eco 202 ch 34 aggregate demand and aggregate supply
TRANSCRIPT
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Quiz Insurance !
Tuesday April 29 12:00
S1-38 Men S2-33 Women
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Exam 6 Wednesday May 14
Chapters 34, 35, and 36 !
Final Thursday May 22
9:00AM - 11:30AM Auditorium
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Chapter 34 !
Aggregate Demand and
Aggregate Supply
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Key Termsrecession depression natural rate of output stagflation !
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Economic Cycle
Fluctuations
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Economic Cycle
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AD-AS Model
Aggregate Demand and
Aggregate Supply
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Recession
A period of declining real incomes and rising
unemployment defined as negative growth for two quarters (six months)
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Depression
Severe recession
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Three Key FactsIrregular and Unpredictable
Variables fluctuate together
Output falls - Unemployment increases
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VariablesGDP
Financial System Interest Rates
Unemployment Monetary System
Trade Balance
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Real - Quantities Nominal - Money
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Nominal - always one riyal - fixed !
Real - what it will buy - varies
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Can you have a nominal change but not a real change?
Price level changes but output stays the same
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Real - Quantity
Nominal - Price
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Classical ViewReal qualities matter
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Amount of money does not matter
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New ViewReal qualities interact with
nominal money
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Long Run and Short Run
Good in the short run Bad in the long run
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Bad in the short run Good in the long run
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Lag
Time between cause and effect
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Price Level
Quantity of Output
Equilibrium price level
Equilibrium output
AD- AS Model
Aggregate Demand
Aggregate Supply
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Price Level
Quantity of Output
Why does the demand curve slope downward?
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Price Level
Quantity of Output
Y1
Aggregate Demand
Y2
P1
P2
1. real wealth increases
2. interest rates fall
3. exchange rates depreciate
increase spending
increase investments
increase exports
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Price LevelConsumption - Wealth Effect
Investment - Interest-Rate Effect
Net Exports - Exchange-Rate Effect
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Wealth EffectLower prices
Buy more stuff
Increase output
Higher prices
Buy less stuff
Decrease output
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Lower prices
Need less money
More money to loan
Lower rates
Borrow easy
Buy more stuff
Increase output
Interest Rate EffectHigher prices
Need more money
Less money to loan
Higher rates
Borrow harder
Buy less stuff
Decrease output
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Exchange-Rate EffectLower prices
Cause interest rates to decline
Causes currency to depreciate
Stimulates demand for local currency
Stimulates exports
Increases local output
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!
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Higher prices
Cause interest rates to increase
Causes currency to appreciate
Stimulates demand for foreign currency
Stimulates imports
Decreases local output
!
!
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Price Level
Quantity of Output
Demand Shiftchange in consumption change in investment government purchases net exports !
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Price Level
Quantity of Output
P1
AD- AS Model
Aggregate Demand
Short Run Aggregate Supply
Y1 Y2
P2
Long Run Aggregate Supply
P3
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Quiz 11. Name three reasons why the Aggregate-Demand Curve slopes downward. !
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2. Name four reasons why the Aggregate-Demand Curve shifts
Wealth, Interest Rate, Exchange Rate !
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Consumption, Investment, Government, Net Exports (C + I + G + NX)
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Aggregate Demand CurveSlopes Downward
Wealth Interest Rate
Exchange Rate !
Shifts Consumption Investment
Government Net Exports
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Aggregate Supply Curve
Two Curves
Short Run
Long Run
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Two Supply Curves
Short Run Long Run
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Short Run
Adrenaline
Give 110%
Push to exceed normal capacity
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Long Run
Run out of Adrenaline
Fall back to normal
Cannot do 110% forever
unless.....
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Long Run Supply Curve New Capital
Human
Physical
Intellectual
Financial
Cultural
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Price Level
Real GDP or Y
AD- AS Model
Aggregate Demand
Short Run Aggregate Supply
Long Run Aggregate Supply
LRAS Shape - Vertical Capacity fixed Shift Physical Financial Human Intellectual Cultural
SRAS Shape - Slope Up Sticky Wages Sticky Prices Misperceptions Shift Physical Financial Human Intellectual Cultural Expectations
AD Shape - Slope Down Wealth Effect Interest Effect Exchange Effect Shift Consumption Investment Government Net Exports
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Price Level
Quantity of Output
Two Supply Curves
Short-Run Aggregate Supply
Long-Run Aggregate Supply
Price change does not affect the quantity of goods and services
P
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New Capital Human Physical Intellectual Financial Cultural
Price Level
Quantity of Output
Two Supply Curves
LRAS1
Y1
LRAS2
Y3
LRAS3
Y3
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New Capital Human Physical Intellectual Financial Cultural
Price Level
Quantity of Output
Two Supply Curves
LRAS1
Y1
LRAS2
Y3
LRAS3
Y3
P1
P2
P3
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1. Name three reasons why the Short-Run Aggregate-Supply Curve slopes upward. !
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2. Name six reasons why the Short-Run Aggregate-Supply Curve shifts
Sticky Wage, Sticky Price, Misperceptions !
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Capital (5 things) and Expected Price Level
Quiz
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4 Step Analysis1. Decide what curve the event affects.
2. Decide direction of the shift
3. Diagram impact
4. Analyze short-run to long-run
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Stagflation
A period of falling output and rising prices
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Remember1. Three curves: AD, SRAS, LRAS
2. Event can affect one or more of the curves
3. Determine which curve and which direction.
4. Diagram impact
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What if?1. New technological innovation?
2. Large increase in money supply?
3. People become worried about the future?
4. The supply of oil is suddenly reduced?
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What Shifts Aggregate Demand?
1. Consumption - tax cut/increase, stock market increase/decrease
2. Investment - interest rate decrease/increase
3. Government Purchases - More or Less
4. Net Exports - tied to exchange rates
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What Shifts Short Run Aggregate Supply?
1. Capital: Cultural, Physical, Financial, Human, Intellectual
2. Expectations: decrease-right, increase-left