driving a new age of connected planning …through ......anaplan projects are delivered in weeks,...
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Driving a new age ofconnected planning
…through Optimisation, Machine Learning and Artificial Intelligence
in the Supply Chain
Workforce
SupplyChain
Marketing
Finance
Sales
IT
TerritoryandQuotaPlanning
SalesForecasting
IncentiveCompensation
MarketingPerformanceMgt
TradeandPromotionPlanning
MaterialsCosting&Profitability
S&OPDemand&SupplyPlanning
WorkforcePlanningWorkforceOptimisation
AgileImplementation
Planning,Budgeting,andForecasting RevenueModelingCorporateStrategicPlanning
ProjectCapacityAnalysis
FinancialConsolidations
Onboarding
SharedServicesAllocations
ChannelMgt Budgeting
CustomerAccountPlanner
ProductionCapacityPlanning
ESOP&EquityComp
PredictiveLaborModeling
TheConnectedPlanningPlatform
Anaplan is
ProductProfitabilityAnalysis
AccountSegmentation/Scoring
RealEstateManagement
SourcingOptimisationInventoryOptimisation
Platform
People
Apps
A cloud Planning & Analytics platform
upon which Anaplan and our Partners have built
hundreds of Apps
that connect people and data unlike any technology
ever has
ZeroBasedBudgeting
2018 Best Corporate
Performance Management
2018 LEADER
Sales Performance Management Magic Quadrant
LATEST MARKET GUIDE
Trade Promotion Management and Optimisation
2016 NICHE
Sales & Operations Planning Systems of Differentiation Magic Quadrant
2017 LEADER
Strategic Corporate Performance Management Magic Quadrant
2016 HYPE CYCLE
Human Capital Management Software, Workforce Planning & Modeling
Anaplan’s Unique Planning Technology
2017 NICHE
Financial Corporate Performance Management Magic Quadrant
Yourmodels
Yourtime periods
Yourdata
Your hierarchies
Your versions
Your dashboards
Leverage200 apps
Your drivers and methods
Yourformulas
Choice of 140+ functions
Empower business people to own plans
Dynamically scale
Billions of cells
Thousands of users
Hundreds of models
Bus
ines
s va
lue
Fast Time to Deliver with Low IT Involvement
6 Weeks – FP&A – Aviva Insurance
14 Weeks – Open to Buy – Carter’s
15 Weeks – FP&A, Consolidations – Fanatics
8 Weeks – BOM based costing – Del Monte
Anaplan Projects are delivered in weeks, not months
“Iwaslookingforaplatformthatwasflexible,fast,collaborative,couldscale,wasbusinessowned,andusershadtolike… IwaslookingforaunicornthatIdidn’tthinkexistedandthenIfoundAnaplan. Anaplanisthatunicorn.”– SarahPark,VPBusinessDevelopment
Supply Chains can be complex
Connected Supply Chain SolutionsSolution Description Supply Chain Finance Sales
DemandDrivenS&OP
Drives top- and bottom-line via tradeoff and scenario analyses over multiple planning horizons with near-time demand signals and optimisation across all functions
• Supply Planning• Capacity Planning• S&OP• What-If / Scenario
Analysis• Promotion Planning
• COGS Planning• OpEx Planning• Workforce Planning• Operations Planning• Rev./Mktg. Planning
• Sales Planning & Forecasting
Demand Collaboration
Customer and channel collaboration across multiple dimensions with accessible, real-time sharing of assumptions and forecasts
• Demand Planning• Promotion Planning• Demand Forecasting• Inventory & Service
Policy Analysis
• Rev./Mktg. Planning• AOP
• Sales Planning & Forecasting
• Account Seg.Territory Planning
• Sales Coverage
Product Portfolio Planning
Rapid, distributed approach to identify and capitalize on profitable product opportunities
• NPI/EOL/Cannibalization• Brand/Platform Planning• Demand Forecasting
• Financial Insights• Product Costing• R&D Planning
• Sales Insights• Sales Forecasting
Order Profitability
Near-time what-if support forcost versus lead time and promotion versus service level decisions
• Inventory Planning• Distribution Planning• Promotion Planning• Policy Analysis• What-if Analysis
• OpEx Planning• COGS Planning• Rev./Mktg. Planning• Operations Planning• AOP
-
Cost to Serve Management
Transparent accountability to drive continuous cost improvement
• Supply Planning• Inventory Planning
• OpEx Planning• Operations Planning• Workforce Planning• ZBB
-
Optimisation& Solver
Process Workflow
Anaplan Intelligence
Connecting the Network
ConnectedEnterprise
ConnectedNetwork
What is optimisation?
Optimisation is a mathematical method applied to business needs in order to determine an optimized goal.
It enables businesses to maximize goals AND/OR minimize costs.
Common Optimisation Problems
• ProductionScheduling• MachineAllocation• MaintenancePlanning
Production
• NetworkDesign• LTLLoading• Fuel-useMinimization
Distribution
• InventoryOptimisation• VendorSelection• ShipmentPlanning
Purchasing• CombinatorialAuctions• CatalogLayout• AdvertisementSelection
OtherApplications
• WorkforceScheduling• OfficeAssignment
HumanResources
• PortfolioOptimisation• FundCloning• BondManagement
Investment
Component of Function that can be changed.
e.g., unit volume
Optimisation Problem Definition
Objective Variable Constraint
Maximize or minimize the value of some function, F(x1,x2…xn)or Determine Feasibility
e.g., maximize profit
Constraints on individual x’s and/or combinations of x’s
e.g., production capacity
y=x+4
y=2x- 8
y=-0.5x+7
y=-0.25x+6
y=-0.5x+3
Linear Programming Visualization
Feasible Region
Flexible optimisation
usually requires
programming background
Using only model based line items and formulas, the Optimiser does not require any specific modeling skills.
