EC Vision on 5G and Beyond

ONDM 2019

Athens, 13 May

Pavlos Fournogerakis

Programme Officer

European Commission

DG CONNECT E1- Future Connectivity Systems

Where we stand on 5G

5GPPP

5G Action Plan - towards 5G Deployment

5G European Readiness

B5G/6G Vision and technologies

Smart Networks and Services Partnership

3

5G vision - at the outsetGbps bandwidth

10 Mbps/m2 traffic density

1 million devices/km2

True ms latency

99,999% reliability

Phase 3 a) Verification Demo/Trial Platform- Integration radio+ network

Y2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

Phase 2 - Demos PoC*- Core Techs Components

Phase 3 b) Integrated Verification Trial

- radio+network+applications -

Early 5G introductionLower frequency bands

Later 5G introductionHigher frequency bands

Phase I Core Technologies

User needs, cross industry partnerships with vertical industries

5G Connected Cars in EU: Cross border corridors

5G R&I for "Long Term Evolution"We are HERE

5G Public Private Partnership

Launched in 2013

Supporting EU technological leadership

€ 700 million IN H2020

5G PPP current PoC’s and trials

Supporting Vertical Pilots:

5G PPP E2E Infrastructure

Note

: Lis

t of

corrid

ors is n

on

exh

au

sti

ve a

nd

su

bje

ct

to e

xte

nsio

ns

3 Supporting Projects, to be expanded:

• 5G CARMEN, Brenner corridor

• 5G CROCO, Metz Merzig Corridor

• 5G MOBIX, PT-ES and EL-TK corridors

Next MFF: proposal towards operational deployment

Connected & automated Mobility over cross border corridors as

flagship initiative, the “Rome process”

H2020 Work programme 2020 (DRAFT)

• Scope: Leveraging 5G technologies towards innovation at service andproduct levels, at maintaining long term commitment to prepare for 5G"Long Term Evolution" and to bridge into smart connectivity platforms

• Subject to final MS approval (Planned adoption & the launch of Call 1 in July2019)

• Paving the way towards next MFF

• ICT-52-2020: 5G PPP – Smart Connectivity beyond 5G (….Provision ofseemingly infinite network capacity including usage integration andoptimised management of optical resources…)

• ICT-41-2020: 5G PPP – 5G innovations for verticals with third partyservices, ICT-42-2020: 5G PPP – 5G core technologies innovation (incl.Photonics based devices), ICT-53-2020: 5G PPP – 5G for Connected andAutomated Mobility (CAM)

NB: ICT Proposers' Day in Helsinki in September 2019!

Coordinated launch throughout single market

Comprehensive roll-out with geographical and sectorial focus

Early 5G launch in selected

areas

Commercial launch of 5G services

in at least one major city

in all MS

5G in all urban areas

and along main transport

paths

2018

2020

2025

5G Action Plan: European strategy for 5G introduction

10

3GPP standards evolution Source: 3GPP/Samsung

• Launched by Commissioner Gabriel at Mobile World Congress 2018

• Online platform on http://5gobservatory.eu/

• The second Quarterly Report just published

• The scope: to monitor, in the context of the 5G Action Plan:

- Main 5G market developments in the EU and internationally;

- 5G pre-commercial trials and commercial 5G launches;

- National strategies by the EU MS

- Spectrum assignments by public authorities

European 5G Observatory

Scoreboard Europe

12Source: IDATE DigiWorld

13

Trials: > 180 trials in 28 countries: 147 in 23 of the 28 MSs of the European Union

Beyond 5G/6G: Is it too early to start R&I?

Connectivity, Importance for Europe

Markets: Close to € 300 billion for ICT telecommunications corresponding to 37 % of total ICT.

About > 3% of EU GDP

Jobs: 1,1 million direct jobs in the mobile ecosystem, 1,4 million indirect jobs

Growth: Enabler of growth in the services domain from the increasing cooperation with

vertical sectors, 720 billion contribution expected in 2022, mostly due to improved

productivity driven by continued adoption of M2M and IoT technology

Digitisation: key Enabler of our policy objectives. Digital ecosystems are intimately coupled

with connectivity platforms

Critical infrastructures: Networks value in a multiplicity of critical applications

Global Competitiveness: how far we can respond to ambitious plans of other regions

Societal impacts: climate change, road fatalities….

Opportunities for the next decade

« Digital Industries » « Physical Industries »

Share of GDP 30% 70%

Digital Investment 70% 30%

Annual Productivity

Growth (15 Years avg)

3% 0,7 %

Automation and Industry: 3,5 to 10 Trillion € by 2025, 11% of economy (Mc Kinsey)

Network share prospects, 10%? Doubling current broadband revenues?

Industrial/Vertical applications will remain a strong

innovation driver over next decade

Source, Nokia quote from:The coming productivity boom, Michael Mandel, Brett Swanson

What we observe today:

- Social issues, coverage- 3,5 Billion people without wireless Internet

- Energy, sustainability in hyperconnected society- « Energy skyrocketing at the edge ».

