economic growth: a paradigm, an ideology, a system

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    Economic Growth: a paradigm, an ideology, a

    system

    Submitted in Partial Fulfillment of the Requirements for

    PACS 301-01: Promoting Peace in Perilous Times

    Course Instructor: Lowell Ewert and Mary Lou Klassen

    Caleb Gingrich

    Faculty of Engineering

    Department of Systems Design Engineering

    January 3, 2012

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    Contents

    Acknowledgements . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2

    Executive Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3

    1 Paradigm of Growth . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5

    2 Growth as Saviour: A False Ideology . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7

    3 Understanding Systems . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14

    A modified system . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16

    Bibliography . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27

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    Acknowledgements

    I am familiar with uWaterloo Academic Policy on academic ethics and affirm that this paper

    does not violate any of its provisions.

    I would like to thank the following people for their assistance in writing this paper. They

    all provided useful resources and directed me in helpful directions.

    Luann Good Gingrich

    Lowell Ewert

    Paul Fieguth

    Mark Vander Vennen

    Judy Paul

    Ernie Lightman

    Rebecca Bartel

    2

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    Executive Summary

    In the modern world, economic practises impact every aspect of life. It is crucial to un-

    derstand these practises, and the paradigms and ideologies that drive the economic system.

    When facing issues of international peace, it is impossible to create effective change without

    understanding the economics driving behaviour of individuals, companies and countries.

    The reigning economic paradigm is that of continuous, infinite growth. However, this

    is doomed to fail, as the planet sustaining this economy is finite - the physical space, the

    resources available, and the energy flows are all finite. There are several indications that

    human civilization is reaching the limits of the planet: peak oil and peak phosphorus, re-

    sources that power our economy and our food production, are at the highest possible level

    of production, as will soon begin to decrease.

    Economic growth as an ideology is trumpeted as a the solution to most socio-economic

    and environmental problems. It is important to realize that the positive correlation of

    happiness and economic income only holds up to US$10,000 per capita income. Techno-

    logical advancements driven by economic growth decouple economic growth from negative

    environmental impacts, but while environmental impacts per dollar are decreasing (relative

    decoupling), the total environmental impact is not (absolute decoupling). The limits of GDP

    as an economic measure are also embedded in this ideology. When increasing the GDP is

    the goal, any expenditure is a positive action, and issues of equality are not considered.

    Human understanding of the economic system is founded on several key assumptions:

    rationality of actors, perfect information, and perfect mobility. The assumptions are clearly

    false, and there impacts are not understood. To create an economic system that truly

    3

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    respects the planet and its people, a new paradigm and measurement system is needed.

    The Genuine Wealth Assessment model presented in The Economics of Happiness by Mark

    Anielski provides a model based on more holistic definitions of wealth and capital. The

    GWA method allows the values of the community to be embedded in the economic analysis

    of the community. Anielskis work is expanded by suggesting the creation of a Centre for

    Genuine Wealth Assessment in a community. This Centre would work with the citizens of

    the community to conduction the background work necessary to complete a GWA, define the

    indicators and benchmarks to be used by economic actors in the community (government

    and companies), and collect the data necessary to complete GWA as well as other holistic

    Return on Investment analyses quickly. The Centre would expedite the shift of the economy

    to a fruit-bearing economy, allowing companies to easily adopt a holistic accounting system.

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    The current economic paradigm relies on three key concepts: debt, efficiency, and growth.

    Debt is the fuel that makes the current economy turn. Ninety percent of the worlds money

    is created as debt given by large banks.1 Increased consumption in the West has been fuelled

    by debt, not increases in income. The UK has experienced huge economic growth in the

    last decade, but personal debt has more than doubled, now exceeding the countys GPD. 2

    Efficiency has been raised up as the ultimate goal of our economy. The prime consideration

    of any purchase, any policy, any activity is the return on investment. Ultimately, this is an

    efficiency consideration: how efficiently does this activity turn invested money into profit.

    The growth concept says that as long as there is economic growth, the participants of the

    economy will experience an increase in their income, and therefore their well-being. Consider

    the growth paradigm in more detail.

    1 Paradigm of Growth

    Welcome to planet Earth. Standing on the surface, it captures the senses. The scales are

    staggering. With a mass of 5.97 1024 kg2, a surface area of 5.10 1012 km2, and a volume

    of 1.08 1012 km3, it is incomprehensibly huge.3 Of this volume, only 2% supports life: this

    44 km thick, 22.2 109 km3 layer is known as the biosphere.4 This thin layer supports a

    1Mark Anielski. The Economics of Happiness: Building Genuine Wealth. New Society Publishers, 2007.2Tim Jackson. Prosperity Withouth Growth? The transition to a sustainable economy. Tech. rep. Sustain-

    able Development Commission, 2009. url: http://www.sd-commission.org.uk/publications.php?id=914, p. 24.

