economic impact summary 2014 2ppa4 final

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Economic Impact of Travel & Tourism 2014 Annual Update: Summary The direct contribution of Travel & Tourism to the world economy grew by 3.1% in 2013, contributing US$2.2 trillion 1 to world gross domestic product (GDP) and 101 million jobs. Taking its wider supply chain impacts into account, Travel & Tourism’s total contribution to global GDP grew by 3.0% in 2013, faster than overall economic growth for the third consecutive year and outperforming other global sectors such as manufacturing, retail and distribution, public services and financial and business services. Travel & Tourism represents US$7.0 trillion (2013 prices), 266 million jobs, US$754 billion in investment and US$1.3 trillion in exports. 1.4 million additional jobs were generated directly in the sector in 2013, and in total, 4.7 million new jobs were created as a result of tourism activity. The total contribution of Travel & Tourism to employment grew 1.8% in 2013. Travel & Tourism’s contribution equates to 9.5% of total economy GDP, 1 in 11 of the world’s total jobs, 4.4% of total investment and 5.4% of world exports. Global Performance: 2013 WTTC’s annual economic research, conducted in conjunction with our research partner, Oxford Economics, found that 2013 was another successful year for the Travel & Tourism sector off the back of an improving economy. In a year of significant exchange rate changes, international tourism spending in 2013 was 14% higher than the previous peak levels in real terms, while domestic spending was 6% higher than its previous peak. 2013 saw weaker-than-predicted global economy growth. A significant downgrade to total economy investment growth (from 3.5% to 1.9%) led to dampened growth in Travel & Tourism investment (from 4.2% vs 2.9%). Subdued GDP growth was observed across many economies, and especially among those in emerging markets. Various industry indicators support the view that international Travel & Tourism was robust in 2013. Hotel performance was solid with higher demand, price and occupancy rates in all regions. International air passenger demand grew for the fourth consecutive year, measured in terms of revenue passenger kilometres, and growth accelerated as the year progressed. Continued additions to seat capacity in all world regions will ensure further growth is possible in 2014. Combined with the improvements in pricing, this is indicative of rising confidence within the sector. Travel & Tourism business spending growth weakened in 2013 relative to 2012 (from 3.1% to 3.0%), while Travel & Tourism leisure spending growth performed marginally better (3.2% to 3.3%). Visitor exports exceeded expectations with 3.9% growth, offsetting weaker domestic Travel & Tourism spending (2.9% growth). Regional Performance: 2013 Regionally, South East Asia is the fastest growing region for both Travel & Tourism contribution to GDP and employment growth at 7.9% and 4.1% respectively, while North Africa lags with falls of -5.8% and -4.6% respectively. South East Asia’s lead is bolstered by a number of strong performing countries in the region, notably Thailand, Indonesia, Singapore and Myanmar. 1 All US$ amounts are in 2013 prices. Economic Impact of Travel & Tourism 2014 Annual Update: Summary 1 Economic Impact Summary 2014_2ppA4.indd 1 04/03/2014 10:44

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Page 1: Economic Impact Summary 2014 2ppA4 FINAL

Economic Impact of Travel & Tourism 2014 Annual Update: Summary• The direct contribution of Travel & Tourism to the world economy grew by 3.1% in 2013,

contributing US$2.2 trillion1 to world gross domestic product (GDP) and 101 million jobs.

• Taking its wider supply chain impacts into account, Travel & Tourism’s total contribution to global GDP grew by 3.0% in 2013, faster than overall economic growth for the third consecutive year and outperforming other global sectors such as manufacturing, retail and distribution, public services and financial and business services. Travel & Tourism represents US$7.0 trillion (2013 prices), 266 million jobs, US$754 billion in investment and US$1.3 trillion in exports.

• 1.4 million additional jobs were generated directly in the sector in 2013, and in total, 4.7 million new jobs were created as a result of tourism activity. The total contribution of Travel & Tourism to employment grew 1.8% in 2013.

• Travel & Tourism’s contribution equates to 9.5% of total economy GDP, 1 in 11 of the world’s total jobs, 4.4% of total investment and 5.4% of world exports.

Global Performance: 2013• WTTC’sannualeconomicresearch,conductedinconjunctionwithourresearchpartner,Oxford

Economics,foundthat2013wasanothersuccessfulyearfortheTravel&Tourismsectoroffthebackofanimprovingeconomy.Inayearofsignificantexchangeratechanges,internationaltourismspendingin2013was14%higherthanthepreviouspeaklevelsinrealterms,whiledomesticspendingwas6%higherthanitspreviouspeak.

• 2013sawweaker-than-predictedglobaleconomygrowth.Asignificantdowngradetototaleconomyinvestmentgrowth(from3.5%to1.9%)ledtodampenedgrowthinTravel&Tourisminvestment(from4.2%vs2.9%).SubduedGDPgrowthwasobservedacrossmanyeconomies,andespeciallyamongthoseinemergingmarkets.

• VariousindustryindicatorssupporttheviewthatinternationalTravel&Tourismwasrobustin2013.Hotelperformancewassolidwithhigherdemand,priceandoccupancyratesinallregions.Internationalairpassengerdemandgrewforthefourthconsecutiveyear,measuredintermsofrevenuepassengerkilometres,andgrowthacceleratedastheyearprogressed.Continuedadditionstoseatcapacityinallworldregionswillensurefurthergrowthispossiblein2014.Combinedwiththeimprovementsinpricing,thisisindicativeofrisingconfidencewithinthesector.