- EMF raising concerns- What impact of untested spectrum usages? How to decrease exposure?

- Human centricity and trust, data control and governance

- Security and Autonomy- Coping with embedded critical infrastructres

Societal issues to gain accrued importance

5G Vision and focus Parameters: will they remain valid?

Use cases and drivers

• Capacity, still 50% traffic increase/ year

• local applications, sub-ms latency

• Gbps availability, e.g XR applications

• Extreme reliability beyond 5x9;

• mMTC “everywhere “

• Extreme energy efficiency

• Very high security/trust

• Very high mobility

• cm-level localizationSource: NetWorld from ITU-R Rec. M.2083 (modified)

Enhanced mobilebroadband (eMBB)

Massive machine typecommunications (mMTC)

Ultra-reliable and low latency

communications (URLLC)

Network traffic(exabytes/month)

Positioningaccuracy

Security

Distributed computing

Smart Networks &

Services

Example of requirements – technological approaches

- « Zero latency » Internet, local data governance Massive Edge cloud-device convergence and integration

- Ultra high capacity, BW hungry applications (e.g. real time XR beyond 8K) ultra high

density, “lamppost connectivity”

- Spectrum efficiency/sharing ultra high frequency spectrum, THz coms, FSO coms; Waveforms, Innovative spectrum use towards sensing and environment augmentation

- Cost efficiency, flexibility more use of unlicensed bands

- lower capex, new actors, micro ops, neutral hosts Pervasive SW and massive virtualisation, from NE to VF, towards cloud native, blurring device/network/cloud

- Lower cost, busines model diversity open/shared infrastructure, open source?

- Network automation, security, SON, AI/ML, blockchains

- Low latency AI based apps Network architecture for assisted AI

1. Network Architecture and Control

2. Radio Technology and Signal Processing

3. Optical Networks

4. Edge Computing and Meta-data

5. Network and Service Security

6. Satellite Technologies

7. Human Centric and Vertical Services

8. Future and Emerging Network Technologies

Source: Networld2020Networld 2020 SRIA – Strategic lines

Information Society Enablers

Source: Networld2020Optical networks

• Flexible Capacity Scaling: Coherent technologies and new wavelength bands

• New Switching Paradigms: FlexE, FlexOTN and Flexgrid, plus, SDN control

• Optical Wireless Integration: high capacity and control forRoF with signal QoS monitoring

• Optical Network Automation: common information model

• Optical Integration 2.0: Silicon Photonics & amplific.

Optical networks – Vision and challenges

• Optical community vision as target for 2030 to serve as federating umbrela and one level higher than the itemisedoptical technologies

• All optical networks, convergence with quantum computing towards sustainable infrastructure

• Impact of various B5G technologies on architecture(e.g. MEC/intelligence close to the user vs a few POPsremotely from the access point for OPEX minimization)

• Other market disruptions? (all optical routers)

Horizontal issue: Energy Efficiency

- Energy needs, significant increase since 2014,

expected to accelerate;

- by 2030, 10mio edge clouds , 9 Moi robo-cars

new architectures.

- Optical, virtualisation, densification: parts of the

solution

- Other techniques, energy harvesting and ambient

energy use

Towards EE as part of the network

management, « EFCAPS » + integrated

perspective

Source: Anders Andrae « best case », Nature News Feed, Sept 2018.

Unified &Access-agnostic

Authentication

Primary Authenticat

ion

Secondary Authenticat

ion

Increased Home

Control

Initial NAS Security

&Privacy

Visibility and

Configurability

Service Based

Architecture

Steering of Roaming

5GS – EPS Interworking Security

LTE-NR Dual

Connect. (Option-3)

PLMN Interconnect Security -

SEPP

RAN Security –

DU-CU Split

Network Slice Security

Long Term Key Update

256-bit Algorithms for 5G

KDF Negotiation

Vertical services and LAN

Single Radio Voice Continuity from 5G to UTRAN

Wireless and Wireline Convergence Security

Cellular IoT Security for 5G

5G Phase I 5G Phase II

“Journal of ICT Standardization” OpenAccess by River Publishers Special issues on “5G non-standard aspects” and “3GPP 5G specifications”

Beyond 5G?

Beyond SaaS

Interoperability, E2E

Quantum

AI based malware detection

GDPR

(Multiple) Identities

Horizontal issue: Security

Cross domains blockchains

………………

Value Chain Approach: Smart Networks and ServicesTarget: leverage connectivity to foster industrial developments across full value chain

Devices: types of

connected devices

potentially unlimitedIndustrial

Automation 360o VR/XRFully Automated

VehiclesHaptic

Communications for

surgery

Agri sensors

SmartphonesComputers

Mobile & Last

Mile

Networks:

numerous

implementation

scenarios, one

versatile

infrastructure

High

density

access

Corporate

nets

Indoor Short

Range

Dense

IoT

Fixed wired

access

OLT

CU

AW

G

RU

RU RUDU

Services:

computing and

storage, data

analytics

Business layer, business service/application requirements

en

d t

o e

nd

reso

urce

man

ag

em

en

t an

d e

nerg

yeff

icie

ncy

en

d t

o e

nd

Secu

rit

y a

nd

tru

st

Drones

Enabling tech, components.