    3Wikipedia. Earth. url: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Earth#Chemical_composition.4These numbers were calculated assuming both the Earth and the biosphere are perfect spheres, which

    they are not exactly. The boundaries of the biosphere were taken to be 3 km into the crust, and 41 km abovethe surface. These represent the extremes of where microorganisms have been found.(Ecology: a Canadian context. Toronto: Nelson Education, 2011. isbn: 9780176501143)

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    http://www.sd-commission.org.uk/publications.php?id=914http://www.sd-commission.org.uk/publications.php?id=914http://www.sd-commission.org.uk/publications.php?id=914http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Earth#Chemical_compositionhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Earth#Chemical_compositionhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Earth#Chemical_compositionhttp://www.sd-commission.org.uk/publications.php?id=914http://www.sd-commission.org.uk/publications.php?id=914
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    huge amount of life: 7 billion humans,5 and over 1.4 million animal species.6 The engines of

    life operate on a similar scale. In one year, planetary systems move 1.07 1015 kg of water7,

    458 103 kg of carbon, and 605 103 kg of nitrogen.8 The sun delivers energy to the earth

    and its atmosphere at a rate of 1.7 1017 W, while a world population of 10 billion would

    require around 1 1011 W of energy.9

    While these numbers are staggering, they are not important in and of themselves. They

    are important because they exist, and they are finite. They impose a hard upper limit on

    the space (volume), the land, the water, the materials (carbon), the nutrients and the energy

    available to support life on this earth. The limitations are actually much lower, the resources

    are not all available, and are not uniformly distributed. These limits are difficult to overcome

    on a local scale, and nearly impossible to circumvent globally.10

    Human civilization is quickly reaching the limits of its finite planet. The increasing

    scarcity of food and water, as well as the competition for land between the agriculture

    and energy sectors, is possibly the first sign. Another is the impending Peak Oil crisis.5Oct 31, 2011 was declared as the Day of 7 Billion by the United Nations

    Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat.World Population Prospects, the 2008 Revision Frequently Asked Questions. url: http://esa.un.org/unpd/wpp/Other-Information/faq.htm.

    6Ecology: a Canadian context, op. cit.7Summed water budgets shown on pg 92, Figure 5.1 (Fred T Mackenzie. Our changing planet. Vol. 4.

    Prentice Hall, 2011). Converted to kilogram using the density of water at 20C, given as 998.2 kgm3 (RogerWalker. Table of Density of Pure & Tap Water and Specific Gravity. url: http://www.simetric.co.uk/si_water.htm).

    8Ecology: a Canadian context, op. cit.9The technical problems and economic limitations of solar energy are hidden in these numbers. While

    solar energy is a potent source of energy, it will never completely power our civilization, as it is only suitablefor certain applications.Frank Kreith and Jan F. Kreider. Principles of Solar Engineering. Hemishpere Publishing Corporation, 1978,p. 14.

    10Nuclear power allows humans to circumvent the energy limit. However, current technologies are boundby their dependance on plutonium and uranium as a fuel, again presenting a hard limit to available energy.Fusion presents the possibility of overcoming this limit and would make the available energy virtually limitlessrelative to current usage, but is not technologically possible at this time.

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    http://esa.un.org/unpd/wpp/Other-Information/faq.htmhttp://esa.un.org/unpd/wpp/Other-Information/faq.htmhttp://www.simetric.co.uk/si_water.htmhttp://www.simetric.co.uk/si_water.htmhttp://www.simetric.co.uk/si_water.htmhttp://www.simetric.co.uk/si_water.htmhttp://esa.un.org/unpd/wpp/Other-Information/faq.htmhttp://esa.un.org/unpd/wpp/Other-Information/faq.htm
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    Humanity has consumed around half of the oil reserves available to us. However, the rate

    of production will begin to decrease - a reality incompatible with the current paradigm of

    growth. It has been predicated that with careful planning, the economy could withstand

    a decrease in oil production of 2-5% per year, but a rate of 10% would be catastrophic.

    Materials are experiencing a similar trend. Phosphorus is a key ingredient in fertilizer, and

    is obtained by mining phosphate rock. Studies indicate that peak phosphorus was reached

    worldwide in 1989 - bad news for a population continuing to grow.11 While the current

    information and communication technologies are generally viewed as infinite, the hardware

    they rely on is not. It is dependant on rare elements such as antimony, chromium, gold,

    tantalum, tin, and copper. Production for all of these resources has peaked in the last 50

    years.12 It is clear that the economy will be forced to stop growing imminently13.

    2 Growth as Saviour: A False Ideology

    Even if continued economic growth was possible, it is not necessarily desirable. A strong,

    growing economy is generally viewed as the answer to almost all socio-economic and en-

    vironmental problems. How else can humanity afford to address environmental damage,

    poverty, debt, unemployment. However, investigation into the economic reality of this ide-

    ology demonstrates this premise to be false.

    The most fundamental idea to challenge is that increasing monetary income is the same as

    11Richard Heinberg. The End of Growth: Adapting to our new economic reality. New Society Publishers,2011, Chapter 3.

    12Ibid., Chapter 3.13The peak in material production is not as concerning as the peak in oil, because it is possible to recycle

    and reuse all of these materials. However, current recycling practices are small, as many devices do not allowfor easy recycling. Even with perfect recoiling, infinite grow is still impossible, because the supply is finite.

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    increasing well-being. It has been demonstrated that monetary income and happiness have

    a strong positive correlation up to a point. It is astonishing to realize that this threshold

    occurs, across nations, at US$10,000 per capita income; pushing a countrys income above

    this level has almost no impact on well-being.14 This figure has important implications for the

    lifestyles of the worlds wealthiest countries. According to the economist Andrew Oswald, the

    more money a person has, the more it takes to increase their happiness the same amount.15

    Increases of income may even reduce happiness: between 1957 and 2002, average incomes in

    the US have more than doubled, while 5% fewer citizens rate their lives very happy, divorce

    rates have doubled, teen suicide has tripled, violent crime has quadrupled, and depression

    has become pandemic.16

    Secondly, proponents of economic growth claim that with a strong economy, technology

    will improve efficiencies to such an extent that the environmental concerns are removed.

