ecological correlates of wildlife diseases › download › pdf › 289341.pdf · non parametric...

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Ecological correlatesofwildlife diseases M ilind W atve IISER, Pune Nature Precedings : doi:10.1038/npre.2010.4834.1 : Posted 29 Aug 2010

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Page 1: Ecological correlates of wildlife diseases › download › pdf › 289341.pdf · Non parametric correlations with demographic data in Tadoba National Park. Density density F:F ratio

Ecological correlates of wildlife diseases

M ilind W atveIISER, Pune

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Page 2: Ecological correlates of wildlife diseases › download › pdf › 289341.pdf · Non parametric correlations with demographic data in Tadoba National Park. Density density F:F ratio

• W hy study wildlife diseases?­ Disease: an intrinsic component of natural 

ecosystems­ W ildlife health and conservation­ Potential reservoir for emerging diseases, 

• W hy ecological correlates?­ conditions for endemism/epidemics 

• W hich diseases should we look at?­ micro/macroparasites­ endemic/epidemicNat

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Page 3: Ecological correlates of wildlife diseases › download › pdf › 289341.pdf · Non parametric correlations with demographic data in Tadoba National Park. Density density F:F ratio

Parasites in host ecologyParasites in host ecologyN

atur

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Page 4: Ecological correlates of wildlife diseases › download › pdf › 289341.pdf · Non parametric correlations with demographic data in Tadoba National Park. Density density F:F ratio

Wildlife Sanctuaries of India.

Sanctuaries visited for sample collection

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Page 5: Ecological correlates of wildlife diseases › download › pdf › 289341.pdf · Non parametric correlations with demographic data in Tadoba National Park. Density density F:F ratio

What decides parasite load?

• Host population density

• Host body size and home range

• Host phylogeny

• Gregariousness 

• Anatomical niche diversity

• Host diet

• Predatory pressure

Host ecological variables potentially affecting parasite loads and diversity

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Page 6: Ecological correlates of wildlife diseases › download › pdf › 289341.pdf · Non parametric correlations with demographic data in Tadoba National Park. Density density F:F ratio

Four levels of analysis for testing the hypotheses

• Individual as a unit. (2551 individual samples com ing from  29 species from 20 wildlife sanctuaries)

• Species as a unit. (mean or median parasite loads of 24 host species, grouped ecological variables)

• Species as a unit. (non parametric correlations with demographic data in Tadoba National Park, 9 host sp).

• Intra­specific patterns – across different habitats (2 host sp.)

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Page 7: Ecological correlates of wildlife diseases › download › pdf › 289341.pdf · Non parametric correlations with demographic data in Tadoba National Park. Density density F:F ratio

Effect of host variables on parasite loadsAnalysis with species as a unit Pooled data from all sanctuaries

Predation freedom index Vs mean parasite load Kendall’s =0.53

Blackbuck

haremuskdeer

Sambar

wildboarLangur

rhesus

buffalo

gaur

slothbearcivetporcupine

lion

Barsingha

chital

hogdeer

muntjac

nilgai

elephant

rhinoWildass

leopard

wild dogtiger

0.001

0.01

0.1

1

10

100

1000

0 2 4 6

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Page 8: Ecological correlates of wildlife diseases › download › pdf › 289341.pdf · Non parametric correlations with demographic data in Tadoba National Park. Density density F:F ratio

Barsingha

Blackbuck

hogdeerSambar

Langur

rhesus

buffalo

gaur

slothbear

civet

elephant

porcupine

rhino

Wildass

leopardwild dog

lion

tiger

chital

hare

muntjac

muskdeer

nilgai

wildboar

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

0 2 4 6

Predation freedom  index Vs prevalence Kendall’s =0.4264

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Page 9: Ecological correlates of wildlife diseases › download › pdf › 289341.pdf · Non parametric correlations with demographic data in Tadoba National Park. Density density F:F ratio

