Slide 1

Ecosystem Services Analysis Tues, Jan. 8 2013 ES 281

Slide 2

Daily et al. FEE 2009

Slide 3

The Natural Capital Project: Mainstreaming ecosystem services

Slide 4

Three main tasks for mainstreaming ecosystem services 1.Understanding the provision of ecosystem services (Quantification) 2.Understanding the benefits to human well- being from ecosystem services (Valuation) 3.Creating incentives for sustainable provision of ecosystem services (Institutions/policy)

Slide 5

InVEST www.naturalcapitalproject.org

Slide 6

InVEST: Integrated Valuation of Ecosystem Services and Tradeoffs Set of computer-based models Biodiversity and multiple services Driven by future scenarios Spatially explicit Biophysical and economic outputs Flexible and transferable Minimal data requirements

Slide 7

InVEST 1.003 Beta can map Biodiversity Crop pollination Carbon seq & storage Managed timber production Avoided sedimentation Water yield Water purification: nutrient retention Multi-Service Approach

Slide 8

Marine InVEST Habitat risk assessment Fisheries Aquaculture Coastal Protection Carbon sequestration Recreation Energy generation

Slide 9

Slide 10

Tier 1Tier 2Tier 3 Modeling reality Data reality SimpleComplex A Tiered Approach

Slide 11

Land Use Soil typeTopography Spatial Data Inputs on Natural Capital

Slide 12

RoadsCitiesInfrastructure Spatial Data Inputs on Built Capital

Slide 13

China Tanzania West Coast Hawaii Amazon Basin Colombia Ecuador Applying InVEST Uganda Indonesia Minnesota Delaware

Slide 14

Slide 15

Slide 16

Stakeholder Engagement Identify Objectives Develop Scenarios Compile Data Biophysical Models Economic Models InVEST Multi-Service, Biophysical and Economic

Slide 17

Decisions Scenarios How will biodiversity and ecosystem service values change With climate change? With population growth? Given a new policy or program?

Slide 18

Modeling multiple ecosystem services, biodiversity conservation, commodity production, and tradeoffs at landscape scales Nelson et al. 2009. Frontiers in Ecology and Environment 7(1): 411.

Slide 19

Current Land Cover in the Basin

Slide 20

Nelson et al. 2009 FEE Step 1: Develop scenarios Projected land use change in 2050 under three scenarios

Slide 21

Modeled Land Use Cover in the Basin under three scenarios Land use change model developed by Lewis and Plantinga. Monte Carlo analysis with 500 runs. Lewis and Plantinga (2007) and Lubowski et al. (2006) Circa 2050

Slide 22

Step 2: Run InVEST models

Slide 23

Slide 24

Change in Ecosystem Services: 1990 - 2050

Slide 25

Scenario

Slide 26

B. Outputs through time Nelson et al. 2009 FEE Step 3: Visualize results B. Outputs through time

Slide 27

Win-Win Lose-Lose Tradeoff analysis Service 1 Service 2 Step 3: Visualize results C. Tradeoffs analysis

Slide 28

Nelson et al. 2009 FEE

Slide 29

Slide 30

Daily et al. FEE 2009