dr._c.k._prahalad
TRANSCRIPT
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C.K. Prahalad 1
Entrepreneurship:Antidote to Poverty &Stagnation
C.K. PrahaladPaul and Ruth McCracken Distinguished University Professor
The Ross School of Business, The University of Michigan
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Point of Departure
2
History of
Ag. and Ind.
Prowess
History of
Intellectual
Vitality
History of
Global Trade
& Commerce
Record of
Industrial
Devpt. ?
How
dowe
Chang
ethe
Trajectoryo
ftheR
egion?
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C.K. Prahalad
Emerging Opportunity Space
3
New Approach
to Innovation:Role of Science
Global Access
To Talent and
Markets
Increasing
Complexity:New Ecosystems
Growth
and
Change
Entrep
reneu
rship
and
Innovationa
sLe
vers?
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C.K. Prahalad
The New Opportunity
4
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C.K. Prahalad 5
The New Age of Innovation:
The Basic Thesis
Globalization Connectivity,Digitization,
Convergence,
Social Networks
A New ApproachTo Innovation &
Value Creation
+ =
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C.K. Prahalad 6
Price-Performance Envelopes are
Changing Faster than anyone Expected
1. Transistors/chip 103 106 109
2. Decrease in size of
micro-devices 10-1 10 -6
3. Computing power 1011 1015
4. Cost per MIPs($1000) 1 1M
1. DNA sequencing cost
($/BASE PAIR) 10 0.05
6. Magnetic data storage 10
4
10
11
(bits/dollar)
1970 80 90 2006
Source: Ray Kurzwell
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C.K. Prahalad 7
Discontinuities Challenge the Firm
Centric View of the World:
Consider:Convergence of Technologies,
Convergence of Industry Boundaries,
Ubiquitous ConnectivityThe Emergence of New Sciences
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C.K. Prahalad 8
Digital TV set
Digital Video Recorder
Digital Set-top BoxFlat Displays Tablet PC
PC
DVD
Stereo System Game Console
Cable TV
Satellite TV
Internet Video
Video Camera Cell Phone
Web TV
Digital
Camera
HDTV
CD PlayerMultimedia Storage
Digital Broadcasting
Electronic ToysReality TV
PDA
PCTVInteractive TV
Pager
MP3 Player
Printers
Scanners
Digital Imaging System
Telematics
Laptop
Handheld
Video on
demand
FAX
Home Networking
E-mail
Digital Jukebox
Wearable
Computer
Emerging Entertainment Space
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C.K. Prahalad 9
Consumers and the Wellness Space?
Nutritional
supplements
Health
supplements
Herbal
medicine Alternative
medicine
Nutraceuticals
Cosmaceuticals
Cosmetics
Beautyaids
Health
foods Lifestyle
drugs Therapeutics
Ayurveda
Specialtyclinics
Hospitals
Treatment
centers
Healthspa
Self
careRemote
diagnosticsMinimallyinvasive
treatments
Pharmadrugs
Medical
devices
Fitness
regimen
Remote
consultation
Drug
delivery
Genetic
screening
Personalized
medicine
Pharmacogenomics
Assisted
Living
YogaSurgery
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C.K. Prahalad 10
Consumers and the Wellness Space?
Nutritional
supplements
Health
supplements
Herbal
medicine Alternative
medicine
Nutraceuticals
Cosmaceuticals
Cosmetics
Beautyaids
Health
foods Lifestyle
drugs Therapeutics
Ayurveda
Specialtyclinics
Hospitals
Treatment
centers
Healthspa
Self
careRemote
diagnosticsMinimallyinvasive
treatments
Pharmadrugs
Medical
devices
Fitness
regimen
Remote
consultation
Drug
delivery
Genetic
screening
Personalized
medicine
Pharmacogenomics
Assisted
Living
YogaSurgery
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C.K. Prahalad 11
* Computing, Communications, Components, CE,
Software, (e.g. Philips, Sony, Dell, Microsoft, ..)
* Chemical and Electronics (e.g. Kodak)
* Mechanical and Electronics (e.g. Ford, ABB)
* PCP and Pharmaceuticals (e.g. P&G, Revlon, UL)* Food and Pharmaceuticals (e.g. UL, Nestle)
* Commodity Products and High Tech (e.g. Cargill)
* Retailing, F. Services and Databases (e.g. Wal-Mart,
Citicorp., Tesco, ..)
Fusion of New and Old Knowledge, Creation of Hybrids,
Forgetting, Learning, Harmonizing, and Investing.