    At most, small tweaks are suggested, often new government spending programs. Consider

    two illustrative examples: the Green Energy Act in Ontario, and the spending policy of the

    United States.

    The Ontario Green Energy Act, introduced in 2009, encourages the installation of renew-

    able electricity generation through tariffs paid to the producer for all electricity fed to the

    grid.17 This bill has met opposition due to the cost of the feed in tariff program, and some

    poor execution.18 Yet even this controversial move has not had a significant impact. Ontario

    14Ed Diener and Martin E.P. Seligman. Beyond Money: Towards an Economy of Well-Being. In: Psy-cological Science in the Public Interest 5.1 (2004), p. 31. url: http://www.brookings.edu/Comm/events/20040603b.pdf.

    15Anielski, The Economics of Happiness: Building Genuine Wealth, op. cit., p. 223.16David Myers. The Secret of Happiness. In: YES! Magazine (2004). url: yesmagazine.org/article.

    asp?id=866.17Wikipedia. Green Energy Act 2009. url: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Green_Energy_Act_2009.18John Laforet. Ontarios Ballot Box Question: Future of the Green Energy Act. In: The Huffington

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    http://www.brookings.edu/Comm/events/20040603b.pdfhttp://www.brookings.edu/Comm/events/20040603b.pdfhttp://yesmagazine.org/article.asp?id=866http://yesmagazine.org/article.asp?id=866http://yesmagazine.org/article.asp?id=866http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Green_Energy_Act_2009http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Green_Energy_Act_2009http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Green_Energy_Act_2009http://yesmagazine.org/article.asp?id=866http://yesmagazine.org/article.asp?id=866http://www.brookings.edu/Comm/events/20040603b.pdfhttp://www.brookings.edu/Comm/events/20040603b.pdf
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    Power Generation is capable of generating 22 790 MW.19 While total capacity of the 10 000

    proposed projects totals 20 913 MW, only 30 MW of contracts are actually in commercial op-

    eration20. The program has been moving fairly slowly. However, projects totalling 4390 MW

    of capacity have been approved by the OPG.21

    Transportation is the largest single energy use in the US, consuming 28% of all energy

    used, exceeding industrial, commercial and residential uses.22 The federal cost of maintain-

    ing the American highway system is $50 1010 a year.23 The American bailout of the US

    financial system was original priced at $7 1011,24 but it has since exceeded this amount.

    The combined total cost of the wars in Afghanistan, Iraq and Pakistan will likely total

    $4 1012.25 With these figures in mind, consider the fact that it would cost $6 1011 to

    connect every US city with an electrified rail system.26 This system would be able to replace

    85% of the current intercity transportation while using only 5% of the energy currently used

    Post (2011). url: http://www.huffingtonpost.ca/john-laforet/ontario-election-green-energy_b_973630.html.

    19Ontario Power Generation. Counting the Megawatts. url: http://www.opg.com/education/whatwedo/.20

    This only includes proposals to the FIT program. The numbers for the microFIT program are signifi-cantly smaller, and less clear

    21November 25, 2011 Bi-weekly FIT and microFIT Report. Tech. rep. Ontario Power Authority, 2011.url: http://microfit.powerauthority.on.ca/sites/default/files/Bi-Weekly%20FIT%20and%20microFIT%20Report%20November%2025%2C%202011_1.pdf.

    22A.J. Simon and R.D. Belles. Estimated State-Level Energy Flows in 2008. Tech. rep. Lawrence LivermoreNational Lab, 2011. url: https://flowcharts.llnl.gov/.

    23Alan S Drake. A Citizens Guide to an Oil Free Economy. Association for the Study of Peak Oil &Gas, 2010. Chap. Electrified and Improved Railroads. url: http://www.aspousa.org/index.php/2010/10/a-citizens-guide-to-an-oil-free-economy-chapt-1/ .

    24Wikipedia. Emergency Economic Stabilization Act of 2008. url: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Emergency_Economic_Stabilization_Act_of_2008.

    25This number is significantly larger than the Department of Defences direct spending on Iraq ($757.8

    billion), as it includes the interest costs of financing the war and the cost of paying for veterans care intothe future.L. J. Bilmes et al. Cost of War. Watson Institute for Internation Studties, 2011. url: http://costsofwar.org/article/economic-cost-summary

    Wikipedia. Financial cost of the Iraq War. url: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Financial_cost_of_the_Iraq_War#cite_note-0.

    26Heinberg, The End of Growth: Adapting to our new economic reality, op. cit., Chapter 4, Wont Innova-tion, Substitution, and Efficiency Keep Us Growing?

