dukakis center for urban & regional policy northeastern university school of public policy &...

Dukakis Center for Urban & Regional Policy

Northeastern UniversitySchool of Public Policy & Urban Affairswww.northeastern.edu/dukakiscenterA “Think and Do” Tank

Meeting the Commonwealth’s Workforce Needs: Occupational Projections and Vocational Education

Mass Business Roundtable

Barry Bluestone

November 19, 2015

Dukakis Center for Urban & Regional Policy www.northeastern.edu/dukakiscenter

Sources

• Projections of employment and job openings, 2012-2022, statewide and by Workforce Investment Area (U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics) (675 detailed occupations, 16 WIA’s)

• Educational attainment by occupation, 2010-2013 (American Community Survey, U.S. Census Bureau) (479 occupations)

• Senior enrollment by school and vocational education program (2013-14) (Massachusetts Department of Elementary and Secondary Education) (96 schools and 79 programs)

• The search tool of O*NET (onetonline.org) to build the alignment of vocational education programs to occupations. (U.S. Department of Labor, Employment & Training Administration)

• Higher education attendance of seniors, by school district (2011-2012) (Massachusetts Department of Elementary and Secondary Education)

• 6-year completion rates for Massachusetts community and 4-year colleges (Massachusetts Board of Higher Education)

Major Group Occupational Employment Change: 2012-2022


Net Employment Growth 2012-2022

TitleEmployment

2012Employment

2022

10-Year Change in

Employment350000 Food Preparation and Serving Related Occupations 280,707 327,050 46,343290000 Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Occupations 225,025 265,514 40,489130000 Business and Financial Operations Occupations 201,823 230,933 29,110150000 Computer and Mathematical Occupations 143,366 171,400 28,034390000 Personal Care and Service Occupations 108,631 136,663 28,032430000 Office and Administrative Support Occupations 497,406 524,101 26,695110000 Management Occupations 222,774 248,020 25,246470000 Construction and Extraction Occupations 116,411 139,931 23,520410000 Sales and Related Occupations 341,489 364,632 23,143310000 Healthcare Support Occupations 104,853 127,467 22,614250000 Education, Training, and Library Occupations 205,501 227,173 21,672210000 Community and Social Service Occupations 74,919 89,046 14,127530000 Transportation and Material Moving Occupations 159,535 173,198 13,663

370000 Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Occupations 112,240 123,333 11,093490000 Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Occupations 102,082 110,938 8,856190000 Life, Physical, and Social Science Occupations 49,412 56,052 6,640330000 Protective Service Occupations 74,435 79,585 5,150

270000 Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Occupations 60,379 65,357 4,978170000 Architecture and Engineering Occupations 73,179 76,744 3,565230000 Legal Occupations 31,254 34,425 3,171450000 Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Occupations 1,154 1,217 63510000 Production Occupations 160,645 156,051 -4,594

Total All Occupations 3,347,220 3,728,830 381,610


Replacement Workers 2012-2022


Less

than High Sch

ool

High School

Some College Course

s

Associa

tes D

egree BA

Maste

rs Degre

e

Professi

onal Degre

e

Doctorate

0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

20.0%

25.0%

30.0%

9.1%

24.1%

21.9%

7.9%

22.5%

10.5%

2.1% 1.9%

Total Projected Job Openings by Detailed Education Group

2012-2022

High School – Associates Degree: 53.9%


High School or Less Some College or Associates Degree

BA or More0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

20.0%

25.0%

30.0%

35.0%

40.0%

33.2%

29.8%

36.9%

Total Openings by Education Projected 2012-2022


Education Demand by Occupation:High School or Less - Projected 2022

SOC TitleHigh School or Less

Some College or Associates Degree BA or More

370000 Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Occupations 68.9% 22.9% 8.2%510000 Production Occupations 65.6% 25.0% 9.3%470000 Construction and Extraction Occupations 65.6% 25.8% 8.6%450000 Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Occupations 63.5% 23.3% 13.2%530000 Transportation and Material Moving Occupations 62.5% 27.9% 9.6%490000 Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Occupations 58.0% 32.9% 9.0%350000 Food Preparation and Serving Related Occupations 55.0% 33.7% 11.3%390000 Personal Care and Service Occupations 47.1% 36.6% 16.3%290000 Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Occupations 40.3% 46.0% 13.7%330000 Protective Service Occupations 40.2% 33.7% 11.3%410000 Sales and Related Occupations 36.4% 33.8% 29.8%430000 Office and Administrative Support Occupations 36.0% 40.6% 23.4%310000 Healthcare Support Occupations 28.5% 40.9% 33.8%210000 Community and Social Service Occupations 12.7% 23.1% 64.2%110000 Management Occupations 12.0% 20.9% 67.1%250000 Education, Training, and Library Occupations 11.1% 24.5% 61.5%170000 Architecture and Engineering Occupations 8.5% 21.7% 69.8%270000 Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Occupations 7.6% 35.2% 57.7%130000 Business and Financial Operations Occupations 5.8% 19.4% 74.9%150000 Computer and Mathematical Occupations 5.8% 19.4% 74.9%190000 Life, Physical, and Social Science Occupations 4.1% 9.3% 86.7%230000 Legal Occupations 3.6% 10.8% 85.6%

