easy evaluation_introduction leaflet
TRANSCRIPT
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OMV Exploration & Production
Move & More.
QUICK EVALUATION
Introduction Leaflet
November 2011
Economics
Valid
for
Excel-tool
EASYEVALUATION pre-tax
in its
Version1.0 of June
2011 (designed
for
Excel
Version 2003 and 2007)
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3 | E&P - Economics, Project Economic Quick Evaluation / November 2011
Goal, Purpose, Target Group
Goal is to provide each OMV-colleague involved in projects with the possibility to evaluate
economics of a single project quickly & easily on pre-tax basis.
Main purposes
Project Evaluation within 15 minutes.
Additional evaluation of sensitivities to BASE Case in real time.
(Selectable) sensitivities to project economics key drivers (Internal Rate of Return, Net Present
Value, Profitability Index) calculated & shown by selectable years.
Target Analysis of the BASE Case & all its sensitivities.
INPUT DATA (e.g.CAPEX, OPEX,
Production)INPUT
Quick Economic
Evaluation of Project(pre-tax)
Sensitivity-, Scenario-
& Target Analysis
Printed-out
report
ofentire
Evaluation &
Sensitivities
etc
OUTPUT
EASY EVALUATION-model
1.
2.
3.
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First steps: Opening the tool
I M P O R T A N T !
All macros
have
been
developed
entirely
by
OMV/CPM/Project Portfolio Managementinhouse
& can
be
therefore
safely
used.
Enable
Macros
when
opening
the
file,
otherwise
tool
can
not
calculate.
Screen resolution: Tool has been
developed
for
a resolution
of 1440 x 900
pixel. In case
you
do not
see
the
full
screen
the
tool
provides
you
an automatic
screen
view-adjustment
on the
sheet
2_Scenario Dashboard
Tool has been
developed
in Excel 2003
but
is
compatible
to Excel 2007.
In Excel 2007
the
macro-
function
has to be
activated
in Excel.
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5 | E&P - Economics, Project Economic Quick Evaluation / November 2011
First steps: Accessing the tool
PRESS the
BUTTONDescription
of file-structure
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6 | E&P - Economics, Project Economic Quick Evaluation / November 2011
Navigating through the tool
After pressing
PRESS BUTTON to access
to Easy
Evaluation
the
tool
is
opened
for
your
usage. In the
navigation
bar at the
lower
end of the
screen
varioussheets
can
be
seen.
For navigating
click
the
various
sheets
or
click
on
hyperlinks
/ buttons
in the
Introduction-sheet.
Your
starting
point is
the
sheet
1_Input.
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7 | E&P - Economics, Project Economic Quick Evaluation / November 2011
1_Input
sheet sections General & Cash Inflow
Your
INPUT isrequested
in greycoloured
cells !
User Language: In the
dropdown
menu
you
can
choose
your
favourite
language
to be
used
in
the
first
sheet
1_Input
and calculation
sheets
language will be changed on sheets
1_Input, 10_Evaluation, 11_Revenues,
12_Expenses.You
can
choose
between
English, Romanian
or
Turkish
language.
Input-section
for
VOLUME
Input-section
for
SALES PRICE
Input-section
for
OTHER INCOME
Input-section
for
SHRINKAGE: % entered
are
deducted
from VOLUME
above,
which
leads
to SALES-Quantities
below ENERGY UNIT standardsetting is mn boe (=million boe per year).Keeping
this
structure
ofmn
is
necessary
(due
to
calculation
purpose).
General remarks:a) Maximum time period
you
can
enter
is
50 years.b) In this
tool
you
ALWAYS are
asked
to input
POSITIVE valuesc) There
is
also a button
on this
sheet
named
CLEAR Input Sheet all data entered will bedeleted in order not to forget old entries when calculating new business case.
Mandatory fields: The
only
input
cells
to be
filled-in
on a mandatory
basis
are
in this
range.E.g. If
you
enter
2010
as start year
of the
project
&
2025
as end year
of the
project, the
timeline
of the
project
is
build
up automatically
on each
sheet
of the
file.
E.g. Functional currency
has to be
entered
here
&is
taken
for
entire
file
autiomatically
then. There
is
no
conversion
between
currencies
in this
file.
TOTALs column D shows the respective sums of data rows.UNITS column Cshows the units of the
respective data rows.
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1_Input
sheet section Cash Outflow
Your
INPUT isrequested
in greycoloured
cells !
General remarks
for
1_Input-sheet: Inputs are
to be
entered
over
a timeline, on a
yearly
basis. Exemption
to this
rule
are
mandatory
fields
on the
very
top
of the
sheet.
Your
input
data
has to include
inflation
adjusted
figures
already
(e.g. CAPEX are
100 mn
EUR
without
consideration
of inflation. Inflation is
2% per year. Enter 102 mn EUR in
1_Input-sheet for one year of inflation).
Input-section
for
CAPEX. Up to
5different CAPEX-types
can
be
entered.
Input-section
for
OPEX fixed
Input-section
for
OPEX variable(related
to CAPEX)
Input-section
for
OPEX variable (related
to Production/Quantity/Capacity)
Explanation
for
OPEX variable:OPEX variable (related
to CAPEX) % entered is
multiplied
with
TOTAL CAPEX, incurred
until
the
respective
year
of OPEX for
the
respective
type
of OPEX .
