ee40 week 1 principles of engineering economy
TRANSCRIPT
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Principles of Engineering Economics
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Different Types of Investments Stocks Bonds Mutual Funds Treasury Notes Certificate of Deposits Rental Property Land
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Typical Investment Questions What percentage of annual income should you set aside
for the investment? What is the expected annual return from the investment? How much time is needed to achieve your financial
goals?
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Engineering Economic Analysis Use of quantitative and qualitative techniques to analyze
economic differences among engineering design alternatives in selecting the preferred design
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Time Value Of Money (TVOM) Php 1,000 today or Php X a year from now
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Time Value Of Money (TVOM) Current VS Deferred choice Inflation “Money has time value in the absence of inflation”
Because of the earning power of money Borrowing & Repaying The interest rate you charge is based on TVOM
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TVOM Aliases
A.K.A.Opportunity cost of moneyInterest rateDiscount rateHurdle rateMinimum Attractive Rate of Return (MARR)Cost of capital
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Cash Flow Approach Cash Flow – when money changes hands from one
individual / organization to another
0 1 2 3YR 0 1 2 3YR
Cash Inflow Cash Outflow
Php 1,000
Php 2,000
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Discounted Cash Flows (DCF) Movement of money backward or forward in time Because money has a time value, one should not add or
subtract money unless it occurs at the same point in time
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4 DCF Rules
1. Money has a time value2. Money cannot be added or subtracted unless it occurs at
the same point in time3. To move forward one time unit, multiply by (1 + interest
rate)4. To move backward one time unit, divide by (1 + interest
rate)
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10 Principles of Engineering Economic Analysis
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10 Principles of Engineering Economic Analysis
Principle 1Money has a time value
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10 Principles of Engineering Economic Analysis
Principle 2Make investments that are economically justified (that yield positive economic returns)
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10 Principles of Engineering Economic Analysis
Principle 3Choose the mutually exclusive investment alternative that maximizes economic worth (consider only monetary aspects of the alternative)
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10 Principles of Engineering Economic Analysis
Principle 4Two investment alternatives are equivalent if they have the same economic worth
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10 Principles of Engineering Economic Analysis
Principle 5Marginal revenue should exceed marginal cost (added revenue > added cost)
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10 Principles of Engineering Economic Analysis
Principle 6Continue to invest as long as each additional increment of investment yields a return that is greater than the investor’s TVOM
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10 Principles of Engineering Economic Analysis
Principle 7Consider only differences in cash flows among alternatives
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10 Principles of Engineering Economic Analysis
Principle 8Compare investment alternatives over a common period of time (same length of time)
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10 Principles of Engineering Economic Analysis
Principle 9Risk and return tend to be positively correlated
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10 Principles of Engineering Economic Analysis
Principle 10Past costs (sunk costs) are irrelevant in engineering economic analysis unless they impact future costs
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Systemic Economic Analysis Technique (SEAT)
1. What investment alternatives are available?2. What is the length of time over which the decision is to be made?
(planning horizon)3. What TVOM will be used to move monies forward or backward in
time? (interest rate)4. What are the best estimates of the cash flows for each of the
alternatives?5. Which alternative seems best based on the economic criterion
chosen? (PW, FW, AW, ROR, B/C)6. How sensitive is the economic preference to changes in or errors in the
estimates used in the analysis? (What if)7. Which investment is recommended?
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Non-Monetary Factors Improved safety Reduced cycle times Improved quality Increased flexibility Increased customer service Improved employee morale Being first to use a particular technology Increased market visibility
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Weighted Factor Comparison
Alternative A Alternative B
Factor Weight Rating Score Rating Score
1
2
3
Total 100%
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Other Guidelines for Alternatives Obtain support of the users of the recommended system
before presenting it to management Pre-sell the recommendation and eliminate surprises Don’t be enamored with the technical aspects of the
recommended investment Managers tend to have broader perspectives The proposal is only one of many.
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ABET’s Engineering Definition Profession in which a knowledge of the mathematical and
natural sciences gained by study, experience and practice is applied with judgment to develop ways to utilize, economically, the materials and forces of nature for the benefit of mankind.
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Engineers Work on Projects
Does the project’s benefits exceed its cost?
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Engineering Economy Subset of economics applied to engineering projects Engineers seek solution to problems; the economic
viability of each potential solution is normally considered along with the technical aspects
The goal of a solution designer is to seek out the best possible one
Decisions made by engineers, managers, CEOs, and individuals are commonly the result of choosing one alternative over another
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Origins of Engineering Economy Arthur Mellen Wellington (1847 – 1895)
was an American civil engineer remembered for his 1887 book The Economic Theory of the Location of Railways.