Total All Occupations 33.2% 29.8% 36.9%


Education Demand by Occupation:Some College/Associates Degree – Projected 2022



290000 Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Occupations 40.3% 46.0% 13.7%310000 Healthcare Support Occupations 28.5% 40.9% 33.8%430000 Office and Administrative Support Occupations 36.0% 40.6% 23.4%390000 Personal Care and Service Occupations 47.1% 36.6% 16.3%270000 Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Occupations 7.6% 35.2% 57.7%410000 Sales and Related Occupations 36.4% 33.8% 29.8%350000 Food Preparation and Serving Related Occupations 55.0% 33.7% 11.3%330000 Protective Service Occupations 40.2% 33.7% 11.3%490000 Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Occupations 58.0% 32.9% 9.0%Total All Occupations 33.2% 29.8% 36.9%530000 Transportation and Material Moving Occupations 62.5% 27.9% 9.6%470000 Construction and Extraction Occupations 65.6% 25.8% 8.6%510000 Production Occupations 65.6% 25.0% 9.3%250000 Education, Training, and Library Occupations 11.1% 24.5% 61.5%450000 Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Occupations 63.5% 23.3% 13.2%210000 Community and Social Service Occupations 12.7% 23.1% 64.2%370000 Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Occupations 68.9% 22.9% 8.2%170000 Architecture and Engineering Occupations 8.5% 21.7% 69.8%110000 Management Occupations 12.0% 20.9% 67.1%130000 Business and Financial Operations Occupations 5.8% 19.4% 74.9%150000 Computer and Mathematical Occupations 5.8% 19.4% 74.9%230000 Legal Occupations 3.6% 10.8% 85.6%190000 Life, Physical, and Social Science Occupations 4.1% 9.3% 86.7%


Education Demand by Occupation: B.A. or More – Projected 2022



190000 Life, Physical, and Social Science Occupations 4.1% 9.3% 86.7%230000 Legal Occupations 3.6% 10.8% 85.6%130000 Business and Financial Operations Occupations 5.8% 19.4% 74.9%150000 Computer and Mathematical Occupations 5.8% 19.4% 74.9%170000 Architecture and Engineering Occupations 8.5% 21.7% 69.8%110000 Management Occupations 12.0% 20.9% 67.1%210000 Community and Social Service Occupations 12.7% 23.1% 64.2%250000 Education, Training, and Library Occupations 11.1% 24.5% 61.5%270000 Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Occupations 7.6% 35.2% 57.7%310000 Healthcare Support Occupations 28.5% 40.9% 33.8%410000 Sales and Related Occupations 36.4% 33.8% 29.8%430000 Office and Administrative Support Occupations 36.0% 40.6% 23.4%390000 Personal Care and Service Occupations 47.1% 36.6% 16.3%290000 Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Occupations 40.3% 46.0% 13.7%450000 Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Occupations 63.5% 23.3% 13.2%330000 Protective Service Occupations 40.2% 33.7% 11.3%350000 Food Preparation and Serving Related Occupations 55.0% 33.7% 11.3%530000 Transportation and Material Moving Occupations 62.5% 27.9% 9.6%510000 Production Occupations 65.6% 25.0% 9.3%490000 Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Occupations 58.0% 32.9% 9.0%470000 Construction and Extraction Occupations 65.6% 25.8% 8.6%

370000 Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Occupations 68.9% 22.9% 8.2%



Massachusetts Vocational Technical Education: A Survey of Employer Attitudes

Cathy Tumber

Barry Bluestone

November 2015

Employer SurveyN= 352


www.northeastern.edu/dukakiscenter

Key Findings


www.northeastern.edu/dukakiscenter



Thank You

dukakis center for urban & regional policy northeastern university school of public policy &...

Documents

massachusetts community

net employment growth

year change

department of labor

social service occupations74

service occupations108

bureau of labor statistics

american community survey