Convergence of Technologies
and Markets
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C.K. Prahalad 12
The Emergence of New Sciences:
1. Brain Studies
2. Materials and Nano technology
3. Mathematics
4. Genetics5. Artificial Intelligence
6. Communications / Computing
7. Global Warming
8. Energy9. Search Engines
10.Imaging
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C.K. Prahalad 13
The Value Creation Process Based on
Advances in Science
Science:
Multiple Specialized
Fields
Major
Opportunities
(Problems)
Ageing,
Climate Change,
Chronic Diseases
Changes in
Economic
Models of
Traditional
Industriese.g. Insurance, Food
New Industriese.g. Carbon Trading
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C.K. Prahalad 14
The Innovation Paradox
Scientific Discoveriesare Increasingly
Geographically DistributedUSA, Europe, Japan, S.Korea
China, Singapore, India,..
Scientific Discoveries
are Increasingly focused
on Narrow Fields of
Specialization
# Journals
# Papers
Nobel Prize Winners
R&D Spend
# of Scientists
# of Patents
Intellectual GeographicalDiversity Diversity
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C.K. Prahalad 15
The Innovation Paradox
Scientific Discoveriesare Increasingly
Geographically DistributedUSA, Europe, Japan, S. Korea
China, Singapore, India,
Scientific Discoveries
are Increasingly focused
on Narrow Fields of
Specialization
# of Journals
# of papers
Nobel Prize Winners
R&D Spend
# Patents
# of Scientists
Intellectual GeographicalDiversity Diversity
Commercial Value is Created at the
Intersection of Multiple Scientific Disciplines(e.g. Ageing, Climate Change, Chronic Disease Mgt.)
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Mapping an IP Portfolio to slowdown
Ageing
The IP Portfolio( patent portfolio)
to Slowdown
Ageing?
Role of Family and
Community
Predisposition to
disabilities
How does this
Person compare
With Cohorts?
Likelihood of
Encountering
Problems
Cognition/
Memory/Motor skills
Repairing ageing
Structures
(e.g. bones)
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C.K. Prahalad 17
Mapping an IP Portfolio to slowdown
Ageing
The IP Portfolio
( patent portfolio)
to Slowdown
Ageing?
Sociology
Genetics
Databases,
IT systems
Predictive
Modeling
Brain StudiesNew Materials
Nano Tech
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C.K. Prahalad 18
The Innovation Paradox
Scientific Discoveriesare Increasingly
Geographically Distributed
USA, Europe, Japan,
China, Singapore, India
Scientific Discoveries
are Increasingly focused
on Narrow Fields of
Specialization
# of Journals
# of Papers
Nobel Prize Winners
R&D Spend
# of Patents
# of Scientists
Intellectual GeographicalDiversity Diversity
Stitching together
an IP Portfolio
is Critical
Commercial Value is Created at the
Intersection of Multiple Scientific Disciplines(e.g. Ageing, Climate Change, Chronic Diseases)
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The Innovation Paradox
Highly Specialized, Geographically DistributedScience Base and the Need for Harmonizing
Multiple Specialties to Create Commercially Viable
Solutions will Force us to Consider the Relative Importance of
Collaborative
Capacity
Investment
Capacity
Integrative
Capacity
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C.K. Prahalad 20
Making the Business Connection
Chronic
Disabilitye.g. Diabetes
Living with
Diabetes
Housing
Healthcare
Food
Mobility
Insurance/ Fin. Svcs.
Living a
Full Life
Travel
Safety
Community
Connectivity
Entertainment
Break
downofTra d
ition
al
Indu
stryBou
ndaries
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C.K. Prahalad 21
Innovation ParadoxBusiness Opportunities Based on:
Investment
Capacity
Collaborative
Capacity
New Business
Models
Emerging MarketsAs a Source of
Business Innovations
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Agenda for Managers:
1. WhatImpactwill theNew Sciences have onTraditional Businesses? What New Businesses
are likely to be Created? Can this be mapped?
2.How do we Reduce the Time, Risk and Costofmoving Science from the lab to Market?
3. How will theProcess of Innovation Change? What
are the Implications forHow We Manage?
4. How do we Monetize Science based Innovations?
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Impact ofConvergence
ConnectivityEmbedded Software
New Sciences
on Businesses
23
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Consider Cardiac Pacemakers
Patient
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Consider Cardiac Pacemakers
Patient Away Hospital
Your Doctor
Doctor onLocation
Experts
Conference
Spouse
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C.K. Prahalad 26
The Value of the Pace Maker?
1. Experience of the Patient?
2. Integration of the Experience for the Patient,
Doctor, Family, others?
3. Do we need a Network of Providers toCreate an Experience Environment?
4. Is the Pacemaker a Part of but Distinct
from the Experience?