    9

    http://www.huffingtonpost.ca/john-laforet/ontario-election-green-energy_b_973630.htmlhttp://www.huffingtonpost.ca/john-laforet/ontario-election-green-energy_b_973630.htmlhttp://www.huffingtonpost.ca/john-laforet/ontario-election-green-energy_b_973630.htmlhttp://www.opg.com/education/whatwedo/http://www.opg.com/education/whatwedo/http://microfit.powerauthority.on.ca/sites/default/files/Bi-Weekly%20FIT%20and%20microFIT%20Report%20November%2025%2C%202011_1.pdfhttp://microfit.powerauthority.on.ca/sites/default/files/Bi-Weekly%20FIT%20and%20microFIT%20Report%20November%2025%2C%202011_1.pdfhttp://microfit.powerauthority.on.ca/sites/default/files/Bi-Weekly%20FIT%20and%20microFIT%20Report%20November%2025%2C%202011_1.pdfhttps://flowcharts.llnl.gov/https://flowcharts.llnl.gov/http://www.aspousa.org/index.php/2010/10/a-citizens-guide-to-an-oil-free-economy-chapt-1/http://www.aspousa.org/index.php/2010/10/a-citizens-guide-to-an-oil-free-economy-chapt-1/http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Emergency_Economic_Stabilization_Act_of_2008http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Emergency_Economic_Stabilization_Act_of_2008http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Emergency_Economic_Stabilization_Act_of_2008http://costsofwar.org/article/economic-cost-summaryhttp://costsofwar.org/article/economic-cost-summaryhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Financial_cost_of_the_Iraq_War#cite_note-0http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Financial_cost_of_the_Iraq_War#cite_note-0http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Financial_cost_of_the_Iraq_War#cite_note-0http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Financial_cost_of_the_Iraq_War#cite_note-0http://costsofwar.org/article/economic-cost-summaryhttp://costsofwar.org/article/economic-cost-summaryhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Emergency_Economic_Stabilization_Act_of_2008http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Emergency_Economic_Stabilization_Act_of_2008http://www.aspousa.org/index.php/2010/10/a-citizens-guide-to-an-oil-free-economy-chapt-1/http://www.aspousa.org/index.php/2010/10/a-citizens-guide-to-an-oil-free-economy-chapt-1/https://flowcharts.llnl.gov/http://microfit.powerauthority.on.ca/sites/default/files/Bi-Weekly%20FIT%20and%20microFIT%20Report%20November%2025%2C%202011_1.pdfhttp://microfit.powerauthority.on.ca/sites/default/files/Bi-Weekly%20FIT%20and%20microFIT%20Report%20November%2025%2C%202011_1.pdfhttp://www.opg.com/education/whatwedo/http://www.huffingtonpost.ca/john-laforet/ontario-election-green-energy_b_973630.htmlhttp://www.huffingtonpost.ca/john-laforet/ontario-election-green-energy_b_973630.html
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    for that transportation, and would only require 6 years to implement.27 The impact this sort

    of project would have is huge, considering both the environmental benefits, and the value of

    domestic investment.

    Neither of these proposals address the core need for economic growth. They simply en-

    courage decoupling economic production from resource inputs and environmental damage.

    By increasing the efficiency of transportation, the proposed American electrified rail sys-

    tem reduces the energy input required to generate economic output. The Ontario Green

    Energy Act works to replace fossil fuel based energy with renewable energy, reducing the

    environmental damage of economic activity. These efforts are the conventional response to

    the increasing threats of unlimited growth, and even they can be seen as radical and fatal

    to the economy. But they dont address the core issues.

    It is crucial to differentiate between relative and absolute decoupling.28 Relative decou-

    pling is a decrease in the ecological intensity per unit economic output. The examples given

    above all promote relative decoupling. Net impacts can still increase, however, even as rela-

    tive decoupling occurs. Absolute decoupling occurs when the resource or ecological intensity

    declines in absolute terms.

    Relative decoupling is fairly easy to achieve under the current paradigm, because it is

    profitable to seek efficiency increases: indeed, the modern economy excels at finding effi-

    ciencies.29 Since 1970, the global energy intensity decreased 33%, and resource and carbon

    27The energy savings here seem to be optimistic, but I did not read the analysis. The increased efficiency isdue to the lower friction of steel on steel than rubber on concrete, the efficiencies of electric motors comparedto diesel engines, and the possibilities for regenerative braking.Drake, A Citizens Guide to an Oil Free Economy, op. cit.

    28Jackson, Prosperity Withouth Growth? The transition to a sustainable economy, op. cit.29B. McKibben. Deep Economy: The Wealth of Communities and the Durable Future. In: Henry Holt &

    Company, 2008. Chap. 1. isbn: 9780805087222. url: http://books.google.ca/books?id=Y6PDf8w2A\_0C.

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    intensity show similar trends.30 In the Middle East, energy intensity has doubled between

    1980 and 2006, but in India it has been decreasing slowly. China experienced a 70% drop in

    CO2 intensity between 1980 and 2000, but it has begun to increase again in the last decade.

    Both India and China currently have CO2 intensities more than twice the world average.31

    The statistics above demonstrate relative decoupling for some resources. Absolute de-

    coupling, on the other hand, is clearly not occurring. Even with the declining energy and

    carbon intensities, CO2 emissions have been increasing by more than 3% per year.32 World-

    wide trends in primary metal extracting show not only a sharp and accelerating increase, but

    also show an increase in relative intensity.33 Clearly absolute decoupling is not occurring.

    Roughly, absolute decoupling occurs when the sum of the population growth rate and

    the per capita affluence growth rate is less than the rate of relative decoupling.34 To ensure

    absolute decoupling, the population and affluence growth rates must be controlled, as the

    rate of relative decoupling is hard to predict. Past efforts to control population growth and

    affluence growth have not been well received.

    A key barrier to achieving absolute decoupling is that natural resources and services

    are considered external to the economic system. An externality occurs when the economics

    activities of one party causes a change in welfare for another party, but no compensation oc-

    curs.35 It is now understood that the externalities of nature, calledecosystem services, have

    30Jackson, Prosperity Withouth Growth? The transition to a sustainable economy, op. cit.31Ibid.32Ibid.33See Figure 16, page 54

    ibid.34This grows out of the Ehrlich equation, explained in Box 3

    ibid., p. 54.35Herman E. Daly and Joshua C. Farley. Ecological Economics : Principles and Applications. Island Press,

    2004. isbn: 9781559633123. url: http://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&db=nlebk&AN=118237&site=ehost-live&scope=site.