The saying that “An engineer can do for a dollar what any fool can do for two” is attributed to him.
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Engineering Economy Engineering Economy is applied microeconomics where
the fundamental question is…
Is it in the best interest of the enterprise to invest its limited resources in a proposed technical endeavor, or would the same endeavor produce a higher return elsewhere?
Engineers use knowledge to find ways of doing things economically
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Solutions to Eng’g Problems Must
Demonstrate a positive balance of long-term benefits over long-term costs
Promote the well-being and survival of the organization Embody creative and innovative technologies and ideas Permit identification and scrutiny of estimated outcomes
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Trade-Offs
Cost vs. PerformanceResponse TimeSafetyWeightReliability
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Fundamental Principles in Engineering Economics
Principle 1A peso today is worth more than a peso tomorrow (or at a later time)Principle 2All that counts is the difference among alternativesPrinciple 3Marginal revenue must exceed marginal costPrinciple 4Additional risk is not taken without the expected additional return
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Principles in Engineering Economics
1. Develop the alternatives2. Focus on the differences3. Use a consistent viewpoint4. Use a common unit of measure5. Consider all relevant criteria6. Make Uncertainty Explicit7. Revisit your decisions
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Principles in Engineering Economics
1. Develop the alternativesThe choice (decision) is among alternatives. The alternative needs to be identified and then defined for subsequent analysis
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Principles in Engineering Economics
2. Focus on the differencesOnly the differences in expected future outcomes among the alternatives are relevant to their comparison and should be considered in the decisionGoal should be to recommend a future course of action based on the differences among feasible alternatives
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Principles in Engineering Economics
3. Use a consistent viewpointThe prospective outcomes of the alternatives, economic and other, should be consistently developed from a defined viewpoint (perspective).
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Principles in Engineering Economics
4. Use a common unit of measureUsing a common unit of measurement to enumerate as many of the prospective outcomes as possible will simplify the analysis of alternatives
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Principles in Engineering Economics
5. Consider all relevant criteriaSelection of a preferred alternative (decision making) requires the use of a criterion (or several criteria).The decision process should consider both the outcomes enumerated in the monetary unit and those expressed in some other unit of measurement or made explicit in a descriptive manner
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Principles in Engineering Economics
6. Make risk and uncertainty explicitRisk and uncertainty are inherent in estimating the future outcomes of the alternatives and should be recognized in their analysis and comparison.
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Principles in Engineering Economics
7. Revisit your decisionsImproved decision making results from an adaptive processTo the extent practicable, the initial projected outcomes of the selected alternatives should be subsequently compared with actual results achieved.
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Engineering Economic Analysis Procedure (EEAP)
1. Problem recognition, definition & evaluation2. Development of feasible alternatives (Search & Screen)3. Development of outcomes and cash flows for each
alternative4. Selection of a criterion (or criteria)5. Analysis and comparison of alternatives6. Selection of the preferred alternative7. Performance monitoring and post-evaluation results
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Seatwork
Complete the 7 steps of EEAP for the following problem:
Long lines during enrollment
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Limitations
1. Lack of time and money2. Preconceptions of what will work and what will not3. Lack of knowledge
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2 Approaches to Developing Alternatives
1. Classical Brainstorming2. Nominal Group Technique
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2 Approaches to Developing Alternatives
1. Classical BrainstormingDeferment of judgmentQuantity breeds qualityRules1.Criticism is ruled out2.Freewheeling is welcome3.Quantity is wanted4.Combination and improvement are sought
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2 Approaches to Developing Alternatives
2. Nominal Group TechniqueAndre P. Delbecq & Andrew H. Van de VenReduces dominance of one or more participantsAvoids suppression of conflicting ideasRules1.Individual silent generation of ideas2.Individual round-robin feedback and recording of ideas3.Group clarification of each idea4.Individual voting and ranking to prioritize ideas5.Discussion of group consensus results
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Non-monetary Objectives
1. Meeting and exceeding customer expectations2. Safety to employees and to the public3. Improving employee satisfaction4. Maintaining production flexibility to meet changing
demands5. Meeting or exceeding all environmental requirements6. Achieving good public relations or being an exemplary
member of the community.
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Sources• http://en.wikipedia.org/• Sullivan, William G., Elin M. Wicks and James T. Luxhoj, Engineering Economy, 14th Ed., Prentice Hall,
Inc., 2009• White et. al. Principles of Engineering Economic Analysis, 5th Ed. John Wiley & Sons. Inc., 2010