5. What can you Monetize? How?
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Car as a Stand Alone Product or a
Node in Seamless Connectivity?
High Capacity
CC Node
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Transformation of Traditional Industries:
Truck Tires
Sell a tire
Price ?Transaction
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Transformation of Traditional Industries:
Truck Tires
Sell a tire
Price ?Transaction
Sell Usage,
New Business
Model
Relati
onship
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Transformation of Traditional Industries:
Truck Tires
Sell a tire
Price ?Transaction
Sell Usage,
Personalized
Co Created
Experience,
New Business
Model
Relati
onship
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N=1, R=G in Shoenufacturing
One size for each customer (N= 1)
Traditional
Business Model Design Center
CustomerInformation stored
Factory
Factory
Customers adjustto availableshoe sizes
Multiplecustomers
3-D Image
Customer
New Business Model
Foot Scanned
Shoes available from $80 in this model
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Traditional BusinessModel
New business model in AutoInsurance
Type of Roads Driving Habits
Peak/Off-peak Traffic
Personalized Policy for Each
Customer
Pay As youDrive
PersonalizedInsuranceContracts
New Business Model
Actuarial Data
PolicyUnderwriting
Multiple
Customers
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The case of Apple iPod
Display:
Memory(RAM)
Assembly
Playlists
News
- Wide Selection ofsongs-Personal
Preferences-Favorites based ontime of day/moods
R = G
Co-creation ofpersonalized experiences
N = 1
Global Content Providers
Transformation of the Music
Industry
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The Key Drivers of Value:
1. Personalized Experience
2. Co Creation
3. Individuals4. Thematic Communities
5. Experience Platform
6. Delivery Network
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The New Game:
N = 1
R = G
( Co creation of Personalized Experiences)
(Multi-Institutional and Multi GeographicAccess to Resources)
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The Transformation from a Product/Firm
Centric View to N=1: R=G
1910
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The Transformation from a Product/Firm
Centric View to N=1: R=G
1910 2010
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India as a Source of Innovations
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Innovations from India
Nature of
Innovation
New Bus.Capability
Disrupting
Existing
Business
Models
Source of Competence
Western Adapted, Indian
New Synthesis
Cell
Phones
EMRI/HMRI
Deep Waterdrilling
Water,
Healthcare
Tuberculosis,
Tata Nano
Param
Eka
Psoriasis
Chandrayan I
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Matrix of InnovativenessNew Market
DevelopmentLow Capital
Intensity.
SustainabilityNew
Management
Processes
New
EcosystemExamples
IT /ITES ++ +++ +++ +++ ++
Airtel ++++ +++++ ++++ +++ +++ +++
Off Shore ++ + ++ +++++ ++ ++++ +++
Drilling
Tuberclosis ++++ ++++ +++ ++++ +++
Tata Nano ++++ +++ ++++ ++++ ++++ +++
Inclusion New
Capability
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MNCs see this Market as an Opportunity
to Innovate
41
Outsource:
Low Cost
Low Tech
Talent Source:
Global R&D,
Innovation ?
Innovation Hub:
New Approach to
Value, Domestic &
Global Markets
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MNCs see this market as an opportunity
to Innovate
42
1. Computing
2. Medical Equipment
3. Water 4. Cell Phones
5. Financial Services
6. Pharma
Outsource:
Low Cost
Low Tech
Talent Source:
Global R&D,
Innovation ?
Innovation Hub:
New Approach to
Value, Domestic &
Global Markets
MNC R & D L d
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MNC R & D Landscape
780 MNC R&D centers are currently
being run in India
About 160,000 professionals work
for MNC R&D centers in India 81 MNC R & D centers added during
2007-08
77% of the companies are from US
Source: Zinnov Analysis, Feb 2009
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What is Indias Unique
Advantage?
44
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Access to New Sources of Advantage.
Access to TalentMobilizing Talent
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Access to New Sources of Advantage.
Access to TalentMobilizing Talent
Global Search for
Talent
Cost, Quality,Speed, Innovation
Collaborative &Integrative Capacity
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The Evolution of IT Services from India
1980 85 90 95 2000 05 10
On site
Augmentation
Application
Mtce.
App. Dev.
Off Shore (ODC)
Prod. Engg. ServicesEmbedded Systems
Y2K, Quality/process
Compliance
Product R&D
Systems Integn.
VLSI design
MNC R&D
InnovationAnalytics
Entrepreneurship
Domestic Oppty.
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The Evolution of IT Services from India
1980 85 90 95 2000 05 10
On siteAugmentation
Application
Mtce.
App. Dev.
Off Shore (ODC)
Prod. Engg. Services
Embedded Systems
Y2K, Quality/process
Compliance
Product R&D
Systems Integn.