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    huge economic value.36 These services include pollination, decomposition of waste, regula-

    tion of our atmosphere composition (production of oxygen, ozone layer, removal of sulphur

    oxides), water supply and regulation, recreation and cultural aspects.37 Astonishingly, the

    value of these services has been found to be US$33 trillion per year. This is far larger than

    all human economic activities combined.38 No truly accurate economic system could ignore

    these services.

    The most common criticism of the current economic paradigm is the use of Gross Do-

    mestic Product (GDP) to measure economic health. It is well known that a massive oil spill

    is good for the economy because of the significant costs of cleaning it up. The GDP simply

    reports the monetary value of all goods and services both bought and sold in a given econ-

    omy.39 When the GDP is used to report growth, and any economic growth is viewed as an

    increase in well-being, the underlying assumption is that all expenditures, regardless of their

    impacts, is an increase in well-being. Anielski presents a thorough discussion of the prob-

    lems with GDP.40

    In summary, the GDP includes all expediters as a positive contribution,

    minimizes the benefits of other expenditures like education, ignores crucial activities that

    do not generate wealth such as parenting, volunteering and all ecological services, considers

    depleting natural resources as a current income rather than asset liquidation, and does not

    consider the distribution of growth or the social costs of inequality and poverty.

    Perhaps the largest issue with the GDP, at least from a human rights standpoint, is that

    is does not capture the wealth or income distributions in a country. Reganomics says that

    36McKibben, Deep Economy: The Wealth of Communities and the Durable Future, op. cit.37Robert Costanza et al. The value of the worlds ecosystem services and natural capital. In: Nature

    387.6630 (May 1997), pp. 253260. url: http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/387253a0.38McKibben, Deep Economy: The Wealth of Communities and the Durable Future, op. cit.39Anielski, The Economics of Happiness: Building Genuine Wealth, op. cit.40Ibid., Chapter 3: Whats wrong with the picture of progress.

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    growth of an economy will benefit all members of the economy - by trickling down from

    the rich to the poor. There are many issues with this theory, both ethical and systematic.

    For instance, how does one control the huge multinational corporations that result from

    encouraging massive growth of the people with the greatest resources to achieve this. But

    most importantly, the trick down theory has been proven to be false. The wealth does not

    trickle down. Even as Indias GDP grew significantly in the last decade, the incomes of

    the poorest 50% of the country have stagnated or declined! There is huge irony in the fact

    economic models predict the best way to create growth quickly is to redistribute wealth

    evenly.

    The main solution put forward in the literature is replacing the GDP as the measure of

    economic activity. Many have tried: the British have been working on developing an index

    of well-being; Statistics Canada is trying to measure education, environmental quality and

    community vitality; and the Australians have developed an inclusive wealth framework.41

    Cliff Cobb developed the Genuine Progress Indicator, a measure that begins with the GDP,

    and adjusts for several shortcomings Cobb identified.42 Other indicators abound: Ecological

    Footprint, Full Cost Accounting, Global Peace Index, Green Gross Domestic Product, Happy

    Planet Index, Human Development Index, Index of Sustainable Economic Welfare, Living

    Planet Index, Quality-of-life Index,43 Index for Social Health, and World Wildlife Funds

    Living Planet Index.44 Note that some of these indicators are intended to provide a single

    measure to evaluate the state of all economic activities, while others simply seek to measure

    41McKibben, Deep Economy: The Wealth of Communities and the Durable Future, op. cit.42Anielski, The Economics of Happiness: Building Genuine Wealth, op. cit., p. 30.43Absolute Astronomy. Genuine Progress Indicator. url: http://www.absoluteastronomy.com/topics/

    Genuine_Progress_Indicator.44Anielski, The Economics of Happiness: Building Genuine Wealth, op. cit., p. 40.

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    other factors not included in the GDP in order allow their use in decision making.

    3 Understanding Systems

    The GDP constitutes a crude mathematical model of the economic system, for the purposes

    of measuring economic health. When modelling a system mathematically, simplifications

    are always made. Mathematics provide a formal way of abstracting the real world into a

    form that is convenient. These simplifications are called assumptions, and are made because

    they significantly reduce the complexity of the model. For example, when modelling the

    movement of a simple box sliding down a ramp in physics, several assumptions are made.

    The body is assumed to be rigid (does not change shape or deform) with all of its mass at

    one point. The forces involved are assumed to be point forces all acting on the boxs centre

    of gravity (forces at only at a point, instead of being distributed over a surface). Finally,

    a frictionless environment is assumed. All of these assumptions make the system much

    easier to model - a high school student can model this system, where if these assumptions

    are removed, a mechanical engineering graduate would be required to handle the math and

    complex physics.

    Similar simplifications or assumptions are made when modelling the current economic

    system. The current understanding of the economic system relies completely on these as-

    sumptions. They are rationality, perfect information, and perfect mobility.45 Rationality is

    the assumption that all economic decision makers act rationally in all decisions. This be-

    haviour is called utility maximization, and is the process of determining the action that

    45Ernie Lightman. Social Policy in Canada. Toronto: Oxford University Press, 2003.