E.g. if
TOTAL CAPEX of CAPEX 1( in the 1_Input-sheetthere
is
the
possibility
to enter
up to 5 different CAPEX-types)
until
the
year
2014 are
100 mn
EUR (incl. the
CAPEX of the
year2014) , and variable OPEX for
CAPEX 1
are
10%, then
OPEX
are
10 mn
EUR/year
in the
year
2014. The
Model automatically
puts
variable OPEX to zero
in case
there
is
no production
in the
respective
year.
OPEX variable (related
to Production/Quantity/Capacity)
OPEX per 1 unit
boe
of Production/Quantitiy/Capacity
is
multiplied
with
repective
Volume
line
of section
Cash
Inflow
above. E.g. OPEX variable for
Volume
#2 (= Oil) is
x
mn
EUR per 1 mn
boe
Production
multiplied
with
the
Production
of Volume
#2 leads
to the
OPEX variable-TOTALfor
Volume
#2 in mn
EUR.
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2_Scenario Dashboardsheet Summary & Control
Key economic
project
parameters
can
be
changed
stand-alone
or
in combination
(e.g. +20% CAPEX, +10% OPEX & +15% in
Sales Price).
IMPORTANT: For the
depiction
of the
BASE CASE (= without
any
changes
of
variables), the
%-cells
below
the
arrow-
buttons
are
to be
zero
!
5.Project Name &Person who
performed
the
Evaluation in this
file.
1. 2.3a: Economic
Key Performance Indicators
3b: TOTAL CAPEX, TOTAL OPEX
3c: Max. Exposure, Revenue-period
&
Project period.
All figures
are
updated
automically
once
a change
in 1_Input-sheet or
by
Dashboard
(see
point ) is
made.
3a. 3b. 3c. Graph showing
Project Cash Flow
on yearly
basis
&
accumulated
(discounted
& non-discounted).
Single components
of Cash Flow
(i.e. Revenues, CAPEX, OPEX)
are
shown
on yearly
basis, non-discounted. IRR-
& NPV-
development
over
project
timeline.
Graph is
changed
automatically
once
any
change
in 1_Input-
sheet
or
by
Dashboard
(see
point ) is
made.
The
layout of the
Graph can
be
updated
by
pressing
the
button
of point ).
4.
3c.3b.3a.
2.1.
9. 8.
4.
6. 7.
5.
Years
can
be
selected
(e.g. most important
turning
points
in projects
economic
development
or
MTP-years). Key data for
these
selected
years
are
depicted.
Example: If
CAPEX are
increased by +20%
in the
Dashboard
(see
point ), then the
INPUT CELLS
You
can
select 2 years
which
show
the
corresponding deviation.
7.
Pressing
this button triggers
an update of Chart-layout
(after
e.g. scenario has been
changed
by
point ).
8.
5.
Pushing
this
buttontriggers
an update of the
Sensitivities
on sheet
3_Sensitivities & on the
sheets
# 4, # 5, # 6; after e.g.
scenario
has been changed
by
point .
9.
5.
5.
You can delete the
corresponding sections by
pressing this button.10.
5.
8.5.
11.
Screen is
adjusted to
respective
screen resolution.12.
Cash Flow-development can
immediately be seen in the
respective
year.
In addition
the respective
Product
and Price can be
selected
(e.g. gas or oil
price).
You
can print thecorresponding sections by
pressing
these buttons. To
have
coloured printouts, just
set
colour
as your
standard-print setting.
11.
10.
12.
13.
6.
You
can
select between
Non-discounted &
Discounted depiction of
data.
13.
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3_Sensitivities
sheet
IRR
NPV
Profitability
Index
Sensitivities
are
calculated
on a ceteris
paribus-basis.
Sensitivities
of the
key
drivers
(i.e. CAPEX, OPEX, Price,
Production/Quantity/Capacity) on the
Key Performance
Indicators
(i.e. IRR, NPV, Profitability
Index) are
calculated
by
pressing
the
button
Update Sensitivities
on sheet
2_Scenario
Dashboard
(see
point 9).
Make
your
freely
choosen
input
in the
grey
coloured
input
cells.(e.g. if
you
want
to see
the
sensitivities
of 90% of the
BASE
CASE, then
enter
90%. 100% means
that
a zero-deviation
from
the
BASE CASE is
calculated.
There
are
11 INPUT CELLS. ALWAYS ENTER A VALUE in the
INPUT CELLS (0% is
not
a value!).Enter
a data
row
shown
above
(see
BASE CASE coloured
yellow
which
can
be
-but
not
necessarily
has to be-
in the
middle). You
can
give
a range
of deviations
left
and right from
the
BASE
CASE of up to -50% to +50% in 10%-steps each.
The BASE CASE does not have to be entered in the middle: it
could
be
calculated
a range
of 10 steps
beginning
from
the
BASE CASE
with
e.g. 5%-steps up to a +50% from the
BASE
CASE.
The
results
of the
calculations
are
shown
numerically
on this
sheet
and graphically
on sheets
# 4, #5 & #6.
INPUT CELLS
9.
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a)
Cash Flow
(discounted
& non-
discounted) over
entire
project
period
b)
Depiction
of CAPEX, OPEX and
Revenues
over
entire
project
period
c)
Depiction
of volumes
used
for
cash-in-
calculation
over
entire
project
period
a)
b)
c)
7_CF..-
/ 8_Cash out/in..-
/ 9_Volume..
sheet