economic outlook: here we grow again?
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Economic Outlook: Here We Grow Again?. Matt Croucher PhD Chief Economist Arizona Public Service Co. US GDP: Where We Currently Stand. Time For “THAT” Discussion. Which Sparky?. US GDP: The “New Normal”………?. US Long-Term Unemployed: Structural Problems?. - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
Economic Outlook: Here We Grow Again?
Matt Croucher PhDChief Economist
Arizona Public Service Co.
US GDP: Where We Currently Stand
Time For “THAT” Discussion
Which Sparky?
US GDP: The “New Normal”………?
US Long-Term Unemployed: Structural Problems?
US Labor Force Participation Rates by Age: Dispelling a Myth
• 25 – 49 year olds have rates above 80 percent – have stayed relatively flat
Interest Rates Lowering the Cost of New Investment
Case-Shiller Home Price Index: Metro Phoenix
Cumulative Supply of Excess HousingAPS Territory, Metro Phoenix
Nonresidential Building Vacancy: Metro Phoenix
Arizona Total Nonfarm Jobs: The Climb has begun
• Seasonally Adjusted
Arizona: Looking at the Sectors
Conclusion
• We are seeing signs of (sustained) traction/rebound in the Arizona Economy
• Need to remember that the long-term fundamentals are still in place
• My real GDP forecast?• D: One of the above