e bay skype acquisition
DESCRIPTION
eBay presentation detailing why they are acquiring SkypeTRANSCRIPT
Acquisition of Skype
2
Legal disclosures placeholder
This presentation contains non-GAAP measures relating to the company's performance. You can find the reconciliation of those measures to GAAP measures in the tables of our earnings release which is available through our investor relations website located at http://investor.ebay.com/downloads/Reconciliation.pdf.
In addition, this presentation may contain forward-looking statements regarding matters that involve risk and uncertainty, including those relating to the future financial results of Skype and eBay, and the impact of the acquisition of Skype on eBay’s financial results. Our actual financial results could differ materially from those represented in this presentation.
Factors that could cause or contribute to such differences include, but are not limited to, the receipt and timing of the closing of the transaction, the possibility that the transaction may not close, the reaction of the users of Skype’s services, the future growth of Skype’s user base, the reaction of competitors and regulatory agencies to the transaction, developments in the regulation of voice-over-Internet protocol (VoIP) services including those provided by Skype, and the possibility that integration following the transaction may be more difficult than expected.
More information about factors that could affect the company’s operating results is included under the captions “Risk Factors That May Affect Results of Operations and Financial Condition” and “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations” in the company’s annual report on Form 10-K, quarterly reports on Form 10-Q, and current reports on Form 8-K, copies of which may be obtained by visiting the company’s investor relations site at http://investor.ebay.com. Undue reliance should not be placed on the forward-looking statements in this release, which are based on information available to the company on the date hereof eBay assumes no obligation to update such statements.
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The acquisition of Skype
4
eBay is evolution
• 1996 – 1998: US only, collectibles only
• 1999 – Moving beyond collectibles
• 1999 – Going global
• 2000 – Introducing Fixed Price and eBay Stores
• 2002 – PayPal: removing friction and building a huge new business
• 2004 – 2005: Creating other marketplaces Marktplaats, Mobile, Rent.com, Shopping.com, Kijiji, ProStores
• Common theme – expanding our vision, our market and our opportunity
• Aspirational goal of growing faster than e-commerce
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1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
1 5 9 13 17 21 25 29 33 37 41
(Real 2003 $M)
Years Since Incorporation
High performance company
6
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
1 5 9 13 17 21 25 29 33 37 411
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
1 5 9 13 17 21 25 29 33 37 41
TPV
GMV
(Real 2003 $M)
Years Since Incorporation
High performance company
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Expanding eBay’s share of e-commerce
• Skype will accelerate commerce on eBay
• Skype opens up new lines of business, new monetization models, new geographies
• A great standalone communications business
• eBay + PayPal + Skype =Unparalleled e-commerce and communications engine
8
Agenda
What is Skype?
Expanding eBay’s share of e-commerce
A great standalone business
Financials
9
Simply powerful
Internet
Any Skype user in the World (Free)
10
Simply powerful
Internet
Any Skype user in the World (Free)
Any Regular Telephone in the World (Low cost)
11
Easy to set up and use
1
Download and install Skype client from website,
get headset
12
Easy to set up and use
2
Look up and add buddies
1
Download and install Skype client from website,
get headset
13
Easy to set up and use
2
Look up and add buddies
Start talking with other Skype users
31
Download and install Skype client from website,
get headset
14
Rich functionality
Advanced Instant Messaging
Are you available?
Call any phoneWallet
Find other Skype users
Send any kind of file
Make conference calls
Leave voicemailGet calls from any phone on your Skype number
Forward calls to any number
Skype Me…
15
Viral growth
4.16.8
11.5
19.8
32.9
44.1
Q104 Q204 Q304 Q404 Q105 Q205
Skype Registered Users (M)
On track for 57M
registered Users in Q3!
16
Viral usage
0.30.5
0.9
2
3.3
3.9
Q104 Q204 Q304 Q404 Q105 Q205
Skype Quarterly Minutes Served (B)
67% CQGR!
17
Historic success
(1) eBay starts Q2 98, PayPal starts Q1 00, Yahoo! starts Q1 95, AOL since Q1 92 (IPO) from company data and Merrill Lynch estimates, Skype since launch in 2003
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25
Number of Reg Users (MM)
Months(1)
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Historic success
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25
Number of Users (MM)
Months(1)
(1) eBay starts Q2 98, PayPal starts Q1 00, Yahoo! starts Q1 95, AOL since Q1 92 (IPO) from company data and Merrill Lynch estimates, Skype since launch in 2003
Adding 150K registered users / day
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A truly global community
Non SKYPE users
SKYPE users
Skype has a presencein 225 countries and independent
territories worldwide
Skype is a market leaderin every
major country(1)
(1) Skype estimates
20
Significant buzz all over the world…
“To ‘Skype’ is to call someoneover your computer”
USAToday (17 December 2004)
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Agenda
What is Skype?
