dynamic pricing of residential water : opportunities and...
TRANSCRIPT
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Dynamic pricing of residential water :
opportunities and obstacles
UK-China workshop on water-wise cities, 11-13 September 2018
Charles Rougé, PhD
Unversity of Sheffield, UK
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Smart metering: research context
UK-China workshop on water-wise cities, 11-13 September 2018
EU project SmartH20 : Maximising water-saving potential of smart metering
Work on potential for dynamic pricing(with Prof. Julien Harou)
Presentation from paper:Rougé et al. (2018). Assessment of Smart-Meter-Enabled Dynamic Pricing at Utility and River Basin Scale. Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management. (topped Most Read from that journal in April 2018)
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Contents
UK-China workshop on water-wise cities, 11-13 September 2018
1) Smart metering and dynamic pricing contexts
2) Scarcity pricing: theory and results
3) Challenges, obstacles… and opportunities
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1) Smart metering and dynamic pricing context
UK-China workshop on water-wise cities, 11-13 September 2018
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Context: rising water stressD
aily
volu
mes
(ML/
day)
Projected supply-demand imbalance, London, UK
Source: Thames Water WRMP (2014)
UK-China workshop on water-wise cities, 11-13 September 2018
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Context: rising water stressD
aily
volu
mes
(ML/
day)
Projected supply-demand imbalance, London, UKThe challenge
Bridge the gap between supply and demand
Find cost-effective solutions
Water supply options: reservoir,
desalination, etc. Effective Costly
Source: Thames Water WRMP (2014)
UK-China workshop on water-wise cities, 11-13 September 2018
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Context: rising water stressD
aily
volu
mes
(ML/
day)
Projected supply-demand imbalance, London, UKThe challenge
Bridge the gap between supply and demand
Find cost-effective solutions
Water supply options: reservoir,
desalination, etc. Effective Costly
Smart water metering : a cost-effective way of managing demand Technology (apps, gamification) and insights into customer’s behavior A revolution in the utility-customer interaction, which may include pricing.
Source: Thames Water WRMP (2014)
UK-China workshop on water-wise cities, 11-13 September 2018
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Dynamic water pricing
Smart metering introduces new possibilities for pricing: Frequent measurements of consumption Making customers aware of the cost of their actions in real time
UK-China workshop on water-wise cities, 11-13 September 2018
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Dynamic water pricing
Smart metering introduces new possibilities for pricing: Frequent measurements of consumption Making customers aware of the cost of their actions in real time
1) Scarcity pricing 2) Peak pricing
Drought-time demand reduction
Weekly to seasonal timescale
Demand shifting
Sub-daily to weekly timescale
Investigation of easy-to-understand schemes
UK-China workshop on water-wise cities, 11-13 September 2018UK-China workshop on water-wise cities, 11-13 September 2018
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Dynamic water pricing
Smart metering introduces new possibilities for pricing: Frequent measurements of consumption Making customers aware of the cost of their actions in real time
1) Scarcity pricing 2) Peak pricing
Drought-time demand reduction
Weekly to seasonal timescale
Aims at overall economic efficiency
Demand shifting
Sub-daily to weekly timescale
Savings for the pipe systems (for London, £ hundreds of millions NPV).
Investigation of easy-to-understand schemes
UK-China workshop on water-wise cities, 11-13 September 2018UK-China workshop on water-wise cities, 11-13 September 2018
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2) Scarcity pricing : theory and results
UK-China workshop on water-wise cities, 11-13 September 2018
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Efficient water pricing (1/2)
UK-China workshop on water-wise cities, 11-13 September 2018
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Efficient water pricing (2/2)
Scarcity raises the value of water
UK-China workshop on water-wise cities, 11-13 September 2018
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Efficient water pricing (2/2)
Scarcity raises the value of water
Prices at the tap increase by the same amount
UK-China workshop on water-wise cities, 11-13 September 2018
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Efficient water pricing in London
Balancing residential demand with environmental flows (ecosystem services, tourism, property valuation...)
Crash test: historical streamflow with 2020 infrastructure and 2050 demands.
UK-China workshop on water-wise cities, 11-13 September 2018
Environmental flows
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Efficient water pricing in London
Balancing residential demand with environmental flows (ecosystem services, tourism, property valuation...)
Crash test: historical streamflow with 2020 infrastructure and 2050 demands.
UK-China workshop on water-wise cities, 11-13 September 2018
Environmental flows
But how do we model the demand curves ?
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Residential demand curve
UK-China workshop on water-wise cities, 11-13 September 2018
Assumption: constant price elasticity
Plausible London values : from meta-analysis (Marzano, Rougé et al., 2018)
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Ecological demand curve
UK-China workshop on water-wise cities, 11-13 September 2018
Environmental flows valuation
Minimum environmental flows (800 ML/day upstream of London)
Environmental value for ecosystem services: £250 M/yr (WTP studies)
Other benefits (tourism, property valuation): non-evaluated
Linear demand curve
Three valuations of ecosystem services
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Replaying the 1943-1944 drought
UK-China workshop on water-wise cities, 11-13 September 2018
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Replaying the 1943-1944 drought
UK-China workshop on water-wise cities, 11-13 September 2018
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Replaying the 1943-1944 drought
UK-China workshop on water-wise cities, 11-13 September 2018
Regulation more effective with most severe shortages
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Replaying the 1943-1944 drought
UK-China workshop on water-wise cities, 11-13 September 2018
Regulation more effective with most severe shortages
Those prices are ineffective and would not happen in practice
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Results : takeaways
UK-China workshop on water-wise cities, 11-13 September 2018
1) Scenario matrix : 3 price elasticities, 3 environmental valuations
2) 22-63 % reduction in environmental flow shortage
3) Price increases capped in practice (+150 % is the limit across scenarios).
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3) Challenges, obstacles…and opportunities
UK-China workshop on water-wise cities, 11-13 September 2018
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Considerable challenges
UK-China workshop on water-wise cities, 11-13 September 2018
1) Missing data: economic valuations, price elasticity...
2) Price elasticity is dynamic itself:Impacts of repeated price changes?
3) Scepticism from water utilities(Fears of PR fallout even for experiments)
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Considerable opportunities
UK-China workshop on water-wise cities, 11-13 September 2018
1) Opportunities for water management:Reducing water scarcity & promoting efficient use
2) Opportunities for research collaboration: Transdisciplinary (economists, ecologists…)
Expertise needed at different scales (households, pipe network, river basin)
3) Opportunities for systems engineering:Final impact evaluated at the basin / utility scale