economic history of the region twente, the netherlands
TRANSCRIPT
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Innovation driven regional developmentCase study region Twente, Eastern Netherlands
Jacques BazenLecturer international economics
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Contents
Part I – What history teaches us about economic development
Part II – What could be done to achieve economic development
Part III - Conclusion
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PART IWhat history teaches us
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Regional Development
“You have to know the past to understand the present.” – Carl Sagan (astronomer)
Every time period adds its own building blocks
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Region TwenteEastern Part of The Netherlands
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Population development in Twente
1795 1849 1889 1950 2000October 2012
Twente region - total population 55 580 83 871 120 963 377 286 611 797 626 591
Almelo - city 2162 3448 8269 41 528 71 026 72 795
Almelo - rural area 2383 3180 5038Enschede - city 1835 3778 7180 106 882 151 346 158 371
Enschede - rural area (+ Lonneker) 4838 8000 15 533Hengelo - town 678 1844 4539 48 547 80 910 80 909
Hengelo - rural area 1989 1794 5724Oldenzaal 2087 2913 4346 12 930 31 180 32 166Other settlements 39 608 58 914 70 334 167 399 277 335 282 350
The Netherlands - total population 1 880 463 3 056 879 4 511 415 10 026 773 15 863 950 16 655 799
Population of region Twente as % of population of The Netherlands 2.96 2.74 2.68 3.76 3.86 3.76
Source: Central Bureau for Statistics and Volkstellingen (Census data)
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Region Twente – Middle Ages
Figure 4: Areas with peaty soils (swamps) in purple in TwenteSource: Map Overijssel province, Nicolaas ten Have, 1652
The region was physically very isolated from the rest of The Netherlands
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Region Twente – Land use
In the Middle Ages and Early Modern period:Isolated region with mostly marginal land use: Subsistance farming and ranching (sheep and horses)
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Region Twente – Land use
In the Middle Ages and Early Modern period:Isolated region with mostly marginal land use: Subsistance farming and ranching (sheep and horses)
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Region Twente - Industry
Poverty led to the development of home industry: Farmers earning some extra household income Flax production and textile production.
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Wandering traders – “Tödden”
Travelling merchants transported different goods to the urban markets.
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Industrialization of Twente
First half of the 19th century: Development of industrial textile production
Why then?
Why in Twente?
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Industrialization of Twente
• More and more cotton imported from colonies / America
• Home industry too small emergence of factories economies of scale
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Industrialization of Twente
Location theories of industry:Alfred Weber “Standort der Industrien”
- Minimum cost location (low wages inTwente)
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Industrialization of Twente
18061808
18101812
18141816
18181820
18221824
18261828
18301832
18341836
18381840
18421844
18461848
18500
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
60000
70000
80000
90000
Yearly textile production of Blijdestein company Enschede from 1806 - 1850
Textile production measured as number of produced pieces of textile
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Just economic reasons?
• Ghent (now Belgium) used to be the main center for textile production in United Kingdom of The Netherlands (before 1830)
• Textile industry was the “high-tech” industry of the early 19th century
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Just economic reasons?
• Belgian independence in 1830 led to strong government funded development of the textile industry in Twente.
• The King wanted to have his own Texile industry
• Twente was far enough away from the new Belgian border underdeveloped, low wages, but experienced craftsmen.
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Industry pioneers Twente
Entrepreneurial innovators:• C.T. Stork• Thomas Ainsworth• Charles de Maere• Willem de Clercq
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Golden Age of Twente
The largest steam driven textile factory was operated by the Van Heek family. Largest industrial firm of the Netherlands in 1910.
Hendrik Jan van Heek
Gerrit Jan van Heek
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Golden Age of Twente
Enschede, a boom town… Early 20th century
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A Wealthy city
On average Enschede was one of the most wealthy cities in The Netherlands in the early 20th century.
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But a big division between rich and poor
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The downfall of the textile industry
After the second world war, Van Heek and the other textile factories were considered giants: Too big to fail…
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But they still failed...
The question is why?
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Why the textile industry failed
• Direct reason: Too high wages. Due to globalization, too strong competition
• But there is more: Technical development: High tech had become low tech…
• The second and third generation of factory owners lost the entrepreneurial spirit fortresses of conservatism
• Too little innovation result: Failure
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Notable exception
One textile factory succeeded in turning the tide and become innovative & world leading: Ten Cate in Nijverdal.