Expanding eBay’s share of e-commerce
A great standalone business
Financials
22
Accelerating e-commerce
• Create a new way to monetize e-commerce
• Remove a key friction
• Accelerate existing categories
• Expand into new categories
• Monetize new marketplaces
• Expand the global footprint
23
A new way to monetize e-commerce
eBay Today eBay with Skype
Transaction-based
monetization
Transaction and
lead-generation monetization
Listing feesFinal value fees
Feature feesPayPal fees
Listing feesFinal value fees
Feature feesPayPal fees
Pay percall
+
24
Communication is key to e-commerce
The online transaction process requires various communication points along the way
Q+A before purchase
Order status
Closing transaction
“Bob” the buyer
“Steve”the seller
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Communication is key to e-commerce
The online transaction process requires various communication points along the way
5M e-mail messages areinitiated per day between
eBay buyers & sellers
30% of eBay bidstake place in
the last 2 hours!
“Bob” the buyer
“Steve”the seller
26
Skype is a leap forward in communication
• In transaction flow
• Instantaneous and private
• Free with rich experience
• Advanced functionality
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eBay has historically removed friction
Trust & safety
Description
Payments
Shipping
Friction point Solution
Pictures
Feedback
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Removing friction is powerful$1.4B
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1Q1
eBay UK GMV (USD)
2001Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1
2002 2003 2004 2005
$1.4B
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Accelerating e-commerce
• Create a new way to monetize e-commerce
• Remove a key friction
• Accelerate existing categories
• Expand into new categories
• Monetize new marketplaces
• Expand the global footprint
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Motors, collectibles, and B&I alone
represent ~40%of eBay GMV
Skype accelerates certain existing categories
Communications can accelerate categories that are:
• High involvement
• Expensive
• Complex
Motors
Collectibles Sporting goods
Music instruments
Business and industrial
Jewelry and watches
31
Future motors listing
Firstclassauto – currently online!
“ Firstclassauto – currently online! ”
Skype accelerates certain existing categories: Example
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Communications enables expansion into new categories
Skype allows superior access to categories that
• Require significant communication
• Are less suited to transaction-based monetization
Source: Jupiter, Borrell, NADA, Manheim, eBay estimates
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Communications enables expansion into new categories
Skype allows superior access to categories that
• Require significant communication
• Are less suited to transaction-based monetization
Source: Jupiter, Borrell, NADA, Manheim, eBay estimates
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Pay Per Call enables monetization of new marketplaces
Pay Per Call on Local Classifieds
Listing Sponsorisé
Skype moi!
Charles de Gaulle RenaultLes meilleurs voitures!
Bagnolet Peugeot
BelleVille Audi
Skype moi!
Skype moi!
Paris
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Expanding the global footprint
• Large grey markets• Limited trust on Internet• Culture of haggling• Culture of IM/mobile• Price sensitivity
India
Emerging markets New markets
China
Poland
JapanNordic
• Limited eBay presence
• Large growth in Skype users
Brazil Russia
Cross-border trade
• Limited trust
• Buyers need more interaction and information from sellers
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Skype on eBay China
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Agenda
What is Skype?
