e-trike project: presentation: proposed market transformation … · 2015-08-05 · the views...
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The views expressed in this presentation are the views of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views or policies of the Asian Development Bank (ADB), or its Board of Directors or the governments they represent. ADB does not guarantee the source, originality, accuracy, completeness or reliability of any statement, information, data, finding, interpretation, advice, opinion, or view presented, nor does it make any representation concerning the same.
Project Number: 43207
Philippines: Mitigation of Climate Change Through Increased Energy Efficiency and the Use of Clean Energy Proposed Market Transformation through Introduction of Energy Efficient Electric Tricycles Project
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Sohail Hasnie Principal Energy Specialist Southeast Asia Department Asian Development Bank
[email protected] http://www.adb.org/etrike
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Source: Annual Report, http://www.adb.org/documents/reports/annual_report/2010/adb-ar2010-v1.pdf#page=6
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Asian Development Bank
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Today Asia represents:
• about 60% of world’s population with
• 49 economies, about 20% of land, and
• 28% of world’s economy (lowest point of 15%)
Before industrial revolution, Asia was 60% of world’s
economy
Asia
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Source: IEA
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Source: IEA
Financing?
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Source: IEA
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Source: http://www.npr.org/2011/11/21/142365346/timeline-the-100-year-history-of-the-electric-car
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Source: http://www.npr.org/2011/11/21/142365346/timeline-the-100-year-history-of-the-electric-car
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Lessons from history
• Batteries
• Batteries
•Batteries
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Metro Manila
200,000 tricycles
Philippines
3,500,000
Tricycles and motorcycles
10,000,000 tons of CO2 annually
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Objective is to solve the “problem” using modern sustainable technology that will be affordable and reliable
And not to recreate this…
Source: http://inhabitat.com/german-museum-recreates-the-worlds-oldest-electric-car/
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Solution Space: Electric Vehicles
Range: 35-50 km Speed: 45 km/h NO Air-conditioners
Minimum Safety Standards
Price: $3,000 to 4,000 as
$4 per day 3-years Standard Warranty
24 kWh battery
160 km range
3 kWh battery
45 km range
Range: 350 km Speed: 200 km/h Air-conditioners Best Possible Safety Standards
Price: $35,000 3-years or 100,000 km Standard Warranty
Top of the Pyramid
Bottom of the Pyramid
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Battery Choices Lead Acid
$800 Life: 200 charges
140 kg
slow-charge only
Lithium Ion
$1,500 Life: 2,000 charges
40 kg
slow and fast-charge
Pilot 1
72% lighter
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Daily Fuel Savings (Desktop Study assumptions)
for every 100 km
Base Case:
Assumptions:
20 km per Liter
5 liters for 100 km
50 Peso per liter
E-Trike:
Assumptions:
20 km per kWh
5 kWh for 100 km
>$5 or Peso 250 >$1 or Peso 50
about
P200 10 Peso per kWh
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(Electric Tricycles or e-Trikes)
20 e-Trikes (Lithium-ion batteries)
• Full charge range 40-50 km
• 3 kWh battery (B units)
• Will use public street charging
• Price of e-Trike $1,000 more
• Full charge range 80-100 km
• 6 kWh battery (A units)
Pilot 2
10 Tricycles 10 Tricycles
• Overnight 8-hour charge at home • Fast charging in about 30 min
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Range results (“Continuous" running)
A1: 72.53 km
A2: 90.33 km
B4: 62.21 km
B7: 41.89 km
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Antipolo – Test Drive
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Transformation project is not
about
procuring
100,000 e-Trikes
but
creating a new local industry and
local employment
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100,000 e-Trikes!
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Transformation through Energy Efficient
Electric Vehicle Systems – delivering an
end-to-end infrastructure solution
100,000 electric tricycles
Cost $400.0 million
Savings: $185 million per year
(500,000 liters/ day $500,000 / day)
Avoided CO2 emissions
• 400,000 tons per year
Electricity Demand
(peak-time charging)
Demand: 6-60 MW peak
Energy: 300,000 MWh
Emissions: 160,000 tons
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Battery Leasing
Access to public
Charging Station
E-Trike
Body
Leasing
3,000,000 units
Lease payments from 200 Peso saving
Peso 200
Peso 30-40
Peso 60-70
Peso 10-15 Total payments:
Peso 100 – 125 Net: 100 - 75
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Output of the Project
• Complete e-Trike units delivered to
LGUs with standard 3-year warrantee
• Battery supply, installation, leasing and
support infrastructure established
• Efficient motor supply chain created
• Public Charging stations installed in
selected areas
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Targets (minimum)
By December 2012, at least:
• 2 reputable motor suppliers;
• 2 internationally reputable battery suppliers;
• 6 e-Trikes suppliers with service support; and
•7,000 e-Trikes operating
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Targets (minimum)
By December 2013, at least:
• 3 internationally reputable battery suppliers; and
•15,000 e-Trikes operating
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Targets (minimum)
By December 2014, at least:
• 500 locally made charging stations installed;
and
•50,000 e-Trikes operating
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Targets (minimum)
By December 2016, at least:
•100,000 e-Trikes operating
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