economics of patents in the 21st century? do we …...“distributional” (north vs. south) - 1995:...
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© Meir P. Pugatch 2012, The unauthorized use of this presentation is forbidden
Prof. Meir Perez Pugatch
University of Haifa
Economics of Patents in the 21st Century?
Do We Need a Paradigm Shift?
Inter-Regional Seminar on
Economic Issues of Intellectual Property Rights
September 2012
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Some figures to begin with – volume!
© Meir P. Pugatch 2012
USPTO Patent Applications and Grants
0
100000
200000
300000
400000
500000
600000
Y2010Y2005Y2000Y1995Y1990Y1980Y1970Y1963
Applications
Grants
Grants Applications USPTO
244341 520277 Y2010
157718 417508 Y2005
175979 315015 Y2000
113834 228238 Y1995
99077 176264 Y1990
66170 112379 Y1980
67964 109359 Y1970
48971 90982 Y1963 2
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Some figures to begin with – what does this say
about quality of patents?
© Meir P. Pugatch 2012
USPTO annual grants ratio (of total applications)
0.00%
10.00%
20.00%
30.00%
40.00%
50.00%
60.00%
70.00%
Y2010Y2005Y2000Y1995Y1990Y1980Y1970Y1963
Grants ratio
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Some figures to begin with – internationalization
© Meir P. Pugatch 2012
50484543
47
38
27
18
0
10
20
30
40
50
Y2010Y2005Y2000Y1995Y1990Y1980Y1970Y1963
% of USPTO patents granted to foreign nationals
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EPO-granted patents
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Innovation is still based in the “developed world”
© Meir P. Pugatch 2012
OECD Science and Technology Scorecard 2011
ZAF
USA
TUR
SWE
SVN
SVK
SAU
RUS
PRT
POL
OECD
NZL
NOR
NLD
MEX
LUX
KORJPN
ITA
ISR
ISL
IRL
IND
HUNGRC
GBR
FRAFIN
EU27
EST
ESP
DNK
DEU
CZE
CHN
CHL
CHE
CAN
BRIICS
BRA
BEL
AUTAUS
ARG
0
1
10
100
1 000
0 1 10 100 1 000
Triadic patent families per capita
Trademarks abroad per capita
IDN
Axes in logarithmic scale
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AUS
AUT
BEL
CANCHLCZE
DNK
EST
FIN
FRA
DEU
GRCHUN
ISL
IRL
ISRITA
JPNKOR
LUX
MEX
NLD
NZLNOR
POLPRT
SVK
SVN
ESP SWE
CHE
TUR
GBR
USA
BRA
CHN
IND
RUS
0
20
40
60
80
0 20 40 60 80
OECD - International collaboration in science and innovation, 2007-09
International co-inventions (%)
International co-authorship (%) - PCT applications
Collaboration is increasing, but still inconsistent
© Meir P. Pugatch 2012
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The unique nature of knowledge
Knowledge is NOT
inherently scarce
Knowledge is a PUBLIC GOOD (non-rival; non-excludable)
Modern economics
deals with the
problem of scarcity
BUT THIS IS ALSO THE PROBLEM!
© Meir P. Pugatch 2012
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• Free-riding (Arrow, 1962)
• Secrecy
• Industrial segmentation (advantage to economies of scale)
Problems caused in the absence of IP protection
Underproduction of inventions
Problems deriving from IP protection
Artificial scarcity: “the establishment of private property rights in
these cases (knowledge) artificially creates the symptoms of scarcity;
they do not derive from it” (Hindley,1971)
Pros and cons of patents
© Meir P. Pugatch 2012
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Access
Goals of IP Policy
Incentive for innovation
‘Paradox of patents’: by slowing down the diffusion of technical
progress, patents ensure that there will be more progress to
diffuse (Robinson, 1956)
THIS IS NOT AN EASY TASK!
Policy of patents - a ‘double-edged’ sword?
© Meir P. Pugatch 2012
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-19th Century: Europe – philosophical, economic and social
-Mid 20th Century: United States – industrial
-Mid 1970s: Developing countries (UNCTAD) –
“distributional” (north vs. south)
-1995: Global debate (post-TRIPS era) – all of the above + are
patents really a proxy for “real” innovation and value creation? (too much
patenting?)
Debates on patents are not new
21st Century Patent Debates
© Meir P. Pugatch 2012
The battle over “INNOVATIVITY”
(innovation and creativity
combined)
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New debates/challenges
Patent trolls
• Patents as a tool for “extortion”
• No real intention for industrial application/progress
• Systemic abuse
• Slow technological progress rather than enhance it
© Meir P. Pugatch 2012
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New debates/challenges
Patent wars
• Patents as a WMD (the patenting arms race)
• Clash of the titans (Google, Apple, Samsung…)
• Collaboration “out” – confrontation “in”
• Patent thickets (ICT)
© Meir P. Pugatch 2012
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New debates/challenges
Patent quality
• Incremental innovation or ever-greening (pharma)?
• The “inventive step” threshold
• System overload leads to superficial examination?
© Meir P. Pugatch 2012
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New debates/challenges
Standards and patents – the new frontier
• Standards replace the role of platform technologies
(mobile, IT, web, firewalls, voice over IP, interface, etc)
• “Standards-essential” patents are the closest thing to
a pure monopoly
• SSOs are becoming increasingly aware about the role
of patents
• Disclosure requirements and royalties based on
FRAND are pivotal
© Meir P. Pugatch 2012
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Patents obsolete or still essential?
• Technological innovation - Innovation models and the role
of incentive and distribution mechanisms
• The pros and cons of “one-size fits all” vs. “flexible”
models (“discretionary models”)
• So called open platforms, how effective are they really?
(Linux)
• Have the fields of technology expanded beyond any point
of convergence (mechanics, pharma, mobile, web)?
• Do patents expedite or slow the pace of technological
progress (compared to what?)?
© Meir P. Pugatch 2012
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Yes, patents are still essential!
• Still the most practical and effective way to create
incentives and to facilitate access
• The tests of “inventiveness” are far more robust than any
other model (despite the flaws)
• The model is transparent, non-discriminatory and does
NOT change with the ‘flavor of the month’
• The bottom line is that today more than ever, new
innovations still rely on, seek and use patent protection
• A major tool for facilitation and sharing of knowledge (as
opposed to keeping innovations secret)
BUT, changes are needed! 17
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Systemic changes are needed
• Examination process and scope of rights needs to differ
from one field to another
• Duplication of examination resources needs to be reduced
significantly (one examination, grant in multiple jurisdictions)
• Introduce another test – the “self development test” (to
fight patent trolls and “patent traders”)?
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I knew that a country without a
patent office and good patent
laws was just a crab,
and couldn't travel any way but
sideways or backways.
Mark Twain
A Connecticut Yankee in King Arthur's Court
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Prof Meir Perez Pugatch (MSc, PhD)
University of Haifa, School of Public Health
Address: [email protected]
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