Expanding eBay’s share of e-commerce
A great standalone business
Financials
38
A great standalone business
A large and growing opportunity
A strong leadership position
Competitive advantage
1
2
3
39
480
An important consumer activity
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
Search eBaymarketplace
Web Email IM Phone
Skype today
Calls from home(3)
Share of VOIP calls expected to increase significantly over time
45
195
80127
16
Minutesper userper month(1)
CommunicationsSource: (1) Nielsen Netratings averages for biggest sites in each category, (2) eBay estimates from Comscore data, (3) Yankee Group as of April 2003
44% of all user time online is
spent communicating(2)
435
40
Increasing penetration
Global Broadband subscribers (M)
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
United States Europe Asia/Pacific ROW
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
'04-'09CAGR
21.6%
13.8%
18.1%
18.8%
145.7
185.4
256.9
223.1
287.8
317.3
Source: IDC
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Increasing penetration
Global Broadband subscribers (M)
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
United States Europe Asia/Pacific ROW
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
'04-'09CAGR
21.6%
13.8%
18.1%
18.8%
US Broadband and VOIP households (M)
30M VOIP households in US by 2009
TotalBB
% VoIP38%
29%
20%
13%8%3%1%
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
VoIP subscribers Broadband households
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
24.6
32.6
41.1
50.1
58.5
66.9
72.3
145.7
185.4
256.9
223.1
287.8
317.3
Source: IDC
42Source: IDC
VOIP Annual Minutes of Use (B)
10 17 27 42 72183
367
760
1,495
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005E 2006E 2007E 2008E 2009E
Increasing usage
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A leadership position
EU48%
% of total
Asia27%
NA13%
Other12%
Skype’s global revenue base
Source: Skype, Sandvine
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A leadership position
0 20 40 60Percent of total (%)
Skype segment share in North America
46.2%
35.8%
Skype is #1
Skype is #1
EU48%
% of total
Asia27%
NA13%
Other12%
Skype’s global revenue base
VOIPMinutes
VOIPUsers
Estimated ~25% of Skype users
are businesses
Source: Skype, Sandvine
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Strong team
• Founders created Kazaa, were executives at Tele2
• Entrepreneurial senior management team from Tele2, Microsoft, Yahoo!, OpenWave
• Developers pioneered peer-to-peer technology
Niklas ZennströmCEO & Co-Founder
Janus FriisCo-Founder
46
Focus matters
Payments
Commerce
47
Focus matters
Content
Search
Payments
Commerce
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Focus matters
Communications
Content
Search
Payments
Commerce
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Advanced technology
Virtual, peer-to-peer architecture brings key advantages
• System is massively scalable
• No single point of failure
• Low CapEx
In addition, Skype has
• Better firewall tunneling that allows more calls to be completed
• Advanced security and encryption technology
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Many great applications
Voice MarketplaceWeb Presence Integration
Integration with Outlook - BetaInternet Explorer Toolbar - Beta
Interactive voice
response
Language learning tools
Homework tutoring
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Many great applications
Voice MarketplaceWeb Presence Integration
Integration with Outlook - BetaInternet Explorer Toolbar - Beta
Interactive voice
response
Language learning tools
Homework tutoring
52
Many great applications
53
Many great applications
Voice MarketplaceWeb Presence Integration
Integration with Outlook - BetaInternet Explorer Toolbar - Beta
Interactive voice
response
Language learning tools
Homework tutoring
54
Many great applications
55
Many great applications
Voice MarketplaceWeb Presence Integration
Integration with Outlook - BetaInternet Explorer Toolbar - Beta
Interactive voice
response
Language learning tools
Homework tutoring
56
Picture share with Kodak Web Presence Integration
Integration with OutlookInternet Explorer Toolbar
Many great applications
57
Many great applications
Voice MarketplaceWeb Presence Integration
Integration with Outlook - BetaInternet Explorer Toolbar - Beta
Interactive voice
response
Language learning tools
Homework tutoring
58
Many great applications
Voice Marketplace
Interactive voice
response (eg. traffic reports)
Language learning
tools
Homework tutoring
Valuable content and services
Key partners
• Create and share innovative voice services
• Content providers get a share of call revenue
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Reinforcing ecosystem
200+ Hardware devices labeled as
Skype-compatible200+ Skype-enabled
Applications
1000+ Developers
30+ partnerships with world-class
companies
60
The power of three
New users invite more
users
Users invite other users
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The power of three
New users invite more
users
Users invite other users
Sellers go where buyers are
Buyers go where sellers are
More buyersuse PayPal
More sellers offer PayPal
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The power of three
New users invite more
users
Users invite other users
Sellers go where buyers are
Buyers go where sellers are
More buyersuse PayPal
More sellers offer PayPal
eBay UserseBay Usage
PayPal Wallet
PayPal WalletSkype Users
Skype-Enabled Commerce
eBay UsersSkype Users
eBay & Skype Usage
63
Agenda
What is Skype?