• Travel&Tourismbusinessspendinggrowthweakenedin2013relativeto2012(from3.1%to3.0%),whileTravel&Tourismleisurespendinggrowthperformedmarginallybetter(3.2%to3.3%).

• Visitorexportsexceededexpectationswith3.9%growth,offsettingweakerdomesticTravel&Tourismspending(2.9%growth).

Regional Performance: 2013 • Regionally,SouthEastAsiaisthefastestgrowingregionforbothTravel&TourismcontributiontoGDP

andemploymentgrowthat7.9%and4.1%respectively,whileNorthAfricalagswithfallsof-5.8%and-4.6%respectively.SouthEastAsia’sleadisbolsteredbyanumberofstrongperformingcountriesintheregion,notablyThailand,Indonesia,SingaporeandMyanmar.

1All US$ amounts are in 2013 prices.

Economic Impact of Travel & Tourism 2014 Annual Update:Summary 1

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Economic Impact of Travel & Tourism 2014 Annual Update:Summary2

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Tel: +44 (0) 207 481 8007Fax: +44 (0) 207 488 1008Email: [email protected]

www.wttc.org

• PoorperformanceinNorthAfricacanlargelybeexplainedbysharpfallsindemandfortraveltoEgyptlinkedtopoliticalinstability.GrowthintheMiddleEasthasbeenhamperedbytheconflictinSyriaandthespill-overeffectstoneighbouringcountries,althoughbothUAEandSaudiArabiaperformedstrongly.

• InEurope,totalTravel&TourismGDPandemploymentgrowthhavebeenboostedbystrongdemandfromlong-haulmarketsandhaveexceededexpectations.Therehasalsobeensomeencouraginggrowthinintra-regionaldemand.Greeceisanexamplehere,wherearrivalsfromRussiaandTurkeyhaveincreasedfour-foldinrecentyears.

• AmongtheG20economies,Travel&Tourismoutperformedtheoveralleconomyin13ofthe20countries,whileoverall,Indonesia,ChinaandTurkeyhadthegreatestyearonyeargrowthincontributiontoGDP.TheEuropeanUnionnationswithinthegroup,Italy,FranceandGermany,stillstrugglingtoovercometheeffectsoftherecession,allexperiencedafallinTravel&Tourism’sGDPcontributionfor2013.

• ThefastestgrowthintermsofTravel&Tourism’stotalcontributiontoGDPwasseenamongthecountriesofTheGambia,Georgia,Qatar,HongKongandThailand.ConflictwithinthecountriesofSyria,MaliandEgyptledtothelargestdeclinesintheyear.

Global 2014 Outlook • 2014lookstobeanevenmorepromisingyearfortheTravel&Tourismsectorasgrowthpicks

upacrossthewiderglobaleconomy,ledbyfallingunemploymentandstrongerconsumerspending.Thesector’scontributiontoGDPisexpectedtogrowby4.3%thisyear,upfrom3%in2013andinternationalgrowthisonceagainforecasttobeatdomesticgrowth.

• Furthermore,asin2013,Travel&Tourismgrowthissettooutpacegrowthinthewidereconomyin2014(4.3%vs2.8%)andallbutfouroftheG20countriesareexpectedtohavegrowthfromTravel&Tourismthatexceedsthatoftheeconomyasawhole.WealsoexpectthatTravel&Tourismgrowthwillremainaheadofothersignificantindustries.

• WeexpectTravel&Tourismin2014togeneratearound6.5millionnewjobsintotal,2.2millionofthemdirectlycreatedwithinthesector.Thisrepresentsgrowthratesof2.5%and2.2%respectively.AllregionsareforecasttoenjoybothTravel&TourismGDPandemploymentgrowthin2014.

• Asanindicatorofrecovery,long-haultravel,whichgrewinshareofglobalarrivalsfrom21%to25%between2003and2013,isexpectedtocontinuetogainanevenlargershareofinternationaltourismdemand,ledbyEuropeanlong-hauldemand.Travelpricesthathavebeenheldlowduetosubdueddemandovertherecentyearsshouldalsobegintorisein2014,increasingindustryprofitability.

• Touristsarealsoexpectedtospendmorepertripin2014,withalongeraveragelengthofstay.Tourismspendinggrowthisexpectedtoexceedarrivalsgrowththisyear,reversingrecenttrends.

Ten Year Outlook and New World Order: 2014-2024• BothtotalanddirectTravel&TourismGDParesettogrowonaverageby4.2%peryear

andgrowthinthesectorisexpectedtocontinuetoexceedthatinthewidereconomyaswellasotherindustriesinthelong-run.

• Overthecourseofcomingdecade,weexpectTravel&Tourismtoprovideatotalof74.5millionnewjobs,23.2millionofwhichwillbeprovideddirectlywithinthesector.

• ThecontributionofTravel&Tourismtothewidereconomyisexpectedtorisefrom9.5%in2013to10.3%in2024.Keytothisincreasedcontributionisexpectedgrowthindemandfromemergingmarkets,andarisingimportanceofTravel&Tourisminoverallconsumerspending.

• AsiaremainsthefastestgrowingTravel&Tourismregioninthelong-run,whileRussiaandTurkeywillbeintegraltoboostinglong-runEuropeangrowth.Inthelongerrun,theexpandingmiddleclassinemergingmarketswillkeepaveragepricesstableastourismbecomesmuchmoreofamassmarketactivity.Luxurytravelwillstillcontinuetogrow,butnotasfastasoveralldemand.

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