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    will provide the decision maker with the greatest happiness, or security, or self-satisfaction,

    depending on the goal of the decision maker.46 Perfect information is the assumption that the

    decision maker has all the information they need to determine what actions will maximize

    their utility: they know all alternatives, the true cost of each alternative, and the true out-

    come of each alternative, without any uncertainty. Perfect mobility is the assumption that

    the decision maker can access all options on the market. Together, these assumptions ensure

    that a market-economy will provide everyone with exactly what they need, at the lowest

    possible cost.47 Consider an illustrative example. When Margaret Thatcher was Prime Min-

    ister of Britain, she would read all the newspapers looking for the best sale on toilet paper,

    drive to the store with the best price, purchase several hundred rolls and store them in her

    basement.48 While this seems logical, not everyone could behave that way. This behaviour

    is enabled by Thatchers ability to purchase all the newspapers (perfect information), the

    time to analyze the information and make a decision (rationality), and the ability to drive

    anywhere in the city and store huge volumes of toilet paper (perfect mobility).

    The problem with the assumptions of the economic system is that their effects on the

    system are not known. In the physics example, it is well understood that ignoring friction

    will mean the model predicts a higher speed than will be achieved in actuality. It is much

    easier to use experiential judgement to adjust for this effect than to model friction, which

    is extremely difficult to describe mathematically. Through experimentation, it is known

    that the other assumptions have little effect in the situation of a box sliding down a ramp,

    and it is known when these assumptions cannot be safely made (modelling a building or

    46McKibben, Deep Economy: The Wealth of Communities and the Durable Future, op. cit. , p. 30.47Lightman, Social Policy in Canada, op. cit.48Ibid.

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    a bridge). The impacts of assuming rationality, perfect information, and perfect mobility

    are not understood completely. More concerning, it appears that these assumptions are so

    engrained in economic practise, that they are not even accounted for or discussed.49

    A modified system

    In The Economics of Happiness, Mark Anielski presents a new economic paradigm.50 The

    paradigm begins by examining our definition of wealth. The word wealth has roots in the

    Old English words weal (well-being) and th (condition).51 In Greek, euporeo is the word for

    wealth, and comes from the roots eu (well) and poros (a passage).52 So wealth is the means

    to achieving, or the state of well-being.

    By redefining wealth, definition of capital is also radically changed. Capital is the wealth

    available for the production of more wealth that is owned or used by an economic individual.53

    Anielski, in the tradition of ecological economics, defines five kinds of capital, which better

    capture all aspects of an economy:

    1. Human capital

    2. Natural capital

    3. Social capital

    4. Built capital

    5. Financial capital

    49Ibid.50Anielski, The Economics of Happiness: Building Genuine Wealth, op. cit.51Ibid., p. 16.52Ibid., p. 16.53Ibid., p. 26.

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    Human capital is the defined by considering all that is of value in a human: minds, bodies,

    spirits, souls, dreams, visions, knowledge, skills, competencies, capabilities.54 Any loss in

    health, be it mental, physical, emotional or spiritual, is a loss in human capital. Social

    capital captures the value of relationships. It is trust, collaboration, shared responsibility,

    reciprocity and belonging.55 Natural capital is all of the natural world. It can be considered

    the ecosystem services discussed earlier. Some natural capital can be regenerated, like forests

    and air quality, while others, like oil and mineral resources, are finite. Manufacturing and

    industry converts natural and human capital into built capital. This consists of equipment,

    buildings, tools, factories and all physical infrastructure, be it private or public.56 Intellectual

    property is also considered built capital. Finally, financial capital is anything captured by

    monetary terms, such as cash, savings, and investments. Financial capital also includes debt

    and other financial liabilities.57

    These different forms of capital come from a deep understanding of the human and natural

    world in which all economies operate. They can be viewed as different levels of a process, all

    working towards well-being, when a distinction is made between means and ends.58 Means

    are the inputs to the system, the foundations that make everything possible. Ends are the

    outputs of the system, the goals to be achieved through use of the ends. Economists Herman

    Daly and Josh Farley proposed the continuum shown in Figure 3 after building on the work

    of Max-Neef and Maslow who identified different categories of human needs and wants59.60

    54Ibid., p. 74.55Ibid., p. 74.56Ibid., p. 76.57Ibid., p. 76.58Ibid., p. 69.59Ibid., p. 69.60Figure 5.3

    ibid., p. 73.

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    Figure 1: The Capital Continuum, working from Means to Ends

    Using these five capitals, a holistic accounting system, called Genuine Wealth Accounting,

    can be envisioned. From a personal perspective, education is no longer simply a huge expense

    necessary to acquire a career. Instead, it is an expenditure of financial capital that increases

    personal human capital in the form of knowledge, skills and competencies. Moreover, it allows

    a fuller understanding of the university experience, because the values of lifelong friendships

    and professional networks can be captured in social capital. This system of accounting then

    provides a much more accurate picture of economic activities, and the impact they have

    on what is valued at a personal, household, community, workplace, municipal, national or

    international level.61

    A key consideration of this process is the values, principles and virtues of the individual

    the accounting process is serving. Values are the components that make life worthwhile,

    define happiness, and meet the desires of the individual.62 Principles are the guidelines, as-

    sumptions, laws and beliefs that guide the actions of the individual.63 Virtues are the quali-

    ties that are viewed as morally good and admirable.64 The process of completing a Genuine

    Wealth Accounting is much different than a normal accounting process. It requires processes

    61Ibid., p. 77.62Ibid., p. 67.63Ibid., p. 67.64Ibid., p. 67.

