economic commission for europe
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Economic Commission for Europe. Energy Efficiency Development up to 2030 Gianluca Sambucini Warsaw, 22-23 November 2005. Energy Efficiency Development. Energy Efficiency Development up to 2030 (International Energy Agency’s analysis) UNECE Energy Efficiency 21 Project. - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
Economic Commission for Europe
Energy Efficiency Development up
to 2030
Gianluca Sambucini
Warsaw, 22-23 November 2005
Energy Efficiency Development
Energy Efficiency Development up to 2030 (International Energy Agency’s analysis)
UNECE Energy Efficiency 21 Project
EE Development up to 2030
Objective: assess the prospects to 2030 for energy markets
Different scenarios: reference scenario, alternative policy scenario
Results: importance of governments policies and commitments in the energy field
Source: International Energy Agency
EE Development up to 2030
Reference scenario
Hyp: no reforms and investments to change current supply/consumption trends
Projections for 2002-2030: raise of global energy demand increase in the use of fossil fuels augment of carbon dioxide emissions
EE Development up to 2030
0.0%
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
1971-2002 2002-2030
Energy demand CO2 emissions
Reference scenario: growth in energy demand and CO2 emissions
EE Development up to 2030
Alternative policy scenario Hyp: governments undertake actions for a
sustainable energy path Projections for 2002-2030 (compared to
Reference Scenario): Lower level of global energy demand Reduction in the use of fossil fuels Lower level of carbon emissions
EE Development up to 2030
7 000
8 000
9 000
10 000
11 000
12 000
13 000
14 000
15 000
16 000
17 000
2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
Mto
e
Coal Oil Gas Nuclear Renewables
Alternative Policy Scenario
Reference Scenario
0
-1 000
-2 000
˜
7 000
8 000
9 000
10 000
11 000
12 000
13 000
14 000
15 000
16 000
17 000
2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
Mto
e
Coal Oil Gas Nuclear Renewables
Alternative Policy Scenario
Reference Scenario
0
-1 000
-2 000
˜
7 000
8 000
9 000
10 000
11 000
12 000
13 000
14 000
15 000
16 000
17 000
2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
Mto
e
Coal Oil Gas Nuclear Renewables
Alternative Policy Scenario
Reference Scenario
0
-1 000
-2 000
˜
Primary Energy Demand in 2 scenarios
EE Development up to 2030
20 000
25 000
30 000
35 000
40 000
1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Mt o
f CO
2
Reference Scenario Alternative Scenario
20 000
25 000
30 000
35 000
40 000
1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Mt o
f CO
2
Reference Scenario Alternative Scenario
CO2
Emissions in 2 scenarios
EE Development up to 2030
Results:
Importance of energy reforms and investments in the energy field:
Energy security policies Investments in cleaner technologies, energy
efficiency, renewable resources
UNECE- Energy Efficiency 21 Project
Launched in 1991 - 4 three-year phases Enhance East-West Trade and Co-operation Improve Capacities and Networking Policy Reforms Financing Energy Efficiency Investments
Energy Efficiency 21
General ObjectiveEnhance regional cooperation on energy efficiency market formation and investment project development to reduce greenhouse gas emissions in economies in transition
Energy Efficiency 21
Regular Budget and Trust Fund US$ 200,000 per year US$ 2 million UN Foundation & Partners US$ 1.75 million UN General Assembly € 400,000 European Commission – SAVE RENEUER USAID and USDOE
Energy Efficiency 21
10,000 Experts, 150 Events, 43 Countries 250,000 m2 Exhibition, 38 Locations Website 125,000 Hits 6000 Visits per year US$ 60 million in 30 Business Plans US$ 9 million approved World Bank & Norway US$ 15 million EBRD Moscow
Energy Efficiency 21
Carbon Emissions Trading Handbook Guide to Investors in Energy Efficiency and
Climate Change Projects Review of Multilateral Institutions Energy Efficiency Standards e-Book Guide to Energy Efficiency Policies
Financing Investments
2000-2003 Training Courses Business Plans Policy Reforms Project Finance Investments
2003-2006 Investment Fund Project Criteria Policy Reforms Training Courses Business Plans
Energy Efficiency 21- New Phase (2006-2009)
Objectives:
1. Establish a public-private partnership fund;
2. Develop the skills at the local level to identify, design and submit bankable projects;
3. Assistance to municipal and national administrations to introduce needed reforms.
Energy Efficiency 21- New Phase (2006-2009)
Main co-financing partners:
1. UN Foundation (US$ 2 million approved in June 2004)
2. FFEM (€ Euro 2 million approved in March 2005)
3. GEF- UNEP (US$ 3 million, approved in November 2005).
Energy Efficiency 21- New Phase (2006-2009)
Financing Investments
1. Public Private Partnership
2. Dedicated Fund
3. SwissRe, CDC IXIS, EBRD
4. Project Selection Criteria
5. EE21 Project Preparation
6. Disseminate Experience to Network
Energy Efficiency 21 - Next Steps
Project Meeting 1-2 December Project Document’s drafting First half of 2006 Project Operations Begin for
a three-year phase
EE21- contacts
Gianluca SambuciniEnergy Efficiency 21 (EE21)
United Nations Economic Commission for EuropePalais des Nations Bureau 348CH - 1211 Geneva 10, Switzerland
Tel:+41 (0)22 917 1175; Fax:+41 (0)22 917 0178
E-mail: [email protected]; Web sites: www.unece.org/ie/, www.ee-21.net