportation from 50 to

30% - cover crops- reduced erosion rates

‘Current’ area of GAEC application [2005-2012]

All the arable land ‘technical potential’[by 2050]

No BD variation

2012

Page 14: Effect of Good Agricultural and Environmental Conditions on ...Borrelli et al. 2016. Land Use Policy, in press Soil erosion and organic C Pilot area: Potential Impact of GAEC Application

a) organic carbon lost by erosion in the baselinescenario;

b) avoided eroded C with GAEC application;

c) SOC stock (0-30 cm layer) in the baseline scenario;

d) SOC accumulation due to GAEC application.

Soil organic carbonCurrent scenario

Page 15: Effect of Good Agricultural and Environmental Conditions on ...Borrelli et al. 2016. Land Use Policy, in press Soil erosion and organic C Pilot area: Potential Impact of GAEC Application

SOC accumulation rates under the

full application of GAEC standards

in arable lands by 2050

Soil organic carbonTechnical potential scenario

(Mg C ha-1 yr-1)

Page 16: Effect of Good Agricultural and Environmental Conditions on ...Borrelli et al. 2016. Land Use Policy, in press Soil erosion and organic C Pilot area: Potential Impact of GAEC Application

Soil loss by water in Europe

Panagos, Borrelli, Poesen et al. 2015. Environmental Science & Policy, 20

Page 17: Effect of Good Agricultural and Environmental Conditions on ...Borrelli et al. 2016. Land Use Policy, in press Soil erosion and organic C Pilot area: Potential Impact of GAEC Application

GAEC - Model parameterization

Cropping management factors

• Tillage• Cover crops• Crop residues• Contour farming• Terracing (stone walls)• Grass margins

C Factor

P Factor

Panagos, Borrelli, Meusburger et al. 2015. Land Use Policy, 48Panagos, Borrelli, Meusburger, et al., 2015. Env. Science & Policy, 51

Soil loss by water in Europe

Page 18: Effect of Good Agricultural and Environmental Conditions on ...Borrelli et al. 2016. Land Use Policy, in press Soil erosion and organic C Pilot area: Potential Impact of GAEC Application

Soil loss by water in Europe

Panagos, Borrelli, Poesen et al. 2015. Environmental Science & Policy, 20

Page 19: Effect of Good Agricultural and Environmental Conditions on ...Borrelli et al. 2016. Land Use Policy, in press Soil erosion and organic C Pilot area: Potential Impact of GAEC Application

Soil erosion by water in Europe

Page 20: Effect of Good Agricultural and Environmental Conditions on ...Borrelli et al. 2016. Land Use Policy, in press Soil erosion and organic C Pilot area: Potential Impact of GAEC Application

Change on soil erosion potential2000 - 2010

Agricoltural land

“…the amount of soil lost to water erosion in Europe equates to an

estimated economic loss of about US$20 billion per year”

“…between 2000 and 2010, intervention measures through the Common

Agricultural Policy have reduced the rate of soil loss in the European Union by an average of 9.5% overall, and by 20% for

arable lands”

Panagos , Borrelli , Robinson , 2015. Nature, 526

Page 21: Effect of Good Agricultural and Environmental Conditions on ...Borrelli et al. 2016. Land Use Policy, in press Soil erosion and organic C Pilot area: Potential Impact of GAEC Application

Can we do more?

We do have limits:

• The cropping management factors are available at NUTS-2 level

• Lack of spatial information about the GAEC applications

• Assess monthly dynamics of soil cover

• Spatial resolution of the crop factors is not optimal

Land Parcel Identification (LPIS)

Looking for pilot areas,anyone interested?

Page 22: Effect of Good Agricultural and Environmental Conditions on ...Borrelli et al. 2016. Land Use Policy, in press Soil erosion and organic C Pilot area: Potential Impact of GAEC Application

CONCLUSIONS

• Tool to better and comprehensively predict soil loss in Europe

• We can account for the effect of GAEC on erosion and SOC

• GAEC do not eliminates soil erosion

• We can perform scenario analyses

• We hope to make new research based on LPIS data

Page 23: Effect of Good Agricultural and Environmental Conditions on ...Borrelli et al. 2016. Land Use Policy, in press Soil erosion and organic C Pilot area: Potential Impact of GAEC Application

THANK YOU FOR YOUR

ATTENTION

Pasquale Borrelli – IES, [email protected]