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Employment in the textile industry
19691971
19731975
19771979
19811983
19851987
19891991
19931995
19971999
20012003
20052007
20092011
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180Development of number of jobs in the textile industry from 1969 to 2011
x100
0
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Disappearance of the textile industry
“Innovation comes with creative destruction”, Josef Schumpeter
What/who doesn’t innovate becomes obsolete! New replaces old
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Polaroid Enschede,Efficient… but not
effective!
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Hengelo
• Hengelo fared a little better than Enschede and Almelo
• Reason: Hengelo was mainly focused on machine building. More innovative and more highly educated workforce.
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Higher education in NL
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How to deal with such a crisis?
• When a region is so much in crisis like Twente…
• Can you do something?
• If so…who should do something… and what… which measures work to improve the situation?
• And what if you do nothing?
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Enschede city center
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Enschede city center
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The problem: The vicious circle
• Less jobs means less opportunities• Less opportunities mean people will move
out• If people move out… then companies and
services have less customers and potential employees…
• There is a chance more companies move out or get bankrupted…
• Go to the first bullet on top of this page…
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The vicious circle
Example: DetroitOnce the pride of America’s car industry…Population fell by 25% between 2000 and 2010
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The virtuous circle
Example: San Francisco Bay AreaCommunities in the Bay Area grow very fast because of the technology boom.
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Theories about development
Richard Florida: The creative class causes economic growthThe more you can attract them the better
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PART IIWhat could be done?
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Regional Development
What is the role of the government and the market in developing regions?
Somewhere along the continuum:• Planned economy, government decides
what will be where (North Korea).• Laissez-faire economy, government lets
market forces decide what will be where (USA).
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How did the Dutch government act?
“Middle position” on the continuum, moving towards direction of capitalism throughout the decades.
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Main problem with regional development policy
The Netherlands is not a laboratory… very difficult to measure results of policies
What are characteristics of well developed regions?
How would you measure them? And influence them?
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Preconditions
When making regional development strategies, there are some important conditions:
The European Union forbids quite a lot:- Anti trust legislation (anti monopoly and
anti cartel)- No state operating aid for companies- No protectionism at the border / free trade
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How did the Dutch National government act?
Regional policy in Twente (National level):- Phase 1 (1970s): Strong regional economic
policy. SIR system - Phase 2 (1980s, 1990s): Investment
support- Phase 3 (1990s, 2000s): Corridor
development - Phase 4 (2000s, 2010s): Development of
the area: creative economy & human capital & entrepreneurship support
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Regional policy in Twente
• Phase 1 (1970s): SIR (Selectieve Investerings Regeling) Attempt to move new projects to the periphery of the country.
• Little success…
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Regional policy in Twente
• Phase 2 (1980s, 1990s): Investment bonuses, 15%
• Little success…Companies seemed to prefer something else
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Regional policy in Twente
• Phase 3 (1990s, 2000s): Focus on transport corridors & infrastructure
• Success? Why stop in Twente if you drive from Rotterdam to Berlin?
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Regional policy in Twente
• Phase 4 (2000s, 2010s): Focus on the economic structure region itself.
• Supporting entrepreneurship as driving force for development
• Attention for the creative sector (based on ideas of Florida)
• Difference: Focus on developing the strengths of the regions, not solving the weaknesses
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Regional policy in Twente
• Since 2011: NO national regional development policy anymore in The Netherlands.
• Since 2014: Sectoral development policy, so called “Topsector” policy, in order to develop the strengths of economic sectors and support specialization.
• Regions have to develop their own strategies, and will receive support from the national government for development projects.
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Regional policy in Twente
Of three policy measures implemented in Twente we are pretty sure that they are working in terms of developing the region:
1. Investment in Human Capital (Higher Education)
2. Supporting Entrepreneurship 3. International cooperation
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Investment in Human Capital
• Dutch National government expected since the early 1960s the downfall of the textile industry
• And decided to invest in technical higher education, to keep the region attractive: Building the University of Twente, est. 1962
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Investment in Human Capital
University of Twente functioned as a magnet for Enschede for young people, but the challenge was to let them stay
Alumni migration of the University Twente
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Investment in Human Capital
The idea of the Entrepreneurial University, for example developed at Stanford University offered some ideas about retaining graduates
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Investment in Human Capital
University of Twente adopted very early on the policy of becoming Entrepreneurial university
Rector Van den Kroonenberg
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High Tech campus development
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Shifts in government policy
Earlier phases:- Attracting large investment projects- Attention for building infrastructure- General idea: Creation of any jobs is goodLater phases:- Attracting smaller firms- Attention for local talent: stimulating
enterpreneurship- More attention for creative & high-tech
jobs
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Does it work?