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    Figure 2: The Genuine Wealth Accounting Process

    of holistic stock taking and introspection, identifying appropriate statistical measures, and

    visioning and implementation.65 Consider the complete cycle shown in Figure 366.

    When applied to a business, the GWA model is very similar to concepts of balanced score-

    card, triple-bottom-line, and Global Reporting Initiatives.67

    However, there are significant

    and important differences. Firstly, the GWA process has broken free of the scientific ideology

    than only objective measures matter. When measuring the well-being of a community, for

    instance, both the true crime rate and the citizens perception of safety in the community

    matter.68 Secondly, currency units are not used to quantify all forms of capital. Rather,

    after taking stock and identifying values (A and B in Figure 3), appropriate indicators are

    65Ibid., pp. 79-88.66Figure 5.5

    ibid., p. 79This figure was constructed specifically for communities. However, if the word community is replaced by theappropriate economic individual, it applies equally as well.

    67Ibid., p. 147.68Ibid., p. 77.

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    selected. A benchmark is then selected for each indicator, identifying the worst recorded or

    conceivable value, and a target. The indicators are then indexed between 0 and 100 using

    the benchmark.69 The indicators and benchmarks are selected using the value identified.

    Anielski has conducted a GWA assessment for Leduc, Alberta.70 To capture the Genuine

    wealth of the community, he divided the five capitals into 22 Well-Being Themes (Figure 371),

    and used 117 statistical indicators to measure the contributions of each of these themes. The

    indicators included crime rates, tax rates, ecological footprint, self-rated happiness, sense of

    belonging and trust of neighbours, GPD per capita, and GDP growth rate. 72 The benchmarks

    were selected from the Alberta provincial average, the Canadian Average, City of Edmonton

    or the City of Calgary. The indices where then given grades: excellent if 10% better than

    benchmark, good if within 10% of benchmark, or poo if 10% below benchmark.

    The analysis revealed powerful results.73 Leduc has a very competitive economy supported

    by a diverse business community. The people are happy, and satisfied with life. However,

    shortages of affordable housing and the persistent demand for food bank donations indicate

    some inequality. Rising property and drug crime rates raise further issues. The extreme

    challenges in achieving a clean and sustainable environment were also abundantly clear.

    It is clear that Anielskis GWA presents a powerful tool for building a better economy.

    He presents ways in which this accounting system can be applied to the individual, the

    69Ibid., p. 84.70Mark Anielski and Jeff Wilson. City of Leduc 2005 Genuine Well-being Report. Tech. rep. Anielski

    Management, Inc, 2006. url: http://www.anielski.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/11/Leduc-GW-Report.pdf.

    71Table 1ibid., p. 12.

    72The complete table of indicators is included in Appendix Aibid.

    73Ibid., p. 10.

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    Figure 3: Well-being Themes and Scores for Leduc 2005

    community, the nation, and even to a business. However, implementing it presents several

    challenges. The process of identifying the values, principles and virtues of the economic

    individual, especially when this individual is a community or a business, is complex and time

    consuming. Turing these values, principles and virtues into indicators that use accessible

    information in a statistically valid manner that actually reflect the true state of the five

    capitals requires significant thought and expertise. Selecting baselines for the indicators

    to index them that gives a meaningful and accurate representation of reality, instead of

    simply a comparative analysis, again complex. Both choosing the indicators and choosing the

    baselines requires intimate knowledge of statistics, as well as intimate knowledge of disciplines

    as diverse as physiology, sociology, ecology, economics, engineering and anthropology. After

    this is done, the process for completing the analysis has been defined, but the data still

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    needs to be collected, inputed into the system, and analyzed. Anielski has presented a useful

    framework and overall model for a truer economic measure, but has not clearly defined

    the indicators, baselines and data collection best practices for most potential users of this

    framework. The strength of this model is how flexible and uniformly applicable it is, but

    this also makes it time consuming to implement.

    In my view, helping businesses to change their practises is one of the most effective

    and efficient ways of changing the economy. While consumers collectively hold a lot of

    power, it is nearly impossible to get them to act in a unified manner towards a goal as

    quickly as is required. Governments have huge power to force businesses to change, but the

    correct government must be in place. The process of writing good policy that is equally

    effective for all industries of a diverse economy is nearly impossible. However, working with

    business individually, especially large businesses, can have a huge impact while requiring

    convincing and educating relatively few individuals, and adapting the process to only one

    specific context. Businesses and industry, rather than individual citizens or governments,

    have the most direct impact on a communitys capitals.

    I do not see business widely adapting a Genuine Wealth Accounting process quickly

    without significant external help. I also believe that businesses should serve the communities

    in which they operate. It is the communitys responsibility, not the businesss, to identify the

    values, principles and virtues that the business should use when accounting for a businesss

    impacts on the communitys human, social, natural, built, and financial capital. However, it

    is the private sector that has the largest impact on the five types of capital in a community.

    It is crucial then to empower the private sector to track their impacts on the five capitals of

    the communities they impact in a way that is consistent with the communitys values.

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    To this end, I propose the establishment of a Centre for Genuine Wealth Assessment

    in each community. This Centre would be responsible for working with the citizens of the

    community to define the values, principles and virtues that form the basis for the GWA. The

    Centre would then work with specialists in the required fields to identify the appropriate

    indicators and benchmarks for the GWA. The Centre would also serve as a storehouse of

    statistical data, collected from different institutions in the city, and stored to expedite GWA

    processes. Industry and businesses would then work with the Centre to complete their GWA,

    using well defined processes that reduce the work load of the accountants in the businesses.