Expanding eBay’s share of e-commerce
A great standalone business
Financials
64
Valuation considerations
• Traditional financial valuation methods– Precedent transactions
– Value per user
– Discounted cash flow
• Earn out structure based on aggressive goals
• A great standalone business, not just VOIP functionality – Leading market position with considerable momentum
– Technology leadership
– Considerable monetization potential
• Synergistic opportunities with existing businesses
65
The power of three: synergistic opportunities
eBay + Paypal Users• 157M eBay registered
users• 79M PayPal accounts• 1% overlap between
Skype and eBay US users today(1)
eBay Usage• 5M email messages/day• 1.4B new listings/year
PayPal Wallet• Boosts sales of
premium services(1) Nielsen Netratings
66
The power of three: synergistic opportunities
eBay + Paypal Users• 157M eBay registered
users• 79M PayPal accounts• 1% overlap between
Skype and eBay US users today(1)
eBay Usage• 5M email messages/day• 1.4B new listings/year
PayPal Wallet• Boosts sales of
premium services
Skype Users• 54M registered
users• ~25% of users are
business accounts
Skype Commerce (usage)
• Skype-enabled commerce
• 200+ Skypehardware applications
(1) Nielsen Netratings
67
The power of three: synergistic opportunities
eBay + Paypal Users• 157M eBay registered
users• 79M PayPal accounts• 1% overlap between
Skype and eBay US users today(1)
eBay Usage• 5M email messages/day• 1.4B new listings/year
PayPal Wallet• Boosts sales of
premium services
Skype Users• 54M registered
users• ~25% of users are
business accounts
Skype Commerce (usage)
• Skype-enabled commerce
• 200+ Skypehardware applications
Skype Users• >80% outside US
Skype Usage• Payment of call
services• Send money to
buddies
(1) Nielsen Netratings
68
Transaction summary
Expected Closing • Q4 2005
Transaction Value and Structure
• Pay $1.3B(1) in cash• Deliver $1.3B(1) in eBay stock subject to certain sale
restrictions• Total of $2.6B (4.8% of market cap)
(1) Based on an exchange rate of € 1.239(2) Earn-out value presented on an undiscounted basis
Performance-based earn out
• Earn out of up to an additional $1.5B(1,2) based on high active user, gross profit, and revenue goals in 2008– Earn out participants received less up-front
consideration– All of management opted for the earn out
69
Strong Business Model
(1) Nielsen Netratings
Rapid revenue growth
Outstanding cash generation
• Large market opportunity• Transaction-based revenues• No inventory or warehouses• Efficient customer acquisition• High operating leverage• Low capital requirements
70
Skype revenues
Free services
Free Skype to Skype calls
(cost nothing to provide)
Premium services
SkypeIn and SkypeOut
Expressive content (avatars, ringtones,
ringbacks)
Hardware royalties
Voice services
71
Strong Revenue Growth
$0.4 $5.7
$47.4
$12.6
$103.8
$259.0
$200
$60
$7
2004 2005E 2006E 1996 1997 1998 2000 2001 2002
+
(Dollars in millions)
Existing Lines Of Business
72
Strong Revenue Growth
$0.4 $5.7
$47.4
$12.6
$103.8
$259.0
$200
$60
$7
2004 2005E 2006E 1996 1997 1998 2000 2001 2002
+
(Dollars in millions)
Existing Lines Of Business
73
Skype revenues
Free services
Free Skype to Skype calls
(cost nothing to provide)
Premium services New eBay Opportunities
• Existing eBay Categories
• Emerging markets• New geographies• Cross-border trade
• New categories• New marketplaces
(classifieds, shopping.com)
SkypeIn and SkypeOut
Expressive content (avatars, ringtones,
ringbacks)
Hardware royalties
Voice services
74
Leveraged cost structure
• Efficient customer acquisition– Word of mouth significantly reduces user acquisition cost
• High operating leverage– Minimal incremental cost for each user call– Software business model with low fixed costs
• Infinitely scalable network infrastructure with low capex– Peer to Peer technology requires minimal capex– Distributed architecture eliminates single point of failure– Centralized server(s) for authentication for basic services– Centralized server(s) for premium services, e.g. voicemail
Outstanding cash generation capability
75
Financial impact
• Dilutive to Q4-05 pro-forma and GAAP EPS by $0.01 and $0.04, respectively
• Dilutive to 2006 pro-forma and GAAP EPS(3) by $0.04 and $0.12, respectively
• Breakeven on a pro-forma basis in Q4 2006
• Long term operating margins of 20-25%
(3) Not adjusted for FAS 123
76
eBay Inc Balance Sheet
• Funding acquisition through internally generated cash flows
• Balance sheet fundamentals remain unchanged:– Cash reserves of >$1B– Annualized free cash flows of >$1.5B– Low capex requirements: ~$2M in 2006– No long-term debt
• Long-term revenue and profit growth will continue to add to already strong cash flow position
77
Summary
• A great standalone business with a very complementary business model
• Significant growth opportunities:
– Build on Skype momentum
– Accelerate eBay existing and new businesses
– Create entirely new businesses
• The power of 3
78
The power of 3
New users invite more users
Users invite other users
Sellers go where buyers are
Buyers go where sellers are
More Buyersuse PayPal
More Sellers Offer PayPal