Graduates who are entrepreneurs are more often staying in the region, more than the average graduates.
Alumni migration of the University Twente
Saxion start-up locations
In Twente
Outside
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•Twente region is cooperating with the region Osnabrück and Münster for a long time.
•The regions created a new cooperation platform called EURegio in 1958. The first of its kind.•Now, almost 100 Euroregions
Alfred Mozer
International cooperation
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• – Positive correlation between innovation and internationalisation in enterprises
• – New enterprises that export are an important factor for regional economic growth
• – International start-ups are more ambitious than non international start-ups
• – Positive correlation between internationalisation and succesful entrepreneurs
Research into International cooperation
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Innovation driven regional development
The ideas about and the current government policy of innovation driven regional development is going back to Josef Schumpeter: “Technological progress is the only real source of economic growth”.
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Innovation driven regional development
What does it require of the society within regions?
- Trust - Highly educated people- Entrepreneurial spirit- Cooperation between
institutions (Triple Helix)- Business clusters (even better:
Rainforest ecosystem)
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How to support innovation and entrepreneurship?
- Scouting & fostering talent and stimulating them to start their own business- Coaching & Mentoring nascent entrepreneurs- Research budgets- Supporting the development of clusters / building a rainforest innovation ecosystem (Hwang & Horowitt)
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Entrepreneurship ecosystem
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Business & Science park Twente (Kennispark)
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Business & Science park Twente (Kennispark)
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The question: Was it successful?
Why is it so hard to substantially improve the economic situation in regions?
“For whoever has, will be given more and they will have an abundance. Whoever does not have, even what they have will be taken from them” – Jesus Christ.
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Self sustaining system
Emmanuel Wallersteins world economic system model
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Self sustaining system: Results
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Attractive living environment theory
According to Richard Florida, attractive cities and regions are able to attract creative talents who are the agents of economic development.
Question is: Is Twente an attractive living environment?
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Attractive living environment theory
What makes a region or city to be an attractive living environment?
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Enschede
How do you rate Enschede?
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Attractive living environment theory
According to Florida what really matters is:• Vibrant community• International / diverse atmosphere• Chances for a good job and career• Historical buildings / preferable disused
factories• Availability of Nature / walking or bike routesWhat doesn’t matter is:• “High Culture” (philharmonic orchestra /
theaters)• Professional sports stadium
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Attractive employers?
How does Twente score on having attractive employers in the region?Enough creative jobs to attract and retain talent?
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Measuring regional data of Twente
• Attractive living environment? (How to measure)
• Innovative businesses
• Entrepreneurship/spin offs
• Attractive employers? (How to measure)
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Average income municipalities Twente, 2013
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Employment in the topsectors
Food High Life Sc. Water Che- Energy Profes. ICT Tech Health mistry services
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Entrepreneurship/spin-offs
In 25 years of entrepreneurship support in Twente, around 750 companies and around 6000 jobs have been created. Good scores, internationally seen, but…Is it enough?
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Was it enough to change the structure for this region?
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Attractive employers?
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Unemployment percentage per municipality
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R&D workers as % of total workforce
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And what if people leave?Are they “lost” for the region?
• Migrants may become ambassadors for their region
• In many fast developing regions, reverse brain drain occurs: brain circulation
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PART IIIConclusion
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Development of TwenteStrengths of the region
• Stable population• Lower labour productivity more labour intensive
work• Unemployment higher than average, large
differences in the region• Potential strong innovative region relatively large
investments in R&D• Education level is increasing If relevant at all…
relatively mild brain drain• Strong High Tech Systems and Materials cluster• Entrepreneurship level average however failure to
retain growing successful businesses, Twente as “incubator region”
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Challenges for the region
• Attracting and retaining young talents• International orientation of the people
“Getting fuel in Gronau”, but no further.• Low ethnic diversity• Dealing with empty derelict buildings in
the cities• Finding jobs for lower educated people• Finding more attractive employers
retaining growing start-ups in the region