    The Centre provides a huge efficiency in this work, only requiring the process and data

    collection to be completed once, instead of individually for each business.

    This Centre would be an intersection of many worlds. It would partner with academics

    of all stripes to help them produce more accurate and helpful indicators and statistical

    measures. It would work with the community members to identify values, track happiness

    and other subjective measures of wealth, and almost serve as a ombudsman. But most

    importantly, it would connect the communitys needs with businesss actions. The Centre

    would help business identify the projects and investments that need to be made in the

    community to increase or maintain current levels of well-being.

    In Beyond Poverty and Affluence, the concept of a fruit-bearing economy is presented.74

    The image used is of a fruit tree. As a seed, a fruit tree grows rapidly, putting all of its

    energy into reaching the sun and reaching deeper into the earth. This is necessary in order

    for tree to survive. As the tree matures, slowly more and more energy and resources are

    74Bob Goudzwaard and Harry de Lange. Beyond Poverty and Affluence: Towards a Canadian Economyof Care. Ed. by Mark R Vander Vennen. University of Toronto Press, 1994, p. 128.

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    allocated to the process of maintaining the height of the tree. Eventually, the tree stops

    growing, and begins to bear fruit. The tree recognizes that both growth, and bearing fruit,

    require huge amounts of energy. In a fruit-bearing economy, once the economy as a whole,

    and an economic individual as well, has gone through the crucial growth phase and has

    achieved sufficiency, the economy can begin bearing fruit. This fruit would be investments

    in well-being in general, enriching forms of capital that are weak, but do not necessarily limit

    the growth of the company directly. The key is that the community, not the corporations,

    must choose what fruit is created.75 Cradle to Cradle uses the same fruit tree image as the

    authors imagine a new economy.76 However, Cradle to Cradle focuses on how the fruit tree

    responds to the changes of the seasons, feeds and shelters the ecosystem around it, and reuses

    its own waste. Combining these two images of fruit-trees is immensely powerful.

    The Centre also enables efficient Return On Investment (ROI) analysis for many programs

    in a community. Consider The Circle of Friends program in Kitchener, which supports women

    and children as they transition from an emergency shelter to long-term housing.77

    They

    recently had an ROI analysis conducted, and found that each dollar invested in the program

    either saves the city or generates $3.14 dollars of value.78 This is primarily through reduced

    ambulance usage and the value of the training volunteers receive. Notice that this SROI has

    captured increased human capital by placing a dollar value on it. Collecting the data for this

    analysis was extremely difficult and time consuming. With the proposed Centre, the process

    75Ibid., p. 104.76William McDonough and Michael Braungart. Cradle to cradle: Remaking the Way We Make Things.

    New York: North Point Press, 2002.77MCC Ontario. Circle of Friends. url: http://ontario.mcc.org/poverty/circlefriends.78Kaylie Tiessen. Circle of Friends Social Return on Investment Analysis. In: MCC Ontario (2011).

    url: http: //ontario.mcc.org/system/ files/Poverty/SROI% 20CoF%20- %20final% 20copy% 20-%20publish%20to%20PDF%20edition.pdf.

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    could be quickly completed, and high impact opportunities can be quickly identified.

    The Centre discussed above would help businesses identify the places where investments

    are needed. In this way, the community would define how economic growth is valued, and

    also what fruit the economy bears when it is ready. This presents a challenge, however, when

    a business is a transnational corporation impacting many individual communities at a time.

    It is infeasible for a businesss accounting practises to meet as many different requirements

    as communities it impacts. The requirement for a business to embed itself deeply in the

    community it operates in limits the size and reach of a single organization, encouraging local

    economies and removing many of the problems of globalization.

    In some ways, the government and taxation already serve the role of the Centre. However,

    the Centre imagined above would involve a much higher degree of community engagement

    than simply a single vote on a candidate campaigning on many issues. For this Centre to

    work, a business participation in it may need to be mandatory, but the transition period

    would likely require voluntary participation, ideally motivated by tax breaks. Further reading

    into existing corporate tax law is required to differentiate the Centre from the role of taxation,

    and define how it interacts.

    Another area for further research is the possibility of incorporating these multi-capital

    considerations directly into the tools used for evaluating economic opportunities such as

    Internal Rate of Return. This requires replacing the compound interest equation, and one

    possible candidate is the Logistics equation, borrowed from modelling population dynamics.

    In the logistics equation, growth is exponential at first, until an upper limit, called the carry

    capacity, is reached. The challenge is identifying the carrying capacity. Some research has

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    been conducted that connects economics and carrying capacity.79

    In conclusion, it is clear that the paradigm of continuous economic growth cannot con-

    tinue. It is rapidly headed for collapse as the limits of the finite planet Earth begin to

    enforce themselves. Technology will not solve this issue alone. Nor is it desirable for the

    economic growth paradigm to continue. The correlation between happiness only holds up to

    a point, economic growth does not address issues of inequality nationally or globally, and is

    rapidly devastating the planet. All of these issues can be addressed by implementing a fruit

    bearing economy the captures the value of all five types of capital, and is supported through

    community-based Centres for Genuine Wealth Assessment. In this way, the incredible suc-

    cess of modern economics and capitalism can be built on, while addressing the sever issues

    that they create.

    79Kenneth Arrow et al. Economic growth, carrying capacity, and the environment. In: Ecological Eco-nomics 15.2 (1995), pp. 91 95. issn: 0921-8009. doi: 10. 1016/ 0921- 8009(95)00059- 3. url: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/0921800995000593.

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