A Possible Roadmap

2022 20242020 2026 2028 2030

Un-constrainedR&D

6G Design R&D

StandardsSI launch:2006

Trials Launches

Derived from Orange

~ Based on modified 5G Model

Need agility in case of accelerated commercial pressure

Value of the sequential model in Software age?

Our approach: a Partnership under Horizon Europe (FP9)

• Budget proposal: €97.6 billion

• Three pillars to be financed

Includes successor of LEIT programme

Open Science

Global Challenges

Open innovation

Health

[7.7 B€]

Creativity/Inclusive &

Secure Society

[2.8 B€]

Digital Industry and Space

[15 B€]

Climate, Energy and

Mobility [15 B€]

Food and Natural

Resources (10 B€]

Health throughout the life course Democracy Manufacturing technologies

Climate science and

solutions

Environmental

observation

Environmental and social health

determinants Cultural heritage

Key Digital technologies

Energy supply

Biodiversity and Natural

resourcesEmerging Technologies

Non-communicable and rare

diseases

Social and economic

transformations Advanced materials Energy systems and grids

Agriculture, forestry and

rural areas

Infectious diseases

Disaster-resilient

societies

Artificial intelligence and

robotics

Buildings and industrial

facilities in energy

transition Sea and oceans

Tools, technologies and digital

solutions for health and care Protection and Security

Next generation

internet Communities and cities Food systems

Health care systems CybersecurityHigh performance computing

and Big Data

competitiveness in

transport

Bio-based innovation

systems

Circular industries

Clean transport and

mobility Circular systems

Low carbon and clean industry Smart mobility

Space Energy Storage

Pillar 2 Structure: Intervention Areas

Commission Proposal amended by Trilogue

NGI Proposed Structure

Partnership, proposed Scope of activities

• Pillar 1: R&I challenges:

• Smart Networks and Services Enabling Technologies and architectures

• Includes IoT, Cloud, smart data and software-defined infrastructures

• Large scale technology validation, synergies to capacity building actions in DEP

• Building up on extended stakeholders SRIA

• Pillar 2: Deployment and capacity building of infrastructure for smart connectivity and associated services (focus on 5G Corridors for Connected and Automated Mobility) building on MS corridors support Stakeholders Strategic Deployment Agenda

• European federating umbrella for Beyond5G

Partnership StructureDEP & CEF

Targeted actions towards deployment and capacity building:

5G corridor deployment for CAM

Connectivity of socio economic drivers

Smart cities

AI/Cybersecurity /blockchaindeployment in networks

HORIZON EUROPE

Remaining and new challenges: Higher capacity – Zero Latency Internet Spectrum challenges (TeraHertz, flexible use) Advanced Radio processing Close user data control - IoT– Privacy/security Energy consumption

Opportunities and needs: Smart devices, (edge) Networks, Data Processing, Value Chain perspective Better involvement of Member States and

national initiatives

3 May – 27 June: Structured consultation of Member States (as part of strategic coordinating process)

May: Publication of draft Inception Impact Assessments and start of the Impact Assessment work

Mid-June until Open Public Consultation on future European Partnerships based on Article mid-September: 185/187

July SNS Stakeholders Workshop (extended, tentative)

24-26 September: European R&I Days (policy discussion and validation with stakeholders, covers all European Partnerships)

October SNS Stakeholders Workshop

End of 2019: Submission of Impact Assessment drafts to Regulatory Scrutiny Board

Early 2020: Adoption of Commission proposals for Article 185/187 initiatives

Early 2020 Finalisation of SNS SRIA and Roadmap (TBC)

Early 2021: Launch of first European Partnerships under Horizon Europe

Indicative timeline European Partnerships

7th G5GE and EuCNC 2019 – Kick Off ICT-19 Projects

https://5g-ppp.eu/ and https://www.eucnc.eu/announcement-eucnc-2019/

Conclusion

The B5G/6G journey has started. At this early stage, flexibility is key. We can today identify

as potential drivers:

• Networks in industrial environments, pushing the 5G limits

• Societal issues to get enhanced focus

• 5G design drivers duly complemented remain valid

• New innovation/disruptions to be integrated (AI/ML, DLT, mEC..)

• What is the optical community vision for 2030? (all optical networks, other disruptions)

• New system/stakeholders approach targeted

• Europe committed to support EU excellence in this critical domain via a partnership

Participation and support from Optical networking community is key for defining the B5G vision!

Thank you / Questions?