VLSI design
MNC R&D
Innovation
Analytics
Entrepreneurship
Domestic Oppty.
Cost Arb. Cost + Cost + Quality Cost+ Quality
Quality + Tech. Tech+ Innov.
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The Evolution of Pharma from India
1980 85 90 95 2000 05 10
Reverse
Engineering of
Product,
Process devt.
Clinical
Trials
Chemistry
Biology
services
Target Validation
Lead OptimizationPre clinical and
clinical trials
Cost Arb. Cost Arb. + Cost + Quality Cost+ Quality
Quality ? + Tech. Tech+ Innov.
Mfg. Bulk
Chemicals
Generics
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The Evolution of ITES from India
1980 85 90 95 2000 05 10
Dataentry
Data
encryption
Captive Call
centers by MNCs
Quality Process Transfer
3rd party call Centers
BPO back officeTransaction Processing
Domestic market
Infrastructure Mgt.
Appln. Mgt.
Analytics,
Legal, Tutoring,
Flexible Models
Cost Arb. Cost Arb. + Cost + Quality Cost+ Quality
Quality + Tech. Tech+ Innov.
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Building an Eco System for IT
Global
(and Indian)
Customers
Own Software
Development
Facilities in India
Outsource toa US Firms-
E.g. IBM,
Accenture
Deliver based
On Indian Facilities
Outsource to an
Indian IT Firm
Ind
ianITEc
oSys t
em
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Size Distribution of Indian IT Firms
1995 2000 2005 2010Size in $ M
< 25 396 1653 > 3000
26 - 100 41 41 150
100 250 18 30 30
250 - 500 6
500 1000 6> 1000 --- ---- 3
Source: NASSCOM
You Dont have to be Big to be Global
Emergence of Micro Multinationals ?
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Elements of the IT Ecosystem
Wide Variety ofFirms- Large & Small.
All Global. Potential of
Micro MultinationalsDevt. Of Skills:
Quality,
Processes,Project Mgt.,
SW Methodology,
Global perspective,
Domain Knowledge,
Legal, HR skills
Entrepreneurial
Drive,Low Capital Needs,
Access to capital,
Access to skills,
Credibility,
Confidence,
Wide Variety of Service Providers to the Industry
Potential to Innovate
and Change Global
Industry Practices
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Impact of India on IBMs Strategy Worldwide
Source: The Economist
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Challenge to Indian
Entrepreneurs:
Developing New Strategic Capital
(Building New Managerial Processes)
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Principle Number # 1:
The Essence of Entrepreneurial
Transformation
Situation A Situation B
Resources Low High
Aspirations High Low
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Principle Number # 1
Aspiration > Resources
Aspiration
Leverage
Resources
Change the Game
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Principle # 2: Fold the Future In
2010 2020
Extrapolation
Budgeting Orientation
Fold the Future in
InnovationOrientation
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Principle # 2: Fold the Future In
2010 2020
*Clarity to Direction
*Willingness to Discover*Clear Milestones
*Speed and Stamina:
400 meters at a time but a Marathon
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Principle # 3:
Focus onNextPractices
Well Known
Practices
Best
Practices
Next
Practices
AmplifyWeak Signals
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Principle # 4: Constrained Innovation:
The Innovation Sandbox
Constraint # 1
Constraint # 3
Constraint
# 4Constraint
# 2
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Focus on Here and Now:Tactical,
Blocking and Tackling.
Focus on New Opportunities:Aspiration > Resources,
Folding the Future in,
Focus on Next PracticesInnovation Sandbox
Thinking Differently about the Here and Now
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What are the Dominant Themes:
2010-2015/2020
1. Primarily Market Based Solutions
2. Social Equity in Development
3. Co Creation and Collaboration
4. Scale
5. New Price- Performance Levels
6. Ecologically Sustainable Development
Embrace the Imperatives of Sustainable Development
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The Sandbox for Economic Development
Market Based
New
Pric
e-
Performa
nce
Lev
els
Environm
enta
lly
S
usta
inab
le
Global ScaleGlobal-L
ocal
Balances
New
Governance
Social
EquityF
ocus
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The Sandbox for Economic Development
Market Based
New
Pric
e-
Performa
nce
Lev
els
En
vironm
enta
lly
S
usta
inab
le
Global ScaleGlobal-L
ocal
Balances
New
Governance
Social
EquityF
ocus
Can we Build a
Consensus amongCommunities,
Business,
Politicians,
Civil Society,Bureaucrats?
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Transformation Requires:
Imagination
Passion
CourageHumanity
Humility
IntellectLuck !