Delivered Technology in Anaplan
UI Driven Model Based Fast Calculation
Problem definition relies on a simple, Anaplan standard UI to give more flexibility to users.
Gurobi is one of the fastest optimisationengines on the market. Because the operation locks the model, it’s a prerequisite for the Optimiser to be fast.
Gurobi is on the Anaplan platform
Anaplan Core Anaplan Optimiser
Result Data
High Speed Transfer
Optimisation
∃
∑ ∀
• AnaplanenablesstreamlinedDataCollectionandCommunication
• MathematicalOptimisation acceleratesandimprovesPlanCreation
Anaplan + Gurobi
Optimisationgreatly
accelerate the planning process!
InputCollection
PlanCreation
Communication
Execution
ATypicalPlanningCycleforaDecisionService
+
Requirement byCategory Optimisation &AdvancedAnalyticsUseCases
AdvancedStatisticalForecasting
• Aligning forecastcomponentstodrivehighestaccuracy.• Provideforecasterswithconfidenceintervalstohelpassessrisk• Zero-basedforecastingtechniquesforhighlifecycleturnover
products
TransportationOptimisation
• Minimizationoftransportationcosts• Lowertotalcosttodeliver(acomponentoftotalcost toserve)• Automated, capacityconstrained shipmentassignments
WorkforceOptimisation
• LaborOptimisation bysite, qualification,etc…• Staffingnewproductionlocations• Workschedulingforallemployeesbyday,hour,etc…• Right-sizelabor,managementandleadership
Supply NetworkPlanning
• Optimal allocationofavailablesupplyacrossthedistributionchain• InventoryOptimisation,consideringopportunitycostandcostto
serve• AssetFootprinting
ProductionScheduling
• Detailed, timephasedscheduling• Arrangementofprocessordersforexecution
Price&PromotionsOptimisation
• Demand shaping• Inventoryreduction• Channelpricingsensitivity
OrderPromising(GATP)
• Available toPromise/GlobalAvailabletoPromiseincludingcapabletoproduce/procure
Resource&CapacityAllocation
• Constraint-basedRCCP• Scheduling constraints• Optimalallocationsformaximumprofitability
Optimisation & Solver
Optimisation with Anaplan
• Full Anaplan core support
• UI driven –no coding required
• Optimal –Feasible problem
• Linear problem only
ConnectedNetwork Planning
highly autonomous
continuously learning
decision making
business network
Machine Learning
Algorithms
Optimisation& Integrated
Solver
Opportunities with technology
Which SCM use cases to consider to apply ML?
Demand SensingProduct
Launch
Optimize Production
Inventory &
Working Capital
Predictive Maint-enance
Optimize pricing
Trade Promotion
Supply Chain
Rea
lized
Gai
n $
% Improvements over Statistical Models
Demand Forecasting
Demand Forecasting - Traditional
Sales VolumeTime Series Data
Statistical Model Forecast
How does the ML forecasting model work? Inputs Model Forecast
• Linear Regression
• Linear Classification
• Gradient Boosted Trees
• Wide and Deep Neural Network
• Deep Neural Networks
• Recurrent Neural Network
Transaction Data
Sales Volume
Demographics
Promotional Data
Seasonal TrendsForecast
Supply Chain Planning Customers
Sales & Operations Planning
End to End Supply Chain Planning
Supply Planning
Operations
Demand Planning
Trade Promotion
Merchandise Planning
ProfileLargest Beverage Company in the World
130 Years Old
Headquartered in Atlanta, GA
1.9B Daily Servings in 200+ Countries
$46B Net Operating Revenues with $184B Market Cap
23M+ Retail Customer Outlets
7,000 Associates, 900 Plants, and ~250 Bottlling Partners
Current StateManual
• Spreadsheet Calculations in Excel
• Distributed and collected via email
Inconsistent Method
• Minimal Standardization
• Either too high or too low detail
Disconnected
• Assumptions throughout process
Innovation Planning
(NPI, Collaboration, Capacity Planning)
Future StateAutomated
• All in One Tool
• All Data Sharing through the tool
Consistent Method
• More Standardization
• Lowest level data in the tool à roll ups to appropriate levels
Fully Connected
• Connected from S&OP to Ops Forecast
• Communication through tool and email
Why Anaplan?Collaboration with multiple entities
Speed of Calculation-large data sets
Intuitive and easy for end-users
Flexible Modeling
Workflow management among multiple user groups
Tracking changes and assumptions documentation
Multiple Use Cases across various functions in Organisation
CPG Presence and Growth
Innovation Planning
(NPI, Collaboration, Capacity Planning)
Consumer goods and retail
Major American manufacturer and retailer of children's apparel
Founded in 1865
Sales of $3.1B
654 locations
Convoluted sourcing rules known by one resource in an antiquated Access database
Wanted to compute a weekly buy for 250K SKUs (1.2B cells) end to end in less than 10 minutes
Supply Planning
SolutionScalable, robust, and intuitive solution to calculate buy quantities and make adjustments based on sourcing rules to support the buy/forecast/capacity planning processes
16-week implementation
Connected PlansMerchandise & Assortment Planning
Results7 days of inventory saved (or $15M per buy, $30M annually)
Reduced forecast process from 3+ days to 2.5 days
Reduced planner’s work in building buy from 4-5 hours to under one hour
Buy model takes less than 10 minutes compared to hours in their previous process
More time to analyze output and identify any potential issues prior to submitting
Supply Planning
Supply Planning
https://www.hubcomestoyou.com/london/