Kendall’s =0.54

0= herbivore 1= omnivore 2= carnivore

food Vs. mean parasite load

Barsinghabuffalo

civet

gaur

hare

muntjac

muskdeer

rhino

Sambar

slothbear

Blackbuck

chital

elephant

hogdeer

Langur

leopard

lion

nilgai

porcupine

rhesus

tiger

wild dog

Wildass

wildboar

0.001

0.01

0.1

1

10

100

1000

0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5

food

mea

n pa

rsite

load

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Page 10: Ecological correlates of wildlife diseases › download › pdf › 289341.pdf · Non parametric correlations with demographic data in Tadoba National Park. Density density F:F ratio

food vs prevalence

Barsinghabuffalo

Langurleopard

muntjac

porcupine

rhesus

rhino

slothbear

tigerwild dog

wildboarblackbuck

chital civet

elephant

gaur

hare

hogdeer

lion

muskdeer

nilgai

Sambar

wildass

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5

food

pre

vale

nce

Kendall’s =0.33

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Page 11: Ecological correlates of wildlife diseases › download › pdf › 289341.pdf · Non parametric correlations with demographic data in Tadoba National Park. Density density F:F ratio

Species as a unit.Non param etric correlations with dem ographic data in Tadoba National Park.

Density densityF:F ratio

adult sex ratio

pred index (num)

predation index (biomass)

average eggs

average proto

egg + proto

Female:fawn ratio

-0.022              

Adult Sex Ratio

-0.200 -0.511            predation index (numbers)

0.452 0.181-0.22

6         

predation index (biomass)

0.542 0.000 0.136 0.598        

average eggs -0.223 -0.313 0.045 -0.432 -0.432      

average protozoa

-0.536 -0.268 0.089 -0.250 -0.523 0.292    

egg + protozoa -0.447 -0.447 0.268 -0.477 -0.341 0.562 0.697  

Sex ratio in Tiger Kills

0.400 -0.400 0.200 0.600 0.800 0.200 0.200 0.200

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Page 12: Ecological correlates of wildlife diseases › download › pdf › 289341.pdf · Non parametric correlations with demographic data in Tadoba National Park. Density density F:F ratio

Turning the question upside down

W hat decides the standing density of a species?• Birth rate – fem ale:fawn ratio, sex ratio

no correlation

• Predation rate – predation index, sex ratio in killsPositive correlation contrary to expection

• Disease, starvation, malnutrition etc – reflected in fecal parasite counts

Negative correlation

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Page 13: Ecological correlates of wildlife diseases › download › pdf › 289341.pdf · Non parametric correlations with demographic data in Tadoba National Park. Density density F:F ratio

Testing predation hypothesis in Chital

  Bharatpur Sariska & Ranathambhor

 

No. of observations

79 130  

Average of ranks 51.85 23.57  

  Wx =4096 Wy = 3064 U=3057    Z=12.35 P<0.001

Bharatpur (predator free habitat) compared with others

  Bharatpur Other wet habitats  

No. of observations

79 243  

Av. Of ranks 70.03 43.68  

  Wx= 5533 Wy=10616 U=5533

      Z=10.05 P< 0.01

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Page 14: Ecological correlates of wildlife diseases › download › pdf › 289341.pdf · Non parametric correlations with demographic data in Tadoba National Park. Density density F:F ratio

Predator – prey – parasite dynamics Chital – Dhole- Sarcocystis

(Jog et al 2005)

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Page 15: Ecological correlates of wildlife diseases › download › pdf › 289341.pdf · Non parametric correlations with demographic data in Tadoba National Park. Density density F:F ratio

Predation hypothesis: 

ecological Vs evolutionary 

• Ecological: predators remove infective individuals from the population (removal of predator should reverse the effect quickly)

• Evolutionary: prey species experience greater selection for parasite resistance.(removal of predator not expected to reverse the effect for several generations)

• Both effects seen, evolutionary stronger.

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Page 16: Ecological correlates of wildlife diseases › download › pdf › 289341.pdf · Non parametric correlations with demographic data in Tadoba National Park. Density density F:F ratio

Possible im plications

• Density regulation by diseases and parasites

• Predator regulation of diseases and parasites

• Disturbance of predator­prey dynamics may lead to unpredictable changes in parasite dynamics

• Species/populations devoid of predators need to be watched more carefully as a potential source of emerging diseases

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